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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, November 19, 2018

Technical Analysis Points to DOW 30k Next Target / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

An incredible really/breakout pattern is setting up in the US Stock Market and US Indexes currently that many traders/investors may not be paying attention to.  This is such an incredible opportunity for traders, we are alerting you to this setup and what we expect to be the outcome based on our proprietary predictive price modeling and analysis tools.

Almost without fail, the end of each year experiences a “Christmas Rally” that results in a moderate bullish price bias for most of the 4th quarter.  Over the past 17 years, 76.47% of each Q4 period resulted in an average +1049.85 pts in the YM (Dow Futures Contract).  Only 23.59% of the time did the YM decline on an average of about -1039.75 pts.  This data helps us to understand that downside price rotation in the Q4 (Christmas Rally months) is possible, but unlikely by a 4:1 ratio.  It also helps us to understand that our expectations of a massive price rally, much greater than the average +1049 pts, may be a very big play for traders.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 19, 2018

Will We See A 30% Stock Market Correction Due To A Trump Impeachment? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

If you've been following my analysis of the S&P 500 through the years, you know that we have called the stock market rather well. In fact, we called for the rally to 2100 in 2015, and then expected a pullback from 2100 to the 1800 region as we came into 2016. However, unlike most others at the time, we expected that pullback would set us up for a 40%+ rally in the overall index before we saw a 20-30% correction. In fact, we were calling for a “global melt-up” at the time.

And, for those that remember back to November of 2016, when everyone and their mother was certain the market was going to crash if Trump won the election, we staunchly stuck to our guns and noted that we expected the market to rally strongly “no matter who was elected to office.” And that is exactly what we got, despite the common expectation of a market crash if Trump was elected.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 19, 2018

Stock Market Consolidating in a Downtrend  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Bullish but correcting within that long-term bull market trend.

Intermediate trend –  bearish correction which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 17, 2018

Stock Market Outlook: Why the Economy is Bullish for Stocks Going into 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As we expected in last week’s market outlook, the U.S. stock market has pulled back after a hard bounce. The S&P 500 has now retraced more than 61.8% of its gains.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 16, 2018

Active Managers are Bearish on Stocks. A Bullish Contrarian Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market has been very volatile lately, swinging up and down more than 1% on many days. During times of high intraday volatility, it’s best to ignore the short term and focus on the bigger picture.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 16, 2018

The Stock Market Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Peter_Schiff

Currently, some market watchers have begun to openly question whether the bull market in stocks has finally come to an end. They certainly have cause to worry. Valuations are frothy after a record run-up in the last few years. Bond yields across the yield curve are rising sharply, as the Fed Funds Rate breaks into territory not seen since before the market crash of 2008. Much higher costs of capital are already putting pressure on rate-sensitive industries such as housing and autos. The boost to earnings provided by the corporate tax cuts will fade and rising prices resulting from past monetary policy and import tariffs may be expected to slow consumption and take a toll on balance sheets. All this points to possible lackluster performance, with stocks essentially flat so far this year.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Will Oil Price Crash Lead to “Contagion” for the U.S. Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Oil’s crash is historic – this is the most oversold oil has been from 1983 – present. Will oil’s crash lead to “contagion” for the U.S. stock market? Meanwhile, some traders think that the S&P 500 is making an “inverted head and shoulders” bottoming pattern.

*We usually ignore such chart patterns. These patterns work perfectly with 20/20 hindsight, but are no better than a coin toss in real-time.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Stocks Could End 2018 With A Dramatic Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We are pleased to bring this new analysis to everyone’s attention because we strongly believe the bears and the shorts are in for a wild ride throughout the rest of 2018.  Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, have gone over the chart using our advanced predictive and price modeling tools and we are going to show you why we believe the ES could rally +400 points or more before the end of 2018 – leaving the shorts/bears wishing they had read this research.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 15, 2018

What Could Be the Last Nail in This Stock Bull Markets Coffin / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: John_Mauldin

All good things come to an end, even economic growth cycles.

The present one is getting long in the tooth. While it doesn’t have to end now, it will eventually end. And signs suggest we are coming to that point.

There’s no doubt—none, zero, zip—this will happen. The main question is when.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Defensive Stock Sectors Outperforming, Just Like During the Dot-com Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

We’re seeing something very interesting right now. Most of our long term market studies are still bullish, but several are turning bearish. This is typically what happens in the last year of a bull market, when the market slowly starts to roll over into a bear market. (Remember that “slowly rolling over” includes plenty of up and down volatility).

Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

US Stocks: Whither from Here? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger muses on the forces at play on the markets and precious metals, and also mentions uranium. Back in the 1960s, from time to time, many of my elementary school classmates would have great difficulty paying attention to the teacher. It would usually take the form of doodling with a pencil, drawing prepubescent renditions of monsters or hot rods or animals. The polite term for such distraction was the "inability to stay on task." The remedy for failing to show the appropriate focus on the teacher was either a) a scolding, b) ridicule (sometimes the worst if a particularly cute girl was present), or c) a sharp crack on the knuckles with a yardstick, because in the 1960s, classrooms commanded order where corporal punishment was not only accepted, it was promoted.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Watch This Stock Market Indicator to Get Tipped Off to Approaching Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

You're hearing a lot of explanations as to what's going on with the stock market. Here's an explanation you won't find in the mainstream – and it's one of the most useful of all.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

S&P 500 Below 2,800 Again, New Downtrend or Just Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Friday's trading session was bearish, as investors were taking profits off the table following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index got back below the level of 2,800. Is this a downward reversal or just some quick downward correction within a new uptrend?

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.7-1.7% on Friday, as investors took short-term profits off the table following the recent rally. The S&P 500 index got back below the level of 2,800. The index was 11.5% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 on Monday two weeks ago. And now it trades 5.5% below the all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 1.7% on Friday.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Stock Market Counter-trend Rally Reaches .618 Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Bear market 

Intermediate trend –  Bear market rally

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Why the Stock Market Will Pullback, Rally, and Roll Into a Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 has made a 61.8% retracement and is now stalling. This is completely normal. Most 10%+ corrections have a 61.8% retracement and then a pullback or retest of the lows before heading higher.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, November 12, 2018

Stock Markets Around the World are Crashing. What Not to Worry About? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Financial media’s favorite headline is “here’s why you should be worried”. Blind “worrying” and “concern” is good for their business because it drives pageviews and ad $$$.

Certain markets around the world remain in a downtrend right now, namely emerging markets and oil.

Instead of “worrying”, let’s look at the facts.

Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, November 12, 2018

Big US Stocks Q3 Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The widely-held mega-cap stocks that dominate the US markets are just wrapping up another blockbuster earnings season.  Sales and profits soared largely due to Republicans’ massive corporate tax cuts.  Still these lofty stock markets are vulnerable to serious downside, as October’s brutal plunge proved.  Such extreme revenue and earnings growth cannot persist, and valuations remain in dangerous bubble territory.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs contain the best fundamental data available to investors and speculators.  They dispel all the sentimental distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing the underlying hard fundamental realities.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 11, 2018

Why the Stock Market Will Pullback Before Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 has reached its 61.8% retracement and is now facing short term resistance (as expected).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 10, 2018

Stocks Breaking Higher, but Resistance Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Wednesday's trading session was very bullish, as stocks accelerated their short-term uptrend following the U.S. Elections outcome. The S&P 500 index got back above the level of 2,800. The market is at its mid-October local high. So, will it continue higher or reverse downwards here?

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 2.1-2.6% on Wednesday, breaking above the short-term consolidation, as investors' sentiment improved following the U.S. Elections. The S&P 500 index was 11.5% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 on last week's Monday. And now it trades just 4.3% below the all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.1% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 2.6% yesterday.

The nearest important level of resistance of the S&P 500 index is now at around 2,815-2,820, marked by mid-October local high of 2,816.94. The next resistance level is at 2,860-2,865, marked by the previous local lows. On the other hand, the support level is now at 2,780-2,800, marked by the recent resistance level. The support level is also at 2,755-2,775, marked by yesterday's daily gap up of 2,756.82-2,774.13.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 10, 2018

Stock Market Was Supposed to “Crash Like 1987” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

It seems like just yesterday when everybody on CNBC was saying “here’s why the stock market could crash like 1987”.

With that being said, the S&P has made a perfect 61.8% retracement of its current correction. We predicted over the past 2 weeks:

Even if this is the start of a bear market, the S&P will bounce and retrace 50-61.8% of its decline. Bear markets don’t go down in a straight line.

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