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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 08, 2018

Stock Market Weak September Start Like 1987, 1991, and 2001? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Earlier this week I said that September would probably be weak. So far this weakness has played out, with the S&P falling every day this past week.

There are only 3 other historical cases in which the S&P started September by falling 4 days in a row.

  1. September 1987
  2. September 1991
  3. September 2001
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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 07, 2018

The Stock Market is Experiencing “Sector Rotation”. Is this Bearish? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market has been experiencing sector rotation recently.

  1. Earlier this year: the NASDAQ outperformed the Dow
  2. Now: the Dow is outperforming the NASDAQ (Dow is catching up).

Conventional technical analysis would have you believe that this is a bearish sign for the stock market. Conventional technical analysis states that “the bull market is dead when the leaders become laggards and previous laggards become leaders”.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 07, 2018

The Most Important Chart To Explain Why Stock Market Bears Lose Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

I have spoken about this many times in the past, but the fact is that very few understand our financial markets. While no one is perfect when it comes to being able to identify turning points in the market, I think we all know that there has been a significant increase in that lack of perfection when it comes to the US stock market over the last three years.

You see, many focus on the wrong factors when making decisions about the stock market. While events such as Brexit, Frexit, Grexit, rise in interest rates, cessation of QE, terrorist attacks, Crimea, Trump, Syrian missile attack, North Korea, record hurricane damage in Houston, Florida, and Puerto Rico, quantitative tightening, trade wars, and many more have scared investors into believing the bull market will come to an end, none of these events have even put a dent in this bull market as it has rallied 50% during this period.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 06, 2018

Mixed Stock Market, Topping Pattern or Just Pause Within a Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks were mixed on Wednesday, as investors continued to take profits off the table following the recent rally. The broad stock market remains relatively close to  its new record high. Is this a topping pattern or just pause before another leg up?

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -1.2% and +0.1% on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following the recent record-breaking rally.  The S&P 500 index has reached the record high of 2,916.50 last week. It currently trades below 2,900 mark. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.1% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 1.2% yesterday.

The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is at 2,875-2,885, marked by last week's Monday's daily gap up of 2,876.16-2,884.69 and yesterday's daily low of around 2,877. The support level is also at 2,860-2,865. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 2,900. The next resistance level is at 2,910-2,915, marked by the mentioned last Wednesday's record high.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 06, 2018

China Contagion Risk is Now Spreading, And US Stock Market is NOT Immune / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

As we noted yesterday, the global financial system is beginning to experience its first taste of “contagion” risk in years.

US stocks remains clueless to this… but it’s doubtful that will continue

China (black line in chart below) has imploded and is in a full-blown bear market. The odds that the US stock market (blue line in charts below) can avoid what’s affecting China are low.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 06, 2018

China Economy Sneezed… Will the World Catch Cold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

The markets are getting downright ugly. If things don’t turn up soon we could be at the point at which the Everything Bubble begins to burst.

While US stocks have performed relatively well recently, globally things are looking worse and worse.

Germany’s DAX never reclaimed its former high established back in January. Instead it’s been carving out a massive Head and Shoulders pattern. Germany is the fourth largest economy in the world and heavily reliant on exports for growth. This chart pattern doesn’t bode well for global trade or growth.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 05, 2018

S&P Made a New Stock Market High in August. Pullback in September? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 made a monthly closing all-time high in August. This is uncommon, because the U.S. stock market is usually more volatile from May – September.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 04, 2018

Stock Market VIX & S&P: This Bearish Study isn’t as Bad as You Think / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

VIX and the S&P trend higher together during the final innings of a bull market.

Here’s VIX and the S&P 500 before the stock market’s top in 2007.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 03, 2018

Dow Secondary Stock Market High Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Austin_Galt

Previous analysis updated – price as traded as outlined, rising to levels where a secondary is likely to form. However, there is a change to the longer term outlook in that I now favour a more substantial correction to take place before the overall bull market resumes.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 03, 2018

The S&P has become overbought for the first time in 7 months. What’s next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. stock market (S&P 500) has become overbought for the first time in a long time. It’s 14 daily RSI has reached 70 for the first time since late-January 2018 while it remains above its 200 daily moving average.

In other words, momentum has returned to the stock market.

When momentum returns to the stock market, its forward returns over the next year are very bullish. Don’t turn bearish just because the stock market is overbought.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 01, 2018

S&P Makes 4 Consecutive All-time Highs in August. Like 1987? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

New-all time highs in August for the U.S. stock market are rare because the stock market’s seasonality in August isn’t particularly bullish. But you know what’s even rarer? 4 consecutive all-time highs in August.

As of yesterday, the S&P made 4 consecutive all-time highs (CLOSE $) in August.

The last time this happened was in August 1987, just before the S&P made a “big correction”.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 31, 2018

Dow How Much Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: readtheticker

Lucifer was loved in heaven the day before he fell.

Reference: SP500 Cycle Review

The angels today are: Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), NetFlix (NFLX) and Google (GOOGL). These stocks are loved by the masses, so much so there is a sellers strike. There is no supply of stock float, as no one is selling hence prices rises month after month.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 30, 2018

Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's now over 1 month since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

Elliott Wave Analysis of TWM (ProShares UltraShort Russell 2000) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WavePatternTraders

The recent gyrations between Jun – Aug 2018 appear to count well enough as a running triangle. For those readers that have some knowledge of Elliott Wave, will note that a triangle is a very common pattern for a 4th wave of an impulse wave. I am counting the current decline from April 2018 as a 5th wave of a larger impulse wave that started from the 2016 highs (2016 lows on the Russell 2000).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's now over 1 month since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

S&P, Russell 2000, and NASDAQ all made new highs together. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500, Russell 2000 (small caps), and NASDAQ all closed at all-time highs together last Friday for the first time since January 2018.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Semi Conductor Stocks Sector Warning or a Buy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

We began tracking this negative divergence in NFTRH last year as the leadership of two premier Semi Equipment companies began to decelerate vs. the broad sector.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 27, 2018

SPX Making New Highs, But Nearing a Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is making even newer all-time highs, so it’s time to get out the calculator to find what new targets there may be. The next Pivot date is Wednesday, which is day 266 in the Master Cycle, 8 days beyond the mean. It is also a Primary Cycle pivot, which is often associated with Cyclical strength leading up to it. The two red Fibonacci calculations appear to be the most likely, given the short time available to make that high. However, we cannot rule out the top calculation at 2948.70, should there be a panic buying period.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 27, 2018

Stock Market Sluggish New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  Limited uptrend
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 27, 2018

Stock Market Setting Up For A Bigger Pullback / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers at Technical Traders Ltd. have identified a potential in the markets that many people may have overlooked or are not prepared for.  The recent strength in the markets has skewed many opinions toward the bullish perspective as the S&P, DOW, Transports and Nasdaq have all pushed towards new all-time highs.

We are writing this research post to alert our followers that we believe the US Indices and major markets may be setting up for a moderately deep price pullback that could be in excess of 5% or more.

Our proprietary price modeling systems and advanced learning models are warning us that the upside trend is likely still in place, yet there is a growing and stronger potential for a price pullback that could result in a 4~7% pullback in the near future. We want to alert all our followers that we believe an immediate price pullback is setting up and to protect your long positions.

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