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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Financial Crisis 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Will the Fed’s Interest Rate Tightening Trigger Another Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The recent currency and debt crises in Argentina and Turkey raise questions about the condition of the global economy in general and the emerging countries in particular. Are they merely isolated events without broader implications or are they canary in the emerging market mine?

This question is timely and worryingly justified in the context of the ongoing Fed’s tightening cycle and the ECB’s shy steps toward normalization of its monetary policy. Historically speaking, the Fed’s tightening used to end with some sort of market crisis, including U.S. recession and turbulences in the emerging markets which rely heavily on dollar-denominated debt (as a reminder, the dollar lending outside the U.S. stands at about $11 trillion today). As one can see in the chart below, practically all recessions in America occurred after the Fed’s tightening cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 22, 2018

SPX/Gold, Long-term Yields & Yield Curve 3 Amigos Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

It has been a while since we’ve had a 3 Amigos update because a) Italy and global tariffs noise aside, nothing much has changed with the macro and b) I felt my ‘image-based metaphorical content to straight content’ ratio was getting a little excessive. So I gave it a rest.

Now it is time again for an update of these important macro riders in order to touch base with their signals. As always, I’ll remind you that there is much more to the macro market backdrop that NFTRH manages on an ongoing basis, but these three are important.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 04, 2018

Catalyst for the Next Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Michael_Pento

The cause of the Great Recession circa 2008 was collapsing home prices that led to an insolvent banking system. However, the next economic crisis will result from the bursting of the worldwide bond bubble and its devastating effect on asset prices.

One of the dangers from spiking borrowing costs is the shutting out of distressed corporations from capital markets, which will inhibit their ability to roll over and service existing debt. This will lead to a massive increase in the number of insolvent corporations.

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Companies

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Cash “Vanishes” From Bank Accounts In Ireland / Companies / Financial Crisis 2018

By: GoldCore

– Emergency cash offered by Ulster Bank as cash vanishes from accounts
– Bank makes €500 available to customers whose deposits vanish
– Bank investigates after hundreds of complaints on social media
– “My salary has disappeared from my account today and my wife had her card declined when trying to pay for a GP visit and medication”
– Cyber attacks and Brexit are biggest threats to the securities, insurance and banking  sectors
– Exposes risks posed to cash deposits in age of hacking, cyber fraud and terrorism
– Conclusion: Take some of your savings and wealth off line?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 16, 2018

THE Financial Crisis Acronym of 2008 is Sounding Another Alarm / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Michael_Pento

LIBOR, or the London Interbank Offered Rate, was the most important acronym most investors never heard of before 2008. However, it quickly became the most critical variable in markets leading up to the Great Recession.

What has now become clear is that we haven’t learned any lessons from the financial crisis except how to accumulate more debt and to artificially control markets more extensively. And, to conveniently try to sweep under the rug the very same warning signs that forebode the day of reckoning just over a decade ago.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

Stock Market Elevated Risk Premia Suggests the Worst Yet to Come / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Builderadv

Stock markets ended very weak yesterday. Any ounces of bounce is sold as we saw yesterday. The economy per se is doing just about fine.

Home Prices: Rising at its fastest
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, which measures the price of a typical single-family home in major metropolitan areas across the country, rose 6.2% in January, down slightly from a 6.3% year-over-year increase reported in December. The 10-city index gained 6% over the year, unchanged from the prior month. The 20-city index gained 6.4%, up slightly from 6.3% the previous month.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Credit Concerns In U.S. Growing As LIBOR OIS Surges to 2009 High / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2018

By: GoldCore

Key Metric LIBOR OIS Signals Major Credit Concerns

– Widening of the spread between LIBOR OIS (overnight index swap) rate raises concerns
– Spread jumped to 9 year widest spread, rising to 54.6bps, most since May 2009.
– Libor recently moved to over 2% for first time since 2008
– Wider spread usually associated with heightened credit concerns

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 26, 2018

2018: Yearly Forecasts for Systemic Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The following Jackass forecasts listed within the article for this new year are fully consistent with the Hat Trick Letter analysis over the last few years. All are on the verge of occurrence. If even one quarter of these calls comes into reality, the world will become a better place. In the current year upon us, the following events will begin to take form in some path with recognized progress. The result will be truly frightening, as all known tenets are either swept aside or profoundly questioned. Many of the listed events have begun to take form with some initial progress. The magnificent event that occurred ten years ago has been called the Global Financial Crisis, centered and triggered by the Lehman Brothers failure as a firm. It was actually a suffocation event with killjob, whereby both Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan bought several $billion in Lehman mortgage bonds and never paid for them, thereby killing Lehman from a very severe sudden liquidity drain. What happened in 2007 (initial bust symptoms) and 2008 (final crisis unfolding) was horrible and quite devastating. What comes in 2018 in the systemic breakdown and global crisis will be triple in magnitude of damage and triple in breadth with range of extended wreckage. This year will see sovereign bonds enter failure, in an unprecedented manner.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Why Banks Will Be Slammed In The Next Crisis—And That May Be Good News / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : While some banks are run by honest folk, others are almost indistinguishable from criminal organizations.

Bank scandals are nothing new in the US and elsewhere. Still, those banks may be one of the best investment opportunities of your life. Sounds contradictory, but it’s not.

Before I explain why banks are such a good investment opportunity, let me go over a few examples from the last decade to provide some context for this trade.

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