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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Financial Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, August 17, 2018

SPX Losing Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are losing yesterday’s gains as selling in the world markets returns. The index appears to be challenging Short-term support at 2835.51 at this time. This morning the SPX E-mini futures and options expire at the open. It is unusual to see the selling begin before expiration. As a result, this may cause more selling for the regular options that expire later today.

ZeroHedge reports, “A sense of "risk off" has returned to the the market, with 10Y yields sliding, the dollar rebounding from session lows and the Turkish Lira resuming its plunge, renewing concerns about emerging market contagion, leading to a "red return" across global market monitors, following yesterday's torrid surge in the S&P500.”

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 12, 2018

USD is Rising. What this Means for Currencies and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. stock market has had a quiet week. However, the story is very different overseas, with emerging market currencies and stocks cratering.

Here’s MSCI’s emerging markets currency index.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 28, 2018

Trading ANY Market, ANY Timeframe: How to Spot New Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

On July 31, you are invited for a rare, free opportunity to see for yourself how to use simple, everyday price charts to find reliable trade setups -- in any market and any timeframe.

Register now, FREE!

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 26, 2018

Will The Impending US Economic Collapse Usher In Socialism? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Benjamin Franklin was purported to have said “that which hurts, also instructs.” Yet, society, as a whole, has a very short memory. Thus, lessons learned through the pain of generations gone by often are quickly forgotten.

We have very few people left worldwide who actually lived through the Great Depression. While I have been told many stories by my grandparents of what it was like to live through the 1930’s and 1940’s, I clearly do not have first-hand experience. Yet, I would assume that I still have a better understanding of that time period than most of the people reading my words today.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 25, 2018

Inflation or Deflation ? Market Drama and Suspense ! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

The big question I’ve been grappling with recently is the inflation or deflation theme. Last Friday’s price action felt like a counterpunch to the deflation scenario as the US dollar fell pretty hard and interest rate reversed. It was almost exactly a year ago around at this time that we started to take some positions related to the inflationary scenario by buying some of the different commodities stocks like BHP, COPX, KOL, UWT, SCCO, SCHN and STLD. Many had broken out of large trading ranges and H&S bottoms. In January of this year when the US stock markets began our recent correction I went to 100% cash as I wanted to be safe than sorry. That was also about the time the US dollar began to find a possible bottom which had pretty much been in a free fall.

Lets start by looking at some US dollar charts as it will most likely be our guide in the inflation or deflation theme going forward. This first daily chart shows the US dollar initially bottoming in late January and then building out the five point rectangle reversal pattern that reversed the downtrend. After a strong impulse move up the US dollar began to correct that impulse leg by building out a rising wedge formation seven weeks ago. IMHO that seven week rising wedge is probably the most important chart pattern on the planet right now. Whichever way it breaks out will affect a lot of markets.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 22, 2018

China is Now Officially at War With the US and Japan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

It is not a war of guns and soldiers, but a war of finance.

The Trump White House is aggressively going after China on trade. Every other month we are seeing a new round of tariffs announced on hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of Chinese exports.

China is retaliating by devaluing the Yuan against the US Dollar at a pace not seen since early 2016. In real terms, the 10% in tariffs the Trump administration will implement on Chinese goods has ALREADY been negated by China’s 14% Yuan devaluation.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 16, 2018

Markets Pay Attention Moment - China’s Bubble Economy Ripe for Bursting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Plunger

The economies of the world are at an inflection point.  Enough data points have now presented themselves to be able to see the outlines of a major shift in the markets of the world.  We are at a pay attention moment.  There comes a time when a successful investor must make some hard decisions to position himself to be able to take advantage of opportunities down the road.  The markets are telling us now is such a moment.

It’s time to sit up and pay attention to what Mr. Market is trying to tell us.

It appears we are at the top of the cycle,  anecdotal evidence is now pouring in.  But that is just a cyclical story.  The bigger story is that major market forces that have been brewing in the system for 25-40 years are now coming to a head.  They are now dovetailing with the cyclical turn and together they may cause a massive shift in the world’s economic structure which has been erected over these 25-40 years. Few can even imagine these changes let alone prepare themselves for them.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 15, 2018

Stock Market vs. Gold, Long-term Treasury Yields, 10yr-2yr Yield Curve 3 Amigo's Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

You have better things to do than read droning macro analysis or long, drawn out investment theses. It is a weekend in the dead of summer and for that reason we go easy this week; real easy.

The 3 Amigos are here to simply say that things are as they have been, with Amigo #2 (long-term yields) getting home and pulling back on cue, and the other two (SPX/Gold ratio & Yield Curve) still in process and indicating risk ‘on’ and ‘boom on’, respectively.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 29, 2018

Stock Market Window Dressing Day / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures went as high as 2737.00 (~2732.00 cash) this morning before pulling back. There is still a probability of the retracement rally probing the mid-Cycle resistance at 2742.03, which is an approximate 50% retracement of the decline. Thus far this quarter has seen nearly a 3% gain in the SPX and today would be an important window dressing day.

Wave [i] of 1 would be considered a Leading Diagonal, while Waves [iii] and [v] appear to be impulsive. There is a cluster of Cycle Pivots starting today and going through the weekend. The first Cycle Pivot occurs around 1:00 pm today.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 28, 2018

Financial, Stocks, Gold, Dollar and Housing Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts Schedule / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Greetings traders and investors.

