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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

The Most Popular Financial Markets and Economic Analysis of 2009

Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009 Jan 01, 2010 - 03:08 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe most popular most read financial markets analysis articles of 2009 that provided valuable insight for our readership during the year and hopefully will continue to do so throughout 2010.


More to follow :

  • Results of the Readership Vote of 2009 and Master Forecaster Awards
  • Twenty Featured Forecasts for 2010

The Most Popular Financial Markets and Economic Analysis of 2009

1. Gld ETF Warning, Tungsten Filled Fake Gold Bars

By: Rob_Kirby
Nov 12, 2009 - 12:22 PM

“Gold Finger - A New Take On Operation Grand Slam With A Tungsten Twist”

I’ve already reported on irregular physical gold settlements which occurred in London, England back in the first week of October, 2009.  Specifically, these settlements involved the intermediation of at least one Central Bank [The Bank of England] to resolve allocated settlements on behalf of J.P. Morgan and Deutsche Bank – who DID NOT have the gold bullion that they had sold short and were contracted to deliver.  At the same time I reported on two other unusual occurrences:

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2. Depression 2009 The Largest Train Wreck in Economic History

By: Darryl_R_Schoon
Jan 06, 2009 - 10:52 AM

Change is a constant whether perceived or not; but only when we see it do we believe it has occurred. Then, it is too late.

The phrase, speculative bubble, is used to describe the financial tumescence that characterizes the often manic unfounded rise of asset values. The phrase, however, is inadequate for it fails to convey the destructive aftermath that follows; for such purposes, train wreck, is a better description. In 2009, the largest train wreck in economic history is about to occur.

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3. UK Interest Rate Forecast 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat
Oct 08, 2008 - 02:06 AM

The credit crisis has intensified during the last few weeks to a new manic stage as entire countries are put at risk of bankruptcy due to their banking system rescue attempts exploding liabilities, as the demand goes out for 100% guarantees of depositors and country after country buckles under the pressure so as to prevent a collapse of their individual banking systems. However ever increasing and desperate government bailout cash in the form of escalating amounts of daily interbank liquidity, capital injections, and mortgage bond buy back schemes in addition to issuing depositor guarantees increases the liabilities of ALL countries the immediate consequences of which are being played out in ever increasing volatility in the currency markets and stock exchanges as record breaking points swings take place on alternative days. In such a panic stricken climate there are increasingly deafening calls are for immediate interest rate cuts across the western world including for an Imminent UK Interest Rate Cut.

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4. The Real Reason for the Global Financial Crisis…the Story No One’s Talking About

By: Shah Gilani
Oct 08, 2008 - 02:06 AM

Are you shell-shocked? Are you wondering what's really going on in the market? The truth is probably more frightening than even your worst fears. And yet, you won't hear about it anywhere else because “they” can't tell you. “They” are the U.S. Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury Department, and they can't tell you what's really going on because there's nothing they can do about it, except what they've been trying to do – add liquidity.

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5. Gold Price Forecast 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat
Jan 22, 2009 - 12:54 PM

My existing forecast for the Gold price trend during 2009 as of October 2008 has been for a volatile sideways trading range of between $930 and $700, subsequent price action has so far been in line with this. Therefore this analysis seeks to update the Gold Price expectations for 2009 in the light of "Quantative Easing" aka "Money Printing" as many gold investors are taking their cue from the recovery in gold stocks for much brighter prospects for gold to target a breakout to new highs during 2009.

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6. UK Housing Market Crash and Depression Forecast 2007 to 2012

By: Nadeem_Walayat
Jan 04, 2009 - 11:19 PM

Recent house price data as released by the Halifax showed that UK house prices have plunged by more than 20% from the peak of August 2007, which has fulfilled much of the original forecast made in August 2007 for a minimum fall of 15% for the UK housing market and 25% for London, therefore this analysis seeks to project the forecast trend for UK house prices for the next 3 years into 2012.

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7. UK CPI Inflation, RPI Deflation Forecast 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dec 30, 2008 - 03:44 AM

UK inflation for November as measured by the CPI continued its sharp decline, falling by 0.4% to 4.1% from the peak of 5.2% for Septembers data. The Bank of England would have been aware of the sharp fall in Octobers inflation at the earlier November MPC meeting that saw an near unprecedented panic interest rate cut of 1.5%, followed by a further 1% cut in December that has taken UK interest rates sharply lower from a peak of 5% in early October to stand at just 2% today. The interest rate cuts have been accompanied by BOE statements that UK economy is expected to contract by 2% GDP during 2009, that puts the UK on target to experience a worse recession than that of the early 1990's. However as my earlier analysis suggested that the UK could experience a decline of as much as 3% for 2009 which would make this recession just as bad if not worse than that of the early 1980's which wiped out much of Britain's manufacturing base.

