Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, November 01, 2008
Stock Markets Staring into the Abyss / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Colin_Twiggs
The Paradox Of Thrift - A common topic of discussion in the media is the paradox of thrift — a term coined by John Maynard Keynes to describe the negative effect of increased savings on consumption. When threatened by recession we tend to consume less and save more. Keynes argued that the decrease in consumption has the effect of lengthening the recession. While accepted by many economists, this reasoning has a basic flaw. It assumes that savings and investment are independent of each other. In an ideal market-driven financial system, the two are directly linked, with savings financing new investment. An increase in savings would mean that interest rates are likely to fall. Falling interest rates would encourage new investment, more than offsetting the initial reduction in consumption. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Stocks Bear Market is Not Over More Selling Expected / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Reviewing the big-picture, monthly S&P 500 chart, let's notice that the monthly momentum (RSI) confirmed this month's (Oct '08) plunge and remains pointed straight down, which argues that the low has not yet been established. While the SPX -- and its corresponding ETF, the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) -- could rally a bit more based on my nearer-term oversold work, perhaps into the 1040-1060 area, the overall chart structure suggests very strongly that thereafter we should expect another vicious period of selling pressure that drives the SPX beneath the 2002 low at 768.60 prior to the emergence of a sustainable "bullish" period. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Worst is Likely Behind Us / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Derrick
To get some perspective on the current market conditions, it may be helpful to look at what some bear markets of the past have looked like.
Below is a chart that goes back to 1940, and you can see that what we've recently gone through was the second-worst five-day period of time over the last 68 years. It was essentially a market crash. The only other thing that's really even close was the crash of 1987.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Interest Rate Conundrum Heralds More Stock Market Distress / Interest-Rates / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: Step into my interest rate time machine for a minute, if you will. We're going back to February 16, 2005 — the day former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan testified before the Senate Banking Committee.
The topic of the day was the broader economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Stock Market Bottoms Following the Mother of All Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Harry_Boxer
It was the mother of all rallies today, as the indices exploded in the afternoon after backing and filling all day, holding support. The indices took off in mid-afternoon and rallied strongly into the close, with as strong a thrust as we've ever seen.
The Dow exploded to over 900 at one point, closing up 889 on the day. The S&P 500 ran from 860 to 940, 80 points in the last 2 hours, closing up 91 1/2. And the NDX ran from 1190 to 1290, more than 100 points actually, closing up almost 128. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) jumped nearly 20 and gained around 9% today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Stocks Bear Market- Light at the End of the Tunnel? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Weekly_Wizards
Q&A with Jay Matulich, Septos Capital Management
A lot of people were expecting Monday to be a buying opportunity. What do you make of Monday's action?
Monday, October 27, 2008
Stock Markets Discounting Recessionary Fears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Is October over yet?? The markets are down over 25% for the month, however on the four up days that actually did occur during the month, the indexes managed to gain over 20% - just image the carnage without the those fabulous four days! Liquidations by both mutual and hedge funds have made the last hour of trading something of an art form as investors guess whether the markets will tack on or drop a few hundred points. The recessionary fears of just a month ago have now morphed into full-blown depression fears and not just here, but around the world. The historic market declines to this point likely have already captured much of the economic pain we will experience in the weeks/months ahead. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 27, 2008
When Will the Stocks Bear Market End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
Accelerated panic levels have hit the World Stock Markets ... What's next?
Let's start by discussing what is happening and why ... and then move on to our stock market Bull/Bear chart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 27, 2008
Stock Market Bottom Near? We Don't Think So / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Richard_Shaw
Market timing is not a good idea, but standing aside when a global train wreck is happening in proportions that rival the worst periods in modern history is not market timing — it is self-preservation.
