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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Financial Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 21, 2018

Financial Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts 2018 - A Message from Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Greetings fellow traders and investors.

I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so, but before I explain why, I'll give you the good news which is my forthcoming schedule of analysis that includes a detailed look at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And then a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market which will include specific stock's to profit from in my machine intelligence investing series, more in my following video:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Open House is Now On! A $1,180 Ticket to New Trading Opportunities, Free / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

Elliott Wave International is opening the doors to its entire lineup of trader-focused Pro Services -- but only for a week! It's a ticket that's worth $1,180.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 18, 2018

US Majors Flush Out A Major Pivot Low and What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Closing out a big week in the markets, we see the US markets rotating a bit lower after a number of news events.  Some of these were very positive and others were negative.  The take away from last week can be condensed into the following:

The US Dollar strengthened all week and shot up above $120 near the end of the week

_  Crude Oil tanked on Friday – falling nearly 3% to just below $65.00 ppb

_  EURUSD fell nearly 2% on QE concerns in Europe as well as trade issues that are mounting

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 16, 2018

A $1,180 Ticket to NEW Trading Opportunities, FREE! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

Elliott Wave International is opening the doors to its entire lineup of trader-focused Pro Services -- but only for a week! It's a ticket that's worth $1,180.

Starting Monday, June 18, you get a week of free access to every forecast, every chart, every piece of expert analysis for 50+ markets -- stocks, forex, cryptos, gold, oil and more.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Is the ECB Ending QE a Good Thing? Markets Think So / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX finally made its Master Cycle high at 11:30 am at 2791.47, just 10 points shy of its March 13 high. Nevertheless, this counts best as the “top” of Wave [2]. SPX futures put in an overnight high of 2789.00 but have eased down. The decline from the top so far is miniscule, so any (short) positions taken here would be considered to be aggressive.

Should the Orthodox Broadening Top be accurate, the next target would be “point 6” near 2570.00. The Ending Diagonal agrees, since a break of the lower trendline near 2740.00 may send the SPX to its target at 2553.80. This would give the SPX a clear break of its 200-day Moving Average at 2652.40.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

What Happens to Stocks, Forex, Commodities, and Bonds When the Fed Hikes Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Fed is expected to hike interest rates today. As I’ve demonstrated in a previous study, the U.S. stock market has a tendency to fall a little after rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 11, 2018

Is It 2016 Again For U.S. Equities, Emerging Markets And Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Bears seem to be roaming wherever you look, whether it be in the US equity market, the gold market, and especially in the emerging markets as of recently. Whether I read articles, or the comments to those articles, it seems there is a common expectation that “emerging market dominoes are falling” and it will “cause deleveraging and contagion” across portfolios worldwide.

It certainly sounds like a dire situation is developing in the world today. Does it not?

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Politics

Friday, June 08, 2018

America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War / Politics / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raymond_Matison

Domestically, there are two institutions which are capable of starting, executing, and managing a domestic or a global financial war.   The first is the Federal Reserve System, which with its banks has the unfettered power to print money, create credit, and set interest rates.  The second is our own government which through its elected officials sets foreign policy that includes its demonstrated power to influence foreign elections, covertly remove uncooperative foreign leaders from office, and to wage war both physical and financial without any formal declarations.  America’s participation in the Korean War over seventy years ago was defined as a police action rather than a war which would have required Congressional approval, and conflicts since then have mostly eluded the requirement for congressional approval.  However, no financial war has required a formal declaration nor Congressional approval, as they are initiated against any targeted country without visible bloodshed, frequently on a clandestine basis.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 26, 2018

Gold, US Stocks and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

I’ll try to keep things simple with this recap of the 3 of the 5 major food groups (leaving aside commodities and currencies) for investors. No confusing you today with too many inter-market ratios, overly technical language or cute metaphors like the 3 Amigos (although it is notable that Amigo #2 is stopping exactly as we’d forecast, as you’ll see in the Bonds segment below).

So let’s take a technical look at a larger picture of the 3 groups using weekly charts for gold and SPX and a monthly for 30yr bond yields, along with some thoughts. We’ll reserve the shorter-term technical management for subscriber updates and weekly NFTRH reports.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 25, 2018

Stock Market Topping - Everything Looks Rosy at the End of a Trend! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Enda_Glynn

Hello everyone, hope your well.

A couple of interesting stories dropped today.

And the big picture to keep in mind when viewing these stories is this;

At the end of an economic trend, GOOD NEWS IS EVERYWHERE, AND THE FUTURE ALWAYS LOOKS BRIGHT!

Heres the first one: Trump signs the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 17, 2018

DOW Jones and CRUDE Oil on a Cliff Edge, Waiting for a Nudge! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Enda_Glynn

UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:

USD: Building Permits, Capacity Utilization Rate.
EUR: N/A.
GBP: N/A.
JPY: N/A.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Stocks and Bonds Still Only 1 of 3 Macro Amigos to Destination / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

It’s the happy-go-lucky 3 Amigos (in play since we began this goofy metaphor last fall), which would signal macro changes to come. When you are talking about the macro however, things move slowly and to date, only one of our riders has made it to his destination.

