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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

Study: A Rising and Strong U.S. Dollar Isn’t Consistently Bearish for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Investors and traders are susceptible to recency bias, which means that they emphasis recent observations over those that occurred in the past.

The U.S. Dollar has been rising recently, which reminds some investors of the 2014-2015 USD spike that led to a “significant correction” for the U.S. stock market in 2015-2016.

For starters, it’s important to put things into perspective. The U.S. Dollar’s recent “surge” is more like a small rally.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

Upside DOW Stock Market Breakout May Be Just the Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

At this point, all we can say is “Wow – did you see that breakout?”.  If you have been following our analysis, you already know we’ve been predicting this upside price move for over 4 weeks with our specialized price modeling systems, cycle analysis models and other specialized trading tools.  Last weekend, we posted very detailed analysis of the Elliot Wave and Fibonacci price levels that suggest we could see another upside price move that no one is expecting.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, May 21, 2018

Fibonacci And Elliot Wave Predict Stock Market Breakout Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

There is nothing more exciting to us than reading the price action of the charts to see what will happen in the future.  It becomes even more exciting when we find something that everyone else seems to have missed.  Right now, traders need to pay attention to our research because we believe we have correctly identified a breakout pattern that is setting up in the US majors – and everyone seems to have missed it.

Recently, our research team began a quest to properly identify the Elliot Wave structure of the US majors in relation to the recent price congestion after the February 2018 price collapse.  You can read our earlier research post to better understand our conclusions.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, May 21, 2018

Stock Market Ideal Cycle Low Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 is likely to continue until about early June.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, May 21, 2018

Financial Conditions are Still too Easy for the Stocks Bull Market to End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Investors and traders love to fixate on the absolute level of interest rates.

  1. “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 3%”.
  2. “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 3.25%”.
  3. “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 4%”.
  4. “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 4.5%”.

Instead, investors and traders should focus on how interest rates are impacting various aspects of the economy right now. Focus on the RELATIVE relationship.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 20, 2018

US Stock Market Elliott Wave Predictions for 2018 and Beyond / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, an interesting concept was discussed among our research team – a very interesting concept about the markets.  As many of you know, part of the process or research is to test conclusions that may lie outside common thinking.  While we were discussing the Fibonacci and Elliot Wave structures of the US market using longer-term charts, one item kept intriguing our research team.  This one item could change everything in terms of how we are thinking about the US markets and Global markets.

Almost everyone knows that Elliot Wave (EW) theory consists of Five Waves to complete a major EW Cycle.  The most common form of EW price cycles is A, C & E (or 1, 3 & 5) waves advancing and B & D (or 2 & 4) waves declining for an uptrend.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 20, 2018

US Stocks - Why I am Short-term Bearish, Medium-term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

To be clear: the Medium-Long Term Model currently states that:

  1. The S&P 500 (U.S. stock market) is still in a bull market.
  2. This 11.8% “small correction” won’t turn into a “significant correction”. Hence the stock market’s medium term downside is limited.

The Medium-Long Term Model predicts “significant corrections” based on a set of conditions. When none of those conditions are met (i.e. right now), it is highly unlikely for a “small correction” to turn into a “significant correction”. This means that the stock market will eventually make a new high given enough time.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 19, 2018

Semiconductor Stock Market Canaries: Chirp, Warble… Soon a Croak and Silence? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

In light of earnings reactions in the Semiconductor Equipment sector, it’s time for an update of a theme we have had in play since November, 2017

The canary is no longer chirping in a healthy manner and the economy’s coal mine has a toxic gas leak. While the recent Lam Research (LRCX) earnings report was pretty good and there were positive aspects to that of Applied Materials (AMAT), these highly cyclical companies that have been at the front end of the entire economic cycle that had its beginnings in 2013 are showing signs of wear.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, May 18, 2018

Stock Market Indexes Fill Tuesday Price Gap Now Where? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The 30-minute chart price pattern with a large gap down in price on Tuesday morning created what we call a “Gap Window”. Almost all gaps in the SP500 get filled eventually, and both the top and bottom areas of a gap window become short-term resistance or support.

