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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 12, 2012

Whe Are U.S. Treasury Bond Yields Going? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the US Treasury curve sits near all-time highs the question on every investors mind is what happens next. Can Treasury yields move lower? In real terms when adjusted for inflation yields are negative. In other words you are losing money on an inflation adjusted basis to lend your money to the US Government.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 05, 2012

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Forecast for Coming Week / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Manas_Banerji

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome sections of the market were looking for further stimulus by ECB or an assurance from Draghi. I think that type of assurance would act as a boost for market. But here Draghi has different approach, as he thinks that liquidity is abundant in the Euro zone. This time Draghi emphasized more on Growth, as I said in my past reviews that I am not sure how growth will come with lots of austerity measures and cuts!  ECB hold its interest rate, which was already discounted.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 03, 2012

U.S. Treasury Bonds are on the Move / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

In the aftermath of the very disappointing ADP Jobs Report, the S&P 500 and its ETF, the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY), returned to revisit Tuesday morning's pre-spike low, which so far has contained the selling pressure. Meanwhile, the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), which tends to move opposite the equity indices (as equity prices decline, bond prices benefit from a flight to safety response), is climbing and appears poised to take off into a new up-leg, depending on investor reaction to Friday's jobs data.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 02, 2012

Are Junk Bonds About to Become a Victim of Their Own Popularity? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: In our current low-interest-rate environment, many investors are widening their search for more income by buying junk.

Junk bonds, that is. More formally known as high-yield bonds - junk bonds have been on a tear lately.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

What if Rip van Winkle was a Bond Vigilante? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mario_Innecco

The U.S. fiscal situation never ceases to amaze us here at forsoundmoney. With that in mind we have looked at some very interesting data and comparisons.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

Where to Put Your Money When the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Bubble Bursts / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: With interest rates at near-record low levels it appears that the only way for rates to go is up.

As the U.S. economy moderately strengthens, that means the bond bubble will begin to leak. Even darker, the bubble might just burst altogether.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Whither U.S. Treasury Bond Yields After Operation Twist? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Fed’s monetary policy accommodation in the form of two rounds of quantitative easing (QE) and the current Operation Twist (OT) that is underway have provided support for economic activity and helped to stabilize the financial system. Operation Twist will be completed as of June 2012. QE1 and QE2 led to higher Treasury note yields followed by a reduction in yields as the two programs were completed (see Chart 1). Operation Twist has succeeded in establishing a firm floor for rates, but on the expiration of the program as of June 2012, the future is uncertain.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, March 25, 2012

U.S. Treasury Bond 10-Year Yield Is Heading Up Above 6% / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe last time the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury dipped below 2% was in 1941; just before (not just after), the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor.

Perhaps then the recent 1.8% low was not just because of Euro-refugees, perhaps we are on the cusp of another Black Swan tail-risk potentially as devastating as World War II? Or perhaps there is another explanation?

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Peak Imbalances Are Falling, New Bear Market in Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe topic at hand is the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, its falling price, and consequent rising yield. The ten year was trading at a 2.03% yield on March 9 and rose to 2.38% on March 19, 2012. These things happen and the ten-year may fall back to a price and yield that satisfies central bankers and Wall Street. Nevertheless, the era of artificially low government bond yields is coming to a close.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 19, 2012

Is There a Bubble in U.S. Treasury Bonds? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article... Explaining the 2011 Treasury Rally (It's Not What You Think); Where to From Here?

People have been calling a bubble in treasuries for at least a decade. The shocking result, especially to hyperinflationists, has been a stair-step decline in yields for 30 years. That's quite a long time.

