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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Sunday, March 11, 2007

China and the Hedge Fund Dragon - Subprime Mortgage Market continues to Implode / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: John_Mauldin

This week we look at the possible latest entry into the hedge fund world, The People's Republic of China; review the cockroach principle of subprime mortgages; and investigate the possibility of whether we need more derivatives and not less than the $283 trillion or so we now have. It's a lot to cover, but it should all be interesting.

And speaking of China, we all read the stories about the rapid growth of the economy, the increasing percentage of the growth in demand for commodities and energy that comes because of that growth, the increased trade deficit with the US, and the rapid increase in foreign reserves.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Friday, March 09, 2007

The next wave of the US Housing Market Crash - Apartment REITs / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

I told you about the housing sales and pricing declines before they happened …

I told you that the subprime mortgage industry would end in disaster before the stocks blew up …

And today, I want to tell you about the next major group of companies that I think are going to get hit from the housing bust. I'm talking about apartment Real Estate Invest Trusts (REITs).

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Housing-Market

Sunday, March 04, 2007

US & UK Housing Market - How (Not) To Fix the Subprime Mortgages Collapse / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Adrian_Ash

As always, the market's way ahead of the Fed...

BEN BERNANKE told politicians in Washington this week that the collapse of subprime mortgage companies had been "contained".

   Perhaps Dr. Ben was just thinking of Fremont delaying its fourth-quarter results...or New Century Financial (NEW) having to restate its earnings for the first nine months of last year.

   Yes, that little nugget of news knocked NEW's stock 30% lower in one session last month. But the damage was still "contained", right? It's not like Bernanke had to revise GDP thirty per cent lower as a result.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, March 01, 2007

US Housing Market - Homeownership Rate and Sub-Prime Mortgages - A Positive Correlation? / Housing-Market / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Chart 1 shows that the national homeownership rate (the percentage of occupied housing units that are owner occupied housing units) started rising sharply around 1995, hitting a record high in 2004. Why this sudden rise in homeownership?

Chart 1

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, February 27, 2007

US Subprime Mortgages Fallout and Declining Housing Market likely to hit the Stock Market / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The continuing fallout from subprime mortgages is starting to weigh on the Stock Market as the consequences of failures continue to ripple out into the financial and home building market sectors. Already sharp sell offs have occurred in the shares of subprime lenders such as New Century Financial Corp, falling by more than 40% in less than a week. As well as major banks such as HSBC issuing statements on the impact of defaults.

US Subprime Mortgages fallout and Declining Housing Market likely to hit the Stock Market

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Housing-Market

Sunday, February 25, 2007

UK House Prices continue to Rise whilst the US Housing Market Slumps / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The UK housing market has proved remarkably resilient by notching up a further gain for January of 1.3% (Halifax) , whilst the US Housing market continues to go from bad to worse as the sub prime mortgages time bomb goes off, resulting in a slump that looks set to be the worst since the Great Depression of the 1930's.

The key to the strength of the UK housing market has been the fact that UK house prices have yet to reach the excesses of the early 1990's, in terms of House Price to Earnings to Interest rates ratio. Traditionally, average earnings and house prices have been taken together to produce an affordability ratio, this ratio has clearly in recent years shown itself to be flawed, as UK house prices have not fallen, because this measure has ignored historically low interest rates as a function of earnings and house prices, and therefore a more accurate indicator needs to include interest rates.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, February 24, 2007

US Housing Market Cracks Extend to Major Banks / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Words from older European sage economists are as welcome to the mainstream financial circles as welcome as leisure suits and hot pants are to the fashion set, as eight track tape sets are to the home music systems, as old Model T Fords are to the classic car vogue (see the Chevy Powerglide).

Yet the wisdom of economist teachings from Old Europe has never lost its meaning. Almost half a century ago, Rothbard warned of booms and busts, noting the inevitability of a dissipated bubble whose occurrence is assured like night follows day. Advising against bubbles is so passé these years. Try telling a PhD Economist from a top US university of the dangers from excessive monetary inflation, the attendant risks for making asset bubbles, and (s)he will think you are crazy. On a couple of occasions, such has been my pleasure and disconcerting experience. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Housing Market Subprime Mortgages Timebomb waiting to Explode / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Michael_K_Dawson

Remember when a 20% down payment was expected when purchasing a house. Sometimes with stellar credit and maybe a special situation, like a first-time home buyer, you could get in with a 10% down payment. I recall a few weeks after my wife and I purchased our first home - both cars broke down.

