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Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

UK Home Owners Unable to Refinance Mortgages As Fixed Rates Expire During 2008 / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Nearly 1.5 million homeowners fixed rate mortgages taken out during the past 3 years reset to much higher variable interest rates during 2008. Now Clive Briault of the FSA has waded in with a warning that borrowers will find it increasingly difficult to obtain further favorable refinancing due to the tightening in the credit markets as the now global bad debts credit crisis continues to unfold.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Subprime Mortgages Continue to Vanish – Where will it end? / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

Latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals two thirds of sub prime products have vanished in the last six months. The credit crunch has virtually destroyed the sub prime buy to let market and made a significant dent in the residential market too.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, December 04, 2007

FSA Warning to Mortgage Lenders To Protect Themselves Against Worsening Credit Crisis / Housing-Market / Credit Crunch

By: Sarah_Jones

The Financial Services Authority (FSA) today urged lenders to protect themselves against a possible worsening of liquidity and credit risks.

Clive Briault, FSA Retail Managing Director, told the Council of Mortgage Lenders Annual Conference: "There is a very real prospect that conditions will worsen further into next year, in terms of both liquidity and credit risks. Firms should therefore be assessing their funding and liquidity positions; undertaking robust stress testing to reflect current and prospective market conditions; reviewing and assessing their medium and longer term strategies and the options open to them; and considering contingency plans against the worst outcomes.

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Housing-Market

Monday, December 03, 2007

US Housing Slump 2008... DEEPER, DARKER, SCARIER! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_William_R_Swagell

The (spreading sub-prime) mortgage hole is worse than anyone saw. It is deeper, darker, scarier… (banks) are now looking at new reserves …my sense…is they don't have a clear picture of how this will play out …confidence is low.” ( Tony James, Blackstone Group.)

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Housing-Market

Sunday, December 02, 2007

UK Housing Slump Gains Momentum as Properties Fail to Sell at Auction / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Home owners failing to sell properties through the traditional estate agency route are increasingly opting for the chance of a quick sale offered by Auction houses up and down Britain.

However the number of sales being achieved at auctions has plummeted, even after worried sellers rush to accept offers prior to the auction. The resulting supply overhang will result in further sharp falls in the housing market that will accumulate over the coming year as home owners price expectations are behind the housing curve and are forced to repeatedly cut prices.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Mortgage Arrangement Fees Double / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

Latest Moneyfacts.co.uk research reveals the average mortgage arrangement fee has almost doubled during the last 2 years. Figures from November 2005 showed an average flat arrangement fee at £441. Today it stands at £827, with a massive 9% of prime deals now charging a percentage fee.

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Housing-Market

Friday, November 30, 2007

US Housing Market Crash Can't Find A Floor! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: Every month, I get asked if there's any evidence whatsoever of a turnaround in the housing industry. So far — every month — I've had to emphatically say "NO."

And I'm going to give it to you straight about the numbers that were just released: They are some of the worst I've ever seen.

Here's what happened for the month of October ...

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Housing-Market

Friday, November 30, 2007

UK House Prices Fall by 0.8% In November / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHouse prices fell by 0.8% in November, bringing the annual rate of increase down to 6.9%
  • Sentiment in the market has weakened, but can be volatile
  • Uncertainties remain, but underlying fundamentals continue to be supportive
  • Introduction of final phase of HIPs may reduce available housing supply in the short term
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Housing-Market

Friday, November 30, 2007

UK House Prices Plunge 0.8% In November on Target for Forecast 15% Drop / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Nationwide, one of Britain's biggest mortgage Lenders announced a sharp 0.8% Drop in House Prices for November, the biggest fall for 12 years, bringing the annualised rate down sharply to 6.9%. Whilst at the same time the Bank of England reported a slump in new home buyer mortgage approvals to a 3 year low. The fall house prices is inline with the Market Oracle forecast for a 15% drop in UK House prices as of 22nd August 07.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Sharp Drop in London House Prices / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Land Registry reported a 0.1% rise in UK house prices during October, down from the average of 0.7% during the past 12 months and thus bringing the annualised rate down to 8.1%

However, house prices in London fell sharply by 0.6%. The fall was much greater than any other region and represented the first fall since mid 2005.

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Housing-Market

Friday, November 23, 2007

UK Housing Market to be Hit by the Big HIPs Freeze During December / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The British Government's decision to expand the requirement for ALL UK Home Sellers to provide a Home Information Pack as of 14th December 07, will likely result in a big freeze on transactions hitting the UK housing market from 14th December 07. As fewer properties are put onto the market and thereby less transactions take place. Whilst this could be construed as being short-term supportive of house prices, it will hit the housing sector hard, which includes mortgage lenders and estate agents that could see as much as a 25% drop in business over a short space of time, and therefore the expectations are for further shocks in the housing and financial sector, this time focused on estate agencies.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, November 18, 2007

Buyers Disappear From US Housing Market Fearing Further Falls in House Prices / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday, DataQuick released the Southern California real estate sales data for the month of October. For the first time since probably the mid-1990s all six counties show year-over-year declines in the median price led by Riverside County at -15 percent.

