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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 05, 2018

Stock Market Bulls Happier Again, but... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Bulls regained their strength on Wednesday, as stocks retraced Monday's sell-off following lower opening of the trading session. The S&P 500 index extends its short-term consolidation despite trade war, interest rate hikes fears. So, is medium-term bullish case valid again?

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 1.0-1.5% on Wednesday, following much lower opening of the trading session, as investors' sentiment improved after rebounding off recent local lows. The broad stock market broke above the level of 2,600 again and got closer to 2,650 mark. The S&P 500 index trades 7.9%  below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.0%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.5%, as big cap tech stocks were relatively stronger than the broad stock market yesterday.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 05, 2018

Stock Markets Rise Impressive as Expected at 200 DMA: What Next ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Builderadv

We had expected the double bottom on stock market to result in a significant bounce. Read our report here: Markets to rise. The stock market staged an impressive upside turnaround today. After opening 500 points lower this morning, the Dow Industrials ended the day 230 points (0.96%) higher. That's a gain of more than 700 points from its opening price. Stock indexes gained roughly 3% from their sharply lower opening this morning. The fact that those upside turnaround took place at their 200-day averages was especially impressive. The Dow Industrials scoring an upside reversal day from just above its 200-day line. Initial overhead for the Dow to overcome is at 24,400. S&P 500 closing well above its 200-day average after opening below it this morning. That's a very encouraging sign. Initial overhead resistance for the SPX is at 2674. A close above that initial barrier would be an even more encouraging sign. The Nasdaq Composite Index also find support near its 200-day average. The Nasdaq was the day's strongest index with help from biotech and technology stocks. Small caps also had a strong day.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 05, 2018

Adaptive Dynamic Learning Predicts Massive Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has been hard at work trying to identify if this recent downside price move is more concerning or just a rotational move.  The recent global news regarding the US/China trade tariffs as well as the fallout that started nearly two weeks ago in Technology with Facebook, Snap and others has spooked the markets.  Our additional research shows that China and Asia are extremely fragile at the moment and the global Central Bankers as well as the Real Estate market could be key to any future unraveling of the markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 04, 2018

On the Stock Market the Federal Reserve Impersonates Dikembe Mutombo! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

NBA fans will remember Dikembe Mutombo as the former defensive-minded center who carved his niche in the league by blocking shots. Upon swatting a shot away, Dikembe would shake his head ‘no’ and wag his forefinger back in forth at his opponent as admonishment for even attempting a shot near his presence.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Stock Market Close Below the 200SMA is Medium-long Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 closed below its 200 daily moving average for the first time in 442 trading days yesterday. This is actually a medium-long term bullish sign for the U.S. stock market.

This means that the S&P 500’s trend was insanely strong from the second half of 2016 to January 2018. When the market’s trend was insanely strong and subsequently makes a “small correction”, that “small correction” doesn’t turn into a bear market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 03, 2018

Revealing Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 02, 2018

A Sudden Decline in Market Sentiment is Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market soared from 2017 to January 2018. The rally’s acceleration in January resulted in extremely optimistic sentiment from consumers.

  1. 30% of consumers polled in January by the Conference Board expected stocks to rise in the next few months.
  2. Today, only 6% of consumers polled by the Conference Board expect stocks to rise in the next few months.
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 01, 2018

The S&P Stocks Index Will Probably Breakdown Below its 200 SMA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 is hovering just above its 200 day moving average right now.

When the S&P 500 flirts with its 200 sma but doesn’t break below it, it usually breaks below this moving average soon. This is a short term bearish sign for the stock market but has no medium-long term implications. The 200sma becomes a magnet for the S&P in the short term.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 30, 2018

High Volatility is Bullish for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. stock market’s recent volatility has been very high. We demonstrated in this study that high volatility is a short term bearish sign but a medium term bullish sign for the stock market. Here’s another way of looking at it.

The S&P experienced 4 consecutive days of >1.5% movements (CLOSE vs. CLOSE $) from March 22 – 27, 2018. Some traders think that such high volatility is “bear market behavior”. I disagree.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 29, 2018

Stocks End a Wild Quarter, as Bulls Scratch Their Heads / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Wednesday's trading session was pretty uneventful compared to Friday's, Monday's and Tuesday's volatility. Stocks fluctuated along their Tuesday's closing prices, as investors hesitated after slightly better-than-expected Final GDP number release. Will stocks rebound today? Or is this just a consolidation before another leg lower? It seems that there are still two possible future scenarios.

The main U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.9% and -0.0% on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following Tuesday's sell-off. The sentiment remained pretty bearish despite some better-than-expected economic data releases. The S&P 500 index fluctuated along the level of 2,600. It is currently 9.4%  below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost just 0.05%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.9% on Wednesday, following its Tuesday's sell-off of 3.3%.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 29, 2018

Sketchy Explanations For Stock Market Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WMA

Each time equity markets enter a corrective phase, the financial media has to find “the reason”. Without knowing “the reason” for selling, their articles would be too short and uninteresting. We posit that equity markets today are driven by animal spirits, with little regard to factors supposedly driving equity market moves. Even in “normal times” (which would not qualify this market), technicians would tell you that news follows the market. In other words, once a price trend is in place, subsequent news events are interpreted to support or explain what is already happening on markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

Stock Market - 'Get Back In There And Sell, Sell, Sell' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those of you who remember the movie Trading Places, this was a famous scene that I always remember when we see emotional reactions in the market after a downdraft.

