Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, November 15, 2018
Tory BrExit Chaos Cripples UK Economy, Wrecks Housing Market Confidence / Housing-Market / BrExit
It was all supposed to be so straight forward, the people of Britain vote in a referendum, the results of which the politicians then carry out. Unfortunately, as the latest saga in an unfolding 18 month long BrExit nightmare shows that the Governments implementation of Brexit is turning out disastrously which has had a confidence eroding effect on the UK economy and housing market.
The general public, me included have long since become bored to death with the relentless Tory infighting that the mainstream media obsess over, one of deal or no deal coverage in the count down to the final deadline, though where the EU is concerned they are experts at kicking the can down the road so don't be surprised to hear news that the deadlines have all been kicked some months or even a year down the road.
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Thursday, November 15, 2018
Buying Your First Home? Here’s How to Save Money / Housing-Market / US Housing
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Tuesday, November 13, 2018
UK Mortgage Five-year Fixed Rates Reache Two-year High / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data, not yet published, shows the average five-year fixed rate has increased for the first time in four months, seeing this average reach its highest point in almost two years, effectively cancelling out any gains made in that time as a result.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
How "Free Money" Helped Create Sizzling Housing Market & REIT Gains / Housing-Market / US Housing
Housing prices and the associated REIT returns have worked very differently in the United States since the recession of 2001. The increasing financialization of the real estate markets by Wall Street, and the aggressive and unconventional interventions by the Federal Reserve over that time, have combined in multiplicative fashion to produce new and volatile sources of housing profits and losses.
One such change has been the creation of an extremely powerful profit engine for housing, that most real estate investors have not been taking into account. Indeed, there is a strong mathematical case to be made that "yield curve spread compression" has supported and enabled the substantial majority of housing price gains for homeowners and investors on a national average basis since the beginning of 2014.
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Thursday, November 08, 2018
Home Equity Release Interest Rates Are on the Rise / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The equity release market has continued to evolve, not only by allowing customers to release more equity from their homes, but also in terms of providers offering more flexibility, such as the inclusion of drawdown options.
While the equity release market is nowhere near as volatile as the residential mortgage market in terms of interest rate changes, it has not been left unscathed by recent cost increases. The latest analysis by Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that over the last quarter, more than half of the 11 lenders in the lifetime mortgage market have increased interest rates within their range (Aviva, Hodge Lifetime, Just, LV=, Legal & General, Vernon Building Society).
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Monday, November 05, 2018
The Cycle Saving Home Buyers $3,000 Per Year Just Ran Out Of Fuel / Housing-Market / US Housing
Home buyers in every city and state have been benefiting from a powerful financial cycle for almost five years. Most people are not aware of this cycle, but it has lowered the average monthly mortgage payment for home buyers on a national basis by about $250 per month since the end of 2013.
The interest rate cycle in question is one of "yield curve spread" expansion and compression, with yield curve spreads being the difference between long term and short term interest rates. This interest rate spread has been going through a compression phase in its ongoing cycle, meaning that the gap between long term interest rates and short term interest rates has been falling sharply in recent years.
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Thursday, October 25, 2018
UK Average Mortgage Fee Highest in Over Five Years / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Remortgage activity is currently high as borrowers seek to get the best deal after the base rate rise. As a result, many providers are trying to look attractive as possible. However, although many lenders are reducing rates to appeal to remortgagors, this trend is not being seen for arrangement fees. In fact, the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that average mortgage fees* are on the rise, increasing by £15 since August to stand at £1,005 this month – the highest average recorded in more than five years.
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Thursday, October 18, 2018
Average five-year Fixed BTL Mortgage Rate Lowest on Record / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
With significant change in the buy-to-let (BTL) market over the past few years, many landlords feel uncertain as to what the future holds for them and their investment. However, this nervousness has not deterred lenders, with the average five-year fixed rate falling to its lowest level on Moneyfacts.co.uk records this month.
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Tuesday, October 16, 2018
Real Estate Transactions are Becoming Seamless with Blockchain-Powered Data Sets / Housing-Market / BlockChain
The availability, quality, reliability, and pricing of real estate data is one of the biggest challenges facing real estate stakeholders. A report published in the Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences suggest that “absence or inadequate reliable data will result in inappropriate decision or even no decision at all.”
