Sunday, January 05, 2020
Uber May Do the Impossible in 2020 / Companies / Self Driving Cars
By: Stephen_McBride
Of all the stocks I covered this year, I was hardest on Uber (UBER). I caught some flak for writing “buying Uber stock is the dumbest thing you can do with your money in 2019.”
Although my call ruffled feathers, I stand by it. Since Uber IPO’d in May, the stock has plunged 35%. And it was just plain wrong how the media hyped up its IPO, luring in novice investors who didn’t know any better, only to watch their money go up in smoke.
To be clear, I love Uber’s service. It’s cheap, easy, and way better than regular taxis. But it’s been a horrible, money-losing business.
Sunday, January 05, 2020
Beware the Stock Market 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Bob Moriarty takes a look at drivers in the bull market and sees a bear in the wings.
While I happen to be a giant fan of the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI), I also use a bunch of other signals. The DSI is the single best indicator I've found but there are dozens of other measures of investor sentiment. If you are a contrarian, you search constantly for some way of figuring out what investors are thinking.
Investing at a profit is actually simple. The mob is always wrong. Always wrong. Figure out what the mob is thinking and do the opposite.
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Saturday, January 04, 2020
GOOGLE - Primary AI Tech Stock For Investing in 2020 and Beyond / Companies / Google
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The juggernaut that is Artificial Intelligence continues to rumble along towards an inexorable future, one that most still fail to grasp the magnitude of the changes that are just around the corner as humans think in linear terms whilst the AI trend is EXPONENTIAL. Where developments that even the proponents of AI thought would take several years are taking place in mere MONTHS! That is the power of the unfolding AI MEGA-TREND!
AI has already CHANGED THE WORLD! EXPONENTIALLY! You have an AI super computer right in your pocket for likely less than £1000!
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Saturday, January 04, 2020
Setting Gold Market Expectations for 2020 Right / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Hooray, the twenties are here! But what will the 2020 bring for the gold market? Shall we see the beginning of the Belle Époque for the yellow metal?
Gold at the End of 2019
The last year was a very good one for the gold bulls, as one can clearly see in the chart below. Despite the soaring equities, the price of the yellow metal rose from $1279 to around $1520, or more than 18 percent. Bravo!
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Saturday, January 04, 2020
Why Netflix’s Inevitable End Got Delayed / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Stephen_McBride
For a day, Midtown Manhattan turned into Disneyland. Food trucks handed out donuts shaped like Homer Simpson. Musicians played tunes from Star Wars. Massive LED screens streamed Disney classics.It was November 12, the day Disney celebrated the launch of its long-awaited streaming service, Disney+. Millions of folks rushed to sign up on premiere day. There was so much interest the service went down a couple times.
Disney stock was all over the headlines. And it was supposed to be the beginning of the end for Netflix. Yet Netflix stock barely budged on the big day.
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Saturday, January 04, 2020
Crude Oil Prices Have Peaked / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Donald_W_Dony
Following the December 18, 2019 Market Minute titled "Are oil prices at a crest?" oil prices (WTI and Brent) are both finding increasing selling pressure as they moved to the top of their trading range.
Light crude oil found solid selling pressure around $62 and Brent at about $67 (Charts 1 & 2).
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Saturday, January 04, 2020
Learning Finance with the Help of Technology / Personal_Finance / Financial Education
By: Sumeet_Manhas
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Friday, January 03, 2020
Investing in AI Stocks 2020 to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The juggernaut that is Artificial Intelligence continues to rumble along towards an inexorable future, one that most still fail to grasp the magnitude of the changes that are just around the corner as humans think in linear terms whilst the AI trend is EXPONENTIAL. Where developments that even the proponents of AI thought would take several years are taking place in mere MONTHS! That is the power of the unfolding AI MEGA-TREND!
AI has already CHANGED THE WORLD! EXPONENTIALLY! You have an AI super computer right in your pocket for likely less than £1000!
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Friday, January 03, 2020
The Big Picture Backdrop for Precious Metals Outlook 2020 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
The year ahead promises to be an eventful one. It will, of course, be dominated by political headlines leading up to the 2020 election. It could also be a big breakout year for precious metals.