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8. CAUTION: Stock Market Crash /Collapse Dead Ahead Say Faber, Rogers, Dent and Celente

By: Mac_Slavo
Oct 02, 2009 - 09:33 AM

After a massive upswing in US stocks over the last six months, the recent rally may finally be coming to an end. It seems that the trend of rising stocks on bad or better than expected news may be in a reversal, as evidenced by market participants’ caution over the last couple of weeks. For those that follow contrarian investors like Marc Faber, Jim Rogers, Gerald Celente and Harry Dent, this should come as no surprise.

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9. Emerging Giants Russia, China, Brazil and India Looming Collapse 2009

By: Martin Weiss
Jan 12, 2009 - 01:54 PM

After a massive upswing in US stocks over the last six months, the recent rally may finally be coming to an end. It seems that the trend of rising stocks on bad or better than expected news may be in a reversal, as evidenced by market participants’ caution over the last couple of weeks. For those that follow contrarian investors like Marc Faber, Jim Rogers, Gerald Celente and Harry Dent, this should come as no surprise.

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10. Ten Major Threats Facing the U.S. Dollar in 2009

Eric_deCarbonnel
Jan 02, 2009 - 06:41 AM

After a massive upswing in US stocks over the last six months, the recent rally may finally be coming to an end. It seems that the trend of rising stocks on bad or better than expected news may be in a reversal, as evidenced by market participants’ caution over the last couple of weeks. For those that follow contrarian investors like Marc Faber, Jim Rogers, Gerald Celente and Harry Dent, this should come as no surprise.

Read Article

11. Nouriel Roubini 2009 U.S. GDP Forecasting 40% Home Mortgage Failures?

Andrew_Butter
Jan 08, 2009 - 12:52 PM

After a massive upswing in US stocks over the last six months, the recent rally may finally be coming to an end. It seems that the trend of rising stocks on bad or better than expected news may be in a reversal, as evidenced by market participants’ caution over the last couple of weeks. For those that follow contrarian investors like Marc Faber, Jim Rogers, Gerald Celente and Harry Dent, this should come as no surprise.

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12. Great Depression 2009 Follows $30 Trillion Deflation

Kurt_Kasun
Dec 22, 2008 - 03:33 PM

Not Your Grandfather's Depression - It will be much worse, in many respects.

The chart below, borrowed from Dr. Marc Faber's Market Commentary December 1, 2008, is devastating. The chart shows a stunning loss of $30 trillion stock market wealth around the world. By some estimates, combined losses in commodities, stocks, bonds, real estate are greater than $60 trillion. This is beyond rescue.

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13. Baby Boomers- Your Generation's Crisis Has Arrived

James_Quinn
Dec 22, 2008 - 03:33 PM

"There is a mysterious cycle in human events. To some generations, much is given. Of other generations, much is expected. This Generation has a rendezvous with destiny." Franklin Roosevelt – 1936

President Roosevelt was correct. The generation he was speaking to was already dealing with the worst financial crisis in the history of the United States, the Great Depression. By 1945, over 400,000 of this generation had lost their lives. Another 600,000 men were wounded. Much was expected and much was sacrificed. Every generation has a rendezvous with destiny.

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14. Stock Market Crash 2009: Fine Tuning DJIA Target To 5,800

Eric_Chevrette
Feb 02, 2009 - 03:25 AM

Before we turn our attention towards the need to do some fine tuning about the DJIA target around the end of the current bear leg with global stocks, it might be appropriate to look back and see where we do come from, especially with regard to market volatility ( VIX ).

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15. Current Economic Crisis Worse than the Great Depression

Dr_Krassimir_Petrov
Nov 02, 2008 - 08:08 PM

The mainstream media and Wall Street have reached the consensus that the current credit crisis is the worst since the post-war period. George Soros' statement that ”the world faces the worst finance crisis since WWII” epitomizes the collective wisdom. The crisis is currently the ultimate scapegoat for all the economic evils that currently plague the global financial system and the global economy – from collapsing stock markets of the world to food shortages in third world counties. We are repeatedly assured that the ultimate fault lies with the Credit Crisis itself; if there were no Credit Crisis, all of these terrible things would never have happened in the economy and the financial markets.

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You can still vote on the most accurate analysis of 2009 until end of 2nd of Jan 2010, details here.

By Nadeem Walayat
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-09 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 500 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

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