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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Economic Depression

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

America's Financial Apocalypse Economists Need to Sit Down and Shut Up / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mike_Stathis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI'm really sick and tired of these economists out there who continue to claim that America will not enter a depression. These are the same bozos that have yet to acknowledge the fact that the U.S. is in a recession and has been for several months now. In fact, as I have previously mentioned, I can make a very strong case that the U.S. has been in the early stages of a silent, modest depression for at least two years; at the very least a protracted recession masked by credit. After the appropriate adjustments have been made for GDP, the U.S. economy has had no more than 3 to 4 quarters of GDP growth since 2005.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 07, 2008

U.S. Economy Rapidly Sinking Into Economic Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is the crisis that will change the course of history. Even before ivory-tower theorists have gotten around to officially calling it a "recession," the U.S. economy is already sinking rapidly into depression.

And even as the government has vowed to embark on a $700 billion spending spree to avert financial panic, over $1 trillion in wealth has been wiped out in just five days of stock and bond market declines.

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Economics

Sunday, October 05, 2008

The Deepening Economic Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: David_Vaughn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe definitely live in interesting times, huh?

I believe future historians will allocate Monday, September 29, 2008 as the start of the second Great Depression. That is not to say we may yet see exciting corrections and even occasionally a stronger US dollar. Still, the ultimate trend is down, down, down.

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Politics

Sunday, September 14, 2008

The Crash of Western Capitalist Civilization? / Politics / Economic Depression

By: Richard_C_Cook

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Train-wreck” doesn't even begin to describe what is starting to happen to the U.S. today with the financial crisis, an onrushing depression, and the failure of George W. Bush's war policy as he is faced down by Iran and the Russian bear.

But in an even broader sense, the West, as a civilization, after a century of world war and the utter failure of global finance capitalism, may have reached its limits.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

US Dollar Rally Signals a Severe Deflationary Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Kurt_Kasun

Extraordinary Measures Today, a Financial Funeral Tomorrow - Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI wish I was referring to Fannie and Freddie in the title of this piece, but because those institutions are being resurrected, the funeral I am waiting for is the one for our entire fiat-based system. We are now on the brink of a collapse in confidence that brings the whole world financial system to its knees. Each market intervening action is becoming more extraordinary. The rallies which pull the suckers in following the intervening actions are becoming briefer and less powerful. I expect this one to be no different. This sequence has now become a broken record. Markets threaten to take out technical support levels and the government comes to the rescue. Armageddon is avoided until another day and a relief rally ensues on the belief that the government has fixed the problem a new bull market can begin. After all, this is how investors have been conditioned over the last three decades.

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Economics

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Economic Depression: Who will Suffer the Least? / Economics / Economic Depression

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThough few may have noticed, the past few weeks may be regarded as a global economic turning point. Evidence is mounting that the United States is entering a recession, with increasing signs that it could morph into a depression. While the current Administration appears resigned to bail out or nationalize large tracts of American commerce, the presidential candidates drift towards Great Society era spending proposals. At the same time, America’s principal economic rivals appear to be charting courses that are not in line with U.S. interests.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Central Bankers Safety Confidence Trick as Great Depression 2.0 Looms / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRising gold prices are a cold sore on the lip of central bankers. In the world of paper money, it's a clear sign something's not right

Central bankers are the keepers of the keys to the kingdom. The kingdom, however, is on the edge of bankruptcy and in danger as never before. Comparisons are now being made to the Great Depression of the 1930s. The comparisons, however, are just that.

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Economics

Sunday, July 27, 2008

Bernanke Seeks a Great Depression to Test His Thesis / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt has been a rather busy time for The Collection Agency, picking up assets in lieu of cash. Anyone need a badly treated, surplus to requirements, Bank customer desk or ten? I can do job lots.

We start off with an excerpt from The Bernanke Conundrum written on 8th May 08:

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Economics

Thursday, July 24, 2008

It's Always Darkest Before the Dawn...of a Economic Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Kurt_Kasun

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe financial system will collapse before "zero-hour" actually occurs. I think we are seeing signs of it in the desperate measures being employed to nationalize companies which trade on market exchanges as private enterprises. There is simply no way to defend the SEC's decision to selectively enforce the prohibition of naked short selling for 17 ‘fragile' financial companies and to not enforce it for the over 5000 other companies which trade on US stock market exchanges. And plans to rescue Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac breathe of a sort of corporate nationalism. Over time this will deal a massive psychological blow to financial markets. They are currently rallying on the sense of relief that the efforts to prevent Fannie and Freddie from dragging US financial markets into the abyss have succeeded and the inevitable day of reckoning has been postponed once again.

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Economics

Monday, July 21, 2008

US Financial & Economic Crisis Heading for Repeat Misery of Japans Lost Decade / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWilliam Patalon III writes: If you think the "Lost Decade" Japan endured during the 1990s was deep and painful, stick around: As the global financial crisis that was jump-started by the meltdown of the subprime mortgage market continues to unwind, the U.S. economy is headed for a financial Ice Age that will make Japan's 10 wasted years seem like a single chilly night.

