Category: Agricultural CommoditiesThe analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, March 07, 2017
BY PATRICK WATSON : Humans have needs, but we need some things more than others.
Back in the 1940s, American psychologist Abraham Maslow famously classified human needs into a hierarchy, often shown as a pyramid.
At the foundation are our physiological needs: air, water, food, etc. Only when these needs are met can we reach upward to more and more refined stages of material, intellectual, emotional, and spiritual fulfillment.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 09, 2017
When has food been more valuable than technology? Aside from all of history, that was especially true in 2016. Chart below is our Investment Scoreboard for 2016. In it are portrayed the returns for a variety of important market measures. Gold stocks, Silver, oil, and Agri-Equities clearly owned the year. Agri-Equities, number four in chart, substantially outperformed most of the equity markets. In 2016 food was clearly more valuable than those tired, old, over owned technology and internet stocks as indicated by the NASDAQ 100 being far down in the list.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 12, 2016
An investment reality is that neither bear nor bull markets last forever. From high, July 2014, to low, October 2016, the Agri-Food Price Index fell 23%. Since that low, this index of 18 Agri-Commodity prices has risen 19%, and is nearing a new 52-week high. If we accept the popular notion that a 20% rise from a low signals a new bull market, Agri-Commodity prices may be birthing a new bull market. Chart below is for Agri-Food Price Index over the past year.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
The 90% rally in sugar prices since late 2015 fulfills our long-standing forecast
Imagine that the world's leading commodity markets were cars speeding down a two-lane highway. Who do you think is in the driver's seat controlling which direction prices go?Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 13, 2016
And that goes too for what we eat!
The 30-Year Commodity Cycle peaked in mid-2008 and has been the first major bubble to crash and burn.
The CRB (Commodity) Index has been down as low as 67%, with the potential for 74% or lower in the next few years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 09, 2016
The sugar price has experienced a solid move up off the lows putting in a high back in July at $21.10. Since then price looks to be in a process of distribution and I expect a more substantial correction to take place.
Let's take a bottom up approach to the analysis beginning with the daily chart.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 23, 2016
The soybean price had a cracker of a run recently and is now consolidating. Once this corrective phase is over I expect price to soar once more to even greater heights.
Let’s review the technicals beginning with the longer term yearly chart.
Thursday, June 09, 2016
The inevitable just seems to keep coming around. That over time food would become scarcer in our world has been well known for decades. Simply put, global demand for food continues to expand. Inevitable scarcity of food for the world is occasionally hidden by short-term bursts of exceptionally good harvests. But, exceptionally good is not a normal state for world's Agri-Food production.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 27, 2016
The sugar price has traded exactly as outlined in analysis titled, Sugar Technical Outlook, produced back in September 2015 and has seen price increase by just over 50%.
That analysis outlined the expectation for price to trade up to around the $16.25 level. Price just hit a high of $16.75 before reversing back down impulsively. I believe that completes the intermediate term rally.
Monday, February 15, 2016
Sasafuturestrading writes: Remember that there is one open position in the COPPER market.
SOYBEANS WEEKLY SETUP:Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 29, 2016
On Wednesday Jan 27th I wrote an article that gave you a picture perfect trade setup. The trade is on sugar or the SGG sugar ETF. As of this writing sugar is now over 10% in our favor from the original entry and trading at short term support.
This is a critical level to lock in partial profits and move your stop in the money for the balance of the trade to be safe. I just want to keep following up with this trade as many followers are in this trade with me.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Sugar Commodity Sweet Holiday Trade Is In Play & In The Money! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
As traders we are always on the hunt for new trade ideas poised and ready for big moves. And back on Dec 17th 2015 I shared a sweet trade idea publicly on my blog and other financial websites.
If you want so see much more detailed charts and analysis from Dec 17th visit my blog page as it paints a clear picture: http://www.thegoldandoilguy.com/a-sweet-trade-setup-for-the-holiday-season-tis-the-season/Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 04, 2016
Corn Market 2015
I have been watching corn prices lately as they are getting low enough to at least pique my interest into looking at a market that usually just gets bypassed with the rest of my agricultural futures prices tab on my trading platform, more out of habit than having anything in particular against the agricultural markets. The March 2016 Futures contract was down about 16% in 2015 along with most of the commodity space on fund outflows, a weak China, and a strong dollar.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 18, 2015
Before I dig into the nitty gritty of this potentially sweet trade setup, I would like to first wish everyone a Merry Christmas and Happy Holiday!
Being from Canada, I’m very lucky to be able to spend quality time with my family for the next month down in the sunshine state of Florida. I sure love the ocean breeze, sand between the toes, palm trees, and heat. Its amazing how cold Floridians make a sunny 70-degree day look being all bundled up in pants, jackets, and hats while I live in my bathing suit practically the entire time I’m down here. I don’t put on pants or a sweater until its 65ish outside or a restaurant demands I must wear pants and I’m still sweating wearing all that clothing. Its great to be back in America!Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 24, 2015
The corn price finally looks set to pop a lot higher so let's look at the short term action with the daily chart and then refresh ourselves of the long term outlook which remains unchanged.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Island Earth is our latest article on the concept of Peak Food, which was introduced in two previous articles. We do recommend reading those other two articles in conjunction with this one: Peak Food 2 and Peak Food, An Introduction
Below we will observe that Island Earth is a major component of Peak Food. Reality is that Island Earth, combined with a myriad of other factors, has serious negative implications for our world's ability over time to satisfy human demand for food at affordable prices. Today, many ignore the reality of Peak Food. For the farsighted investors, Peak Food offers an investment opportunity that can provide benefits for generations.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 09, 2015
Agricultural Commodities Prices Prepare To Launch Higher Again / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
As outlined in previous analysis, the price of the agricultural commodities of corn, soybeans and wheat look to have already kicked off the bear rallies. From previous longer term analysis, we are expecting these bear rallies to be big ones.
Prices have come back down and now look ready to launch into the next stage of these rallies so let's revise the technicals of each commodity using the daily charts.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Winning the Hunger Games - How to Choose Successful Agriculture Investments / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Starting with the premise that people have to eat, The Agletter Editor Tom Wallace has found productive fields in the many subsectors of the ag investment space. Without discounting the risks, he explains to The Energy Report how investors can recognize and hedge those risks. Wallace also names three favorite companies that span the spectrum, from planting the seed to foodstuff.
The Energy Report: Is investing in agriculture like investing in any other commodity, or do investors new to the space need to get familiar with special considerations?Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 12, 2015
Corn, Soybeans, Wheat Agricultural Commodities Price Forecasts / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
The prices of agricultural commodities of corn, soybeans and wheat have all exploded higher recently. This has been expected and was laid out in analysis back in February 2015. Now that the rallies have kicked off let’s revise the technicals of all three soft commodities.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Your high-tech toy watch won't buy you an egg. To date, the U.S. is on course to destroy 40,721,073 birds, mainly laying hens. Yes, elves at USDA do like precision in their numbers. Those birds are the casualty of pathogenic avian influenza outbreak. Despite the state of today's technology, eggs still come from chickens not from factories or 3-D printers. And eggs are not the only Agri- Commodity that has defied both technology and conventional wisdom. By the way, U.S. egg prices are up 120% or more in the past month.Read full article... Read full article...