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Housing-Market

Friday, November 16, 2007

UK Housing Market Continues to Weaken, Nationwide Now Expects Zero 2008 House Price Growth / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The housing market analysts are belatedly starting to come to terms with the prospects of a falling UK housing market during 2008. Nationwide takes the first step on that road by now forecasting ZERO house price growth during 2008. This still remains some way from the Market Oracles forecast of a fall of 15% over 2 years as of 22nd August 07 and therefore suggests continuing downward revisions in Nationwide's forecasts during 2008 in the face of falling house prices.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

UK House Price Declines Gather Pace As Surveyors Report Falling Prices / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Sarah_Jones

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Survey today revealed that 22.2% more surveyors are reporting house price drops, compared with 14.9% in September. This was worse than market expectations of a minus 20% reading accompanied by a surge in stock on estate agent books of 8.8%.

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Housing-Market

Monday, November 12, 2007

US Housing Crash - History Repeating in Florida and Lessons from the Roaring 20's - Part 2 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

Part 1 - Perhaps the boom was due for a "healthy breathing-time…

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs a matter of fact, it was due for a good deal more than that. It began obviously to collapse in the spring and summer of 1926. People who held binders and had failed to get rid of them were defaulting right and left on their payments. One man who had sold acreage early in 1925 for twelve dollars an acre, and had cursed himself for his stupidity when it was resold later in the year for seventeen dollars, and then thirty dollars, and finally sixty dollars an acre, was surprised a year or two afterward to find that the entire series of subsequent purchases was in default, that he could not recover the money still due him, and that his only redress was to take his land back again.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 10, 2007

Crash in UK House Prices Forecast for April 2008 As Buy to Let Investors Sell on Capital Gains Tax Change / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Editors Note: Housing Market Forecast Updated December 2008 - UK Housing Market Crash and Depression Forecast 2007 to 2012

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe UK's property boom has to large part been fed by an army of buy to let investors (many of whom are amateur landlords). This is illustrated by the estimate of 1,000,000 buy to let mortgages, up from barely 20,000 ten years ago. However for some time new buy to let investors have been increasingly banking on capital gains rather then rental incomes covering the costs, which given the most recent HBOS statistics of 2 months of consecutive price drops for Sept and Oct 07, increasingly looks less likely going forward and hence primes the buy to let market to lead the stampede for the exit, resulting in a sharp drop in UK house prices.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 10, 2007

US Housing Crash - History Repeating in Florida and Lessons from the Roaring 20's - Part 1 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

History has a mysterious way of creeping up on those that fail to study it. Somehow, with all the talking heads going crazy, you would think this housing market has no parallel in history. When you hear that the national median home price has never gone down there is always the caveat of “since the Great Depression.” I've written 3 articles about the Great Depression ( letter from a lawyer , letter from a president of a bank , and 3 main reasons why this bubble is worse ) highlighting eerie similarities of this credit bubble to the Roaring 20s.

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Housing-Market

Friday, November 09, 2007

UK Housing Bear Market Has Begun - House Prices Fall for Two Consecutive Months / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBritian's biggest mortgage bank HBOS's monthly house price statistics revealed that UK House prices fell by 0.5% in October to £197,248. This follows a 0.6% drop in September, which is the first consecutive drop in house prices since May 2005, as the credit crunch hit the UK mortgage banking sector and five interest rate rises to 5.75% started to impact on affordability. The trend in UK house prices is now in line with the Market Oracle forecast for a 15% decline over the next 2 years as of 22nd August 2007.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 03, 2007

The Invisible Housing Mortgage Hand: Analysis of a Society That Forces You Into Debt / Housing-Market / US Debt

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Ministry of Truth, otherwise known at the Bureau of Labor and Statistics, tells us that inflation is low to moderate. In fact, inflation is so low all you need to do is purchase 10-year Treasury notes and you'll be fine. But we do have inflation and this is apparent in the credit markets. We live in a society were folks are forced to go into debt. Instead of addressing our negative savings rate, corporate America decides to create credit products that will put you even further in debt . They use the machines of marketing to subtly make you feel that having 10 credit cards, student loan debt, and steroid induced mortgages is okay.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 03, 2007

Buy Or Rent A House in the UK - Five Scenarios of Gains or Losses's over the Next Five Years / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following analysis presents five scenarios that prospective home buyers can use to evaluate whether today is a good or bad time to buy depending on the scenario's that they deem to be the most probable. The analysis is especially geared towards first time buyers seeking to buy an average priced property of £200,000.

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