A three-wave a-b-c correction is generally what causes stop orders to be run, panic selling, and creates a pivot low. This is displayed with a red line on the chart.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 17, 2018

What Happens Next When Small Cap (Russell) Leads the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Small cap stocks (Russell 2000 Index) made a new all-time HIGH yesterday even though mid/large cap stocks (S&P 500) are still lagging. The S&P is still 5% below its all-time high.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 17, 2018

VIX Cycles Point to Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, we authored an article about Fibonacci price levels in which we referred to a term called “Fibonacci Price Ladders”.  This is our own term, as far as we know, and we used it as a way to attempt to explain how price operates within the Fibonacci theory.  Our objective was to allow the reader to think of a standard ladder and how each ladder rung allows the climber to advance (move up) or decline (move down) using the ladder.  We hope it helped all of our readers to better understand the concept of how price rotates within a trend to establish longer-term price trends.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

Our Next Stock Market Dow Fibonacci Price Targets – Get Ready! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We can’t believe how so many people did not see this upside price swing setting up over the past few weeks.  The research we conducted over the past few months was showing us a very clear picture that the US markets would advance in a dramatic format after settling a price bottom after the early February price drop.  We would like to remind our readers to reference this link to see how we called this move months (published January 19, 2018) in advance.  To quote our earlier work before the markets made all these moves…

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

Stock Futures Are on a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are sliding as low as 2720.50 this morning, potentially breaking beneath the rally trendline at 2725.00. This gives the SPX an aggressive sell signal that will await confirmation from the VIX and NYSE Hi-Lo Index. Aggressive signals are subject to drawdowns, so take due care with any new positions.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

Stock Market Study: What Happens Next when Dow Goes Up 8 Days in a Row / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has gone up 8 days in a row (using CLOSE $). What’s unusual is that this is happening before the Dow has hit a new all-time high. These “up 8 consecutive days” events usually happen when the stock market is making new highs.

Here are the historical cases in which the Dow closed higher 8 days in a row, and what happened next to the stock market (Dow and S&P 500).

*This is a rather common event, so we’re only looking at the historical cases in this current bull market, which began in March 2009.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

Fibonacci Price Ladder Points to Higher Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We continue to appreciate the positive and supportive comments we are receiving from our followers and members.  We can’t tell you how pleased we are that all of you are enjoying our efforts to provide you with the best market research and analysis we can offer.  Today, we are highlighting some important Fibonacci price levels and how they should continue to drive price action over the next 3~10 days or so. Let’s get started.

This first Daily ES chart shows a pretty big picture of the Fibonacci price legs (the Fibonacci price “ladder” as we will refer to it in this article) and how these legs work in tandem with other types of support and resistance channels/level as price expands or contracts within new trends.  As you probably remember, one of the key factors to understanding Fibonacci price theory is that “price MUST attempt to establish new highs or lows at all times”.  Therefore, as we can see by recent price action, new price highs have been reached.  This is a clear indication that a new bullish trend is in place and we should now be searching to key levels to enter new trades.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, May 14, 2018

SPX futures are higher, but so is VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are marginally higher. It’s hard to say whether the trendline gives way or not this morning.

ZeroHedge reports, “S&P futures are higher, maintaining overnight gains as most Asian markets advance with the MSCI Asia Pacific index 0.5% higher, as sentiment was boosted by President Trump unexpected reversal on China telecom giant ZTE over the weekend when in a Sunday morning tweet, Trump vowed to get the Chinese telco back to business in a surprising policy U-turn after the company announced a halt to major operating activities following a US 7-year supply ban order.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, May 14, 2018

Has The Stock Market Crash Been Put On Hold Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Last weekend, I wrote an article entitled "The Market Is Going To Crash." The response to that article garnered over 55,000 hits on Seeking Alpha, which is about 4-5 times the reads that I normally get on a stock market update.

This gives me anecdotal insight into where the overall sentiment is in the market today. It seems most investors are leaning quite bearish, and are looking for articles that support their own bearish bias.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, May 14, 2018

Stocks Bears Last Stand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should continue until about early June.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Study: Breadth is Leading the Stock Market Higher. A Bullish Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

In today’s daily post we stated that the NYSE’s Advance-Decline cumulative line (breadth indicator) has made a new high even though the S&P 500 hasn’t.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, May 11, 2018

Big US Stocks Fundamentals, New Bear Market Awakening? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The mega-cap stocks that dominate the US markets are just wrapping up a truly-extraordinary earnings season.  Naturally this first quarter under Republicans’ new corporate tax cuts fueled surging profits.  But sales were up big too, which is no mean feat for massive companies.  With sustained growth at this torrid pace impossible, peak-earnings fears are mounting.  And valuations stayed extremely expensive exiting Q1.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs contain the best fundamental data available to investors and speculators.  They dispel all the sentimental distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing the underlying hard fundamental realities.

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