Here is a chart going back 20 years from Steen Jakobsen at Saxo bank in Denmark.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, March 18, 2012

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Sell Off / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSlightly off topic Macro View this week as I really want to study the movement in treasury. The 10 year treasury yield is currently 2.30% which from an historical standpoint is very low. But a 33 basis point rise in one week is significant (100 basis points equal 1%). If the sell off in treasury accelerates things can get out of hand in very short order.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, March 18, 2012

The Fed Gets Creative, Buying Long-term Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Alasdair_Macleod

According to a story in Wednesday’s Wall Street Journal, the US Federal Reserve is considering buying long-term Treasury and mortgage bonds in return for deposits held at the Fed. There has been no comment from the Fed and the story might have been no more than a trial balloon, in which case Bernanke and Co may be considering skewing the yield curve so that long-term bonds are less attractive than the time-preferences set by the market.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 16, 2012

Lesson from Tracking the U.S. 10-Treasury Note Yield / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Asha_Bangalore

The 10-year U.S Treasury note yield is trading at 2.28% as of this writing, little changed from 2.29% yesterday. But, this is a 25 bps uptick in two trading days, given the March 12 closing quote of 2.04%. The reasons listed for the sharp sell-off are – the less dovish policy statement of the Fed, February retail sales numbers, the success of the stress test of the largest 19 banks of the nation, the resolution of the Greek debt crisis, the improvement of employment conditions seen in the February employment report, the optimism from equity price rally, and so forth. The main takeaway is that as the list of positive economic signals grows, long rates move up in a hurry.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 13, 2012

Bullish Set-up for Treasury Bonds TLT ETF / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My near- and intermediate-term work indicate that the iShares Barclays 20 Year Treasury ETF (TLT) established a significant corrective low at 114.62 on Feb 9 and that since then the price structure is doing the work to create a powerfully bullish technical set-up that should propel it towards 120 in a hurry.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 08, 2012

Bell Rings for U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pento

They always tell you no one rings a bell when a market top or bottom is reached. But a bell is now ringing for the end of the thirty-year bull market in U.S. debt. And ironically, the bell ringer is our very own U.S. Treasury!

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 20, 2012

Marc Faber: Still Predicting U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Will Burst / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom and Doom report, spoke to Bloomberg Television's Sara Eisen and Erik Schatzker and said that investors have created a "bubble" in the "highest-quality" government bonds and should move to equities.

Faber said, "People feel so insecure that they say, 'I'd rather be in a Treasury in America with almost no yield or in Germany with negative yield and get my money back.' But it doesn't make them a good buy in the long term."

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 16, 2012

Marc Faber - U.S. Treasury Bonds Should be Rated at Junk / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Videos

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarc Faber - US bonds should be rated junk status on CNBC during the Euro-zone credit ratings downgrades announcements.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 07, 2012

Foreign Central Banks Dumping U.S. Treasury Bonds, Treasure From Treasuries / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DeepCaster_LLC

 

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Holdings of U.S. Treasurys (sic) by foreign central banks has fallen by a record amount over the past four weeks according to the latest Federal Reserve data.

“The net $69 billion drop in Treasury holdings registered at the Fed by foreign official institutions comes as benchmark yields ended 2011 near record low levels…

“The decline in foreign holdings of Treasurys (sic) in recent weeks has not resulted in higher yields and lower prices because other investors have sought the safety of US debt.”

“Foreign Central Banks Cut Treasury Holdings by Record”

The Financial Times, www.cnbc.com, 12/30/11

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, December 31, 2011

2011: The Year 60 Minutes Misled Americans About Municipal Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Janet_Tavakoli

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn previous posts, I've mentioned serious fiscal problems that need to be addressed at state and local levels. This varies by region and some issues are potentially solvable.

I live in Illinois, which is ground zero for fraud, corruption, underfunded pension funds and general fiscal mismanagement. It's an example of one of the worst fiscal messes in the United States. This year Illinois hiked personal income taxes from 3% to 5%, and increased corporate taxes. We'll be slammed with hidden tax increases in utilities, purchases, and more. When now Mayor Rahm Emanuel left his post as White House Chief of Staff to run his election, the Chicago mayoral race centered partly around steps, including budget cuts, needed to solve Chicago's serious fiscal issues: See "Third Word America: Drowning in Debt and Chocking on Lies," Huffington Post, June 24, 2011, and 'Fast-Tracking to Anarchy;" August 25, 2010.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, December 03, 2011

It’s Time To Dump U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst let’s make sure we understand the basics of bonds.

Bonds are a form of debt. When a company or a government needs to borrow money it can borrow from banks and pay interest on the loan, or it can borrow from investors by issuing bonds and paying interest on the bonds.

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