Category: Inflation
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
UK Inflation Rockets to CPI 2.9%, Sparking Panic at the Bank of England / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK CPI Inflation bust through the 2% target, bust through the quickly revised academic economists consensus targets of 2.6% of just last night, onwards and upwards to 2.9%, registering a record rise of 1% and within touching distance of 3% a break of which would trigger the Bank of England Governor Mervyn King to write a letter to the Chancellor to explain why he is not competent at keeping inflation within the 1% to 3% target band, RPI's rise was even more spectacular by rising from just 0.3% to 2.4% in just one month. My earlier article explained the reasons behind today's anticipated surge (UK CPI Inflation Soars Above 2% Targeting a Break Above 3%) so I won't repeat here, instead leave the mainstream press to focus on this AFTER the event.
Monday, January 18, 2010
UK CPI Inflation Soars Above 2% Targeting a Break Above 3% / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK CPI inflation is expected to bust through 2% tomorrow (Tuesday 19th) towards a target of 2.6% which was set over 3 weeks ago in the in-depth analysis and UK inflation forecast for 2010, that forecast a rise in UK inflation to above 3% early 2010, spiking as high as 3.6% and staying above 3% for most of the year only dipping to 2.7% by the end of the year as illustrated by the below graph.
Monday, January 18, 2010
In the United States Majority Rules, the Inflation Consensus / Economics / Inflation
By: Viresh_Amin
Most people are oblivious for a correct justification for the perpetual rise in all that can be priced i.e., oil prices rising to ungodly digits. For Americans, oblivious would be an understatement, though some are waking up to meet reality face to face, but not enough. Over the longer term horizon the general consensus among the public is that the price of everything will continuously rise, and so my wage will rise with it. It’s practically hard wired into the uninformed American mind and time and time again they fall into a myth.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
Monetary Base Expansion to Ignite Inflation Not Deflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Gary_North
There are two fundamental principles that govern all economic systems: (1) supply and demand; (2) high bid wins. What distinguishes one economic system from another is this: (1) who is allowed to supply, and who is allowed to demand; (2) the currency unit in which the high bid wins.
Friday, January 15, 2010
Howard Ruff Preparing for Rough Times By Hedging Against Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: The_Gold_Report
Howard Ruff, who has observed the markets, the economy and government through three serious recessions and witnessed the rise and fall of the dot-com and real estate bubbles, entered the world of precious metals when Robert Preston's How to Prepare for the Coming Crash caught his eye in the early '70s. Shortly thereafter, he founded The Ruff Times (a financial newsletter that has served some 600,000 subscribers over the years) and came out with his first book (a blockbuster that sold 2.6 million copies and made his name a household word).
Friday, January 15, 2010
Inflation 101 / Economics / Inflation
By: Puru_Saxena
We want all our readers to understand that inflation is a disaster for society and it only benefits the elite. In fact, we will go even further by stating that inflation is a hidden tax, an insidious crime against the public. It is the easiest way for any government to confiscate the savings of the public and for generations, wealth has been transferred in this manner.
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
What the Deflationists Are Missing / Economics / Inflation
By: David_Galland
An interesting article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard came my way the other day. It’s worth a read, if for no other reason than that he paints an appropriately dark picture of the current state of the U.S. economy. You can read it here.
While I very much share Mr. Evans-Pritchard’s view that the global economy is far from out of the woods, our views diverge in that he sees devastating deflation speeding our way down the tunnel. Casey Research readers of any duration know that we see devastating inflation.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
UK CPI Inflation Forecast 2010 / News_Letter / Inflation
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle NewsletterDecember 27th, 2009 Issue #95 Vol. 3
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Friday, January 08, 2010
Inflation Pressures Heating Up, Again! / Commodities / Inflation
By: Guy_Lerner
The composite indicator that measures the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury will end the week in the extreme zone, and this should be a headwind for equities. Inflation pressures, whether real or perceived, are heating up. See figure 1 a weekly chart of the S&P500 with the indicator in the lower panel.
