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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, August 18, 2018

GDX Gold Mining Stocks Q2’18 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The major gold miners’ stocks plummeted in brutal cascading selling this week as stops were run.  That shattered strong multi-year support, devastating sentiment among the handful of contrarians remaining in this forsaken sector.  With fear and despair extreme, it’s critical to take a deep breath and get grounded in the gold miners’ just-reported Q2’18 fundamentals.  They reveal if this surprise anomalous plunge was justified.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

The definitive list of major gold-mining stocks to analyze comes from the world’s most-popular gold-stock investment vehicle, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  Its composition and performance are similar to the benchmark HUI gold-stock index.  GDX utterly dominates this sector, with no meaningful competition.  This week GDX’s net assets are 33.4x larger than the next-biggest 1x-long major-gold-miners ETF!

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Commodities

Monday, August 13, 2018

Gold Ready to Shine, Stocks Should Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Brad_Gudgeon

In my opinion, GDX and the precious metals look ready to rally nicely in the coming 7-8 weeks.  I have been negative on the PM’s and miners for quite some time now.  Keep in mind that I believe that the coming rally will be counter trend, but substantial enough to make money.  I personally like the 3X ETF NUGT, which I believe could move up over 90% in the coming weeks.  My current target for GDX is around 27.00.

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Commodities

Friday, August 10, 2018

Mixed Results at Major Gold Companies / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Fund manager Adrian Day takes a look at several major gold companies in his portfolio.

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM:TSX; WPM:NYSE, US$21.18) continues to diversify away from silver with two new streams, a gold and palladium stream on the Stillwater Mine (a long-life mine in the U.S.) and a cobalt stream on Voisey's Bay nickel mine. Both streams are front-loaded; Wheaton will receive 4.5% of the palladium reducing on hurdles to 2.25% and 42% of the cobalt (expected to commence in 2021 after a mine expansion) down to 21% over time. The first has a 6.1% IRR, and second 11% (before tax), reasonably high in the current streaming environment.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 07, 2018

Gold and Silver Stocks On the Verge of the Next Major Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

On Thursday, the HUI index just broke below the December 2016 lows (in terms of daily closing prices), but it reversed on Friday and closed the week back above this important support. Invalidations are often more important than breakdowns, so did Friday’s action just tell us that we’re going to see a major reversal?

Both: yes and no. Yes, because it was – objectively speaking – a bullish signal. No, because we might have already seen what was likely to take place. There was an intraday rally that ran out of steam and was followed by a move back down before the end of the session. We saw a new sell signal as well. Let’s take a look at the very short-term developments (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Friday, August 03, 2018

Gold Stocks’ Autumn Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have suffered a psychologically-grating year so far.  They’ve remained trapped in their vexing low-consolidation trading range, disheartening and driving away the great majority of traders.  But that should soon change as this deeply-out-of-favor sector enters its strong season, which begins with a powerful autumn rally starting late summers.  This year’s has exceptional upside potential from such a low base.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 01, 2018

Gold Stocks’ Breakdown, Platinum’s Invalidation, Gold’s CoT and Seasonality / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

And so it happened. After a breakdown that might have appeared accidental as it was triggered mostly by one company’s decline, we saw a weekly close below the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level in the HUI Index. There was no analogous breakdown to new lows in gold and silver, but what happened in these markets on a relative basis was even more significant.

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Commodities

Friday, July 27, 2018

Gold Stocks Testing Last Ditch Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Although precious metals have not rebounded too strongly yet, the long awaited summer rally could be underway (at least in Gold). Gold is oversold and its sentiment is overly bearish. But it is holding important support in the low $1200s. Silver has begun to rally after breaking down from a triangle consolidation. The gold stocks held up well during recent carnage in the metals but are struggling around very important support levels. The nature of their potential rebound is important as they try and maintain current support.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 14, 2018

Gold Stocks Summer Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have been drifting sideways to lower like usual in their summer doldrums.  They are likely near their major seasonal lows ahead of a strong autumn rally, a great buying opportunity.  Gold rebounding higher will be the primary driver fueling the gold-stock advance, dispelling today’s bearish psychology.  And strong Q2 production growth will likely play a sizable role in restoring favorable sentiment.

