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Category: GeoPolitics

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Sunday, November 27, 2016

Castro Was Not Who You Thought He Was / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Jeff_Berwick

Castro is dead, but he achieved his purpose, which was to aggravate the Cold War, provide a test case for communism and frighten people about incipient nuclear missile exchanges.

His passing marks the end of the first phase of the Cold War. Now it is very obvious that a second phase is being prepared.

Tensions between Russia and the US are being continually heightened… and no, they are still ongoing even with the election of Trump who, under the guidance of Henry “War Criminal” Kissinger, has pledged his full support for NATO while Putin has replied that he will crush NATO.

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Politics

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Understanding the Trump Presidency , Beyond Merkel / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

By Reva Goujon : We hear all the time about how the world "should" work. Self-proclaimed liberals and conservatives, Keynesians and Reaganites, humanists and hawks, globalists and nationalists have crammed the airwaves and filled our Twitter feeds with policy prescriptions, promoting their worldview while scorning others'. But after the emotionally charged year this has been, I suspect many people are growing weary of big theories and cursory character assassinations. Instead, it may be time to replace the pedantry with something more fundamental — and less divisive — in which to ground our thoughts and make sense of the world.

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Politics

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Why A US-Russia Reset Will Help the Economy / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: AnyOption

Although the Democrats eagerly painted Russia as the enemy throughout the American election campaign, the budding dialogue between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President-elect Donald Trump has some interesting implications.  In many ways, both represent the ongoing global shift in political dynamics towards more right-wing governments.  While historically these developments have created an environment ripe for conflict and war, the surprising election of Trump may sow the seeds of change to this classical narrative. 

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Politics

Monday, November 21, 2016

Here’s the Real Reason Putin Sympathizes with Trump / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : The US presidential campaign contained a constant undertone of Russia and President Vladimir Putin.

Putin said nice things about Donald Trump, and Trump about Putin. In fact, there is a small faction of Trump supporters that admires Putin. They like that he is a strong leader and his position on gay rights and other matters. They do not see him as a former communist, but rather as a defender of Western civilization.

But, the key here is to understand the real issues that exist between the US and Russia. At the heart of this matter is Ukraine.

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Politics

Friday, November 04, 2016

Russia–US Tensions Likely to Rise in 2017 / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: John_Mauldin

There will be increased tensions between Russia and the US in the near future. That is the opinion of Jacob Shapiro, director of analysis for Geopolitical Futures. He argues that a Clinton win means the relationship between the US and Russia is going to worsen.

In an interview with Mauldin Economics, Shapiro begins by calling the Clinton campaign email leaks a “political sideshow.” He does not think it is a big deal, even if it was done by Russian hackers.

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Politics

Monday, October 31, 2016

Divergent Themes in Late 2016 / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Andy_Sutton

Despite the arrogance, hubris, and lying (obviously – its election season!), we have never seen a cycle that has be more absent in terms of policy details worthy of analysis. Outrageous claims about job creation, making America strong, and so forth are issued, but there is no substance. We have tried on numerous occasions to find enough specifics to even perform cursory analysis and it is just not there. It is very reminiscent of Nancy Pelosi telling America in 2010 that if they wanted to read the healthcare bill they had to pass it first. This is what passes for economic jurisprudence in the Republic the founders gave us all those years ago.

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Politics

Thursday, October 27, 2016

The US Is an Island of Stability in a Destabilizing World / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: John_Mauldin

Yet more proof that the grass is always greener on the other side of the fence. Despite Americans’ pessimism, world-famous strategic analyst George Friedman thinks that the US is in pretty good shape while “the entire Eurasian landmass is in a state of failure.”

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Politics

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

The US Sent a Warning Message to Putin / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: John_Mauldin

BY JACOB L. SHAPIRO : US Vice President Joe Biden went on NBC’s “Meet the Press” recently and said the US was sending a message to Russian President Vladimir Putin. 

Biden’s words come after the US released a statement that it was “confident that the Russian Government directed the recent compromises of e-mails from US persons and institutions, including from US political organizations.”

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Politics

Monday, October 24, 2016

Obama's Pivot to Asia Hits a Roadblock in the Philippines / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

While the mainstream media continues its obsessive reporting on the mud-slinging campaign for the White House, a dramatic development in China last week brought President Obama's "pivot to Asia" to a sudden halt. Philippine president Rodrigo Duterte, while in Beijing, announced his country's "separation" from the United States. He told his Chinese audience, "Your honors, in this venue, I announce my separation from the United States ... both in military, but also economics."

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Politics

Thursday, September 22, 2016

The Last Time We Saw This Was Before World War II / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Europe and Asia, taken together, are the heart of humanity. That’s where 5 billion out of the 7 billion people in the world live. When instability comes to this part of the world, it shakes humanity.

That’s why the geopolitical pattern developing in Eurasia is so ominous. It is like a hurricane—absorbing huge amounts of energy from the ocean, using that energy to build a vast, integrated structure, and then destroying whatever it touches.

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Politics

Monday, July 25, 2016

Terrorism Fuels Nationalism and Deglobalization of the World / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : The weaponized truck attack in Nice, France has terrorism fear on the rise once again. The incidents seem to be more frequent, and the death tolls are rising. People are afraid, and they want it to stop.

