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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Market Crash

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 19, 2023

How I BEAT The Greatest Stock Market CRASH in History - Black Monday October 19th 1987 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October the 19th, the 29th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday stock market crash that few saw coming but ever since many expect to repeat. So regardless of what the stock market has actually done thus far, by this point of the year the perma bears can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent as they point to a myriad of harbingers of the stock market apocalypse. So it is no wonder that October tends to be an unusually irrational month for where stock market expectations are concerned.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Michael Burry Nothing Burger Stock Market CRASH Warnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Apparently Michel 'Nothing Berger' Burry has put BIG SHORT position on the stock market to the tune of $1.6 billion, as reports the fear mongering MSM.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 18, 2023

Possible Replay of an Ominous Stock Market Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: EWI

"I became panicky and covered at a considerable loss..."

The reason price patterns tend to repeat in the stock market is that investor psychology never changes.

The Elliott wave model directly reflects these largely predictable swings in investor psychology. That's what the Elliott wave principle is all about.

One of those price moves which has historically fooled investors is the first big rally in a bear market.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 30, 2022

STOCK MARKET CRASH INDICATOR / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

STOCK MARKET CRASH INDICATOR

It looks like my last article freighted a lot of patrons, which was not my intention for I already flagged that the risks of a market panic event have been increasingly long before the neural net signaled a 100%+ reading. It is what it is, an independant indicator which increases the probability for lower prices going forward hence I revised my stock market expectations lower as illustrate by the updated stock market trend forecast graph.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 19, 2021

AI Predicts HIGH Risk of Stock Market CRASH, Last Warning Was Late Feb 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My Stocks Bear Market / Crash Indicator (CI18) has been triggered as of Fridays close with a reading of 103.4% where a reading of at least 100% equals SWITCHED ON for the first time since late Feb 2020 when it was triggered with a reading of 112%.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 15, 2021

AI Predicts Risks of Stock Market CRASH, Last Signal Was in Late Feb 2020. / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

My Stocks Bear Market / Crash Indicator (CI18) has been triggered as of Fridays close with a reading of 103.4% where a reading of at least 100% equals SWITCHED ON for the first time since late Feb 2020 when it was triggered with a reading of 112%.

Contents:
What is the CI18?
CI18 Trigger Feb 2020
Existing Stock Market Trend Forecast
Stock Market VIX
Stock Market December Trend
OMICRON THE STRAW THAT BROKE THE CAMELS BACK!
MUTED SANTA RALLY
The Alibaba Stock Market
ARKK Garbage
Stocks Bear Market of 2022 May Have Started EARLY!
Facebook $301 Buying level achieved.
Recession 2022
Quantum AI Tech Stocks Portfolio
Crypto FLASH CRASH Early Christmas Present

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 17, 2021

August Stock Market Flash Crashes Historical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Weakening volume after an extended rally phase is fairly common.  It represents a complacency in the markets where traders/investors are unwilling to chase an extended rally phase at higher prices.  Often traders are waiting for some type of market correction or rotation to happen – which will allow them to deploy capital back into the markets at decreased price levels.  Sometimes, this diminishing volume presents a unique scenario where traders shift their expectations away from traditional “buy the dip” thinking and that can sometimes create what is called a Flash Crash event.

Revisiting the August 2015 Flash Crash Event

In August 2015, a unique Flash Crash took place that prompted a -12.5% collapse in the S&P 500 in just four trading days – after a bout of selling pressure on a Wednesday/Thursday/Friday.  The following Monday, the markets opened with a small lower opening gap, yet traders were unwilling to buy into the ASK and this created a very unique scenario where price exploration created a widening price void.  As algos and computers continued to try to find active buyers in the marketplace, the ASK/BID spreads continued to widen as the liquidity trap had sprung.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 17, 2020

Are You Getting Ready For The Next Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Avi_Gilburt

First published on Seeking Alpha pre-open on Monday November 16: I have read one article after another calling this market delusional, wrong, crazy, impossible, dangerous, a bubble, etc. And what is common amongst all these articles is that none of the authors expected the market to rise this high. Moreover, they all point to Covid as the primary reason for their bearishness. So, when they don’t understand what is going on, they resort to name calling.

