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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Politics & Social Trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Politics

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Trump-Kim Deal and the Long Path to Peace in the Korean Peninsula / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Dan_Steinbock

The new Trump-Kim joint agreement could prove a promising ‘memorandum of understanding.’ However, it is not just about denuclearization; it should also be about peace and U.S. withdrawal from the Korean peninsula.

Here are the facts: Following hours of closed-door talks in the Hotel Capella Singapore, President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signed a joint four-point agreement: to establish new US-North Korean relations, a stable peace regime, a North Korean commitment to achieve the “complete denuclearization” of the Korean peninsula, and the repatriation of the remains of American prisoners of war.

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Politics

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

G7 Globalist Fear Trump Trade Reset / Politics / Protectionism

By: BATR

President Trump has announced that the U.S. piggy bank will no longer subsidize or be sucked dry to finance a pack of ungrateful allies. Keeping the Socialist EU afloat and putting up with backstabbers like Canada or allowing Japan to roll up massive trade surpluses must stop. The latest rumblings out of the UK are that all efforts are working overtime to nix the will of the Brit public from the Brexit vote. As for corporatists within the United States, the bulwark of opposition to Trump's push to demand reciprocal treatment from "so called" trading partners means an end to the gravy train of plundering American workers and ripping off a viable domestic economy.

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Politics

Monday, June 11, 2018

When Trump Met Fibonacci And Won / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Something curious happened during the Trump love fest at the G7 over the weekend. And I don’t think many people would have got it. In fact the entire western press, far as I could see, were blaming Trump for the dissolution of the treaties and whatall that the political class had worked so hard on for 50+ years.

But when you look at the whole thing from an energy level, Trump obviously won hands down. Merkel, Macron and Trudeau had no idea what to do with such a disruptive figure -though it could hardly have been a surprise to them- and so they sort of cowered back into a defensive posture as a group, saying Trump shouldn’t rock their boat. But that’s what he came there to do.

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Politics

Saturday, June 09, 2018

Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks / Politics / Protectionism

By: Richard_Mills

What’s the best way to deal with a teacher who comes into your school and starts threatening all the other teachers? Well if you’re Liberal party leader, and Canada’s Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau, the answer is to lecture the bullying teacher about how his approach isn’t the way to get along with all the other teachers. If you’re the bully, you’re not going to listen to that, and instead, will react to the head teacher’s scolding by insulting him, or maybe putting him in a headlock. If that doesn’t work in getting your way, you could try to turn the other teachers against each other, dealing with them separately instead of with the whole teaching staff. “Divide and conquer” works well for bullies.

This little analogy is how we might look at the way Donald Trump has manipulated Canada and Mexico into a situation where not only have they failed to recognize and counter a typical Trump “art of the deal” strategy in coming up with a renewed tri-lateral trade agreement, but where the two countries may now be forced to negotiate separate trade deals with their largest trading partner. How did we get here and what does this ratcheted-up trade war mean for Canada, the United States and investors? This article will address these questions.

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Politics

Friday, June 08, 2018

America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War / Politics / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raymond_Matison

Domestically, there are two institutions which are capable of starting, executing, and managing a domestic or a global financial war.   The first is the Federal Reserve System, which with its banks has the unfettered power to print money, create credit, and set interest rates.  The second is our own government which through its elected officials sets foreign policy that includes its demonstrated power to influence foreign elections, covertly remove uncooperative foreign leaders from office, and to wage war both physical and financial without any formal declarations.  America’s participation in the Korean War over seventy years ago was defined as a police action rather than a war which would have required Congressional approval, and conflicts since then have mostly eluded the requirement for congressional approval.  However, no financial war has required a formal declaration nor Congressional approval, as they are initiated against any targeted country without visible bloodshed, frequently on a clandestine basis.

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Politics

Friday, June 08, 2018

Advanced World’s Reality: G6 Summit Minus G1  / Politics / Global Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

The G7 Summit is split between the United States and six other major advanced economies. President Trump’s unipolar economic and strategic doctrines are undermining US alliances, world trade – and America itself.

Recently, the Trump administration’s officials marked its 500 days with a chorus of tweets. “Many believe I’ve accomplished more than any other president,” Trump said. When he arrived in the office, markets had enjoyed an unsustainable boom, as corporate America expected the president to fulfill his pledges of radical liberalization, privatization and deregulation.

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Politics

Tuesday, June 05, 2018

Credit And Bank Cards Stop Working, Sending Masses Into Frenzy / Politics / War on Cash

By: BATR

The digital cashless empire took a huge credibility blow Friday as Visa card holders all over Europe were unable to make transactions.