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Economics

Friday, May 30, 2008

CNNMoney.com's ‘Great Depression Comparisons Misguided' Conflicts with Historical Fact / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Paul_Lamont

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter reading CNNMoney.com Editor Paul La Monica's piece on the comparisons to the Great Depression , we felt compelled to respond. Unfortunately for Mr. La Monica, the article regurgitates common beliefs about the Depression which conflict with historical fact and basic economics. We hope to set things straight. We begin with Mr. La Monica's words:

The unemployment rate skyrocketed during the Depression, peaking at nearly 25% in 1933. The current unemployment rate is just 5%. And that's only up from 4.5% a year ago. Contrast that with the far more explosive spike at the beginning of the Great Depression - from about 3% in 1929 to nearly 8.7% in 1930, according to the U.S. Bureau of the Census.”

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, May 29, 2008

Lessons from the Great Depression - Stock Market Crash! / InvestorEducation / Economic Depression

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday I think it is appropriate to look at the actual crash of 1929 and how it unfolded. The importance of this post will examine the multiple interventions that entered into the market trying to prop it up while the market steadily unfolded for four years before bottoming out. When we look at a number such as 1929-1933, we seem to compartmentalize that these four years somehow went quicker than our future four years of say 2008-2012.

Try to imagine for a moment, how 2012 will look. Does this seem like tomorrow? Does this seem like a quick turn of a chapter? Of course not. So when we examine the crash of 1929, we realize that the market declined both abruptly and quickly at times but took years. It wasn't for lack of intervention or from motivation. There were those perma-bulls back then that couldn't foresee a world without new credit devices that emerged during the early part of the century.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

The Bernanke Monetary Policy Conundrum Heading for a Crash / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mick_Phoenix

The Bernanke Monetary Policy Conundrum Heading for a Crash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith the US Federal Reserve cutting its Fed Fund Rate to 2%, presumably to aid the cost of borrowing and allow an expansion of lending that will lift the US economy from the doldrums you would expect to see an expansion of bank business. Not so according to the latest Fed's Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey which shows that banks are now actively avoiding the expansion of credit and it can be shown are deliberately causing a credit contraction.

This has profound meaning for the US and the wider global economy.

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Economics

Monday, May 05, 2008

The Great Depression of the 2010s / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomics is not rocket science. Neither is power.
Depressions are monetary phenomena caused by central bank issuance of excessive credit. In 1913, the newly created US central bank, the Federal Reserve, began issuing credit-based money in the US . Within ten years, the central bank flow of credit ignited the 1920s US stock market bubble; and shortly thereafter, following the collapse of the bubble in 1929, the world entered its first Great Depression in 1933.

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Economics

Monday, April 28, 2008

Warnings of US Heading for Depression Plague US Economy / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe cause of the current economic problems is very simple: Bad economics. Instead of closely examining the monetary theory that got us into this mess economists have started playing the blame game. Alan Greenspan blamed Wall Street irrational for making irrational economic decisions the appear to have brought the US economy to the brink of disaster.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Tucson and the Great Depression- This Is Not Your Normal Economic Downturn / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article…Goldman Sachs recently revised its forecast for the U.S. economy, predicting a recession in 2008 (Reuters)…Of course, not all recessions are created equal. Goldman doesn't predict a deep recession, but rather a mild turndown, with modest recovery in 2009. CFR.org, 1/18/08 , Lee Hudson Teslik, Assistant Editor and economics writer at CFR.org The Council on Foreign Relations. Mr. Teslik is 26 years old.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

It is 1937 for the US Federal Reserve / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis Letter is a follow on from my article The Future Actions of The Federal Reserve and US Govt are known   in which, using the work of GB Eggertsson, we showed that the Fed/US Govt is following a plan to stimulate the economy and avoid a deflationary episode. Essentially the plan is to avoid the mistakes of the Depression and those of Japan in the 90's by using increased Government debt, monetized by the Fed, targeted directly at consumers. By employing a credible threat of an inflationary stance the Fed/US Govt hope to raise inflation expectations and therefore raise the price of assets. 

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Economics

Friday, April 11, 2008

Brother Can You Spare $10 Grand? / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe grainy footage of Great Depression soup lines and Hoovervilles now in heavy rotation on the major news outlets has been largely counterbalanced by a parade of economists who reassure us that such a protracted downturn is currently inconceivable. Their confidence stems primarily from the belief that government safety nets enacted since the New Deal, together with a Fed chairman who is a self-professed depression buff, will prevent a replay of the 1930s. As usual, this analysis is woefully optimistic and sidewalk pencil sales may in fact be a growth industry.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Three Lessons from the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article Sean Brodrick writes: A huge bull market in commodities takes a downturn. Equities are getting clobbered. The nation is groaning under insurmountable debts after the banks throw caution to the wind.

It's an election year, and some people say the market is over-regulated — others that it's not regulated enough. All the while, weather is making headlines — in fact, some people believe the weather could herald the beginning of the end.

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Economics

Saturday, March 08, 2008

Post Bubble America Heading for Deepest Recession Since the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarket conditions are the worst anyone in this industry can ever remember. I don't think anyone has a recollection of a total disappearance in liquidity...There are billion of dollars worth of assets out there for which there is just no market.” Alain Grisay, chief executive officer of London-based F&C Asset Management Plc; Bloomberg News

The hurricane that began with subprime mortgages, has swept through the credit markets wreaking havoc on municipal bonds, hedge funds, complex structured investments, and agency debt (Fannie Mae). Now the first gusts from the Force-5 gale are touching down in the real economy where the damage is expected to be widespread.

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