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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Sunday, March 31, 2019

UK Population Growth Trend Forecast and Housing Market Consequences / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This analysis directly continues on from (UK Population Growth - Latest ONS Immigration Statistics and Consequences) which is part of a series that aims to conclude in a new multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices. But first a recap of my analysis to date that so far suggests to ignore mainstream press hysteria that warns of impending doom for Britains housing market, encouraged no less than the Government and Bank of England which warn to expect a 30% CRASH in UK house prices should the UK LEAVE the EU without a deal.

Instead my analysis so far (first made available to patrons) continues to paint a picture for UK house prices to remain on an overall upward trend trajectory.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, March 25, 2019

Mortgage Providers Encourage First-time Buyers Cutting Margins on 95% loans / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the margin between the average two-year fixed mortgage rate at maximum 95% and 90% loan-to-value (LTV) is at its narrowest since February 2013, with the difference between these two higher LTV rates currently standing at 0.65%, down from a high of 1.57% in October 2017. This has been driven by average rates at 95% LTV falling dramatically since then, offering hope for borrowers who can only amass a 5% deposit.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Sunday, March 24, 2019

UK Population Growth - Latest ONS Immigration Statistics and Consequences / Housing-Market / Immigration

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This analysis directly continues on from Part 1 (UK House Prices, Immigration, and Population Growth Mega Trend Forecast - Part1) which is part of a series that aims to conclude in a new multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices. But first a recap of my analysis to date that so far suggests to ignore mainstream press hysteria that warns of impending doom for Britains housing market, encouraged no less than the Government and Bank of England which warn to expect a 30% CRASH in UK house prices should the UK LEAVE the EU without a deal.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 20, 2019

Here’s What You’re Not Hearing About the US - China Trade War / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

China’s been playing hardball with the U.S. over trade talks. There’s good reason: they’re gunning for the title of Top Global Economic Power, above the U.S. and other players.

They’re embracing the short-term pain to win the long-term fight.

But…

They have growing problems, with slowing growth and exports, and we’ve heard much about this lately from Main Street. But those are only symptoms.

Deep down, they have a demographic problem, an overinvestment-in-infrastructure problem, and a real estate problem. Today, let’s talk about that last one.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Sunday, March 10, 2019

Taylor Wimpey Reports £811m in Profits boosted by Help-to-Buy / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

The housing market slow down many feared resulting from the uncertainty of Brexit and been quelled by the United Kingdom’s low mortgage rates and its help-to-buy program. Housebuilders across the country have reported profits this year including Taylor Wimpey, and that signals a solid start to 2019.

Taylor Wimpey, the third largest builder in Britain, reported pre-tax profits of £810.7 million for the 2018 year on 15,275 house built. This was an increase of 19% and saw its shares rise by 3%, and that saw them becoming one of the top on the FTSE 100.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, March 07, 2019

Millennial Home Buyers Not as Active as Boomers Were in US Property Market / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Andrea Riquier, my favorite commentator on the housing market, grabbed my attention again with her 2018 MarketWatch article entitled “Missing Millennial Homeownership Endangers the American Dream.” You can follow her on Twitter @ARiquier.

She pointed to a report from the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center that suggests the “story of Millennials and homeownership is in many ways a story of inequality in America – and one that might be getting worse,” as she put it.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, March 07, 2019

How Will Boomers Affect US Real Estate and Nursing Homes / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Recently we talked about why Millennials aren’t buying a house at the same rate as their Boomer and Gen X parents. Today, let’s talk about how Boomers and Gen Xers are actually contributing to the housing shortage, and so driving up prices and thwarting the ability of younger people to buy.

And…

Why that could start to change rapidly just ahead.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, March 04, 2019

UK House Prices, Immigration, and Population Growth Mega Trend Forecast - Part1 / Housing-Market / Immigration

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My latest analysis in a series aimed at arriving at a new multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices covers population growth which is one of the key primary drivers for UK house prices which since the Labour government of 1997 natural population growth net of births and deaths has been vastly supplemented by what has amounted to out of control immigration courtesy of Britain's membership of the European Union and the former Labour governments objective for the importation of millions of potential Labour voters from mostly new member states from across an impoverished eastern europe that resulted in near 5 million economic migrants settling in the UK by 2016, mostly in what were already over crowded British cities, thus putting severe pressure on services and infrastructure and the whole housing market as the likes of the rental sector soared with 1 million new buy to let landlords entering the market buying 4 million properties, forcing up house prices across the board where rents in large part are being funded by tax payers in the form of the soaring housing benefits bill.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Home Equity Release Market Expands to Meet Growing Demand / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The equity release market has evolved significantly over the past five years, so much so that the number of deals available has expanded enormously. This increase in choice has been driven by growing demand from consumers searching for options to release cash from their homes.

Indeed, the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that there are now over 200 lifetime equity release deals available on the market today, five times more than that seen in 2014, when there were just 40. Not only this, but the market has grown by more than 50% since a year ago, when there were 131 deals available.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, February 25, 2019

Buy-to-let Mortgage Product Choice Reaches Post Financial Crisis High / Housing-Market / Buy to Let

By: MoneyFacts

While the tax and rule changes imposed on the buy-to-let (BTL) sector over the last few years have heightened the pressures felt by landlords – and even forced some from the market altogether – research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the number of BTL products currently available is at a post-financial crisis high.

Today, landlords have the choice of 2,162 buy-to-let mortgages, meaning the number of products has not been higher since October 2007, when 3,305 products were available.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, February 19, 2019

UK Retirement Interest-only Mortgages Start to Take Off / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

It is almost a year since the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) reclassified retirement interest-only mortgages (RIOs) in March 2018, and despite a slow start, two new providers have joined the sector in the past week, taking the total to 12.