Saving for your first home is one of the few times, from a financial perspective, that both husband and wife are clearly on the same page. Everything takes a back seat to saving for that down payment - shoe shopping, night out with the boys, everything. That's exactly why both of our cars broke down. We had neglected maintaining the cars and everything else while saving for our down payment. 

US Housing Market Subprime Timebomb waiting to explode

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Housing-Market

Saturday, February 17, 2007

US Housing Market Subprime Mortgage debacle unfolding as expected ! / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Money_and_Markets

Virtually every single prediction I made about the subprime mortgage industry over the past year is coming true. In a moment, I'll tell you what this means to you if you're buying or selling a home, or even just looking at investments in the housing and mortgage markets.

But first, I'd like to tell you how things have been unfolding ...

In June 2006, I said: “Real estate is already starting to fall apart all around us ... Prices on a wide variety of properties are going to fall in vast swaths of the U.S. ... Defaults and foreclosures are going to skyrocket.”

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Housing-Market

Saturday, February 10, 2007

US housing market - Subprime lending sector spiraling south ! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

ContiFinancial ... EquiCredit ... The Money Store ... Southern Pacific Funding. Maybe you've never heard of them, but they were the subprime mortgage lending stars of the mid-to-late 1990s.

They specialized in making loans to borrowers with bad credit, little or no down payments, and a host of other problems. Once they made loans, they'd sell them off to Wall Street firms and other investors, who would help package them together into bonds — a process known as “securitization.” The subprime lenders would use the proceeds to make additional mortgages, and the process would start all over again.

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Housing-Market

Friday, February 09, 2007

REITS signaling a bottom in the US Housing / Real Estate Market / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Clif_Droke

One of the inescapable conclusions one comes to after a long-term study of history is that current events and financial markets is very little happens without a pre-ordained reason. This statement is especially true when applied to the financial markets. With literally trillions of dollars in money and credit floating around the world, there is simply too much at stake to allow the natural forces of chance and coincidence to interfere with the plans and dealings of the world's financial controllers.

REITS signaling a bottom in the US Housing / Real Estate Market

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, February 07, 2007

Greenspans Cheap Money role in the US Housing Crash of 2007 / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Mike_Whitney

The American people appear to be oblivious to the economic hurricane which is expected to touchdown in late 2007. That's when $1 trillion in ARMs (Adjustable Rate Mortgages) will “reset” triggering a massive increase in foreclosures and plunging the country into a deep recession. If energy costs continue to rise at the same time or if the dollar loses more ground, we may be rooting around in the backyard garden-plot looking for passed-over spuds and radishes.

“The Fed, in effect, has become a serial bubble blower.” Stephen Roach, chief economist, Morgan Stanley

“This is the biggest housing slump in the last 4 or 5 decades: every housing indicator is in free fall, including now housing prices.” Economist Roubini Nouriel, Dow Jones, 23 August 2006
The crisis is entirely the work of Fed Chairman, Alan Greenspan, whose “cheap money”

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Housing-Market

Sunday, February 04, 2007

US Housing Market- The Mother of All Bubbles / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Mike_Whitney

The Fed should have tightened earlier to avoid a festering of the housing bubble early on. The Fed is facing a nightmare now: the recession will come and easing will not prevent it.” Nouriel Roubini, “Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady as Slowdown Outweighs Inflation”, Wall Street Journal

I'm really baffled by the e-mails I've been getting lately. A lot people have been blasting my predictions that the housing bubble will burst in 2007 and trigger a deep and painful recession. They point to the Commerce Dept's recent report that “new home sales rose 4.8% in December after 7.4% increase in November.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, February 01, 2007

US Housing Bubble Bloodbath - The Property Crash Continues / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Mike_Whitney

“The crash of the housing bubble will not be pretty. Millions of people stand to lose their homes and life savings. However, it was inevitable. The bubble created a fantasy world that could not continue. At the peak of the bubble, 160,000 people a week were buying a home, most at bubble inflated prices. The longer the bubble persists, the larger the group of people who paid way too much for their home. While it is not good that so many dreams had to be ruined, the number will be even larger if the bubble deflates slowly. So I make no apologies about hoping for the hasty demise of the bubble.”

