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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 20, 2018

Here’s Why "Strong Jobs" Don't Mean "Higher Stocks" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

The stock market leads the economy, not the other way around

It's a wonderful thing when jobs are added to the U.S. economy.

But, as far as investing goes, history shows that you should not bet your stock market portfolio on it. Conversely, even a series of weak jobs reports doesn't mean you should bet against stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 20, 2018

The Stealth Reason Why the Stock Market Keeps On Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Gordon_T_Long

KEY MESSAGE:

  • The US stock market continues to rise because it is increasingly dominated by shrinking "availability & supply",
  • All three stock "Pools" are shrinking in a stealth & unappreciated fashion,
  • There is an increasing potential for a "Minsky Melt-Up" based on an even stronger US dollar (i.e. An Emerging Market Flight to Safety),
  • Expect a coming M&A corporate focus using inflated stock as the takeover currency to answer slowing corporate growth .... further reducing listing and outstanding share pools.
  • Expect market rotation from Growth to Value in the near term versus the final Topping of the equity markets.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Prepare for the Stock Market’s Volatility to Increase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As you probably know, volatility has been notably absent from the U.S. stock market over the past 3-4 months. The S&P 500 has been rising in a slow and steady pace while VIX has been falling.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Proven Gauges of the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Donald_W_Dony

As the current bull market roars into its 9th year, analysts, market pundits and investors, all wonder at one point, how much longer is this run going to go?

Gauges for the duration of the bull market vary considerably.

Analysts who value fundamentals generally review the levels of Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), Debt-to-Equity, free cash flow and the PEG ratio to determine the "true value" of a company.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Predictive Trading Model Suggests Falling Stock Prices During US Elections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Just in time for what appears to be a potentially massive market price rotation, our researchers have put together this post to highlight what we believe will become a surprise price correction in the US Equities markets.  Our team of researchers believes the correlation of our predictive modeling tools, predictive cycle tools, and other indicators are set up for what may become a massive 5~8% price rotation over the next 60 days.

We were expecting this rotation to start unfolding around mid-September (now) but at this time the technical are still bullish so we are not betting against the market just yet.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

The Stock Market’s Breadth: Another Warning Sign for 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

We are getting more and more signs that the stock market will face trouble in 2019. Some of these market studies center around breadth.

The stock market’s breadth has been deteriorating recently. Some of this is due to weakness in foreign (non-U.S.) stocks.

Long term breadth divergence is a normal part of rallies within bull markets. There’s nothing bearish about breadth divergences. HOWEVER, long term breadth divergences that have gone too far while accompanied by massive bull market rallies are a bearish sign for stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

Trade Wars Are Going To Crash This Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

This week, I am going to bring back the list of reasons that have been paraded before you over the last three-plus years as to why the stock market rally is over:

Brexit – NOPE

Frexit – NOPE

Grexit - NOPE

Italian referendum - NOPE

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 17, 2018

Stock Market Bulls Prevail – for Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  Another correction has started which could conceivably continue into mid-October.
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 16, 2018

Stock Market Correction Ahead, But When? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Harry_Dent

The broader stock market via the S&P 500 finally broke to new highs in August, while they drifted insignificantly lower on Wednesday.

And as Adam O’Dell recently commented, that typically means substantially higher highs ahead… like 13% plus.

What does this mean for my great crash forecast?

Well, my favored scenario right now, with the strong tax cuts Trump handed us, is that the great bubble peak comes in late 2019, not now.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 15, 2018

Hindenburg Omen & Consumer Confidence: More Signs of Stock Market Trouble in 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Our Long Term Risk Model suggests that the U.S. economy & bull market are almost at the point at which “things can’t get much better”, but we’re not completely there yet.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, September 14, 2018

Elliott Wave Analysis of Dow Jones Trucking Index (DJUSTK) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WavePatternTraders

This index has been strong recently and is one of the components of the Dow Transportation Average (DJT). I am closely watching the Dow Jones Trucking Index (DJUSTK) for clues to when the DJT will end its advance from the 2016 lows and reverse lower, as it seems that the recent fuel that is driving the Dow Transportation Average (DJT) higher is coming from the rail road and trucking stocks.

Looking at DJUSTK I can make a solid case that it’s close to ending an impulse wave from the 2016 lows and current advance is in a 5th wave, although it may still push a little higher as some of the major stocks in the DJUSTK would look better if new highs were seen, stocks just as SAIA & XOP etc. Once we see new highs or some evidence of a reversal I am expecting the DJT to reverse lower.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 13, 2018

Low Volatility Has Returned to the Stock Market. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As you’ve probably noticed, the U.S. stock market’s volatility has been notably low over the past 2 months. It’s been 55 consecutive days without a >1% daily change!

*This is surprising because volatility is typically higher during August and September (more bearish seasonality).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Stock Market Final Probe Higher ... Then the PANIC! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX closed above Short-term support at 2887.58, but SPX futures are challenging it this morning. Despite the cross-currents, there is room for yet another probe higher that may last until early afternoon (near 1:00 pm). That will be the 60th hour and 8.6 days from the top.

Looking at today’s economic calendar, the most intriguing item at 1:00 pm is the 10-Year T-Note Auction.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

US Economy We’re Close to “As Good as it Gets”, But Not Quite There / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index just surged to its highest level ever.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

China Extends its Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Starting off with the Shanghai Index, which probed beneath the August low this morning. This confirms that Wave (3) may not be complete. Three other indicators of that analysis are, First, Head & Shoulders, when the neckline rests at the bottom of a Wave (1), indicate the minimum target for Wave (3). Next, the Cycles Model does not indicate a Master Cycle low until late October. Finally, a Wave (3) should terminate well beneath the daily Cycle Bottom. There’s still work to do!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Index Put/Call Ratio spiked. What this Means for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The CBOE’s Index Put/Call Ratio spiked yesterday to 1.78

The Index Put/Call Ratio (CPCI) is different from the Equity Put/Call Ratio (CPCE). The Index Put/Call Ratio measures index options as opposed to equity options. For a more detailed explanation, go to Stockcharts.

The stock market made a short-medium term rally the last 2 times the Index Put/Call Ratio spiked to at least 1.77

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's now nearly 2 months since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Transportation Index Leads Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The recent upside breakout seen in the US Transportation Index is a very important signal for traders.  Our research team has been following these moves for many months and we believe the recent upside breakout in the $TRAN is a strong sign of future US Equities price moves and all traders should be paying very close attention.

The Transportation Index typically leads the US Equities markets by about 3 to 6 months.  Transportation is one of the core elements of economic activity.  Items entering the US or distributed throughout the US must rely on transportation to ship/deliver these goods to resellers, wholesalers, and ports.  When the Transportation Index rises, one should expect the economic activity to continue to increase.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 10, 2018

Stock Market Upward Reversal or Just Rebound? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The broad stock market slightly extended its short-term downtrend on Friday, as investors continued taking profits off the table after the recent record-breaking rally. However, the S&P 500 index remains relatively close to its record high. Is this a topping pattern or just a pause before another leg up?

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.3% on Friday, slightly extending their short-term downtrend, as investors reacted to the monthly jobs data release. The S&P 500 index has reached the record high of 2,916.50 on August the 29th. It currently trades 1.5% below that high. Both, Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3% on Friday.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 10, 2018

Will Stock Market Support Hold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  Another correction has started which could conceivably continue into mid-October.
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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