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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Thursday, May 31, 2007

Real Estate Bubbles and California's Economic Growth, Video Lecture Part 1 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Submissions

An economics video presentation at Humboldt State University. Special guest lecturer Dr. Christopher Thornberg of Beacon Economics discusses the current housing bubble and its effects on California

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

UK Home Information Packs (HIPs) on the Rack ? / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions

The looming introduction of home information packs (Hips) will no doubt have had many property investors and landlords scratching their chins and wondering whether they would cost more than they could possible save.

While the packs might be a welcome boost for landlords looking to expand their portfolio, those aiming to sell off a few properties could have regarded them as one extra headache.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Real Estate and Asset Deflation: You Assume, You Lose / Housing-Market / Deflation

By: Steve_Moyer

"Begin challenging your own assumptions. Your assumptions are your windows to the world. Scrub them off every once in a while or the light won't come in." ~ Alan Alda

Just to prove that every village has its idiots, an article in the San Francisco Chronicle's Sunday Real Estate section last week featured an assortment of irresponsible "mortgage consultants" and "financial strategists" speaking enthusiastically about the idea of borrowing against the equity in your home in order to invest in the stock market (or wherever else you might want to take a chance on achieving an investment return higher than the interest rate you would pay on a home loan).

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Housing-Market

Monday, May 28, 2007

The California Housing Report: Details In the Data Show A Broad-based Price Decline / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Jas_Jain

Headline: "C.A.R. [California Association of Realtors] reports sales decrease 27.8 percent in April, median price of a home in California at $597,640, up 6.2 percent from year ago." Then we also read, "Throughout the state inventory levels have increased to their highest levels in recent years..."

Price increase in the climate of declining sales and rising inventory? Something doesn't add up.

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Housing-Market

Friday, May 25, 2007

US Housing Discounting and the Gold Bull Market / Housing-Market / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

"...The only way US builders can shift unsold homes is to discount. Existing homes, in contrast, won't sell – because the discounting has yet to begin..."

BUY LOW, SELL HIGH – it sounds simple enough. Yet the strategy eludes most people.

Drowning in newsprint, they like to buy what's hot instead – like Tech Stocks in late 1999, oil futures in summer 2005, subprime mortgage-backed bonds in 2006, tulip bulbs in Amsterdam , 1624.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Homebuilders Stocks Rallying : How could this be? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Michael_K_Dawson

Since bottoming on April 12th, the SPDR Homebuilders ETF (XHB) is up 12.5%; twice as much as the S&P 500's gain of 6%. If you are surprised by that statement you are not alone. I still find it hard to believe even after staring at the chart.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Investment Flash: Derivatives Say Bernanke Will Be Wrong / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Paul_Lamont

U.S. mortgages in foreclosure rose in April 62% from a year ago according to RealtyTrac Inc. Folks are increasingly losing their homes as we warned last October . Attempting to allay fears, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke spoke last Thursday: "We believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will be limited and we do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system." We clearly disagree.

Credit Suisse's ARM Reset Schedule, included in our last report , shows that over $1 Trillion dollars worth of adjustable rate mortgages will reset over the next 5 years. Bloomberg is just now reporting on the extent of the subprime meltdown . Even more telling is what credit derivative market charts are showing.

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Housing-Market

Friday, May 18, 2007

HIPs Will Lead to UK Housing Market Crash / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions

The introduction of home information packs will lead to a housing market crash, it has been claimed. Julian King, director of National Homebuyers says: "There are many indicators of a crash already in place; increases in repossessions, continued interest rate hikes, first time buyers unable to get on the ladder and the introduction of Hips."

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Housing-Market

Sunday, May 13, 2007

Analyst Warns of 'Potential Housing Market Crash' / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions

A financial industry expert has warned of a 'potential crash' in the property market.

F&C Investments' Ted Scott believes a negative yield on property could lead to buy-to-let investors selling their homes as they can no longer cover costs - which would precipitate a housing market crash.

This scenario will be made more likely should the Bank of England's monetary policy committee (MPC) choose to increase rates to 5.75 per cent in the near future - as has been predicted.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Inventory and Sales Of Single Family Homes In Santa Clara County / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Jas_Jain

The median price for the county in April increased 12.1%, YoY, more than I expected, led by increased prices and volume in high-priced areas like Cupertino, Los Gatos and Palo Alto.

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Housing-Market

Friday, May 04, 2007

Dump REITs - An early heads up on another Important US real estate trend! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: You want to know how to make big money in the markets? Be early.

