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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: GeoPolitics

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

U.S. and Iranian Realities / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Anonymous

U.S. President Barack Obama called Iranian President Hassan Rouhani last week in the first such conversation in the 34 years since the establishment of the Islamic Republic. The phone call followed tweets and public statements on both sides indicating a willingness to talk. Though far from an accommodation between the two countries, there are reasons to take this opening seriously -- not only because it is occurring at such a high level, but also because there is now a geopolitical logic to these moves. Many things could go wrong, and given that this is the Middle East, the odds of failure are high. But Iran is weak and the United States is avoiding conflict, and there are worse bases for a deal.

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Politics

Sunday, September 29, 2013

Did Putin Quietly Play the Debt Card Over Syria? / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Ron_Holland

"They are living beyond their means and shifting a part of the weight of their problems to the world economy. They are living like parasites off the global economy and their monopoly of the dollar. If [in America] there is a systemic malfunction, this will affect everyone. Countries like Russia and China hold a significant part of their reserves in American securities. There should be other reserve currencies." – Vladimir Putin in 2011

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Politics

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Syria Chess Or Checkers – Putin And Obama On Collision Course / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Andrew_McKillop

OBAMA HOUNDED BY HIS OWN PRESS
Since September 10, things have gone downhill fast for Barack Obama. Called everything from doing a Laurel and Hardy show with slapstick partner John Kerry, to repeating Jimmy Carter's lame duck presidency, Obama has been pasted by the US press. Another cruel gibe at Obama was that he and France's President Hollande are playing checkers – while Putin plays chess - to win.

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Politics

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Syria, America and Putin's Bluff / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

In recent weeks I've written about U.S. President Barack Obama's bluff on Syria and the tightrope he is now walking on military intervention. There is another bluff going on that has to be understood, this one from Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Putin is bluffing that Russia has emerged as a major world power. In reality, Russia is merely a regional power, but mainly because its periphery is in shambles. He has tried to project a strength that that he doesn't have, and he has done it well. For him, Syria poses a problem because the United States is about to call his bluff, and he is not holding strong cards. To understand his game we need to start with the recent G-20 meeting in St. Petersburg, Russia.

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Politics

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Moody’s Downgrades Hong Kong Over Snowden / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Patrick_Henningsen

Yesterday the world made some sense, but then you wake up today and realise how far-reaching the international white collar mafia truly is…

International financial ratings agency Moody’s is not known for being a political enforcement arm of Washington DC… until now that is.

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Politics

Tuesday, June 04, 2013

The Paradox of Imperialism / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: MISES

Hans-Hermann Hoppe writes: The State

Conventionally, the state is defined as an agency with two unique characteristics. First, it is a compulsory territorial monopolist of ultimate decision-making (jurisdiction). That is, it is the ultimate arbiter in every case of conflict, including conflicts involving itself. Second, the state is a territorial monopolist of taxation. That is, it is an agency that unilaterally fixes the price citizens must pay for its provision of law and order.

Predictably, if one can only appeal to the state for justice, justice will be perverted in favor of the state. Instead of resolving conflict, a monopolist of ultimate decision-making will provoke conflict in order to settle it to his own advantage. Worse, while the quality of justice will fall under monopolistic auspices, its price will rise. Motivated like everyone else by self-interest but equipped with the power to tax, the state agents' goal is always the same: to maximize income and minimize productive effort.

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Politics

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Global Balance of Power Anarchy and Hegemony / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

Robert D. Kaplan writes: Everyone loves equality: equality of races, of ethnic groups, of sexual orientations, and so on. The problem is, however, that in geopolitics equality usually does not work very well. For centuries Europe had a rough equality between major states that is often referred to as the balance-of-power system. And that led to frequent wars. East Asia, by contrast, from the 14th to the early 19th centuries, had its relations ordered by a tribute system in which China was roughly dominant. The result, according to political scientist David C. Kang of the University of Southern California, was a generally more peaceful climate in Asia than in Europe.

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Politics

Thursday, February 28, 2013

Be Careful: Russia is Back to Stay in the Middle East / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: OilPrice_Com

Russia is back. President Vladimir Putin wants the world to acknowledge that Russia remains a global power. He is making his stand in Syria.

The Soviet Union acquired the Tardus Naval Port in Syria in 1971 without any real purpose for it. With their ships welcomed in Algeria, Cuba or Vietnam, Tardus was too insignificant to be developed. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia lacked the funds to spend on the base and no reason to invest in it.

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Politics

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

China Tests Japanese and U.S. Patience / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has warned Beijing that Tokyo is losing patience with China's assertive maritime behavior in the East and South China seas, suggesting China consider the economic and military consequences of its actions. His warning followed similar statements from Washington that its patience with China is wearing thin, in this case over continued Chinese cyberespionage and the likelihood that Beijing is developing and testing cybersabotage and cyberwarfare capabilities. Together, the warnings are meant to signal to China that the thus-far relatively passive response to China's military actions may be nearing an end.

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Politics

Tuesday, February 19, 2013

How Turkey Could Shift the Global Balance of Power / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Money_Morning

Jeff Uscher writes: Is Turkey about to join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)?

After years of delay on its application to join the European Union (EU) as a full member, Turkey has made overtures to the SCO as an alternative to the EU.

