Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 30, 2009
Housing Market Boom and Bust According to Austrian Economic Theory / Housing-Market / Economic Theory
Is Housing a Higher-Order Good? While reviewing a book about the financial crisis, a policy analyst of the free-market persuasion pooh-poohed the notion that housing constitutes a long-term project or "higher-order good," insisting that homes are instead a "durable consumer good," and thus he believes that examining the housing meltdown through the lens of Austrian business-cycle theory is illegitimate.
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Wednesday, November 25, 2009
The Fed Fears New Mortgage Crisis Could Derail Economic Recovery / Housing-Market / US Housing
Although the number was just revised downward, the U.S. economy still expanded by 2.8 percent during the third quarter. So it definitely looks like the recession is history.
What’s more, last Thursday the Conference Board published its Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) for October. This indicator has a strong predictive history, having predicted each recession since the early 1960s as well as the one we’ve just gone through.
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Wednesday, November 25, 2009
FHA Train Wreck, New U.S. Housing Market Crisis / Housing-Market / US Housing
Who do you believe these days… the Govt…the news…or an industry insider? My bet would be with the industry insider.
Robert Toll the principle of the largest luxury home builder Toll Brothers said the other day that the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) is a train wreck waiting to happen.
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Dead Cat Bounce In Motion? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Looks like King Canute may be having a reality check; perhaps house prices are going to go where house prices are going to go?
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
U.S. House Prices Rise Again Despite Quarter of Mortgage Borrowers Underwater / Housing-Market / US Housing
Case Shiller housing data for September came out today and Home Prices Rose For 4th Consecutive Month.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Canada's Sub-Prime Mortgage Time Bomb / Housing-Market / Canada
Murray Dobbin writes: What do the mid-recession housing boom and the Harper Conservatives’ rise in the polls have in common? Answer: the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s massive sub-prime mortgage scheme that is keeping up the appearance of an economic recovery.
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Friday, November 20, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Mortgage Meltdown Wave Two / Housing-Market / US Housing
In Mortgage Delinquencies Up 58% we pointed out that the American home owner borrower will continue to experience difficulty in making their monthly payments for years to come.
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Thursday, November 19, 2009
BubbleOmics: Dubai Property Market Down And Out…Or Bounce? / Housing-Market / Middle East
On the sidelines of the Big News there are two stories making the rounds: Dubai property and Dubai debt.
In the grand scheme of things Dubai is a pretty small place (the economy is about 45% the size of Singapore), but it’s interesting from the perspective of bubbles.
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Wednesday, November 18, 2009
U.S. Real Estate Market Getting Worse / Housing-Market / US Housing
Though I am sure the National Association of Realtors has some statistic indicating that higher real estate prices are "right around the corner" (as they have every single month since before the crash started), real estate is getting worse. Wave 2 of the residential real estate crash is starting on cue and "walking away" from underwater mortgages has reached critical mass.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Bernanke and Pinball Could Learn A Lot From Hong Kong’s Property Bubble / Housing-Market / Hong Kong
Many years ago I met an old sweat Brit from Hong Kong, he told me two things (1) Hong Kong is the closest you will ever get to a pure free-market economy (2) that’s because it’s regulated.
He was absolutely right, it’s funny how health services, education and public utilities in Hong Kong are the best in the world and everything works, yet you step back and for a second you would think it’s a socialist dream. It’s not, it’s Adam Smith on Speed.
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Monday, November 16, 2009
UK Housing Market Buy-to-let Mortgage Sector Sees Signs of Recovery / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The buy-to-let sector has been one of the biggest casualties of the last two years, with 93% of all deals disappearing in that time.
Landlords unable to find more than a 20% deposit can no longer find a new deal, despite deals requiring just a 10% or 15% deposit making up 64.8% of the market just over two years ago.
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Thursday, November 12, 2009
Monetizing the U.S. Housing Market Debt / Housing-Market / US Housing
In reading the newspapers over the last eight months, since the Federal Reserve decided to print money on a massive scale in order to buy $300 billion in U.S. Treasuries along with about a trillion and a half dollars in mortgage related debt, these two groups of purchases have been viewed quite differently.
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Thursday, November 12, 2009
UK Mortgage Rip Off, Interest Rates Need to Fall Further / Housing-Market / Mortgages
In the last few weeks a number of lenders including Abbey, Halifax, Leeds BS, Nationwide BS, Northern Rock and Woolwich have made moves to cut mortgage rates, but rates are still a long way of the low reached earlier in the year.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Post-Financial Crisis Secularization Controversy / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin Hutchinson writes: Massachusetts Land Court judge Keith C. Long recently ruled that foreclosure sales of two properties with securitized mortgages were invalid, a decision that ties up thousands of Massachusetts real-estate transactions.
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Monday, November 09, 2009
If the U.S. Housing Meltdown Was Bad Wait for Commercial Real Estate Crash / Housing-Market / US Housing
That’s right, the next train wreck will be in commercial real estate. Couldn’t be worse than last year’s residential market crash? That remains to be seen. But it’s coming soon, probably as early as the second quarter of next year, and there’s nothing that can prevent it. The government will intervene, trying desperately to delay the day of reckoning, and may even succeed. For a while. But make no mistake about it, that train is going off the tracks no matter what.
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Thursday, November 05, 2009
The Great U.S. Housing Market Foreclosure Robbery Of The 21st Century / Housing-Market / US Housing
The Center for Responsible Lending estimates that there have now been 1,000,000 foreclosures filed so far in 2009 and the group expects the foreclosure number to double before the end of the year.
U.S. Home Vacancies Hit 18.7 Million on Bank Seizures (Update2) [1]
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Thursday, November 05, 2009
Fannie Mae's New Deed for Lease Program, Rent your Home from the Government / Housing-Market / US Housing
There are so many rescue programs going on, I am losing track. Thanks to reader Patrick for notifying me of this; I have been so busy staring at the mirror (while clicking heels 3x) slowly repeating "prosperity is back" I sometime forget how "prosperity" is being achieved.
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Thursday, November 05, 2009
UK Home Buyer Mortgage Deposit Requirements Ease But Interest Rates Still High / Housing-Market / UK Housing
There is a welcome relief to homeowners and first time buyers as lenders start to increase their maximum loan to values.
Since bank rate reached 0.50% on 5 March 2009, the number of products requiring a minimum of 15 per cent deposit has risen from 169 to 231, those requiring a minimum of 10% have risen from 89 to 105.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Telegraph UK House Price 55% Crash Forecast Revisited / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Back in March if this year the Telegraph and other mainstream media ran with a scare story that UK house prices could crash by a FURTHER 55%, this was after UK house prices had already fallen by 22% and whilst house prices had yet to bottom the Telegraph story at the time seemed to be a completely ridiculous scare mongering purely for the purpose of sensational headline grabbing rather than presenting something that their readership could utilise to their advantage.
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Sunday, November 01, 2009
Before Walking Away From Your Mortgage Consult An Attorney / Housing-Market / US Housing
I occasionally have people ask me what they should do about their underwater mortgage. I sometimes give them an opinion as to what I think might be appropriate but I always tell them to consult an attorney or You Walk Away (the latter has attorneys for the states they do business in).