Don’t hold your breath, says George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures. The top geopolitics expert says all the options are bad. And, the wrong responses could make the problem even worse.

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Politics

Monday, April 11, 2016

As Ukraine Collapses, Europeans Tire of US Interventions / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

On Sunday Ukrainian prime minister Yatsenyuk resigned, just four days after the Dutch voted against Ukraine joining the European Union. Taken together, these two events are clear signals that the US-backed coup in Ukraine has not given that country freedom and democracy. They also suggest a deeper dissatisfaction among Europeans over Washington's addiction to interventionism.

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Politics

Saturday, December 26, 2015

The Force Awakens Star Wars U.S. Evil Empire vs Islamic JEhaDI Rebels? / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Star Wars franchise has returned with a block buster movie 'The Force Awakens' that once more pits a resurgent technologically advanced First Order Evil Empire against the religiously motivated but lightly armed desert dwelling JEhaDI warriors in an apparent war that involves the fulfillment of ancient prophecies.

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Politics

Sunday, December 20, 2015

John Kerry’s Moscow Lovefest / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Mike_Whitney

If John Kerry doesn’t win an Oscar for his performance in Moscow on Tuesday, then there’s something very wrong with the system.

From the time he touched down at Moscow’s Vnukovo Airport, to the time he left some 26 hours later, the Secretary of State was as cordial and conciliatory as anytime in recent memory.  There was no hectoring, no lecturing, no threats of additional sanctions and no finger-wagging condescension, just pleasant give-and-take on the main issues followed by friendly chit-chat, multiple handshakes, and plenty of smiley photo ops.   To say his hosts were surprised by Kerry’s behavior is a probably an understatement.  After nearly three years of nonstop belligerence and confrontation, the last thing Sergei Lavrov and Vladimir Putin expected was an ingratiating Kerry oozing brotherly love and carrying on like an old buddy from college.

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Politics

Sunday, November 15, 2015

Grandmaster Putin Beats Uncle Sam at His Own Game / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Mike_Whitney

Imagine that you despised your brother-in-law and wanted to kill him. But you didn’t have the guts to do it yourself so you hired a hit-man to do the job for you.

Would you still be guilty of murder?

You’re darn right, you would be. So let’s apply this same rule to US foreign policy: Would it be just as wrong to invade a country, kill its people and topple its government with militants that you funded, armed and trained as it would be with your own US troops?

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Politics

Sunday, October 04, 2015

Putin’s Blitz Leaves Washington Rankled and Confused / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Mike_Whitney

On Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered a blistering critique of US foreign policy to the UN General Assembly.

On Tuesday, Barack Obama shoved a knife in Putin’s back. This is from Reuters:

“France will discuss with its partners in the coming days a proposal by Turkey and members of the Syrian opposition for a no-fly zone in northern Syria, French President Francois Hollande said on Monday

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Politics

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

The Most Important Geopolitical Trend of the Next Decade…Here’s How to Profit / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

The bloodbath was merciless.

In 1842, 16,500 British soldiers and civilians withdrew from Kabul, Afghanistan. Only one would survive.

It was the most humiliating military disaster in British history. The death toll sealed Afghanistan’s reputation as “the graveyard of empires.”

It was the desire for control of Central Asia that sucked the British Army into its Afghan disaster.

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Politics

Saturday, September 05, 2015

China’s Worst nightmare--The US Oil Weapon / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Submissions

Tingbin Zhang writes: China’s islanding building on the four-mile-long and two-mile-wide Subi Reef in the South China Sea has put The US in a tight spot. To protect its ally from China’s aggression, The US will be left with little choice but to constrain China by military means. However, the US won't directly engage China in the war in the foreseeable future, because the US dominates China with its superior naval and air force and the only way for China to level the playing field is to apply nuclear weapons. The nuclear nature of Sino-American warfare will make both the world no.1 and no.2 economy the fallen giants.

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Politics

Thursday, August 20, 2015

Moving Toward a Geopolitical Marketplace / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

Jay Ogilvy writes: This column frames a question to which I do not have the answer. Or think of it as a historical agenda: How can we bring the logic of free market exchange into the domain of geopolitical conflict?

Why would we want to do such a thing? It's not simply a matter of substituting gold for guns, or nonviolent exchange for violent exchange. The question I am posing is not based on some utopian hope for perpetual peace. The distinction I want to focus on is the difference between zero-sum conflict and positive-sum exchange.

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Politics

Thursday, August 20, 2015

What's Really At Stake With The Iran Nuclear Deal / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: OilPrice_Com

Recently, I wrote on these pages that a remarkable turnaround was taking place in the President's fortunes. It's an impressive display of rising from the depths of falling popularity last fall, and it is starting to be felt in many areas, with major impacts on the future of energy.

At his lowest point, the U.S. President was widely regarded as a lame duck, shedding influence and power, and on a down-hill slide.

This was followed by a number of embarrassments, with one of the worst coming from Russia, when it chose to provide sanctuary to Edward Snowden who revealed that the U.S. was hacking the strategic communications of its closest allies.

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