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Monday, January 04, 2010
How Deflation Is Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Shelby_H_Moore
Let's squash the debate between deflationalists and hyper-inflationalists. Here follows the math that shows how we get the equivalent effect of price inflation (and skyrocketing gold price) when there is deflation on a debt money standard.
Monday, December 28, 2009
Astonishing Inflation Data from the BLS / Economics / Inflation
By: Larry_Edelson
With the new year rapidly approaching, not much is happening in the markets. So I’d like to take this time to show you some stats that simply amaze me.
Even more astonishing, the figures I’m about to review with you are most likely conservative, and err on the low side of the spectrum.
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Sunday, December 27, 2009
UK CPI Inflation Forecast 2010, Imminent and Sustained Spike Above 3% / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK inflation forecast for 2010 is first of a three part series of in depth analysis as part of the inflation mega-trend, with UK interest rates and GDP growth forecast to follow in the coming week. The whole scenario and implications of will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the latest analysis in your email box and check my most recent analysis on the unfolding inflation mega-trend at http://www.walayatstreet.com.
Sunday, December 27, 2009
Yield Curve Predicts Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Andrew_Abraham
There is a record wide spread on the yield curve currently. A record breaking 287 points. For those of you who do not know what the yield curve is…it is the difference between the 2 year and 10 year notes. Usually when there is a difference like this it usually means rapid economic growth as well as Inflation. This time because governments all over the world have run the printing presses and inflation is more of a potential outcome.
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Friday, December 25, 2009
UK Producer Prices Inflation Analysis / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the next in a series of analysis as part of my unfolding inflationary mega-trend scenario towards the formulation of an inflation forecast for 2010 and beyond. I aim to complete the whole scenario including interest rates, economy and implications of before the end of December which will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the latest analysis in your email box and check my most recent analysis on the probable inflation mega-trend at http://www.walayatstreet.com
Thursday, December 24, 2009
UK Inflation Analysis, M4 Money Supply Adjusted for the Velocity of Money / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the next in a series of analysis as part of my unfolding inflationary mega-trend scenario towards the formulation of an inflation forecast for 2010 and beyond. I aim to complete the whole scenario including interest rates, economy and implications of before the end of December which will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the latest analysis in your email box and check my most recent analysis on the probable inflation mega-trend at http://www.walayatstreet.com
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
A Case for the Inflation Camp / Economics / Inflation
By: Robert_Murphy
One of the more awkward situations facing Austrian economists today is that we are divided on whether to expect price deflation or inflation. Although it's good that we publicly disagree with each other — rather than bury our disagreements to reassure the lay public that we know what we're talking about — it's nonetheless unsettling that our prognoses for the US dollar are so divergent.
Thursday, December 17, 2009
The Inflation Mega-trend and the Illusion of Price Deflation / News_Letter / Inflation
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle Newsletter December 16th, 2009 Issue #93 Vol. 3 Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
The Inflation Mega-trend and the Illusion of Price Deflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This analysis seeks to get to the heart of the matter to answer the question - Have we experienced Deflation and IF we have are we still in Deflation Now ?
This is the next in a series of articles as part of my unfolding inflationary mega-trend scenario that is an important stepping stone towards the formulation of a inflation forecast for 2010 and beyond. I am to complete the whole scenario and implications of before the end of December which will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the latest analysis in your email box and check my most recent analysis on the probable inflation mega-trend at http://www.walayatstreet.com
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Tuesday, December 15, 2009
UK CPI Inflation Soars as RPI Deflation Comes to an Abrupt End / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Inflation mega-trend scenario that I have been writing on during the past month is starting to manifest itself as UK Inflation data for November illustrates showing the Governments preferred CPI inflation surging higher to 1.9% up from 1.5% and RPI reversing October Deflation of -0.8% to now stand at Inflation of +0.3%.
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Further Misery for UK Savers as Inflation Erodes Value of Savings Pot / Economics / Inflation
By: MoneyFacts
Savings rates are still annoyingly low, with the average no notice rate currently at 0.81%, not far above bank base rate.
The recent published inflation figures shows that the real return after basic tax and inflation on an average no notice savings account is at a worrying minus 1.25 per cent, the lowest since May this year.
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