Market summers have long been gold’s weakest time of the year seasonally.  Junes and early Julies in particular are simply devoid of the big recurring demand spikes seen during most of the rest of the year.  With traders vacationing to take advantage of warm sunshine and kids being out of school, markets take a back seat.  So there’s no outsized gold buying driven by income-cycle or cultural factors this time of year.

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Commodities

Friday, July 06, 2018

HUI Gold Stocks Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

The HUI along with most of the other PM stock indexes are at a critical point right here and now. Below is a combo chart we’ve following which has the UUP (The US Dollar Index ETF) on top and the HUI on the bottom. The UUP is building out a potential morphing bullish rising wedge consolidation pattern which would most likely give the PM complex some headwind if the price action breaks out top side. On the other hand if the rising wedge breaks down then the PM complex should have a strong tailwind at their backs. If the HUI can breakout above the top rail of its descending triangle that would be very bullish for the PM complex. As you can see the HUI and the UUP are trading at a critical inflection point right here.

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Commodities

Friday, June 29, 2018

Gold / Copper Miners Miners Interesting Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

The GDX/COPX ratio has broken above the 50 & 200 day moving averages and is still going, despite gold’s ignominious state at the moment.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 23, 2018

Gerald Celente: Why You Still Need Guns, Gold, and a Getaway Plan... / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world, and it's always great to have him on with us. Gerald, thanks for taking the time again today, and welcome back.

Gerald Celente: Thanks for having me on.

Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, the potential for a trade war is the hot topic in the financial press these days. Around here, the question is what escalating concerns over trade might mean for the precious metals markets, and we would like to get your thoughts on that. But first, please give us your take on the President's trade policy in general. Some people think the U.S. has been a major beneficiary of trade. We've been able to import real goods and services in exchange for increasingly worthless dollars. Others hate what so-called globalization has done to U.S. manufacturing and think Trump is delivering a long overdue warning shot to nations who have taken advantage of the U.S. So, where do you stand on all this?

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Commodities

Saturday, June 23, 2018

Cheap Gold Stocks Bottom Basing / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are drifting listlessly in the summer doldrums, largely forgotten by investors and speculators.  They are missing a fantastic opportunity to buy low in this barren sentiment wasteland when no one else wants to.  The gold stocks remain exceedingly cheap relative to the metal which drives their profits, and they continue to establish a strong technical base.  They are ready to soar as gold returns to favor.

Gold-stock investing feels pretty thankless these days, like an exercise in self-flagellation.  Thus there aren’t many traders left in this realm.  Week after week as gold stocks continue to drift on balance, the ranks of remaining investors and speculators dwindle.  Interest in this sector is among the lowest I’ve ever seen in decades of actively trading gold stocks.  They’ve been left for dead as contrarians vanish.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 16, 2018

Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold weathered the Federal Reserve’s 7th rate hike of this cycle this week.  Gold-futures speculators and to a lesser extent gold investors have long feared Fed rate hikes, selling ahead of them.  Higher rates are viewed as the nemesis of zero-yielding gold.  But contrary to this popular belief, past Fed rate hikes have proven very bullish for gold.  This latest hike once again leaves gold set up for a major rally in coming months.

The Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meets 8 times per year to make monetary-policy decisions.  These can really impact the financial markets, and thus are closely watched by gold-futures speculators.  These elite traders wield wildly-outsized influence on short-term gold price action due to the truly extreme leverage inherent in gold-futures trading.  What they do before and after FOMC decisions really impacts gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Silver Shares? Nobody Cares / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Almost nothing happened on the precious metals market yesterday, or at least that may seem to be the case as the first sight. And that’s true if one doesn’t count the spike in GLD’s volume, but there was something else that actually should have caught one’s attention and it probably wasn’t the case for many gold traders. Silver stocks just broke to new monthly low. What does this tell us?