But, calling the market names will not help your investment accounts. Moreover, has basing your market perspective on Covid helped your investment account? Rather, it behooves you to seek out a better way to understand the market.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Dow Stock Market Crash Watch - Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: readtheticker

Like 1929 the markets have bounced. This time it is on the back of the FED $6.5T money printing.

Previous Post: Dow 2020 Crash Watch

But can the FED blow $6T every time the market rolls down to test support.

Yes, maybe before the US 2020 elections the FED will do 'what it takes'. But post elections not so much, the year 2021 is a long way from the next election (presidential or congress) and defense of the markets may not be so supportive at $6T or $10T per market smash. The FED may hesitate, and that will be window for stocks to break lower.

The 36 month simple moving average (SMA) is a good indicator of the Dow Jones trend (36 months is three years). It has been a good indicator of Dow break outs over the last 100 years.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 22, 2020

Baltic Dry, Copper, Oil, Tech and China Continue Call for Stock Market Crash Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Clive_Maund

Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a hard look at various charts and sees an impending breakdown of commodity and tech markets.

In this update we are going to review a small but important range of commodities and lead indicators that strongly suggest the seemingly endless bull market in U.S. equities is living on borrowed time and will end sooner rather than later. Given how long it has lasted and how extremely overvalued the market has become, the downturn will likely start with a crash phase.

Regardless of what the eventual impact of the coronavirus epidemic is, U.S. stock markets, in particular, seem to be in a state of denial about the actual real-world consequences of the Chinese shutdown and its impact on the global supply chain and corporate profitability everywhere, and some elements even seem to be gloating about China's misfortune and predicament, completely oblivious to the fact that this is going to have a negative impact on almost everyone.

The following points were made by a reader, and while I don't necessarily concur with all he has written, I am open to the possibility that all or much of this may be correct, and if it is, we are looking at serious problems emerging before much longer.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 28, 2019

How to Avoid the Next 50% Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Michael_Pento

This ageing bull market may soon face the third market collapse since the year 2000. Nobody can predict the exact starting date of its decline—but either a recession or stagflation will surely be its catalyst. During the next debacle, the typical balanced portfolio designed by Wall Street, which consists of approximately 60% stocks and 40% bonds, will no longer provide much protection at all. In fact, that type of portfolio construct has become downright dangerous.

The simple reason for this is that for the first time ever both stocks and bonds are in a massive and unprecedented bubble; and are therefore both vulnerable to significant selloffs. Bonds will no longer provide a ballast or offset to your stock portfolio once reality hits both of those asset classes. If a bond has a 5% yield and has 30 years left to maturity; that holder would lose 25% of his principal if interest rates rise by just 2%. Given the fact that bond yields are the lowest in history, an increase of 2% is certainly not out of the question; and is in fact most likely inevitable.
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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 21, 2019

Stock Market Crash Setup? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team has been attempting to answer the question that seems to be on everyone’s minds right now – are we setting up another Black Monday type of event in the global markets and what should traders/investors know before the event potentially takes place.  Our research team has spent the past few weeks trying to better understand the global economic events that took place 8 to 20+ years before the Black Monday event happened and have been particularly interested in the 10+ years just before the Black Monday event.  Additionally, we’ll focus on the recovery event that took place after the Black Monday collapse completed.

In Part I of this article, we attempted to highlight some of the similarities of today’s global economic world to the scenario in the early 1980s.  Many of you may not be old enough to remember the 1960s or 1970s, but at least one individual on our research team is old enough and was actively trading in 1985.  His interpretation of the economic events prior to the 1987 Black Monday collapse and how they may be similar to today highlight some very interesting facets for our readers.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 21, 2019

Revisiting “Black Monday Stock Market Crash October 19 1987 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Back in the day, for those of you that are old enough to remember and have experienced one of the most incredible trader psychology driven stock market decline in recent history. 

The difference between “Black Monday” and most of the other recent stock market declines is that October 19, 1987, was driven by a true psychological panic, what we consider true price exploration, after an incredible price rally. 