To review, they are Amigos 1-3, Chevy, Steve and Martin.

  1. Stocks vs. Gold
  2. 10yr & 30yr Yields
  3. The 10yr-2yr Yield Curve
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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 26, 2018

US Dollar Soaring With Gold Eagles, What Does it Mean? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

  • Natural gas making a quick, unexpected setup and move.
  • Equities finally show fear and panic today for a pivot low to be in place.
  • The dollar continues to climb while all other currencies fall.
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Chaos Capitalists Short Countries - How Chanos Got China Wrong / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Dan_Steinbock

Since the 1980s, a new generation of chaos capitalists have been undermining the progress of emerging economies. Under the pretext of “efficient markets,” they seek to exploit real or perceived weaknesses.

Recently, hedge funder Jim Chanos appeared on CNNMoney’s Markets Now program that was promoted heavily on the CNN: “Chanos got China right.”

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Allegory Regarding Investment Decisions Made On Basis Of Government’s Income Statement, Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raymond_Matison

Webster’s dictionary defines allegory as a story in which people, things or happenings have a symbolic or hidden meaning that can be used effectively in teaching or explaining difficult ideas.  Accordingly, an allegoric story is used here to explain the important difference between a government income statement and balance sheet, and its application for investment decisions in financial markets.

Simplistically, the government’s income statement records all its activity over a specific period of time during which it brings in revenues, disburses some benefits and pays some expenses.   Individual and corporate income taxes provide the lion’s share of those revenues.  When the cost of government and its expenditures are deducted from its revenues the balance is either a surplus or savings, or as has been our experience over the last few decades – there is a budget deficit.  Such deficits have to be financed, and it results in persistent issue and growth of our national debt.  In our allegory the budget deficits will be represented by a not large hole in the hull of a ship, whereas the governmental debt is represented by the accumulated flow of water in the hull of a ship.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

Investor Alert: How to See Through the Fog of War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: MoneyMetals

The U.S. fired 105 Tomahawk missiles into Syria on Friday night.

In other times, the salvo would have put Americans on edge over the prospect of war with nuclear-armed Russia. Our former Cold War adversary is actively defending the Syrian regime and warning the U.S. to mind its own affairs.

But, these days not much can command the attention of the complacent public.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 15, 2018

Trading Markets Amid Sound of Wars / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Builderadv

Given the sound of wars both in actual terms and in economic terms, what do we see for the next few weeks into stock markets and forex markets ? We must delink our trading from event risk and be focussed on actual data and trading trends. Never trade what should happen but trade what is happening. The political situation is fluid with rumors of Trump unhappiness with Mueller investigations. Then there is the war machine which has kicked a gear with attack on Syria. This is not the end. We need to wait if this is going to go deeper if Russia responds. Then there is a underlying current of trade wars which is yet to be settled. A far lesser event is the earning season which is now upon but markets are still trading at 24x P/E so its fully priced in for a great earning season. In fact if market corrects another 10%, it is still fully valued.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 13, 2018

Crude Oil Surges Over 8%, Gold and Silver Marginally Higher, Stocks Gain In Volatile Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: GoldCore

– Gold & silver eke out small gains; palladium surges 8% and platinum 2%
– Oil (WTI) surges over 8% to over $66.90/bbl; supply disruption risk

 U.S. dollar and Treasuries fall; geopolitical, trade war and fiscal concerns
– Stocks rally and shrug off trade war, macro and geo-political risks
– Bitcoin, major cryptos (Ethereum, Ripple etc) rise sharply

– Russia-US tensions high: Trump warns attack ‘could be very soon or not so soon at all’

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Hot War and Cold Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raul_I_Meijer

This is turning into a comedy. A black comedy, for sure, but still. As both the Skripal novichok ‘poisoning’ case in Britain and the ‘chemical attack’ in Douma, Syria fall flat on their faces on a total and absolute lack of evidence, it’s becoming clear that western ‘authorities’ are not at all planning to let go of the privilege that in times gone by allowed them to claim whatever they wanted and demand to be believed.

And despite the insane amounts of spying that underlies their business models and will lead to their demise(s), here is where social media do play a decisive role. See, if you’re an ‘authority’, there’s nothing you would rather do than to close down those social media that let people spread news that contradicts and/or doubts what you just said, and undermines that privilege. But that also would mean you can’t spy on them anymore through social media. A toss-up?!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 07, 2018

As the Gold, Stocks, and Bond Markets Macro Turns… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

We began months ago, noting the 3 Amigos destined for their goals. Here’s a post from November 2017 explaining the macro fundamentals involved:

Updating the 3 Amigos of the Macro

  1. Amigo #1 (SPX vs. Gold): Either reach major theoretical resistance (it’s a ratio, after all) or abort mission by establishing a downtrend.
  2. Amigo #2 (10yr yield to 2.9% and 30yr yield to 3.3%): Destinations reached!
  3. Amigo #3 (also known as the slower, dumber Amigo, the 10yr-2yr Yield Curve): Still on his journey, flattening. The trouble would be indicated by steepening.
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