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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Saudi Arabia

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Saturday, November 03, 2018

Saudis Might Embrace A 'Take-The-Money-And-Run' Strategy Post Khashoggi / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Since the murder of Jamal Khashoggi in the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul, oil prices have plunged by 11.92%. Just today, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) shed 4.56%. At present, WTI is trading at $66.05/bbl. That’s well below the high for the past year of $76.90. It’s also well below my forecast for the year’s end price of $75/bbl.

To shed some light on what might be driving the crude oil market, let’s use the flickering candle of the economics of production. The economic production rate for oil is determined by the following equation: P - V = MC, where P is the current market price of a barrel of oil, V is the present value of a barrel of reserves, and MC is the marginal recovery cost of a barrel of oil.

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Politics

Saturday, October 13, 2018

Ban Saudi Oil! / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: Raul_I_Meijer

According to Middle East Eye, Richard Branson, Andrew Ross Sorkin, Economist editor-In-chief Zanny Minton Beddoes, World Bank president Jim Yong Kim, New York Times, Financial Times, Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshah, Viacom CEO Bob Bakish and AOL founder Steve Case have all withdrawn from Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative conference, to be held this month in Riyadh. Branson also put a $1 billion investment plan on hold.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

Saudi TASI Stock Index Continues to Weaken Following Breakdown from Rising Wedge / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia

By: MarketsToday

Following a breakdown from a bearish rising wedge several weeks ago, the TASI (Saudi Arabia stock market) seen three consecutive weeks of falling prices. The index is now fast approaching the first key support zone to watch for a potential short-term bounce. Typically, at some point following a breakdown a bearish pattern a counter-trend rally will occur back up towards the breakdown zone (approx. 7,226) to some degree, before a continuation lower kicks in.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 20, 2018

TASI - Saudi Arabia Stock Index Outlook / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia

By: MarketsToday

Further weakness will confirm bearish outlook for the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI)

TASI (Saudi Arabia stock market) poised to breakdown from large bearish Ascending Wedge pattern.

Weakness apparent over past couple of months and follows a prior advance.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 20, 2018

Saudi Arabia Stock Market Technical Update: Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia

By: MarketsToday

  • Larger advance stalls at the 50% retracement zone.
  • Deeper short-term pullback may occur.
  • Followed by advance to new highs.
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Politics

Sunday, March 25, 2018

China Invades Saudi Oil Realm: PetroDollar Kill / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: Jim_Willie_CB

China is working a strategy with the Saudis. Since the last months of 2017, the Jackass has been firm that the ARAMCO deal for IPO stock introduction might never occur. And if it did, then Hong Kong might be the only location for the IPO launch. It seems that disclosure and transparency is non-existent to this Arab kingdom. Now the stock listing might be in Riyadh and nowhere else. Imagine the risk to brokerage houses if the truth comes out, that the Saudi oil reserves are only 20% to 40% of the disclosed amount, a grand lie and deep fraud. Such will not stop China from investing privately in ARAMCO, since it would serve two purposes. It would enable huge diverse participation in the Saudi Economy, which contains a second treasure trove of minerals. It would enable the Chinese to purchase Saudi oil in RMB terms for payment. In the last month, the Russians confirmed an equally sized investment stake in ARAMCO. If the Chinese sit on the ARAMCO board of directors, they will surely convince the Saudis to alter the payment method in approval. It could be a primary part of the deal.

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Politics

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Why the Saudis Failed to Cripple Qatar / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: John_Mauldin

BY ALLISON FEDIRKA : Six months ago, Saudi Arabia announced the closure of its shared land border with Qatar in response to its supposed support of terrorism. The other Gulf Cooperation Council members denied Qatar use of their airspace and ports.

The measures were meant to bring the Qatari economy to its knees. However, the plan didn’t work out as planned and the effort ultimately failed.

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Politics

Sunday, November 12, 2017

Finally, The Fall Of The House Of Saud / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: Jim_Willie_CB

*** COLLAPSE OF THE KINGDOM ***
The Saudi Kingdom will fall, a longstanding Jackass forecast, an inevitable event
The Saudi Kingdom will fall alongside the ruined collapsing Petro-Dollar
The Saudi foundation has been the primary element to entire Petro-Dollar system
This Saudi situation is loaded with intrigue, corruption, cunning, collusion, criminality
The Saudi region will erupt in chaos ruin decay and gross destabilization
The entire Saudi situation is a grand mixture of deep corruption and wreckage
The Saudi Royals will scatter and escape with stolen wealth, an absolute guarantee

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Politics

Sunday, August 20, 2017

Cash-Strapped Saudi Arabia Is Willing To Give Up Its Influence To Iran / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: John_Mauldin

BY XANDER SNYDER : Saudi Arabia’s strategy in the Middle East has for years focused on throwing money at majority Sunni states and groups in the region to counter Iranian influence. But its fiscal constraints started to limit its ability to project power even in the Arabian Peninsula.

Funding Sunni jihadist groups has not had the desired outcome. The rise of the Islamic State is evidence that this strategy can have unintended results. In fact, Saudi Arabia’s attempt to expand its influence regionally may have actually reduced Saudi power both domestically and on the peninsula.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 07, 2017

TASI Targets Higher Prices Following Breakout Of Bull Pennant / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia

By: MarketsToday

The Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) bull trend is preparing for its next move higher following a pull back towards support. Support can be anticipated anywhere from last week’s low of 7,059 and down to approximately 6,870. The lower part of the range is from previous resistance (now potential support) at the swing high from April 2016. That high marked the top of a large double bottom trend reversal pattern.