Being out of the market makes deciding how to re-enter problematic, and some opportunity could be missed, but far greater opportunity is missed if capital is destroyed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 24, 2008
Stock Market Invest for the Long-Term- the Very Long Term / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
Note: Horizontal line is where the Nikkei 225 closed on October 22, 2008.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 24, 2008
The Top 10 Stocks that Institutional Investors are Selling / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
What have the Institutional Investors been doing on the "core holdings"?
Which stocks are they Selling off and rotating out of?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Long-term Investing Strategy / News_Letter / Stocks Bear Market
By: NewsLetter
October 20th , 2008 Issue #34 Vol. 2Financial crashes and panics tend to breed great investment opportunities!
This article seeks to formulate a bear market accumulation investment strategy following the recent stock market falls that have taken stock prices down far beyond 30% off of their highs set a year ago, even the ongoing bounce still leaves the major western stock indices more than 30% off their highs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Sell into the Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: David_Petch
Analysis of the S&P 500 Index is presented today, with a slight tweaking of the Elliott Wave count. I have spent a big chunk of time reviewing the $CPC chart posted yesterday, along with the wave structure and am confident the described pattern is what will play out. There is a tradable bottom 1-2 weeks out, but a low should be established by mid to late week. Expect basing for 1-2 weeks before commencing a multi-month rally that should last until March or April 2009 (if the partial retracement is extremely rapid, then late December becomes the target). Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 20, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Long-term Investing Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Financial crashes and panics tend to breed great investment opportunities!
This article seeks to formulate a stocks bear market accumulation investment strategy following the recent market falls that have taken stock prices down far beyond 30% from their highs set a year ago, even the ongoing bounce still leaves the major western stock indices more than 30% off their highs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 20, 2008
Where The Heck Is The Stock Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ronald_R_Cooke
A Logical Conclusion - One can make a case that sometime in 2010 our stock markets will “bottom out”. In this scenario, the DOW will decline below 5700 and the NASDAQ will fall under 430, after 33 to 35 months of highly volatile trading.
How did I reach this conclusion? Read on.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 20, 2008
Stock Market Will Bottom Well Before the Economy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Investing is really about risk management. When the odds are favorable, you expose some of your capital to the risk of loss in search of possible gains. The best time to invest is when both the technicals (charts) and fundamentals (valuations, future earning potential, etc.) are favorably aligned. There has never been and there never will be a time where the techncials and fundamentals are perfectly aligned, which is another way of saying there is always some form of risk in any financial market. It is simply the degree of risk which fluctuates.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Dangerous Stock Markets for Bottom Pickers / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: WHC_Bassetti
The euphoria of Monday – good lord did Monday happen on Monday? This very week? Seems like years. And this week has seemed like years in the happening with truly astounding and historic events. Keep a journal. Someday you'll tell your grandchildren about the great financial panic of '08. Or maybe next month you'll be mumbling to yourself about it.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Stock Market Probing Short-term Bottom in a Long-term Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the MarketLong-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Stock Market Indicators Oversold Suggest Imminent Corrective Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
This morning we will address two issues: Warren Buffett, and "Is the market trying to establish a short term bottom?
The first is the media hype on what Warren Buffett said about "buying stocks now".
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Fed Fighting to Prevent 1930's Style Financial and Economic Deflation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
It Still Ain't Gonna Work Plus A Quick Technical Look at Gold - As the market declined into the 2002 low we began to see more manipulation and efforts to hold the market up than ever before. In the wake of these desperately irresponsible acts, interest rates declined, the money supply expanded, banks embarked on ridiculously irresponsible lending practices and the housing bubble was born as was the commodity bubble. These acts by the Fed were a deliberate attempt to hold back the deflationary wrath of Kondratieff Winter, which is all about the purging of excess credit from the system. So, what do the geniuses in charge do? They promote more credit. Now that really makes sense doesn't it? Just as the economic cycle was trying to naturally deflate and purge itself of the credit excesses in 2001 and 2002, the brainiacs in charge stepped in and flooded the economy with more of what was ailing it. Credit. Read full article... Read full article...