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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Saturday, March 08, 2008

UK House Prices Fall in February- Home Owners have Lost £7,600 in 6 months! / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeasonally adjusted house prices fell in February by 0.3% to £196,649 (Halifax:SA), a fall of £600. None seasonally adjusted house prices are now down £7,600 since the peak made in August 2007 which equates to an average drop of £1,266 per month in equity. This is against an interest rate implied cut of 0.5% on interest repayments on an average UK mortgage of £150,000, or just £62.50 per month (Rate cuts inline with Sept 07 forecast). Therefore housing market commentators expecting UK interest rate cuts to support the housing market need to revisit their methodology of calculating the difference between implied impact of rate cuts i.e. £62.50 per month against that of the loss of equity per month of £1,266. I say implied impact of rate cuts as the credit crisis has ensured that the spread between bank mortgage rates and the Bank of England Base Rate has widened, therefore effectively not entirely passing on the rate cut to mortgage customers.

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Housing-Market

Friday, March 07, 2008

US Mortgage and Housing Markets at Very Important Crossroads / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: The most amazing thing about the housing and mortgage market crunch is that it has unfolded in the context of a decent employment backdrop and a growing economy.

Home sales collapsed ... inventories ballooned ... prices started dropping ... and mortgage delinquency rates and foreclosures exploded.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Real Estate and Credit Bubble Deflation: Anatomy of a Murder / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Steve_Moyer

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"And there should be no doubt about who is really responsible for the subprime woes. The investment banks employ some of the country's "best and brightest" -- sharp guys who have studied at some of our finest colleges and universities. Does anyone really believe that a Harvard MBA -- who understands all the fine-points of high-finance -- really thought that ignoring all of the standard criteria for prudent lending, and issuing trillions of dollars in loans to applicants who had no job, no collateral, bad credit, and were unable to come up with a few thousand dollars for a down-payment -- was a great idea?" ~ Mike Whitney

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Housing-Market

Sunday, March 02, 2008

UK House Prices Tumble Tracking GDP Growth Rate Lower / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHouse prices fell by 0.5% in February, the fourth consecutive monthly decline
  • The annual rate of house price inflation fell from 4.2% to 2.7%
  • UK recession “a remote risk for the UK economy”
Headlines February 2008 January 2008
Monthly index * Q1 '93 = 100
363.3
365.0
Monthly change*
-0.5%
-0.3%
Annual change
2.7%
4.2%
Average price
£179,358
£180,473

* seasonally adjusted

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Housing-Market

Saturday, March 01, 2008

UK Mortgage Banks Call in the Loans - Housing Market Deflation / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe British Bankers Association mortgage lending statistics reveal a contraction in the total amount of outstanding mortgage debt amongst its UK member banks, of nearly £6 billion from the peak set in October 2007. Whilst the amount may seem small in terms of the size of total mortgage debt of some $1.2 trillions, it is however opposite to the atmosphere of rising mortgage debt that sustained the housing bull market.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, February 28, 2008

Buy to Let Landlords Start to Feel the Mortgage Rate Pinch / Housing-Market / Buy to Let

By: MoneyFacts

Results from the Council of Mortgage Lenders this week have shown an increase in the number of loans taken by buy-to-let landlords in 2007. With first time buyers finding it increasingly difficult to get onto the property ladder, it might be expected that private landlords are having it easy. Alan Harper, Senior Analyst at Moneyfacts.co.uk looks at the availability of buy-to let mortgages:

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Bank seizures of US Homes Surge by 90% As Borrowers Hit by Adjustable Rate Mortgage Resets / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin here with two news items I want to bring to your immediate attention.

First and foremost, talk on Wall Street yesterday that the housing market "may be bottoming" is a bunch of hooey.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

UK House Prices Fall for 5 Months in a Row- Housing Market Will Go Negative April 08 / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHometracks house price data released on Monday points to house prices in England and Wales falling for 5 straight months in a row as banks tightened lending criteria as the risks of residential housing market bad debt exposure continues to grow. Annual UK house price inflation fell to a near 2 year low of 1.4%. The hometrack data is in line with the Market Oracle forecast as of August 2007 for a fall in average UK house prices of 15% over two years to August 2009.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, February 24, 2008

Proposal for a Depreciating US Housing Market Environment / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Wall_Street_Weather

Being “upside down” is the term for when a borrower owes more on a car than the car is worth. Cars have always been a depreciating asset, but real estate has not been viewed in the same way. That is about to change.

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Housing-Market

Friday, February 15, 2008

What the Government Should Do About the US Housing Bust / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: I told you it was coming. And there it was yesterday — summarized perfectly in the second headline of the Wall Street Journal's website: “Worried Bankers Seek to Shift Risk to Uncle Sam.”