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Politics

Thursday, May 25, 2017

The US-Saudi Arms Deal - Sordid Saudi Signals / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: Jim_Willie_CB

THE SAUDI ARMS DEAL SUDDENLY TRIPLED IN SIZE WITH LONG TIME SCHEDULE WITHIN THE AGREEMENT… TRUMP COMPLETED THE SINGLE LARGEST ARMS DEAL IN US-HISTORY, DONE WITH SAUDI ARABIA… IT EXCEEDED THE PREVIOUS COMMITMENT FROM TWO WEEKS AGO, NOW WORTH $350 BILLION… WITNESS US-STYLE ECONOMIC STIMULUS, THE TOXIC WAY… THE USGOVT SUPPORTS THE FADING SAUDI KINGDOM, SUPPORTS THEIR VICIOUS YEMEN WAR, AND APPLAUDS THEIR SUPPORT OF ISIS TERROR… THE USGOVT IS ENCOURAGING THE FORMATION OF A GULF REGION NATO, SURELY DEDICATED TO US-ARMS SUPPLY… CURIOUS THE PAYMENT METHOD TO COME, WITH CONJECTURE.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Desperate Saudi Arabia Turns to Asia for Investment / Economics / Saudi Arabia

By: John_Mauldin

BY XANDER SNYDER : King Salman of Saudi Arabia visited Malaysia on February 26. It was the first trip to the country for a Saudi monarch in over a decade. In his tour through Asia, visits also included Brunei, Japan, China, and Indonesia. Jakarta has not received a formal Saudi visitation in nearly five decades.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Saudi Arabia Releases Ambitious Plan To Diversify Economy / Economics / Saudi Arabia

By: OilPrice_Com

On Monday, Saudi Arabia released a blueprint for the future, a plan for the Kingdom that could alter the course of its history. The "Vision for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia" could radically transform Saudi Aramco, the Saudi economy, and the country's social structure.

The plan has been pioneered by the 30-year-old Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the second in line to the King, who has emerged as one of the most powerful figures in the Saudi government. Just a week ago his influence was on display; while it is difficult to know exactly what went on behind the scenes, all signs point to the Deputy Crown Prince overruling the long-standing and respected oil minister Ali al-Naimi to kill off the OPEC deal in Doha.

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Politics

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Feeling Abandoned, Saudi Arabia Ups the Ante / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: John_Browne

Last week a major diplomatic crisis developed between Saudi Arabia and Iran over the Saudi execution of Nimr al Nimr, a charismatic Shiite cleric and anti-Sunni political activist. Nimr's execution was an important political decision. On its face, it served to increase tensions in the developing struggle between Saudi Arabia and Iran for regional influence, a drama that has come to full boil as a result of decades of American policy mistakes. This Middle Eastern cold war, which divides Islam along Sunni/Shia sectarian lines, now threatens international oil supplies and regional peace.

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Politics

Wednesday, September 02, 2015

Syrian Refugee Crisis - Is Germany More Islamic than Saudi Arabia? / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst many european nations are positioning their storm troopers on their borders and ports to repel the swarm (David Cameron) or hordes as other politicians have referred to the mass migration underway, instead Germany has now taken the opposite position by opening its doors to this year settle as many as 800,000 mostly Syrian refugees out of a potential total of 1 million Syrian refugees expected to enter Europe this year which itself is out of a total Syrian refugee population of more than 4 million who today are mostly sat in refugee camps in Turkey, Jordan and Lebanon, most of whom seek to follow the now well trodden migration paths northwards.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 03, 2015

Strong Bearish Signal Given Today on the Tadawul (Saudi Stock Exchange)! / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia

By: Submissions

Bruce Powers writes: A bearish head and shoulders top formation (HS) was triggered today on the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI), with the index falling 3.20 per cent to end the day at 8,807.24. The bearishtrigger was on a move below the neckline at 9,057. Momentum picked up on the way down with the index closing in the bottom quarter of the day’s range. 

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Politics

Thursday, March 26, 2015

Why Yemen Is The Next Saudi-Iranian Battleground / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: STRATFOR

While the al-Houthi movement struggles to manage multiple regional challenges to its north, its rise to power in Yemen is a setback for Saudi Arabia on its southern flank. After the fall of the Yemeni government, Riyadh will have to capitalize on the al-Houthis' need for political and financial support to re-establish its influence in the country. But because Iran is trying to fill that support gap, too, Yemen has become another battleground where the two sectarian rivals will struggle against one another.

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Economics

Friday, January 30, 2015

7 Things about Saudi Arabia You Need to Know / Economics / Saudi Arabia

By: Frank_Holmes

A week ago we learned that the king of Saudi Arabia, Abdullah bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, passed away at the age of 90. Following the announcement, crude oil immediately spiked 2.5 percent over uncertainty of how this might affect the Middle Eastern kingdom’s position on keeping oil production at current levels.  
But the new leader, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, has already tamped down this uncertainty, stating that Saudi Arabia will hold to the decision made at last November’s Organization of Petroleum Exporting Country (OPEC) meeting.

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Politics

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Saudi Arabia Faces Challenges in 2015 / Politics / Saudi Arabia

By: STRATFOR

Michael Nayebi-Oskoui writes: The Middle East is one of the most volatile regions in the world — it is no stranger to upheaval. The 2009 uprisings in Iran and the brinksmanship of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's government were followed by the chaos of the Arab Spring, the spillover of the Syrian conflict into Iraq and a potential realignment of the U.S.-Iranian relationship. Unlike recent years, however, 2015 is likely to see regional Sunni Arab interests realign toward a broader acceptance of moderate political Islam. The region is emerging from the uncertainty of the past half-decade, and the foundations of its future are taking shape. This process will not be neat or orderly, but changes are clearly taking place surrounding the Syrian and Libyan conflicts, as well as the region's anticipation of a strengthened Iran.

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