I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so due to the impact of rampant theft of my content and collapse in ad revenues due to the widespread use of ad blockers. However, I have some great news in terms of my forthcoming analysis schedule to include detailed looks at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And not forgetting a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 26, 2018

State of the Markets… Gameplan for Transition from Bull to Bear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Plunger

First off, I would like to thank Rambus for allowing me the intellectual freedom to deliver to you the straight story as I see it.  Our views are not always in sync but I will tell you he has not ever tried to spin my views.  I understand I write here as a privilege and am presenting my honest opinion, with no ulterior motives.  We just want to get these markets right and make money…Thanks Rambus. 

This weekend I would like to review the main features characterizing the markets which I have chronicled over the past 6 months.  Often times “less is more” so I will keep my remarks condensed and focus on the overall stock market and the precious metals.

This past week I have emphasized that the stock market is in a state of high risk.  This is because valuations are sky high in all asset classes and I see the elements of a broad top in the market which will likely prove to be the end of this 9 year bull market.  That’s not saying the market falls hard anytime soon, but the process of a top has begun and is ongoing.  Stated differently, we are likely in Phase I of a bear market and once Phase II arrives it may prove to be devastating and adversely impact an entire nation of investors.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 21, 2018

Financial Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts 2018 - A Message from Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Greetings fellow traders and investors.

I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so, but before I explain why, I'll give you the good news which is my forthcoming schedule of analysis that includes a detailed look at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And then a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market which will include specific stock's to profit from in my machine intelligence investing series, more in my following video:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Open House is Now On! A $1,180 Ticket to New Trading Opportunities, Free / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

Elliott Wave International is opening the doors to its entire lineup of trader-focused Pro Services -- but only for a week! It's a ticket that's worth $1,180.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, June 18, 2018

US Majors Flush Out A Major Pivot Low and What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Closing out a big week in the markets, we see the US markets rotating a bit lower after a number of news events.  Some of these were very positive and others were negative.  The take away from last week can be condensed into the following:

The US Dollar strengthened all week and shot up above $120 near the end of the week

_  Crude Oil tanked on Friday – falling nearly 3% to just below $65.00 ppb

_  EURUSD fell nearly 2% on QE concerns in Europe as well as trade issues that are mounting

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 16, 2018

A $1,180 Ticket to NEW Trading Opportunities, FREE! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

Elliott Wave International is opening the doors to its entire lineup of trader-focused Pro Services -- but only for a week! It's a ticket that's worth $1,180.

Starting Monday, June 18, you get a week of free access to every forecast, every chart, every piece of expert analysis for 50+ markets -- stocks, forex, cryptos, gold, oil and more.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Is the ECB Ending QE a Good Thing? Markets Think So / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX finally made its Master Cycle high at 11:30 am at 2791.47, just 10 points shy of its March 13 high. Nevertheless, this counts best as the “top” of Wave [2]. SPX futures put in an overnight high of 2789.00 but have eased down. The decline from the top so far is miniscule, so any (short) positions taken here would be considered to be aggressive.

Should the Orthodox Broadening Top be accurate, the next target would be “point 6” near 2570.00. The Ending Diagonal agrees, since a break of the lower trendline near 2740.00 may send the SPX to its target at 2553.80. This would give the SPX a clear break of its 200-day Moving Average at 2652.40.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

What Happens to Stocks, Forex, Commodities, and Bonds When the Fed Hikes Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Fed is expected to hike interest rates today. As I’ve demonstrated in a previous study, the U.S. stock market has a tendency to fall a little after rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 11, 2018

Is It 2016 Again For U.S. Equities, Emerging Markets And Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Bears seem to be roaming wherever you look, whether it be in the US equity market, the gold market, and especially in the emerging markets as of recently. Whether I read articles, or the comments to those articles, it seems there is a common expectation that “emerging market dominoes are falling” and it will “cause deleveraging and contagion” across portfolios worldwide.

It certainly sounds like a dire situation is developing in the world today. Does it not?

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Politics

Friday, June 08, 2018

America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War / Politics / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raymond_Matison

Domestically, there are two institutions which are capable of starting, executing, and managing a domestic or a global financial war.   The first is the Federal Reserve System, which with its banks has the unfettered power to print money, create credit, and set interest rates.  The second is our own government which through its elected officials sets foreign policy that includes its demonstrated power to influence foreign elections, covertly remove uncooperative foreign leaders from office, and to wage war both physical and financial without any formal declarations.  America’s participation in the Korean War over seventy years ago was defined as a police action rather than a war which would have required Congressional approval, and conflicts since then have mostly eluded the requirement for congressional approval.  However, no financial war has required a formal declaration nor Congressional approval, as they are initiated against any targeted country without visible bloodshed, frequently on a clandestine basis.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 26, 2018

Gold, US Stocks and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

I’ll try to keep things simple with this recap of the 3 of the 5 major food groups (leaving aside commodities and currencies) for investors. No confusing you today with too many inter-market ratios, overly technical language or cute metaphors like the 3 Amigos (although it is notable that Amigo #2 is stopping exactly as we’d forecast, as you’ll see in the Bonds segment below).

So let’s take a technical look at a larger picture of the 3 groups using weekly charts for gold and SPX and a monthly for 30yr bond yields, along with some thoughts. We’ll reserve the shorter-term technical management for subscriber updates and weekly NFTRH reports.

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