By picking up on a trend in its infancy, you're able to position your portfolio for the day when that trend explodes onto the front pages of the nation's business sections. Then, when mainstream investors pile in, you'll be there to sell to them.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Global stock market growth to offset US Housing Slump - Whistling Dixie To The Chicken Littles / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Brady_Willett

Having stayed out of the limelight for far to long, the 'bubbles forever!' doctrine is roaring back:

"Speculative money needs to go somewhere. There is no question that some of it is moving away from housing and into the stock market." Van der Eb, of the Gamco Mathers Fund, Chicago Tribune

"...bulls argue that global stock market strength helps to offset the wealth lost in people's homes..." Street

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

UK Housing Market Heading for a Property Crash / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The next rise in UK interest rates to 5.50% is anticipated in a little over a weeks time. This is expected to further impact on a slowing housing market in the UK. Statistics from the British Bankers Association showed a drop in the rate of mortgage approvals by 8% despite the market entering the traditionally strong summer period. UK interest rates are on target to hit The Market Oracle forecasts (as of August 2006, expanded upon in Nov 06), of 5.75% by September 2007. With the risks of even further rises thereafter should inflation continue to stay above CPI 3%

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Housing-Market

Saturday, April 28, 2007

US Housing Bubble Meltdown: "Is it too late to get out"? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mike_Whitney

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson delivered an upbeat assessment of the slumping real estate market on Friday saying, "All the signs I look at" show "the housing market is at or near the bottom.”

Baloney.


Paulson added that the meltdown in subprime mortgages was not a “serious problem. I think it's going to be largely contained.”

Wrong again.

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Housing-Market

Friday, April 27, 2007

More Bad News on the US Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes I hate to sound like a broken record … I really don't enjoy being tagged as the "doom and gloomer" of the bunch here … I wish I could do something fun like my good friend Sean Brodrick, who gets to traipse through Canadian uranium mines and tell you all about the red-hot prospects in the sector!

But right now, it's my job to deliver bad tidings. Because when it comes to housing, there are plenty of 'em. With each passing month, more data confirms what I've been telling you — that the U.S. housing market remains stuck in the mud.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Pick up in UK house price growth seals a May interest rate rise / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

Pick up in house price growth seals a May interest rate rise
• Pace of house price growth picks up in April, but trend still shows a gradual cooling
• Market demand has been supported by movers, but this too is beginning to wane
• Too rapid an increase in rates could destabilise the market
• Current economic conditions suggest that a house price crash is unlikely

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

Consequences of Housing Bubble Crash Ignored by the Media for 2 Years / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mike_Whitney

Trouble in Squanderville - Two years ago, anyone who wrote about the housing bubble was dismissed as a conspiracy nut. Now hardly a day goes by that the headlines aren't splattered with the details of the massive meltdown in the real estate market.

What changed? The facts are essentially the same today as they were back then. In fact, the “Economist” — as well as many independent journalists — had already shown that the Fed's low interest rates had inflated the biggest equity bubble in history which could potentially bring down the entire economy.

Now, all of a sudden, the media is acting as if the problem sprouted up overnight?

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Housing-Market

Monday, April 16, 2007

Hidden Home Price Decline In Silicon Valley Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Jas_Jain

The home price declines in Silicon Valley are anything but hidden for most people trying to sell their homes, but it doesn't seem to show up in monthly and weekly reports that show slight YoY gains in the median prices. I have used Santa Clara County as a proxy for Silicon Valley and it is also a good proxy for the SF Bay Area except that Santa Clara County has held up better than most other parts of the Bay Area.

There are two sources of data that I have used - DataQuick, which reports on all home sales, SFHs (single family homes) and condos, new and resales, and sales on MLS, reported by California Association of Realtors (CAR), which reports SFHs and condos separately and most of the detail break down are for SFHs. San Jose Mercury News, the main paper in the area, publishes weekly data from DataQuick with break down by zip codes and that is my source for the DataQuick reports.

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Housing-Market

Friday, April 13, 2007

US Housing Market unraveling fast! Dollar breaking down! / Housing-Market / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes I hate it when my dire forecasts come true. But my job is to call it like it is, and help you make sound investment decisions. So I keep my emotions out of the process, and focus on reality.

And when I look around me and see what's going on in the markets right now, I see two nasty scenarios coming to pass.

Today, I want to tell you why the worst is not yet over in housing, and why the dollar will continue to get crushed …

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Mortgage approvals weaken in the face of rising costs and prices / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions

Following last week's release of MBBG net lending figures for February, further information now available on lending to individuals shows that:

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