Caused by an apparent ‘hardware failure,’ the widespread network outage affected large portions of the continent---a region that’s already made dangerous moves toward a cashless society.

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Politics

Tuesday, June 05, 2018

Progressive Google Internet Censorship / Politics / Google

By: BATR

You remember? "A long time ago in a galaxy far, far away...." also applies to a cosmos other than Star Wars. The degrading of free speech inevitably leads to censorship and a societal purge of ideas that conflict with the latest evolution of political correctness. The 21st Century version of book burning has gone digital and automated using Artificial Intelligence that applies algorithm filters to exclude the free exchange of different views and accounts of historic analysis. The most partisan progressive cannot maintain that the liberal bias which has now become the hallmark of Google's search results and news is based upon any objective standards of empirical information or fair and balanced reporting.  

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Politics

Monday, June 04, 2018

US Tariffs vs China, EU, NAFTA – and the Rest of the World? / Politics / Protectionism

By: Dan_Steinbock

After months of trade war with China, US subjected its EU and NAFTA partners to steel and aluminum tariffs. EU leaders missed a year seeking appeasement with Trump’s protectionism. It’s time to defend the multilateral trading regime.

Unsurprisingly, the European Union (EU), Canada and Mexico have lambasted the US steel and aluminum tariffs. European Commission (EC) President Jean-Claude Juncker criticized Trump’s tariffs and pledged retaliation in due time. French President Emmanuel Macron and German government spokesman called the move unlawful. In Britain, the Brexit proponents and opposition quickly blamed each other for the tariffs. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said the tariffs would “harm industries and workers on both sides of the Canada-US border.”

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Politics

Sunday, June 03, 2018

Climate Change Mass Extinction - Birds, Bees and Bugs: Going Going Gone / Politics / Climate Change

By: Richard_Mills

The twitter of birds, the buzzing of bees, the drone of insects are all welcome signs of spring, but could species reduction or extinction, made worse by climate change, mute these sounds to the point where we will have to install apps on our phones to mimic them?

The idea of a silent spring might seem a tad alarmist, but the fate of the world’s wildlife - both land-based and marine - is not looking good. According to research by the World Wildlife Fund and the Zoological Society of London, over the past 40 years the number of wild animals living on Earth has been cut in half. Among the most hard-hit species are forest elephants in central Africa, where deaths by poachers now exceed birth rates, the Hoolock gibbon in Bangladesh, the European meadow and asp vipers, grey partridges in the UK and curlew sandpipers in Australia.

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Politics

Saturday, June 02, 2018

The EU Respond Angerly to Trump’s Steel and Aluminium Tariffs / Politics / Protectionism

By: Ben_Jardine

This week, we witnessed Trump’s introduction of new tariffs of 10% duty on aluminium and 25% duty on steel from the EU, Canada and Mexico. This seemed to be on the cards since Trump’s election manifesto, as he was trying to ‘Make America Great Again’.

Intriguingly, this disputed move goes against the recent growth in the US manufacturing sector at the start of the year, as according the Wells Fargo Securities analysts: "Hiring in the manufacturing sector has been solid this year as the industry has shaken off last year's commodity slump, the dollar has weakened, and global growth has strengthened." Therefore, the weakened US Dollar allowing trans-Atlantic growth to be made which boosted the American economy prior to the new tariffs being implemented today.  

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Politics

Saturday, June 02, 2018

Making Italy Great Again / Politics / Italy

By: Peter_Schiff

This week, market watchers around the world are justifiably fixated with the high-stakes, high-drama political developments unfolding in Italy. While a political crisis in the world’s 9th largest economy (International Monetary Fund figures, 4/17/18) would normally not be enough to cause an international meltdown, given how thin the global economic ice has become as a result of ever-increasing debt loads, even small disruptions can create systemic problems. But from my perspective, what makes the Italian drama so interesting is that it parallels so precisely developments in the United States. It’s amazing that more Americans do not realize, that when looking at Italy, they are looking at a fun house mirror reflection of the United States.

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Politics

Saturday, June 02, 2018

Is the EU About to Collapse? Stocks Don’t Think So / Politics / European Stock Markets

By: Graham_Summers

The “Italy Crisis” is over.

I know the headlines read as though Italy was collapsing and the Euro is about to implode. But the headlines are reporting on yesterday’s news.

The collapse of the Italy government means a new election. That, in turn, means a pro-Euro politician heading Italy. And that in turn means the Italy Crisis is over.