It is different than the DOT COM (2001) decline and vastly different than the Credit Market Crisis (2008-09) because both of those events were related to true fundamental and technical evaluations.  In both of those instances, prices have been rising for quite some time, but the underlying fundamentals of the economics of the markets collapsed and the markets collapsed with future expectations. Before we get too deep, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Stock Market Crash Black Swan Event Set Up Sept 12th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The charts below are telling me we crash lower on 9/12 and again on 9/18-19ish.The expected 9/12 bottom should hold the SPX 2870 area. The 9/18 to 9/19 or the 20th move should go down below the 8/5 low to create an irregular bottom either on 9/19 or 9/20. 

This is telling me that we likely go to new highs (double top?) around Oct 18, 2019 monthly Oct Option Expiry and then crash into early November to finish out the cycle 10 month low from Dec 24/26, 2018. 

It is going to get interesting, because should an October 18th “Double Top” happens, we may see new highs by mid December, 2019 (e-wave read and 4 year cycle) and then go down harder into early 2020 around Feb/March to sync with the 4 year cycle from 2015-16. WOW!!

Benner's Cycle is telling me we see another top likely around late summer 2020 and a final crash into late 2020 with a possible double bottom in early 2021 like 2000 to 2002/03.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 17, 2019

Is Stock Market About to Crash? Three Charts That Suggest It’s Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Things are worsening quickly now.

The S&P 500 has failed to recover its 50-day moving average (red line). Even worse, the 13-day moving average (blue line) has staged a bearish cross with the 50-day moving average, signaling DOWNWARDS momentum is building.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Is A Sharp Stock Market Crash Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Harry_Dent

I’ve warned for years, and with increasing frequency of late, that the first crash when a major stock bubble of this magnitude finally tops is 42% in the first 2.6 months.

That’s the average of seven bubble crashes in the last century.

The 1929 crash started off with a 49% crash in just over two months – the most extreme.

Look at this correction thus far, compared to 1929 for the Dow…

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 31, 2018

Why the Stock Market Crash is Just Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Michael_Pento


Wall Street’s playbook stipulates that every down tick in the market is just another buying opportunity. While that is most often true, peak margins, a slowing global economy and the bond bubble collapse makes this time more like 2008 than just a routine selloff. 

In the vanguard of this coming market crash is China, whose make-pretend growthrate slid to 6.5% in the third quarter. This is the slowest pace of growth thatthe communist government has been willing to own up tosince the last global financial crisis.Leaving one to conclude that the reality in China is farworse.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 19, 2018

History's Worst Stock Market Crash and the Greatest Investing Lesson! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest day of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October 19th, the 31st anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday that saw the stock market crash by an unprecedented 22% in just one day that few saw coming but ever since many prophesise the repeat of each October, regardless of what the stock market has actually been doling each year as the perma bear crowd can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent, pointing to a myriad of harbingers of the imminent stock market apocalypse such as the Hindenburg Omen. Against which the historic record paints a picture of a coin toss having proved infinitely more accurate than the perma crash is coming calls awaiting their broken clock moment to proclaim success.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 04, 2018

We Have Had 9 Years To 'Prepare For The Stock Market Crash,' So Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Avi_Gilburt

This past week, I read an article entitled “When Will S&P 500 Valuations Matter Again?,” written by Gary Gordon.

And, in his first bullet point, he said “truth be told, valuations have not mattered for the public markets for three-and-a-half years.” He then goes on to state that “on virtually any methodology one employs, the U.S. stock market is extremely overpriced.”

In coming to this conclusion, he has reviewed price-to-free-cash-flow, price-to-sales, market-cap-to-GDP, and other valuation matrices. Yet, as he noted in his bullet point, these valuations have not mattered for the three and half years where the market added 50% to its price. Yes, that is a 50% return which cannot be supported by traditional valuation methodologies.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 01, 2018

Stock Market Crash Even if China and the Trump Make Up? Currencies Think So / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Graham_Summers

As we noted earlier this week, China, tired of the “back and forth” with the Trump administration on trade negotiations, has resorted to devaluing the Yuan.

The goal here was to induce another sharp sell-off in stocks, similar to the ones induced by China’s August 2015 and January 2016 devaluations. By the way, those last two devaluations (red boxes) resulted in the S&P 500 dropping 11% and 12% in less than one week.

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