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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: International Bond Market

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Global Bond Market Rout - Draghi Says 'Get Used to Higher Volatility' / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bond Rout in Pictures

German 10-year bonds hit a yield low of .048% on April 16. Since then it's been a pretty steep uphill climb in yield (down in price).

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 01, 2015

Bikers, Bonds, and Black Swans / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: DeviantInvestor

A “black swan” event occurred at a gathering of outlaw bikers on Sunday, May 17 in Waco, Texas.  According to news stories a fight broke out between several motorcycle gangs at the Twin Peaks restaurant.  At least nine bikers are dead, another 17 were injured, and perhaps as many as 170 were detained or jailed.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 18, 2015

Global Bond Bubble Will Explode Violently / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Michael_Pento

Central banks are incapable of saving economies or creating growth. The only thing a central bank can do is create inflation. These market manipulators set forth on a journey seven years ago to save the world by engaging in massive monetary manipulation, euphemistically called Quantitative Easing (QE), and a Zero interest rate policy known as (ZIRP).

As I could have told them before they started, all this easy money will fail to create viable growth. The economy, held back by massive debt levels, initially clocked in at 0.2% for the first quarter. This number is set to be revised down to negative territory due to a huge increase in the trade deficit during March. And the second half isn’t setting up to be much better either.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 07, 2015

Global Bond Markets in Perspective / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Gary_Tanashian

The world is getting hyped up about bond yields lately with bonds of all stripes declining, as if we are in the midst of a debt Armageddon (we are and have been in the midst of a decades-long and still intact 'debt for growth' Ponzi operation). Here is some perspective...

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 02, 2015

Everyone Piles Into Junk Bonds - The End Is Near? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: John_Rubino

Six years into a recovery, stocks at record levels, high-end real estate in the stratosphere and debt levels soaring in virtually every public and private sector. Time to scale back and protect those gains, right? Wrong, apparently, for a depressingly obvious reason: Huge sections of the investing public can’t afford to move into cash or even into conservative paper like short-term Treasuries.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, April 25, 2015

Negative Interest Rates Financial Black Hole / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: GoldSilverWorlds

It feels like not a single soul is worried about the increasing amount of negative interest rates. Ignorance or indifference? This could become a very expensive ordeal.

A black swan event is a metaphor for an enormous problem that develops underneath the surface and then suddenly puts the whole financial system at risk. The financial crisis of 2008 was a black swan event, for example, that slowly developed in the US real estate market where excess had ruled in the years before.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

Government Bonds - The Most Crowded Trades on Wall Street / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: EconMatters

The most crowded trade on Wall Street, the globe, or a beach in Brazil is the Bond Yield Chasing/Price Appreciation trade. This sector or asset class is an absolute bubble, the magnitude of which has never been seen in a mainstream asset class, and one that is deemed conservative and safe by investors which makes the tail risk for these assets off the charts. We literally are looking at an 8 sigma event down the road in this asset class.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 21, 2014

30 Year Bond Bull Market - I Had My Cake, Until I Ate It / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: John_Mauldin

After 30 years of declining interest rates, bond investors are beginning to worry that rates will go higher—especially after the events of May 2013.

Back then, 10-year yields went from 2% to 3% on a frozen rope. Things got very dicey in fixed income. Some holders of corporate bonds (like the new Apple bond) were suddenly down 10% just on interest rates alone.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

What Blows Up First? Part 5: Shale Oil Junk Bonds / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: John_Rubino

One of the surest signs that a bubble is about to burst is junk bonds behaving like respectable paper. That is, their yields drop to mid-single digits, they start appearing with liberal loan covenants that display a high degree of trust in the issuer, and they start reporting really low default rates that lead the gullible to view them as “safe”. So everyone from pension funds to retirees start loading up in the expectation of banking an extra few points of yield with minimal risk.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 25, 2014

Why Global Bond Yields Are Tumbling / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Michael_Pento

Market pundits appear to be mostly dumbfounded as global bond yields continue to set record lows.  For some examples; the 10 year German bund fell below 1%., the Italian 10 year note has dropped below 2.60%, Spanish bonds fell to 2.40 % and Japan is offering a shocking one half of one percent to borrow funds for ten years.  Even Greece, whose bonds were on ECB life support just two years ago, has a 10 year note yielding below 6%.  Worldwide bond yields are at all-time lows, leaving market commentators scrambling to come up with a creative array of explanations for this phenomenon.  Tensions in Ukraine and escalating violence in the Middle East are some favorites.  But at least in Europe and Japan, most are willing to attribute record-low bond yields to the real cause…that is no growth and deflation.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 22, 2014