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Politics

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

America Stepping Back as Global Policeman, Avoiding the Wars That Never End / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

Last week, U.S. President Barack Obama announced that the United States would transfer the primary responsibility for combat operations in Afghanistan to the Afghan military in the coming months, a major step toward the withdrawal of U.S. forces. Also last week, France began an intervention in Mali designed to block jihadists from taking control of the country and creating a base of operations in France's former African colonies.

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Politics

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

The Geopolitics of Shale Oil and Gas / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

Robert D. Kaplan writes: According to the elite newspapers and journals of opinion, the future of foreign affairs mainly rests on ideas: the moral impetus for humanitarian intervention, the various theories governing exchange rates and debt rebalancing necessary to fix Europe, the rise of cosmopolitanism alongside the stubborn vibrancy of nationalism in East Asia and so on. In other words, the world of the future can be engineered and defined based on doctoral theses. And to a certain extent this may be true. As the 20th century showed us, ideologies -- whether communism, fascism or humanism -- matter and matter greatly.

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Politics

Sunday, December 09, 2012

How U.S. Economic Warfare Provoked Japan's Attack on Pearl Harbor / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: MISES

Robert Higgs writes: Many people are misled by formalities. They assume, for example, that the United States went to war against Germany and Japan only after its declarations of war against these nations in December 1941. In truth, the United States had been at war for a long time before making these declarations. Its war making took a variety of forms. For example, the U.S. navy conducted "shoot [Germans] on sight" convoys - convoys that might include British ships — in the North Atlantic along the greater part the shipping route from the United States to Great Britain, even though German U-boats had orders to refrain (and did refrain) from initiating attacks on U.S. shipping. The United States and Great Britain entered into arrangements to pool intelligence, combine weapons development, test military equipment jointly, and undertake other forms of war-related cooperation.

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Politics

Friday, November 09, 2012

Will President Obama Be Able to Stand Up To China? / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: While U.S. Presidential headlines dominate the airwaves this week, there is another "election" under way thousands of miles from our own shores that may be even more important when it comes to your money.

The 18th National Party Congress is now underway in Beijing. Attendees are girding for a week of symbolic posturing and speeches, the culmination of which will be a new set of Chinese leaders and a new Chinese President for the next 10 years.

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Politics

Thursday, November 08, 2012

Can Iran Save the World? / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThomas H. Naylor writes: As Secretary-General of the fifty year old Non-Aligned Movement, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may be in a unique position to inject new life into the moribund 120-member organization by positioning it to confront the American Empire and its principal apologists – Israel, England, Canada, Japan, South Korea, and NATO.

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Politics

Friday, October 12, 2012

Nobel Peace Prize for Europe for Not Starting World War III / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSorry, but history didn't end sometime between your birth and your breakfast today...

BACK in 2009 when Barack Obama received the Nobel Peace Prize just nine months after becoming US president, he said he felt "surprised" and "deeply humbled".

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Politics

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

U.S. Emerging Doctrine of Controlled Engagement / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the past weekend, rumors began to emerge that the Syrian opposition would allow elements of the al Assad regime to remain in Syria and participate in the new government. Rumors have become Syria's prime export, and as such they should not be taken too seriously. Nevertheless, what is happening in Syria is significant for a new foreign doctrine emerging in the United States -- a doctrine in which the United States does not take primary responsibility for events, but which allows regional crises to play out until a new regional balance is reached. Whether a good or bad policy -- and that is partly what the U.S. presidential race is about -- it is real, and it flows from lessons learned.

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Politics

Friday, October 05, 2012

China to Use Rare Earth Metals as Pawns in Conflict Over Islands With Japan / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Submissions

Heiko Ihle: As China and Japan continue to ratchet up tensions over a group of disputed islands in the East China Sea, many investors may be wondering how the dispute could affect the marketplace. One potential area for fallout is the market for rare earth elements (REEs): the futuristic sounding group of 17 minerals with unpronounceable names that play a critical role in everything from hybrid cars to flat screen TVs. As discussed in our October edition of the Euro Pacific Capital Global Investor Newsletter, these minerals have shown particular sensitivity to the diplomatic relationship between the two Asian giants. If the current situation deteriorates (as it has this week when several major Chinese banks pulled out of International Monetary Fund events in Tokyo), the REE market may come under intense pressure.

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Politics

Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Contest for East Asian Supremacy, Understanding the China-Japan Island Conflict / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSept. 29 will mark 40 years of normalized diplomatic relations between China and Japan, two countries that spent much of the 20th century in mutual enmity if not at outright war. The anniversary comes at a low point in Sino-Japanese relations amid a dispute over an island chain in the East China Sea known as the Senkaku Islands in Japan and Diaoyu Islands in China.

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Politics

Monday, September 24, 2012

Fury at the American Raj / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEric Margolis writes: The killing of the US ambassador to Libya and angry demonstrations across the Muslim world over a tacky anti-Islamic hate video have produced the usual flood of wrong-headed commentary from our so-called foreign affairs experts and assorted media propagandists.

Across the land comes the cry, "why do they hate us?" That any Americans can in this day and age can still be surprised their nation is hated by many people from Morocco to Indonesia to Nigeria is by far the biggest surprise. We have learned little from 9/11.

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