The gist of the story?

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Housing-Market

Thursday, February 14, 2008

Sell Your Real Estate Immediately! - Asset Price Deflation Crash! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Steve_Moyer

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"I always felt very secure and very safe with real estate. Real estate always appreciates." ~ Ivana Trump

Before we begin our next hair-raiser, I notice a lot of people scratching their heads as global stock markets decline in the face of a "strong global economy." What you are seeing is the "pricing in" of approximately $2 trillion of lost homeowner equity in the U.S. (soon to be $3 trillion, then $4 trillion and so on). And it's only a matter of time before that equity squeeze wreaks havoc across the economic board and takes down the stock market and commodities, too. Picture a five year old trying to beat back an elephant with a Wiffle bat -- eventually that will be the metaphor for a declining global economy trying to chase from the living room the growing, immovable force that is asset deflation.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

US Housing Indexes Bounce From Key Support, Bottom of the Housing Bust? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter 30 months of plunging lower, several leading indicators of the U.S housing sector have finally found a narrow ledge to support their falling prices. Now the most important question is; can these past support levels be broad enough to hold the frail U.S. housing market indexes or is this just a short-term stop on the way down?

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Housing-Market

Friday, February 08, 2008

UK House Prices on Target for 15% Fall Despite Interest Rate Cuts / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK House prices fell by £4,000 (2.1%) in January 2008 (Halifax), the average price falling to £191,275, down £9,806 (4.8%) from the August 2007 peak of £201,081. The Market Oracle forecast as of August 2007 is for a fall in average house prices of 15% over two years to August 2009. UK interest rates were cut yesterday by a further 0.25% taking interest rates down by 0.5% from its peak of 5.75% (Forecast December 2006), the cuts to date and further anticipated cuts during 2008 are being mistakenly taken by many market commentators, economists and large mortgage banks such as the Halifax to imply that UK House price inflation will be neutral during 2008. Therefore this article illustrates why house price inflation will start going negative by April 2008.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, February 06, 2008

US Housing Bust Heading for the Perfect Storm / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mark_B_Rasmussen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following data on the Housing Depression in the City of Reno illustrates that the Peak was 30 – 31 months ago. The historical peak to trough real estate value is 46 months. Then again, the recent past has exceeded anything in history by several orders of magnitude.

For washoe county, there were 69 bank flreclosures for the entire year 2006, 100 for december 2007 and 204 for january 2008.

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Housing-Market

Monday, February 04, 2008

Bursting the UK House Price Bubble - BBC1 at 8.30pm Today / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: BBC

Mortgage lenders have called for tighter rules to stop possible mortgage fraud involving the sale of newly built city-centre flats.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, January 31, 2008

US Homebuilders Stocks Bullish Pattern Developing / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's have a look at the near term pattern development in the XHB (Homebuilders ETF), which is being led by components PHM, HOV, DRI, HD, KBH... all of which have very dynamic chart formation after an entire year (or more) of relentless weakness.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, January 31, 2008

US Housing Market's a Mess, But Don't Fight the Fed's Determination to Re-flate Asset Prices / Housing-Market / Inflation

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt has been two years since the bursting of the housing bubble began, but we can still hear a plethora of lunacy spewed from market pundits regarding the future of this key part of the economy. After hearing that home prices would never decline, we now hear that real estate is a very small part of our economy. Last week, Mike Norman, of the Economic Contrarian Update, was part of a panel debating the future of the economy and housing and he said that inventory of unsold homes would soon fall dramatically.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, January 31, 2008

UK House Prices Fall - Buy to Let Now an Unsatisfactory Investment / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHouse prices fell by a modest 0.1% in January, the third consecutive monthly decline
  • The annual rate of house price inflation edged down from 4.8% to 4.2%
  • Housing market conditions have loosened further, but there are tentative signs that demand may have bottomed out
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

UK Housing Bear Market Confirmed / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK house prices slumped in the quarter to December 07, with London leading the way as momentum gathers towards the 2 year forecast for an average decline of 15% by August 2009. The mortgage banking sector is only just beginning to feel the impact of the housing slump as the number of foreclosures (repossessions) is expected to surge to a record busting 80,000 for 2008 from 40,000 last year. Northern Rock was the first to go bust, other banks will follow. But in the meantime watch out for other mortgage lenders, especially those exposed to the buy to let sector such as Paragon to be pushed towards bankruptcy, down 90% from its highs.

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Housing-Market

Monday, January 28, 2008

US Homebuilders (XHB) ETF Rally Set to Resume / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's take a look at the developing pattern in the Homebuilders ETF (AMEX: XHB), as some of its components, like PHM, DHI, NVR, RYL, HD exhibit charts with meaningful upside technical potential.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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