And, when I went to read articles being published over the weekend, it seems they were all pretty much in agreement with the sentiment expressed in this scene: “You idiot. Get back in there and sell, sell, sell.”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

What Happens Next When the Stock Market is Very Volatile / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market’s volatility is very high right now. And by “volatility”, we’re not referring to VIX. We’re referring to the S&P 500’s daily % movements.

The stock market’s high volatility right now is not rare. There were a lot of historical periods with high volatility. What’s rare is that the stock market’s high volatility right now was preceded by a period of extremely low volatility (i.e. 2017 – January 2018).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 27, 2018

Are Stocks Ready for a Profound Failure? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures made an overnight high of 2679.75 before pulling back. The 38.2% Fib retracement level is 2702.27, which it has not achieved. As the formation stands right now, it would make an a-b-c zigzag. However, a further pullback may lead to yet another push to the trendline and 38.2% retracement. A failure to retrace that level would be profound.

The story line for this rally is Trump’s “Happy Tweet.” ZeroHedge comments, “Just as Trump sent stocks into a tailspin last week with his bellicose trade overtures against China, so the near record (point) rebound in the Dow on Monday is being attributed to a much more diplomatic tone out of the Trump administration, when first Mnuchin, then Peter Navarro played down the threat of a trade war and instead said that the administration is “actively” involved in talks with China to resolve the recent trade tensions between the two nations. Various unconfirmed media reports then also suggested that trade war with China may never materialize (of course, as Mark Cudmore explained this morning, it very well still may). It culminated with a "happy" tweet from Trump himself on Monday night, in which the stock-picking president, hours after confirming his delight with the spike in the market, tweeted "trade talks going on with numerous countries that, for many years, have not treated the United States fairly. In the end, all will be happy!"

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 27, 2018

The World’s Biggest Stock Investors Have Lost $436 Billion In 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: OilPrice_Com

Charles Benavidez: Wall Street is shocked, but it shouldn’t be: Tariffs targeting China should have been a given, and now the market’s tanking on trade war fears as if it just crept up on everyone, but Trump’s been very clear on this. 

Wall Street is known for being short-sighted, though, and allowing itself to get caught up in the euphoria of the day. And now the world’s biggest investors are losing hundreds of billions.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 26, 2018

Stocks Set to Bounce Back, but Bulls' Worries Far From Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks extended their sell-off on Friday, as investors reacted to global stocks markets move down, trade war and monetary policy tightening fears. It was some kind of a perfect bearish storm that sent stock prices tumbling on Thursday, and then on Friday. As medium-term bearish case unfolds, we see indexes getting closer to their early February lows. Will they break lower?

The U.S. stock market indexes lost between 1.8% and 2.1% on Friday, as investors' sentiment remained very bearish following Thursday's sell-off. The S&P 500 index broke below the level of 2,600, as it got closer to its February 9 local low of 2,532.69. It currently trades 9.9% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.8%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 2.4% on Friday.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 26, 2018

Stock Market Ready for a Rebound? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2872 should now continue until May.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, March 26, 2018

Stock Market Complacency Reigns Supreme / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Plunger

I had intended to post part III of my interest rate series, however market conditions dictate that I post views on the current market.  This market is now communicating that it is at high risk.  For two months now,  I have been advocating a strategic retreat.  Head for the sidelines and watch the action with an unemotional detachment.  The market is now sounding the alarm and one should be on high alert for a downside acceleration.

Plunger’s Bullet Points 

Here are the main points I have presented over the past few weeks:

  1. The market has been in a final Phase III since the Trump election- it lasted 16 months.
  2. Secondary Reactions rarely occur in Phase III- Therefore, any major decline could very well be the end of the bull market and not just another correction.
  3. Dec 2017-Jan 2018 was a classic buyers capitulation which traced out as a steeple top in many indexes.
  4. The proper course of action for investors should be to execute a strategic retreat and head towards the sidelines. One could redeploy capital once the market resolves itself according to DOW Theory methodology.
  5. Rising rates are in the process of bursting the largest credit bubble in history.
  6. The bursting of the bubble will usher in a Post Bubble Contraction.
  7. Gold stock bull markets are most robust within the confines of a PBC.
  8. Phase I of a new bull market in the gold stocks began in Jan 2016.
  9. Phase II started in Dec 2016, however initial action is characterized by further consolidation and lethargic action resulting in investor doubt and discouragement.
  10.  Excessive bearishness in the gold sector is unwarranted despite weak looking price action.

The largest financial bubble in history is concluding and one should prepare his bomb shelter and know how to protect oneself.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 25, 2018

What Happens After the Stock Market Crashes on Thursday and Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market tanked on Thursday (-2.5%) and Friday (-2%). This is rare. Most of the “down on Thursday and Friday” historical cases saw the S&P fall a little on Thursday and accelerate the decline in Friday.

Nevertheless, this is a bearish sign for next Monday but a short-medium term bullish signal for the stock market. Here’s what happens next when the stock market falls more than 2% on Thursday and on Friday.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 25, 2018

Stock Market Analysis & Warning In Layman’s Terms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As you likely know, the stock market, trading, and even long-term investing are not easy. That’s why in this post we want to make the complex simple for you. We will do this in a way that will give you that “Eureka!” moment regarding knowing what the stock market is doing now, and where it is headed over the next 12-36 months.

Last August we spotted trends in the underlying financial system that are very early warning signs that the bull market in stocks will be coming to an end, along with this growing economy. There is a ton of data taken into account for this information, but we have broken it down into simple bite-size points that simply make logical sense, from a technical analysts perspective.

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