After being regulated under equity release rules and regulations, the measure to make RIOs standard mortgages was introduced in response to demographic and economic changes, and to promote more options for older borrowers who may arrive at the end of their interest-only mortgage term and have nowhere to turn.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Saturday, February 16, 2019

My Favorite Real Estate Strategies: Rent to Live, Buy to Rent / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Did you read Andrea Riquier’s two articles on Market Watch last year about real estate strategies?

Definitely worth it!

The first was “The new housing play: helping priced-out renters become long-distance landlords.”

It was a strategy aimed at people living in unaffordable areas like San Francisco, Los Angeles, Miami, or New York.

Rent in those areas to avoid the high purchase costs and a major bubble burst (when it inevitably comes). Then use your freed-up borrowing power to buy a house in an affordable area where renting for income is more lucrative, and far less risky. We’re talking places with high percentages of single-family rentals, like Detroit, Las Vegas, or Kansas City and a few more listed below.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, February 11, 2019

UK Fixed Rate Mortgage Availability Reaches Record Highs / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data, not yet published, reveals that the number of fixed rate residential mortgage products currently available at most loan-to-value (LTV) tiers are at a record high, with the number of total fixed rate mortgages available at maximum 60%, 75%, 85% and 90% LTV tiers at their highest levels since Moneyfacts Treasury Reports records began in July 2007.

The total number of residential mortgage products available in the market has increased from 5,181 in January 2019 to 5,214 this month. This puts it 644 products above what it was this time last year, when the total stood at 4,570.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Friday, February 08, 2019

Intense First Time Buyer Mortage Competition Sees Average Two-year Fixed Rate Fall / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Despite the Bank of England base rate rise of 0.25% to 0.75% in August 2018, Moneyfacts.co.uk research has shown that the overall average two-year fixed mortgage rate has actually fallen by 0.04% from 2.53% in August 2018 to 2.49% today.

Notably, the average two-year fixed rate at the maximum 95% loan-to-value (LTV) tier has fallen by 0.54% over the same period, while at tiers such as 70% LTV the average rate has increased by 0.14%, indicating that providers may be focusing their attention at the riskier higher LTV tiers.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, January 28, 2019

UK Mortgages Fixed Interest Rates Gap Falls to the Lowest Since 2013 / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The mortgage rate war is still very much at hand, with providers across the market attempting to attract new business – and the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that the rate gap between two-year and five-year fixed rate mortgages has fallen to its lowest level since 2013.

The rate gap calculates the difference between average two and five-year fixed rates in order to gauge the level of competition in the mortgage market. This calculation shows that the rate gap stands at 0.41% today, down from 0.44% on average for the whole of 2018, which in itself marks a fall from 0.57% in 2017 and from 0.64% in 2016.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, January 22, 2019

UK 10 Year Fixed Rate Mortgages Market / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

Borrowers weighing up their mortgage options at the start of the year may find that the typically favoured two and five-year fixed mortgage rates are low compared to recent years. However, amid heightened concern about future Bank of England base rate rises, many could be seeking even further security with their monthly payments.

The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that now could be the time to consider longer-term fixed deals, as the average 10-year fixed mortgage rate has decreased significantly over the past five years, dropping 1.56% to stand at 3.05% today. Not only this but the availability of longer-term fixed mortgages has increased to stand at nearly 10 times what it was in January 2014.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, January 22, 2019

The 5 Rules of Real Estate Investment / Housing-Market / Buy to Let

By: OutreachMama

Like every other form of investing, your primary goal as a real estate investor is to always be in the green. To do that, you have to balance your relentless pursuit of opportunity with an eye for safe deals. By applying the below strategies to your real estate investment, you increase your odds of making the right decisions consistently.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, January 21, 2019

UK House Prices, Immigration, and Population Growth Mega Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My latest analysis in a series aimed at arriving at a new multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices covers population growth which is one of the key primary drivers for UK house prices which since the Labour government of 1997 natural population growth net of births and deaths has been vastly supplemented by what has amounted to out of control immigration courtesy of Britain's membership of the European Union and the former Labour governments objective for the importation of millions of potential Labour voters from mostly new member states from across an impoverished eastern europe that resulted in near 5 million economic migrants settling in the UK by 2016, mostly in what were already over crowded British cities, thus putting severe pressure on services and infrastructure and the whole housing market as the likes of the rental sector soared with 1 million new buy to let landlords entering the market buying 4 million properties, forcing up house prices across the board where rents in large part are being funded by tax payers in the form of the soaring housing benefits bill.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Wednesday, January 09, 2019

Are Changing Prices to San Francisco Starter Homes Enough? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Bubbles ultimately die of their own extremes, although it always helps to have a trigger like the subprime crisis in 2006.

But the San Francisco area takes the cake when it come to the U.S. real-estate bubbles! (That Canadian honor goes to Vancouver and in Australia it’s Sydney and Melbourne.)

And prices have started to fall, albeit slowly, despite no slowdown in the economy and only modestly rising interest rates thus far.

Why?

Because of the insanity of home prices there! They’re massively overpriced, especially in the large and critical starter-home market.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Sunday, December 30, 2018

UK House Prices Bank of England 30% Crash Warning vs Momentum Forecast 2019 / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the next analysis in this series to conclude in a new detailed multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices.

So is a NO DEAL 30% crash in UK house prices even possible let alone probable as the Bank of England forecasts? Lets see what momentum suggests is going to happen in 2019.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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