Negative Real Interest Rates Show Yield Trade in Bubble Territory / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: EconMatters

No Financial Crisis

This is one of my main criticisms of central bank policy, especially the last three years when there was no financial crisis but all the central banks continued to keep interest rates at recession era levels which has incentivized inappropriate uses of capital allocation, and this money being used for yield arbitrage plays would be more beneficial to sustainable growth projects and overall growth in the economy if interest rates were normalized.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 21, 2014

The Municipal Bond World, / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Frank_Holmes

According to John Derrick
As we move into the second half of 2014, the Federal Reserve has continued to reduce its stimulus measures intended to boost the U.S. economy. Just last week we heard rumors from Fed officials that if the job market improves faster than expected, key interest rates may be increased sooner than expected.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 08, 2014

This Could End Up as the Biggest Ponzi Finance Scheme in History / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: The great economist Hyman Minsky coined the term "Ponzi finance" to describe the situation when borrowers use more borrowed money to pay their debts.

The U.S. government engages in Ponzi finance every day since it is incapable of repaying the more than $17 trillion it has borrowed.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

A Requiem for the Bond Market / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Michael_Pento

The central banks of Japan and the U.S. are killing the private market for government debt. The massive and unprecedented bon-buying programs for Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) and Treasuries have driven yields so low that investors are now simply stepping aside from involvement in that market entirely.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

No Bond Market Vigilantes Or Vultures Need Apply / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Raul_I_Meijer

With media and technology becoming faster and more pervasive at a rapid clip, it shouldn't perhaps be a big surprise to see the ease with which war-mongering news flashes come to dominate the story of the day. But maybe this should be received with an increasing dose of skepticism, maybe we should today, even more than before, try to figure out who benefits from one story dominating all major headlines, as if all other things going on are only of secondary importance, especially since new technologies allow those headlines to become so much more pervasive, coming in at an ever faster rhythm, that they are today's true bombardments.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Higher Interest Rates - Bond Vigilantes Hold Upper Hand Over Central Banks / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Gary_Dorsch

Whenever former Fed chief Alan Greenspan was praised for delivering a clear message on US- monetary policy, he used to reply, "I guess I should warn you. If I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I've said." On June 7th, Greenspan set off the alarm bells on Wall Street by telling viewers of CNBC that the time had arrived for the Fed to begin tapering its $85-billion a month bond buying binge, even if the US-economy isn't ready for it. "The sooner we come to grips with this excessive level of assets on the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve, - that everybody agrees is excessive, - the better," he said in a "Squawk Box" interview. "There is a general presumption that we can wait indefinitely and make judgments on when we're going to move. I'm not sure the market will allow us to do that."

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

How to Play the Coming Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: You know it’s coming. Every experienced investor who is paying attention knows it’s coming. I’m talking about the upending of bonds that will take place in the months and years ahead. However, there is a smart, low-risk way to play it… and earn a decent return.

Let’s start with the basics. Picture a seesaw with interest rates on one side and bond prices on the other. When interest rates go down, investment-grade corporates and Treasuries go up. When interest rates go up, these same bonds go down.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 04, 2013

How to Make Money in Bull or Bear Bond Markets / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Investment_U

Steve McDonald writes: Though painful, the recent sell-off in bonds has had three positive effects on the bond market:

First, it reinforced the fact that the bond market’s movements are mechanical and predictable.

Second, it drove up rates on all bonds to more reasonable levels.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 29, 2013

The Critical Trend Towards Higher Interest Rates Has Begun / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“’The Fed can continue to spew out QE until the bond market says it can’t.’ - Richard Russell. PS: The bond market has said that ‘it can’t.’”

          

Richard Russell, dowtheoryletters, 06/21/2013

 

“The real menace of our Republic is the invisible government which like a giant octopus sprawls its slimy legs over our cities, states and nation. At the head is a small group of banking houses…This little coterie…runs our government for their own selfish ends. It operates under cover of a self-created screen…seizes…our executive officers… legislative bodies…schools…courts…newspapers and every agency created for the public protection.”

 

           John F. Hylan, Mayor of New York, 1918-1925

           via lemetrepolecafe.com

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 27, 2013

BIS Warning of Bond Market Crisis on the Way! / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

From 2007 the crises have grown - Central Banks can't fix it alone!

Whether it is Bill Gross of Pimco, Marc Faber, ourselves or so very many competent analysts in the financial world, to a man, are warning of the destructive power of rising interest rates. Now in addition to all of us, we have the central banker of central bankers, the Bank of International Settlements, giving a serious warning to developed world governments that it is perhaps too late to rely on growth to rescue the global economy from deflation.

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