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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, February 16, 2018

IS Today Thee Stock Market Turn Day? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures were higher overnight, but appear to be coming back down as the cash open approaches. The total retracement was 58.5%, an overshoot that was carried by the all-pervading enthusiasm to buy the dip coupled with a stop hunt to remove any timid short sellers who thought they could protect themselves with stop-losses.

.ZeroHedge reports, “Global stocks were set to post their best week of gains in six years on Friday after two consecutive weeks spent in the red, shrugging off a rise in global borrowing costs while the dollar hit its lowest level since 2014. The MSCI world index rose 0.4% after European bourses opened. .After suffering its biggest weekly drop since August 2015 last week, this week’s recovery puts the index on track for its best weekly showing since early December 2011.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 16, 2018

Have You Been Getting Run Over By This Stock Market Action? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

"Stocks are going down because the economy is too good?"

How many times did you hear something like that quote over the last two weeks on television? And, it was accompanied by the barrage of reports proclaiming the demise of the bull market which began in 2009. But, if you are a thinking person, clearly you had to have been scratching your head.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 15, 2018

Stock Market Final Word... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

A final word this afternoon…

It appears that this rally will last between 3:00 and 4:00 today. The reason I say that is because sometime after 3:00 the rally will have taken 30.1 hours or 4.3 days. So, as well as reaching its Fibonacci levels, the 50-day MA and Wave relationships, SPX will have made a half-Cycle of 4.3 days from bottom to top.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 15, 2018

Stocks Extend Rally Off Friday's Low, But Short-Term Exhaustion Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

S&P 500 index gained 1.3% on Wednesday, following lower opening of the trading session. The market has extended its rally from Friday's low. But will it continue higher today? We can see some short-term overbought conditions. Was this two-week-long sell-off the beginning of a new medium-term downtrend or just downward correction before another leg up? It's hard to say, but this move down set the negative tone for weeks or months to come.

The U.S. stock market extended its short-term uptrend on Wednesday. The main indexes gained 1.0-1.9% following lower opening of the trading session. The S&P 500 index broke above its Monday-Tuesday trading range. The broad stock market gauge retraced most of its last week's Wednesday-Friday's sell-off, as it got close to 2,700 mark again. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.0%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.9% yesterday.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 15, 2018

Stock Market Out on a Limb... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The time expended on the decline to 2638.17 at the close on February 5 was exactly 43 hours. That was the evidence that I had led me to believe that it was the end of Wave (1). The opening gap at 2593.07 on Tuesday February 6 appeared to be a Wave B. That allowed me to believe that Wave (1) had finished. What appeared to be an extra Wave now turns out to be the finish of Wave 3. There are multiple factors going into this re-write of the Elliott Waves. The main one is that the 50% retracement of the entire decline to February 9 is at 2704.99. Today’s high is 2701.86. It appears that an A-B-C rally from the low is complete, as well.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Stocks, Bonds on the Edge... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The last couple of days have been testing our patience. The 61.8% retracement of Wave 1 has been surpassed and the SPX futures are making marginally new retracement highs. I feel compelled to say that the cautionary levels for SPX is the 78.6% retracement at 2685.00.

ZeroHedge observes, “As we previewed earlier this week, only one number matters for the markets - both stocks and bonds - this week, and it will be released at 8:30am this morning, when the BLS unveils the January CPI print, dubbed by various trading desks as "the most important CPI print ever", with every trader, both carbon and semiconductor based, focusing only on whether core CPI comes at 0.2% as expected, or higher. If it's the latter, TSY yields will spike - conventional wisdom goes - while the second leg of the equity rout could be unleashed. Inversely, if the core CPI disappoints, we may see a sharp move lower in 10Y yields and the dollar, while stocks prepare to retest all time highs.”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Stock Market Dead Cat Bounce is Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed is “letting the stock market go.”

As I’ve outlined multiple times, if the Fed has to choose between supporting the bond bubble or supporting stocks, it will choose bonds Every. Single. Time.

The fact is that in a debt-saturated world such as the one we live in today, if stocks collapse, investors and Wall Street get angry. If bonds collapse, entire countries go bust.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Stock Market is Getting Scary... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Today was a bit of frustration. The SPX wouldn’t go down, but it didn’t go higher, either. Tomorrow appears to be gearing up for a big down day. Wave relationships suggest that possibly both the Head & Shoulders and Broadening Wedge targets may be reached in the next two days. Do the math. That’s approximately a 20% decline from here.

Mike (Mish) Shedlock comments, “Interbank lending took a historic dive. Readers ask "What's happening?" Let's investigate.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Stock Market - This Time is Different. Really?! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Axel_Merk

“Don’t panic, buy the dip, who cares?” or “These are rumblings of an earthquake, people will be hurt like in 1929” - which one is it? I would call it a wake-up call. Let me explain:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

SPX Futures Are Sliding... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are sliding as the decline begins to take hold again. SPX retraced 71.7% of Wave 1, mainly due to the stop hunt that was done to wipe out the shorts. This constitutes a near 50% retracement of the entire decline. Most Elliotticians are still looking for a 61.8% retracement, as they believe that Wave (1) had concluded on Friday.

