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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Election Oracle

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Likelihood of Organized Disruption at GOP Convention / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: BATR

The anticipated and long awaited political theater of the political conventions is upon us. The Republican gala has special expectation. “The Donald” will make a real show out of this high tension wire walk across the political divide of GOP careerist party stalwarts. Those populist upstart activists that raise the participation impact of new primary voters are invading the clandestine chambers of the privileged establishment. The never Trump movement will have their last gasp, but the surreptitious NeoCon insiders will not go away. Their covert choice is still Hillary Clinton.  

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, July 17, 2016

Trump/Pence Dog and Pony Show Kick-Off / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Stephen_Lendman

Politics in America combines image-building with deception. It’s more about theatrics than substance, voters left uninformed about issues mattering most. The fate of the nation and world hang in the balance.

On Saturday in Manhattan, the Trump/Spence train left the station, aiming for triumph in November, not derailment.

Introducing Indiana Governor Mike Spence to a national TV audience, Trump called him “my partner in this campaign.”

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, June 26, 2016

BBC EU Referendum Result Highlights - YouGov, Markets, Bookmakers, Pollsters ALL WRONG! / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here are the key highlights I have picked form 8 hours of BBC coverage of the EU Referendum count that started shortly after 10pm as YouGov's poll effectively gave the referendum to REMAIN on 52% against LEAVE on 48% which even prompted Nigel Farage to effectively concede defeat at around 10.15pm, sending sterling soaring to its highest level against the dollar for 2016, and also triggering a sharp FTSE stock futures rally, which I will cover in-depth in an accompanying video on trading sterling and FTSE during brexit, until then here are the highlights of what happened after the polls closed on Thursday 23rd of June.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, June 24, 2016

BrExit Morning - New Dawn for Britain, Independence Day! / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Despite all that the establishments project fear threw at the EU referendum campaign in an attempt to scare the British people into being good docile wage slaves by following the commands of their masters, those who have owned Britain for centuries! However the establishment elite has clearly grossly underestimated the British people who have found the courage to vote for FREEDOM. And so Britain awakes today, June 24th to a NEW DAWN, A NEW LIFE, the beginning of Britain's Independence from the emerging european super state, and thus best place to cope with the unfolding consequences of climate change that will increasingly make its apocalyptic presence felt with each passing year.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, June 24, 2016

LEAVE Wins EU Referendum - Sterling and FTSE Hit Hard, Pollsters, Bookies and Markets All WRONG! / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

4am BST: With now nearly 20 million votes counted out of an estimated total of 33 million, LEAVE are maintaining a 2% lead of 51% against 49% for REMAIN, then this continues to confirm that LEAVE / BrExit are heading for a referendum win because as Jeremy Vine keeps periodically reminding BBC viewers that LEAVE are doing far better than their models suggested they should be, which if maintained implies that LEAVE are definitely heading for referendum win, which compares against the situation of when the polls closed and the release of YouGov's opinion poll of the day that gave REMAIN a commanding 4% lead over LEAVE, which even prompted Nigel Farage to effectively throw in the towel, apparently after talking to his friends in the city who assured him that REMAIN had won.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, June 24, 2016

Trading BrExit - British Pound Plunges, FTSE Stock Futures Slump on LEAVE Shock Referendum Win / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

3am BST: With now 8 million votes counted, the headline of standings of near 50/50 masks the fact that as Jeremy Vine periodically keeps reminding BBC viewers that LEAVE are doing far better than their models suggested they should be, which if maintained implies that LEAVE are heading for referendum win, which compares against the situation of when the polls closed and the release of YouGov's polling for the day that gave REMAIN a commanding 4% lead over LEAVE, which even prompted Nigel Farage to effectively throw in the towel, apparently after talking to his friends in the city who assured him that REMAIN had won.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, June 24, 2016

EU Referendum Shock Results Putting BrExit LEAVE in the Lead Hitting Sterling Hard / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Results at 1am BST are reversing the REMAIN camps earlier complacency that following the polls closing had many congratulating themselves after YouGov's 10pm poll that gave REMAIN a commanding 4% lead over LEAVE. We even even saw Nigel Farage effectively throw in the towel, apparently after talking to his friends in the city who assured him that REMAIN had won.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Thursday, June 23, 2016

Final Opinion Poll Gives REMAIN 52% Lead, Bookmakers, Markets and Pollsters ALL Back REMAIN Win / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The final opinion poll of the EU Referendum campaign by YouGov was released at 10pm just as the polls closed and the counting began, putting REMAIN in a clear 4 point lead on 52% against LEAVE on 48%, which is what the story that the mainstream press is running with given that the first significant results won't be known for at least another 3 hours.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, June 23, 2016

Keep Calm and Vote BrExit - Last Chance to Break Free of EU Superstate / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In February Prime Minister David Cameron defacto surrendered virtually every point of his already heavily watered down non binding deal with the European Union who stated would only legislate the laws AFTER the the UK had voted to remain within the EU. Which the EU Parliament President clarified as implying that virtually every aspect of the deal would be subject to debate and resistance from the dozen or so eastern european benefits claiming states, who would likely decide to reject most of the so called UK deal, that effectively has been repeatedly used as a smoke screen to hoodwink the British people into giving up their democracy and freedoms.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, June 23, 2016

Here’s the Foreign Policy Trump and Clinton Really Want / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Forget for a moment that Hillary Clinton is a criminal, Donald Trump is crazy, and both are liars. This is an election year, and demons stalk the world. It is now clear that one of them will be president of the United States.