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Politics

Friday, June 01, 2018

This is Italy Not Sparta / Politics / Italy

By: Raul_I_Meijer

“European Stocks Surge Celebrating New Spanish, Italian Governments”, says a Zero Hedge headline. “Markets Breathe Easier As Italy Government Sworn In”, proclaims Reuters. And I’m thinking: these markets are crazy, and none of this will last more than a few days. Or hours. The new Italian government is not the end of a problem, it’s the beginning of many of them.

And Italy is far from the only problem. The new Spanish government will be headed by Socialist leader Pedro Sanchez, who manoeuvred well to oust sitting PM Rajoy, but he also recently saw the worst election result in his party’s history. Not exactly solid ground. Moreover, he needed the support of Catalan factions, and will have to reverse much of Rajoy’s actions on the Catalunya issue, including probably the release from prison of those responsible for the independence referendum.

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Politics

Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Hotel Europa - EU and Euro Cannot Survive in Their Present State / Politics / European Union

By: Raul_I_Meijer

On Friday, in This is the End of the Euro, I said: The euro has become a cage, a prison for the poorer brethren. The finance minister proposed by 5-Star/Lega and refused by Italian president Mattarella, Paolo Savona, has called the euro a German cage.

There are now stories spreading that the coalition, Savona first of all, were secretly planning an exit from the euro. A series of slides Savona prepared in 2015 on how to exit the euro is used as evidence of that secret plan. But the slides are not secret. Yes, he has said that it’s good to have a plan to leave ‘if necessary’. But that’s not the same as secretly planning such a move.

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Politics

Tuesday, May 29, 2018

Why Philippines Economy Is Thriving, Despite IMD / Politics / Asian Economies

By: Dan_Steinbock

According to the 2018 IMD World Competitiveness report, Philippines ranking plunged nine notches. In reality, competitiveness indexes often fail to capture disruptive change.

According to the IMD report, executed in cooperation with the Asian Institute of Management, Philippines fell by nine places to 50th among 63 countries.

Nevertheless, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto Pernia called the findings a “misobservation” - and rightly so.

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Politics

Sunday, May 27, 2018

How Trump’s Ditching of Iran Nuclear Deal Affirms American Unipolarity with Obama’s help / Politics / US Politics

By: Dan_Steinbock

The Trump White House plans to break the Iran deal by sanctioning companies from Europe and Asia doing business in and with Iran. Ironically, President Obama paved the way to unilateral sanctions.

For three years, the comprehensive nuclear accord (JCPOA) has offered Iran relief from US, UN and multilateral sanctions on energy, financial, shipping, automotive and other sectors. But recently that era came to a halt. “The United States will withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal,” President Trump said on May 8.

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Politics

Sunday, May 27, 2018

Blackstone, BlackRock or a Public Bank for California’s Money? / Politics / US Politics

By: Ellen_Brown

California needs over $700 billion in infrastructure during the next decade. Where will this money come from? The $1.5 trillion infrastructure initiative unveiled by President Trump in February includes only $200 billion in federal funding, and less than that after factoring in the billions in tax cuts in infrastructure-related projects. The rest is to come from cities, states, private investors and public-private partnerships (PPPs). And because city and state coffers are depleted, that chiefly means private investors and PPPs, which have a shady history at best.

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Politics

Friday, May 25, 2018

Trump “Victories” on Trade are Anything But / Politics / US Politics

By: Peter_Schiff

Earlier this year when President Trump began beating the drums loudly, causing fear of a trade war (and assuring us that such a conflict could be easily won), I cautioned that he had no idea the trouble he was courting. Based on his spectacular misunderstanding of the power dynamic built in to international trade, he was also in danger of bringing a knife to a gunfight.

As the year has progressed, the underbrush has gotten thornier, Trump’s progress on trade has slowed, and now it has likely stopped altogether. Despite that, in true Trumpian fashion, the President has declared resounding victory. But a quick look back reveals the opposite to be true.

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Politics

Friday, May 25, 2018

Spanish Political Crisis - This is the End of the Euro / Politics / Euro-Zone

By: Raul_I_Meijer

The Spanish government is about to fall after the Ciudadanos party decided to join PSOE (socialist) and Podemos in a non-confidence vote against PM Rajoy. Hmm, what would that mean for the Catalan politicians Rajoy is persecuting? The Spanish political crisis is inextricably linked to the Italian one, not even because they are so much alike, but because both combine to create huge financial uncertainty in the eurozone.

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