US Housing Bubble Bloodbath - The Property Crash Continues Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Sunday, January 28, 2007

US Housing Slump Continues - Boom Bust Cycle - Silicon Valley Housing Market Report / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Jas_Jain

In this report you will see facts, based on the available data, that you will not find anywhere else. Vast majority of economists and statisticians who prepare housing reports are "professionals" that get paid to talk up the game. This is a NO BULL! report. The purpose of this report is to not only present the facts but also a commentary on the mindset of people who live there. Just to give you some flavor of the facts, how many people know the following (all home prices are median price)?

Price change, during Apr'00-Dec'06 (80 months), for all homes sold in Santa Clara County = 35%.

Price change, during Apr'00-Dec'06, for all homes sold in Los Angeles County = 165%.

Price change, during Apr'00-Dec'06, of the US Treasury STRIPS in my IRA account = 70%.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Friday, January 12, 2007

US housing market - Subprime lending sector spiraling south ! / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Money_and_Markets

ContiFinancial ... EquiCredit ... The Money Store ... Southern Pacific Funding. Maybe you've never heard of them, but they were the subprime mortgage lending stars of the mid-to-late 1990s.

They specialized in making loans to borrowers with bad credit, little or no down payments, and a host of other problems. Once they made loans, they'd sell them off to Wall Street firms and other investors, who would help package them together into bonds — a process known as “securitization.” The subprime lenders would use the proceeds to make additional mortgages, and the process would start all over again.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Sunday, December 31, 2006

UK Housing market forecast for 2007 / Housing-Market / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Early in 2006 we reiterated the overbought state of the UK housing market and how it was ripe for a decline. But the decline failed to materialise, as an early slowdown failed to go negative, with the market starting to trend higher again later in the year. Despite two rate rises, the housing growth has accelerated going into the end of 2006 to an annualised rate of over 8%.

UK Housing market forecast for 2007

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Housing-Market

Thursday, December 21, 2006

Has the US Housing Market Bottomed ? Data and Fifth Grade Maths Says NO ! / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Jas_Jain

Act I. Scene - a fifth grade math class in a small farm town in MO.
'Good morning class.'
'Good morning, Mr. Scambuster.'
'What state we are in and what are we known for, Freckles?'
'Why, Missouri, sir. When shrills trained at Serve-the-Crooks League that you told us about try to tell us that this is so and that is so we turn around and ask, 'Show Me, buster.'

'Class, today we will learn how to apply the arithmetic that you have learned to the real world problems. Remember, when we took a field trip to the city and we saw lots of homes and condos going up everywhere? Remember, Tommy pointing to us that his uncle Kirk was building some of those homes? I also explained to you the process of getting permits to build homes, etc., on that trip. Well, today we will apply the simple arithmetic of addition and subtraction to this real life subject. I will draw a little table of the process of building new housing units.'

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Housing-Market

Thursday, December 14, 2006

Facts On US Housing Boom-Bust Cycles and Recessions / Housing-Market / Analysis & Strategy

By: Jas_Jain

No one denies that housing in the US has been cyclical with huge swings in the new construction as well as resale activity (both showing a high correlation with each other). Establishment no longer denies that there was a housing bubble during the past four years and that it has begun to burst. However, the establishment, led by the Federal Reserve, assures the public of a "soft-landing." Some even point to "the mid-cycle slowdown during 1995" without pointing out that there was no housing boom preceding that slowdown and, hence, no housing-led recession to follow.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Sunday, November 19, 2006

US Housing slump continues as housing starts plunge 27% / Housing-Market / Strategic News

By: Sarah_Jones

Contrary to Alan Greenspans comments last month that the US housing market was showing signs of having bottomed, the latest data released by Commerce Department show that the housing market is still weak and likely to continue to drift lower well into 2007

US Housing slump continues as housing starts plunge 27%

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