Behind the heated rhetoric lie two very diverse visions for American foreign policy. But what presidents want and what they get are usually very different things.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

BrExit Looks Set to Win EU Referendum, Final Opinion Polls Give LEAVE Lead Over REMAIN / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Latest opinion polls taken today (22nd of June) both put LEAVE marginally ahead of REMAIN, TNS (online) 43% LEAVE against 41% for REMAIN and Opinium (online) 45% LEAVE against 44% for REMAIN. Which illustrates that whilst leave as the advantage nevertheless given the margin of error then both camps are virtually neck and neck, literally balanced on a knife edge going into voting day that compares against the dramatic shifts in the poll leads of the past 10 days.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Will Brexit Be Used as Scapegoat for Global Financial Reset? - Video / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Mario_Innecco

hi minako 64 here home of alternative economics and contrarian views
so we've got one day to go to the EU referendum here in the UK or Brax it as
it's more colloquially known and i usually don't buy the newspapers but I
went down to the shop around near my house and i bought the Sun today which
is the biggest tabloid newspaper in the UK and as you can see it says what Queen
asked dinner guests give me three good reasons to stay in Europe
so apparently the Queen has been asking doing the guests that question and they
the press has contacted buckingham palace for you know an explanation and
they've they not confirmed it nor denied and they said we don't comment on the.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

BrExit to Save Europe from Climate Change Refugee Migration Apocalypse / ElectionOracle / Climate Change

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Latest opinion poll by YouGov puts REMAIN marginally ahead on 45% against LEAVE on 44%, which illustrates that both LEAVE and REMAIN camps are virtually neck and neck, literally balanced on a knife edge going into voting day that compares against the dramatic shifts in the polls of the past 10 days.

The opinion polls momentum chart clearly shows a trend since Mid May of LEAVE gaining ground against REMAIN which by the start of June had both virtually neck and neck into the 13th of June when LEAVE started to pull strongly away from REMAIN, right up until last Thursdays horrific event that literally resulted in momentum being put into reverse gear for LEAVE that led to REMAIN taking a marginal polls lead that it continues to maintain though without momentum to carry the marginal lead any further.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Hong Kong’s Richest Man Warns Against Brexit as Vote Looms / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Bloomberg

As one of the U.K.’s largest investors, Li has much at stake

U.K. accounts for 37 percent of profit at Li’s main company

Hong Kong’s richest man stepped up his calls for Britons to vote in favor of staying in the European Union as the world braces for the outcome of this week’s vote.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

EU Referendum Latest Opinion Polls Show LEAVE Halting REMAINs Surge / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Latest opinion poll shows REMAINs lead is already crumbling as YouGov now puts LEAVE back in the lead on 44% against REMAIN on 42% and therefore bringing REMAINs strong momentum in the wake of the last Thursdays horrific events to a shuddering halt that had seen LEAVEs commanding lead quickly evaporate to resolve in a series of polls that put REMAIN ahead.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Don't Let George Soros and Lord Rothschild Scare You into Staying in the EU - Video / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Mario_Innecco

In this video I talk about a fear mongering campaign by George Soros,
Lord Jacob Rothschild and George Osborne trying to get the UK public to vote to remain in the EU on June 23, 2016

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

EU Referendum Opinion Polls Analysis Shows Strong Momentum in REMAINs Favour / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Last Thursdays killing of Pro-REMAIN Labour MP Jo Cox by a right wing extremist has had a dramatic effect on the EU referendum, where a poll lead for LEAVE has evaporated to give REMAIN a marginal lead that this momentum analysis of the most recent polling data attempts to illuminate.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, June 20, 2016

The Economic Reality of BrExit / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

The United Kingdom will shortly vote either leave or remain in the European Union. This is the most important European event of this century since a vote to leave will likely have important domino effects for the rest of Europe.

A recent poll showed that if the UK could keep free trade with EU nations, the British people would vote overwhelmingly to leave the EU. To drum up support for staying in the EU, The UK Government and quasi government agencies, like the IMF and OECD, have issue continuous warnings about the costs of such a divorce. The IMF recently reiterated its forecasts that BREXIT would have a significant negative effect on the UK economy with a drop in GDP anywhere between 1% and 9% over the long term. The reality is that Brexit would probably only have a minor initial impact on trade or GDP and, on the contrary, would open up vast possibilities for the UK to exploit trade relations with other faster growing regions of the world without having to reach complex trade agreements that satisfy the vested interests of the other 28 members of the EU. 

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ElectionOracle

Monday, June 20, 2016

Words Still Mean Things – Brexit With Graham Mehl / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Andy_Sutton

Last time our piece focused on what has come to be known as 'escape velocity' and how an aeronautical term has come to be used to provide some boost to the perception of the USEconomy when in fact it actually has noelocity whatsoever. This week we're going to take a look at another term, and even though it is an amalgam of two words, it still has profound meaning.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, June 20, 2016

Baroness Warsi the Manchurian Candidate Quits LEAVE for REMAIN, Boris Johnson Next? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Baroness Warsi, a mostly from the sidelines LEAVE campaigner has now apparently abandoned the cause for FREEDOM for Britain from an emerging european super state because of that naughty Nigel Farage's poster of last week that highlighted the migration crisis that Europe faces. However, as I have often voiced that these converts to the BrExit cause could well turn out to be 'manchurian candidates' who in the last days of the referendum campaign would publically switch in an attempt to do fatal damage to LEAVEs cause.

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