Category: US Bonds
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, August 04, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Expected to Surprise to the Upside / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market traded sideways in July. This is remarkable in light of the events that have transpired last month in the financial markets. The risk trade remained in vogue for another month as stocks, commodities and peripheral currencies powered ahead. Chinese equities have almost doubled from their lows and they have led the charge in emerging market equities. Market participants however fully realize that efforts to re-flate prices only have a chance in a steady to declining interest rate environment.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Foreign Investment Flows into U.S. Treasuries and Money Printing Consequences / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Michael_Pollaro
Obama and Company say... All We Need Is A Little Help From Our Foreign Friends
Oh I get by with a little help from my friends
Mm going to try with a little help from my friends
Oh I get high with a little help from my friends
Yes I get by with a little help from my friends
With a little help from my friends
Refrain to The Beatles “With a Little Help from My Friends”
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The bond, TLT, TBT charts and technicals are urging me to get short the long end of the yield curve...looking for longer term rates to climb in the days ahead. My near-term work in the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year T-Bond ETF (NYSE: TBT) argues that the upmove off of the July lows at 48.01/05 exhibits very bullish form, in the aftermath of the completion of a major correction from the 6/10 high at 59.97 into the July lows.
Monday, July 20, 2009
US Treasury Bonds Still Heading Lower / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Frederic_Simons
In our last update for the US Treasury Bonds (click here to view), we could observe a downward reversal in Treasury bonds. This downtrend has gained momentum during the last days, especially in the 30 year US Treasuries. The following chart was send to subscribers on July 15th:
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bonds Bear is Back / InvestorEducation / US Bonds
By: Frederic_Simons
In our last update for the US Treasury Bonds (click here to view), one could observe a strong uptrend in prices.
This picture has changed during the last two days as prices have come down significantly, and important price levels have been penetrated to the downside. The line of least resistance has turned to the downside for now.
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Friday, July 10, 2009
US Treasury Bonds Retracement, But Still Bullish / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Frederic_Simons
Desperate bond bears got their retracement in the 30 year treasury bond yesterday, as it gave back some of the huge gains of the last days. However, this does not change the bullish picture that can be observed when looking at the short and intermediate term charts.
Friday, July 10, 2009
How to Earn 18% Interest From the Government / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes:
Here in Florida, counties are desperate for money...
Where I live on the Florida Coast, the main source of county government revenue is property taxes. The problem is, more people than ever are not paying their property taxes.
Tuesday, July 07, 2009
California Bankrupt, If You Live in California, Here's What You Do... / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Would you lend money to someone who is completely broke and in a mountain of debt... and only demand 3.75% interest?
That's what California is forcing many people to do today.
Monday, July 06, 2009
Monster U.S. Treasury Bond Supply, a Game Changing Event? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Michael_Pollaro
For the US Treasury bond market it’s time for some reflection. What we have in front of us could be “game-changing.” This, from a June 7 Bloomberg essay entitled, Treasury’s Summer Rally Not This Year Due to Supply:
Sunday, July 05, 2009
Treasury Bonds, Not the Time to Become a Bear (yet) / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Frederic_Simons
Despite all hyper-inflation scenarios that can be read about in almost every financial newspaper and market commentary nowadays, the 30 year Treasury Bond (ZB September 09) has been in a steady uptrend for quite a while now, advancing from a low of 111'215 on 6/11/09 to a high of 119'095 this past week.
Thursday, July 02, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Update / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Frederic_Simons
The 30year T-Bond (ZB September 09) is in an uptrend since it traded above the green resistance line for 2 consecutive bars. However, ZB could be in the process of turning down again after having made an a-b-c correction off its recent lows. A confirmation for this assumption would be visible if and when ZB U9 trades below the red line of the 180 minute chart - preferably for two consecutive bars. The red sell-line is currently at 116'21.
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
New Recovery High for Treasury Bond TBT ETF / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Let’s notice that the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TBT) has recovered all of yesterday’s weakness and in fact has climbed to a marginal new recovery high this morning on the way to my next optimal target zone of 52.50/80.
Monday, June 29, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bonds Strong Performance Despite Record Issuance / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market put in a strong performance in spite of another record volume of Treasury Note auctions last week. As discussed in this here column last week, Treasury supply has been an ongoing theme in the market for a while. It has been front page news for months now and it is pretty much fully discounted for that reason.
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Sunday, June 28, 2009
What PIMCO's Bill Gross Doesn’t Want You to Know (Part 2) / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Stathis
I hope you now understand how mutual funds work. They play the same shell games as the credit card industry. No matter which share class you buy, you are going to pay huge fees. And most investors who haven’t read this piece will never realize that.
Saturday, June 27, 2009
What PIMCO's Bill Gross Doesn’t Want You to Know (Part 1) / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Stathis
I’ve sat by now for about ten years now, waiting for someone from the financial industry to point out what I am about to reveal. I meant to write about this but I kept forgetting.
I have to conclude that no one has written or spoken in the media about what I’m about to reveal because many simply are unaware of what I deem to be obvious. Others don’t want to go against their colleagues in the financial industry. But what these guys seem to forget is that their first loyalty should lie with the investment public.
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Saturday, June 27, 2009
A Case For U.S. Treasury Bonds! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Sy_Harding
There’s an old saying that goes like this; “The market will do whatever it must to fool the majority of investors”. It’s another way of describing investor sentiment, which is known as a ‘contrary indicator’ (because the majority of investors are extremely bullish at important market tops, and extremely bearish at important bottoms).
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond TLT ETF Continues to Climb / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) continue to act well, suggesting equity traders might be getting increasingly afraid of something... and need to buy some safety. Although existing home sales are showing some sign of life now, Mr. (Bond) Market does not seem to care. The TLTs continue to climb off of last Friday’s pullback low at 90.11 and appear headed for a confrontation with the Dec ’08-present resistance line, now at 94.20. A close above 94.20 will be a very bullish technical event near-term and will project the TLT to 96.60 next.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Bearish Trader Sentiment Bullish for Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market started the week with a decent tone but it pulled back on Thursday as the Treasury announced the details of next week’s bond auctions. In spite of the pull-back, the Long bond managed to eke out a small gain for the second week in a row. Real rates in the long end remain on an increasing trend as CPI declined from -.7 to -1.3% year over year through May causing the real long bond yield to close in on 6%.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 20, 2009
Quantitative Easing Impact on U.S. Dollar and Treasury Bonds / InvestorEducation / US Bonds
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Neither the Fed, the Bank of England or the Bank of Canada can or plan to exit their quantitative easing policies any time soon.
Friday, June 19, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bonds Bear Market Final Head-Fake / InvestorEducation / US Bonds
By: John_Handbury
My past articles have offered excellent advice, for example, buying Eurodollars (July 2008) and shorting gold (April 2008). The last two years have been profitable.
This trade is my most confident yet....
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