It’s a subtle clue that the next big move in the precious metals sector is going to be  downside. Think about it – silver stocks had an excellent reason to rally – silver moved visibly higher in the past several days. Yet, instead of showing similar strength, the silver miners moved back and forth moving to new lows. That’s a clear sign of weakness. Let’s take a closer look at both markets.

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Commodities

Friday, June 08, 2018

Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Summary
1)2018 has seen so much volatility in the equity and bond markets after going straight up since 2009.

2)"Everything" bubble is simply the result of record low negative real rates manipulated by Central Bankers to prevent deflation by all means possible.

3)The ending of QE combined with increasingly inflationary concerns has sparked the US to start raising rates.

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Commodities

Monday, June 04, 2018

Unbelievable Analogy in Gold & Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold moved lower in May and it’s also down in June, but the price action is far from being spectacular. The overall volatility is still very low and the situation in the precious metals sector is simply extremely boring. But with May now being over and with a new month, new factors are likely to come into play and the odds are that this month will be anything but boring. Especially, if we see the continuation in the analogy that practically nobody seems to realize.

Let’s move right to it and analyze the gold market from the long-term point of view.

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Commodities

Monday, June 04, 2018

Inflation & Precious Metals to Rise, Fed to Act Late / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Axel_Merk

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments and author of the book Sustainable Wealth. Axel is a highly sought after guest at financial conferences and on news outlets throughout the world and it's great to have him back on with us.

Axel, it's a pleasure to have you join us again today and thanks very much for coming on.

Axel Merk: Great to be with you. What a week.

Mike Gleason: Exactly. Well, Axel when we spoke to you in February the equity markets were in the midst of a sell off and some significant volatility, which had been extraordinarily low, came roaring back to life. Since then, the stocks have recovered some. The S&P regained about half of what it lost by the end of February and has been trading in a range since then.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 02, 2018

Silver Mining Stocks SIL ETF Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The major silver miners’ stocks remain deeply out of favor, languishing near multi-year lows.  Of course that reflects investors’ lack of interest in silver itself.  It has greatly lagged, not following gold higher like usual over the past year and a half.  That’s really torpedoed silver-stock sentiment, making for a challenging environment for silver miners.  But they’re weathering it as their recently-released Q1’18 results show.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

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Commodities

Friday, June 01, 2018

Gold Stocks Back in the Volatility Saddle Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger dissects his volatility trades.

One week ago today, I made the following commentary:

"Finally, I am officially revisiting the "volatility trade" (VIX: CBOE Volatililty Index) but unlike February where I used the UVXY (ProShares Trust Ultra VIX Short) as my proxy for the increase in volatility, I am using the TVIX (VelocityShares Daily 2X VIX ST ETN) because it is a double leverage ETF for the VIX but has better leverage than the UVXY. UVXY used to be a triple-leverage play on volatility but the slippage due to its dependence on futures became too difficult to navigate and they cut the leverage from 3:1 to 2:1. I had a 250% gain on this in February but gave back 9.84% in April. I am long 50% of the TVIX position from yesterday at $4.95 and am using the opening this morning to add another 25% in the $5.25 range. I will again use a 10% stop-loss but since the 52-week low is $4.60, that will be the exit level. Upside target will be $8.00 remembering of course that the 52-week high was $26.56.

The month of May is rapidly coming to a close, which starts what is historically the worst six months of the year. With the situations in Turkey and Italy worsening, with the North Korean summit in question, central banks engaged in "quantitative tightening," rising oil prices, and the possibility that the China-U.S. trade talks go south, markets are going to be in peril as summer illiquidity arrives. For this reason, gold "should" be the go-to asset, but I am banking on volatility rather than gold as the preferred method of riding the correction."

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Commodities

Saturday, May 19, 2018

GDX Gold Mining Stock Fundamentals 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The major gold miners’ stocks are still largely grinding sideways, mired in a bearish sentiment wasteland.  Traders tend to assume low stock prices must be righteous, reflecting weak fundamentals rather than poor psychology.  But once a quarter earnings seasons’ bright fundamental sunlight parts the obscuring fogs of popular sentiment.  The gold miners’ just-reported Q1’18 results prove they remain deeply undervalued.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

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