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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Are US Treasuries About to Rally… or Crash? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHistorically, because the US was the #1 superpower (and the largest economy in the world), Treasuries have generally held to be one of the very few “risk free” investments on the planet. Consequently, Treasuries are where money runs to hide when the rest of the financial world is in trouble.

You can see this in the below chart: as soon as the Financial Crisis began in earnest with the credit market lockup in July 2007, 30-Yr Treasuries broke above 112: a point of historical resistance. This told us two things:

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Yield Observations / InvestorEducation / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe only asset moving up over the last week has been longer term Treasury yields. This is odd especially in the face of equity market weakness and especially since demand for Treasury bonds has outstripped supply over the past year. So why are yields moving up now? Maybe yields are rising in anticipation of buyer fatigue as this week's record bond issuance comes to market.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

U.S. Interest Rates Set to Rocket with Falling Dollar? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

See our comparison chart between Cash Dollar Index (DXY) and the Proshares Ultrashort 20+ Year T-bond, ETF (NYSE: TBT), in which I am trying to show that right now the vulnerable juxtaposition of the dollar is creating nervousness among bond traders and investors. Once the bond vigilantes get their meat hooks into the bond market, the Fed will have one heck of a challenge on its hands.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPs) Breakout / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI last mentioned Treasury Inflation Protected Securities or TIPs in an article written on September 10 entitled, "If You Don't Like 'em, Then Don't Trade 'em". In that article, I discussed the fact that there were other places to look for that "fat pitch" besides U.S. equities. If you didn't like the risk in equities, then play in another sandbox.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 01, 2009

U.S. Treasuries TLT on the Move / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

As we discussed with subscribers last evening, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) looked like they were in a high-level consolidation ahead of a thrust to the upside, which is exactly what has transpired so far here today, likely in reaction to disappointing data on initial Jobless Claims ahead of tomorrow’s monthly Employment Report.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Are U.S. Treasuries A Bubble Ready To Pop? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe standard theory is that the price/cost of risk-free long-term debt is a function of (a) the cost of short-term debt plus (b) some function of the market's anticipation of the likely course of inflation or deflation over the term of the debt.

Governments (the Fed) can control short-term rate but they are at the mercy of markets to fix long-term rates. And of course markets are "efficient", unless of course there is a "bubble", when...Err...they are not.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

What the Fed Doesn’t Want You To Know About U.S. Debt / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed’s FOMC announcement came out…

We got exactly what I expected, a kind of wishy-washy, “hedging our bets” statement from the Fed. You have to remember that Bernanke was Greenspan’s right hand man for much of the bubble days of the ‘90s and early ‘00s, so the guy is an expert at walking both sides of the line when it comes to policy and public statements.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 21, 2009

Bond Funds Price Change vs Volatility / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStock volatility versus price change gets a lot of financial media attention, but bonds don’t get so much.

Bonds are an important part of portfolios that deserve investigative attention too.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 18, 2009

Jim Cramer Calling For A Top In US Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Jim Cramer is at it again. This time he is calling for a top in US Treasury Bonds. Mama mia, I am heading for the hills. Cramer is calling for higher interest rates, therefore it must be so.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Treasury Bond Market Bullish Sentiment, Circumstances Are Different / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you have been paying attention the last couple of weeks, I have been warming up to bonds. However, earlier in the year, I thought that Treasury yields would head higher (i.e., bonds lower), and that this would result in a secular trend change. In other words, we would be embarking on a long period of increasing yield pressures. This did not come to pass although yields on the 10 year Treasury bond did reach 4.0%. Despite this failed signal, Treasury yields still have the technical characteristics of an asset poised to undergo a secular trend change, and by secular, I mean lasting years. But not now.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Are Foreign Purchases of U.S. Treasury Bonds Being Faked? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Washingtons_Blog

Everyone knows that the American government is gaming the market for treasury bonds to some extent.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 14, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Trade Higher on Weak Economy / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded mostly positive all week and followed the recent pattern of one ugly Friday alternating with one neutral Friday.  This last one actually managed to eke out a small gain.  The financial markets are shaping up to be a diverging tale of three themes.  On the one hand we have the stock markets around the world relentlessly grinding to new highs, while on the other hand the bond market refuses to buckle as it continues to retain a strong safe haven bid.  In the mean time, gold is also breaking out to the upside with some conviction.  The yellow metal managed to achieve its highest weekly closing level ever at $1007 per ounce. 

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 12, 2009

What Will Happen When Foreign Investors Dump U.S. Treasury Bonds? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery time I talk about the risk of our foreign creditors selling off their U.S. Treasuries, I hear the same objection: These guys have no place else to put the money! They’ll ALWAYS buy our debt because our bond market is the most liquid, freest place to stash their money.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 11, 2009

UK Government Bond, Gilt Market’s Uncertainty / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Macro Trader’s view:

‘The Gilt is a government bond market that is dogged by an unprecedented build of peacetime debt, supported by the Central Bank.’ Discuss.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 08, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Move Higher in Spite of Stronger Economic Data / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded mostly positive all week only to give up most of its weekly advance for second time in the past three Fridays.  Ironically, the worst fundamental news was released on Friday in the form of the monthly Employment report (see details in the economic data section below). 

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 06, 2009

China is Now a Net SELLER of U.S. Treasury Notes and Bonds! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe told you this was coming. Heck: A blind man could have seen it a mile away.

For many months now, we’ve predicted that Washington’s wild spending and borrowing spree would make the global investors who buy our longer-term Treasuries — notes and bonds — as nervous as long-tailed cats in a room full of rocking chairs.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Rising U.S. Treasuries Foretell Lower Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile gold prices attempt to break out to the upside, the bond market continues to climb as well. Let's take a look at the pattern developing in the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT).

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 31, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Lower, Despite Supportive Fundementals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market moved up last week as yields dropped across the curve.  In spite of stronger than expected economic data, another auction cycle and a rock solid stock market, bonds spent most of the week in positive territory and managed to hold on to their gains better than the previous week.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Long Term U.S. Treasury Yields, Someone Is Going To Be Wrong / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor over 8 months now, I have been chronicling the plight of the 10 year Treasury bond. Based upon the "next big thing" indicator it was my expectation that yields on the 10 year Treasury bond would rise once there was a monthly close above a yield of 3.342%. This occurred at the end of May, 2009.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 24, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Kept Positive by Friendly Inflation Data / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market ended flat after spending most of the time trying to move up last week.  Friendly inflation data and a confirmation of solid international demand kept the market in positive territory for most of the week.

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