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Sunday, October 07, 2018
Where Have the Affordable Homes Gone? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Bubbles are self-defeating. Their success is what eventually kills them.The same is true for cycles.
Take the urbanization cycle for example…
As a population urbanizes, people get wealthier. But more affluent urbanites have fewer kids and that slows future demographic growth for the next generation.
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Tuesday, September 04, 2018
UK Mortgage Market Split on Base Rate Hike / Housing-Market / Mortgages
A base rate rise can cause an element of uncertainty in the mortgage market, as it can often be difficult to predict how providers are likely to react to the news. Now, a month on from the Bank of England’s decision to increase the base rate to 0.75%, Moneyfacts.co.uk assesses the impact this rise has had on the mortgage market.
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Friday, August 31, 2018
If You Consider Your Home an Investment, Read This / Housing-Market / US Housing
Is your home an investment?
Some say yes.
Some say no.
I say:
- It is an investment
- Not a great investment
- But for a lot of people, the best investment
Let’s unpack.
Tuesday, August 28, 2018
Rise in Number of UK Credit Impaired Mortgage Deals / Housing-Market / Mortgages
The number of residential mortgages available has been increasing steadily over the past year as lenders look to diversify their range of products to attract different types of customers. As a result, the latest figures from Moneyfacts.co.uk show that the number of credit-impaired mortgage deals on the market has risen by 118 in the last six months.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2018
The Sunbelt is Dominating the US Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
I’ve never read so many good articles and rankings on cities by growth, affordability, and desirability. Especially during a time when the real estate market is crazy!This is the last one I’ll bring you for now…
This study rates on three measures, population and housing, workforce and earnings, and business growth.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2018
Rent Your House: The Ultimate US Real Estate Strategy / Housing-Market / US Housing
I enjoyed two recent articles by Andrea Riquier at MarketWatch.The first was “The new housing play: helping priced-out renters become long-distance landlords.”
It was a strategy aimed at people living in unaffordable areas – like San Francisco, Los Angeles, Miami, or New York…
By renting there to avoid both high purchase costs and a major bubble burst (when it inevitably comes), you free up your borrowing power to buy a house in an affordable area where renting for income is more lucrative, and far less risky.
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Sunday, August 12, 2018
Hardest US Housing Market Places to Live - Look Out Middle Class / Housing-Market / US Housing
In San Francisco, a household now needs an income of $188,000 to afford rent for the average two-bedroom house or apartment with 30% of the household income spent on housing.
The problem is that the median income is only $103,801.
Housing is 81% out of reach!
And this is true across the country as well.
Sunday, August 12, 2018
America’s Suburbs Are Making a Comeback / Housing-Market / US Housing
Lately, I’ve been focusing a lot on real estate.There are starting to be clear signs of extremes in pricing, and high rent burdens.
Cities are starting to crack on the high end.
It’s what I’ve forecasting – that this second bubble burst would start on the high end and work down. Unlike the last bubble, which started on the low end with the subprime defaults.
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Tuesday, August 07, 2018
First Time Buyers Need to ‘boost the affordability’ of Their Move Alone / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Recent reports by the Financial Times note that ‘more needs to be done to boost affordability for capital’s first-time buyers’. Well, duh.
Renting in London is prohibitively expensive and buying is perhaps even more so, in the short term at least. In fact, recent studies conducted by The Times found that a first-time buyer in London needs a salary of £100,000 to get on the property ladder. (Basically, you need to be a wealthy financial sector worker.)
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Saturday, August 04, 2018
America Where to Live, Most Desirable Best US Cities / Housing-Market / US Housing
There was an update to the rankings of the most desirable cities to live in the U.S. by U.S. News & World Report.
Colorado Springs sprung into first place for the first time. I’ve been there, and can understand why they picked the place.
It’s beautiful, at the foot of dramatic mountains (Pike’s Peak), close to the glorious Broadmoor Resort, and only one hour from one of the most attractive larger cities, Denver, which comes in at number 10 on the list.
Sunday, July 22, 2018
The Death of the US Real Estate Dream / Housing-Market / US Housing
In I showed how Japan’s first and more massive real estate bubble peaked in 1991. And then showed how it crashed right along our bubble model into 2013.
The difference was, it never bounced. Even when its Millennial generation came along to buy houses again.
A rise of “dyers” (sellers) were offsetting the rise of Millennial buyers.
Now let’s look at the U.S. bubble – or our double bubble.