The reason w only got a 53.5% retracement on Wave (1) is because virtually no one was short until the 50-day Moving Average was crossed. Thus we see this rebound making the 61.8% retrace, as more traders were willing to go short, but with stops.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Stock Market Topping Process Begins. The Bubble Finds its Pin. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Plunger

Volatility has now returned to the stock market after a hibernation of several years. An explosion of volatility normally is indicative of a change of trend. The recent signals transmitted by this market have been classic  and has been telling us that we have entered the final topping process of this extended and stretched economic cycle.  The trading over the past 7 market sessions fit a classic pattern of market panic which corrects  the excesses of a market which just completed an upside climax and had been without correction for close to two years.  I believe this panic is now over and the muscle memory of buy the dip will now reassert itself.  That however does not mean good times will continue as the froth has now been blown off of the bubble.

Anecdotal signs of a market top have been flashing loud and clear now for the past 6 months. Since last summer the public has finally embraced this market and over the last 3 months have been recklessly plunging head long into it. Complacency reigns supreme so that after last Friday’s 666 point drop even the superstitious remained complacent.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 12, 2018

Friday's S&P 500 Stock Market Bounce To Continue, But Selling May Resume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

S&P 500 index gained 1.5% on Thursday, as it retraced some of its recent sell-off, following Wednesday's downward reversal. The broad stock market traded the lowest since early October, before bouncing off from around 2,530. Is this two-week-long sell-off the beginning of a new medium-term downtrend or just downward correction? It's hard to say, but this move down set the negative tone for weeks or months to come.

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 1.4-1.5% on Friday following bouncing off new short-term lows, as investors' sentiment improved in the second half of the trading session. The S&P 500 index fell the lowest since the early October. It traded 11.8% below its January 26 record high of 2,872.87 (-340.2 points). Both Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.4% on Friday.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 12, 2018

February 2018 Stock Market Crisis – What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We’ve received many comments and questions from our members over the past few days regarding the recent US market crisis asking what to expect next.  Is this the start of something bigger? Deeper?  What should I do with my open long positions?  What should I do to prepare for anything in the future?  All of these are valid questions.  So, we wanted to help our members and all of our followers by showing what we believe will be the most likely price action going forward a few weeks out.

The recent downside moves in the US majors did freak a lot of people out.  It was something that startled people and pushed a panic button for many.  Certainly, the rotation in the VIX and volatility related ETN’s pushed many people over the edge.  In fact, recent news is that these volatility related ETN’s exasperated the selloff as the VIX shorts were pushed out of positions and into a protectionist mode with the massive spike in volatility.  As the old floor trader saying goes “want to know what causes the markets to crash?  Buyers that turn into sellers to protect from unwanted losses”.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 12, 2018

Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
 Intermediate trend –  An intermediate correction from 2872 is currently underway.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 10, 2018

Lot of Stock Market Damage to Be Caused before New the Fed Chief Will React / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments and author of the book Sustainable Wealth. Axel is a highly sought-after guest at financial conferences and on news outlets throughout the world, and it's great to have him back on with us.

Axel, it's a real pleasure to speak with you again, and thanks for joining us.

Axel Merk: Oh, it's good to be with you.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 10, 2018

Never Give Up Your Short Position in a Stocks Bear Market.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This morning’s action in the SPX was both fascinating and informative. I had suggested a bounce that might go to the Cycle Bottom resistance at 2627.12. It didn’t even make it. Wave [a] went to 2619.47, then reversed down to make a new low at 2563.49 in Wave [b]. Wave [c] was stopped close to the neckline, which I had also mentioned as another resistance point. In my opinion, that validates the Head & Shoulders formation as is. This is called an irregular correction, but since Wave [c] is barely visible, it may be referred to as a “running correction.”

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 10, 2018

Stock Market Selling Unleashed! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The unnaturally-tranquil stock markets suddenly plunged over this past week.  Volatility skyrocketed out of the blue and shattered years of artificial calm conjured by extreme central-bank distortions.  This was a huge shock to the legions of hyper-complacent traders, who are realizing stocks don’t rally forever.  With stock selling unleashed again, herd psychology will start shifting back to bearish which will fuel lots more selling.

As a contrarian student of the markets, I watched stocks’ recent mania-blowoff surge in stunned disbelief.  On fundamental, technical, and sentimental fronts, the stock markets were as or more extreme than their last major bull-market toppings in March 2000 and October 2007!  I outlined all this in an essay on these hyper-risky stock markets on 2017’s final trading day.  The ominous writing was on the wall for all willing to see.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 09, 2018

Stock Market Buy or Sell? This Insight May Help You Decide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

It’s a tough decision. We’d like to help by showing you some unconventional market evidence.

By February of this year, investors had almost forgotten what stock market volatility looked like.

And then something unprecedented happened. On Monday, Feb. 5, the DJIA closed 1,175 points down, the biggest single-day drop in the index's history. Since then, stocks have been going haywire.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 09, 2018

Stock Market Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Christopher_Quigley

This week’s “flash crash” has inflicted some technical “damage” on the market but nothing too serious, for the moment. However, some caution is warranted.

To gauge where the markets go from here I believe it important to focus on how the Dow Transport Index behaves, as it is the weaker of the two main Dow Indices. (As was the case in 1998 and 1999, just before the tech crash of 2000). Currently it is trying to consolidate around its 100 Daily Moving Average but I suspect new lows will be tested before too long. Remember technical analysis 101: “when significant moving averages become points of resistance rather than points of support you are in a bearish trend.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 09, 2018

Wells Fargo WFC Remains Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) is the world’s second-largest bank by market capitalization and the third largest bank in the U.S. by assets.

Last week, the Bank was fined $185M by the FED for ‘widespread illegal practices’ because of the recent fake accounts scandal and it was banned from growing until it convinces authorities it’s addressing shortcomings.

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