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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Financial Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 21, 2018

Stocks, Gold and Interest Rates Three Amigos Ride On / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

As symbolized by the 3 Amigos, the macro backdrop is riding on to its destiny. That forward destiny is a top in stocks vs. gold (Amigo 1), a rise in long-term interest rates to potential if not probable limits (Amigo 2) and an end to the yield curve’s flattening trend (Amigo 3).

When our zany friends complete the journey, big changes are likely in the macro markets.

Let’s take a checkup on each Amigo and consider some implications as well.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 18, 2018

The Interest Rates Are What Matter In This Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: WMA

The “Trump rally” in U.S. stocks has gone ballistic. Even the most bullish of the bulls did not expect this. A couple weeks ago, bank strategists were forecasting a 2018 year-end target on the S&P 500 at 2850. After the first two weeks of the New Year the index is already closing in on this timid 2018 target price.

Many are saying that the equity rally is due to the tax cuts. We disagree. The tax cuts added fuel to the fire, but if markets are still efficient, the tax cut news should have been priced in last year. Deregulation may continue benefiting the financial sector in particular, but again the broad equity market should not continue to rally on known news. The only reason equity markets have jumped again in the past weeks is momentumnothing has changed in 2018 (other than perhaps sentiment as people become believers in the unending equity rally). What does matter is the rates environment (plural) – (1) interest rates and (2) the inflation rate. We’ll be looking in this Commentary at where these rates may be headed and levels at which a change in these rates may matter for risk assets.

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Economics

Thursday, January 18, 2018

5 Economic Predictions for 2018 / Economics / Financial Markets 2018

By: John_Mauldin

Only two weeks in and 2018 is already breaking records—mostly in a good way.

But that leaves 50 potentially less enjoyable weeks to go. So rather than focus on promising current events, I think I’d better dip into my annual forecast bag and share a few highlights from my friends with you. (you can find the previous part of the 2018 forecast here)

These are the people I follow, read, and trust for their financial expertise.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Bitcoin and Stock Prices, Both Symptoms of Speculative Extremes! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Enda_Glynn

Hi everyone.

I had another look at bitcoin today!
The low of the day is hit 11121 so far,
So the price has collapsed 43% since the 17th of December.
Thats a hell of a decline for the so called 'asset' that was on its way to the moon!

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 11, 2018

7 Market Forecasts 2018 from the Brightest Financial Minds I Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: John_Mauldin

In my fairly upbeat 2018 forecast, I predicted that the US economy and markets will probably hold up well, thanks to tax cuts and deregulation. That’s, of course, assuming the Federal Reserve gets no more hawkish than it already has.

Continuing my series of forecasts, here I’ll look at predictions from some of my most trusted friends and colleagues (subscribe to Thoughts from the Frontline to receive all my forecasts). Some disagree with my own views—and that’s perfectly fine. I want you to see all sides so you can make good decisions for your own family and portfolio.

I’ll let these forecasters speak for themselves in longer quotes than I usually allow, then add my own comments.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 05, 2018

The 10 Key Charts For Global Multi-Asset Investors In 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Submissions

Callum Thomas writes: As interesting and sometimes even amusing as it is to look back in time and reflect, as investors we get paid for looking forward and anticipating what may come. In this respect there’s a few existing trends and themes that will remain front of mind for me this year and will be key to keep on your radar in understanding the risks and opportunities in 2018.

Following is a selection of the key charts and indicators, the themes span inflation, monetary policy, commodities, China, emerging markets, corporate bonds, global equities, volatility, and bond yields. In other words, all the issues and topics that most active asset allocators should be thinking about. I'll be covering these topics in more detail in the coming weeks.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 05, 2018

Financial Markets Outlook 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: WMA

Williams Market Analytics write:  

Contents

I. Review 2017

II. Macroeconomic Outlook

III. Bonds & Yield

IV. Currency Markets

V. Commodities

VI. Equity Markets

VII. Final Thoughts for 2018

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

Changes Coming to the Financial Markets in 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Rodney_Johnson

It’s the first week of January, which makes it time for football playoffs and New Year predictions.

Since I’m not likely to grace the gridiron anytime soon, I land in the forecast camp. But playing Nostradamus is fraught with its own danger, and reminds me of an old quote by Darrell Royal, the longtime University of Texas football coach, that explained why he favored running the ball. He believed that when you threw the football, three things could happen, and two of them were bad.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

Stocks, Oil and Gold Market Price Forecasts 2018 (Video) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

2017 surprised most by proving to be one of the greatest years of the past decade for stock investors, traders and gamblers as bull markets appeared everywhere. Commodity traders too enjoyed strong bull market gains in the likes of oil and gold, for instance the oil price ended at its highs for the year at $60 whilst Gold had a bumpier ride to end the year at $1310, up a healthy $160 or 14%.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 02, 2018

SPX is higher. USD is Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Happy New Year!

SPX futures are higher this morning, but have not breached Friday’s high at 2692.12. The top view is that it is back-testing the trendline at 2690.00 from a possible Leading Diagonal. Should it exceed it, there is a possibility of a new high. There is an alternate Wave structure that would accommodate it.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 02, 2018

Stocks, Oil and US Dollar Forecasts Summary 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Ken_Ticehurst

We continue to be bullish on virtually all global stocks as we have been for well over a year, our longer term forecasts show the potential for another consolidation during 2018 but for now our daily forecasts show a continued increase in the value of most global stock markets.

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