In the second part of Money Metals' 2020 Outlook, we’ll drill down on the fundamental and technical setup for gold and silver…
However, in this first part, we’ll set the stage by digging into the macro forces at play in the economy, monetary policy, politics, and geopolitics.
Friday, January 03, 2020
Gold and Silver Prediction Targets 2020 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The Gold rally we predicted to happen in late 2018 took place, almost perfectly, based on our ADL predictive modeling systems results. This rally took place in May through September 2019 and pushed Gold up to levels near $1600. The rest of the year, Gold consolidated near $1500 as a strong US Stock Market rally took hold in Q4 of 2019. Our original prediction was that Gold would rally to levels near $1750 before the end of 2019 based on our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system (ADL). This did not happen in 2019 as out ADL modeling systems suggested, but it appears Gold is setting up for another massive upside rally in 2020.
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Friday, January 03, 2020
Stock Market Trend Forecasts Review 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Stocks bull market is on course to end 2019, it's 11th year up by 24% with the Dow's last close of 28,462 against 23,062 of 31st Dec 2018. This the first of a series of videos that concludes in my forecast expectations for the stock market into the end of 2020.
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Friday, January 03, 2020
Where the World Is Going in 2020 / Economics / Global Economy
By: Patrick_Watson
We all want to know the future. Unfortunately, the future isn’t talking. It’s just coming, like it or not.We can, however, make educated forecasts. I think John Mauldin is broadly correct: the future is bright, but we’ll go through darkness first.
In fact, many of us are already in pretty dark situations, “left behind” in a supposedly thriving economy. We’re told there is no inflation even as the real cost of living rises ever higher.
Where is it leading us? To answer that, we have to think about how we got here.
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Friday, January 03, 2020
Crude Oil Price Reverses Lower Faster Than You Can Blink / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Although oil bulls managed to push the futures higher and broke above the upper border of the rising green trend channel during yesterday’s session, Monday’s upswing turned out only temporary.
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Friday, January 03, 2020
Gold in 2019: Lessons for the Year Ahead / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The King is dead, long live the King - 2019 is over, long live the 2020! As tumultuous as they have been, what have we learned about the gold market in the past twelve months? And what can we glean from this knowledge for the times ahead?
Key Lessons For Gold Investors from 2019
Today is the last day of 2019. It was a good year for the gold bulls, as one can clearly see in the chart below. The price of the yellow metal increased from $1279 to $1474 (as of December 18 – yes, we wrote this article before the festive break). It means that gold rose more than 15 percent in 2019. The gold bulls cannot complain!
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Most Popular Financial and Stock Markets Analysis of 2019 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Stock Market Trend Forecasts Review 2019
The Stocks bull market is on course to end 2019, it's 11th year up by 24% with the Dow's last close of 28,462 against 23,062 of 31st Dec 2018.
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Gold Market Update: Precious Metal Up, Dollar Down / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Clive_Maund
Technical expert Clive Maund charts the reasons the precious metals have entered a bull market.
Gold is now a major bull market, as evidenced by its strong breakout from a giant 6-year long base pattern in August. The larger trend is up. We had thought that it might react back closer to the breakout point before turning higher again, but it didn't, and started higher again in recent days over the Christmas period. This is a sign of greater strength.
There is a broad array of fundamental reasons for a bull market of unprecedented magnitude in gold, but by far the most important of them is the ongoing and accelerating destruction of currencies by central banks. They are responding to crushing debt burdens with money creation on a gargantuan scale, and we can expect them to maintain a low or negative interest rate environment and to pump money like crazy, since faced with a choice between a liquidity lockup and systemic implosion, and rampant money creation leading to hyperinflation, they are bound to follow the latter course. It is more gradual and buys them more time. While all central banks around the world are playing the same game, they will find it very hard to keep up with the Federal Reserve of the U.S., which is ramping up money creation at a frenetic pace, the effect of which will be to collapse the dollar, which is already starting to break down—hence last week's rally in gold and silver.
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Basel III and Bailouts: What Do They Mean for Financial Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable interviews Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments about the implications of monetary policies being implemented by central banks worldwide, and about the state of the U.S. economy.
Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments. Today we will address Basel III, the state of U.S. markets and the Fed's new bailout program, and how you may benefit financially.
Andy, you're a big thinker, and I would say years ahead of most people in the space in your ability to critically and analytically think and cipher through the noise, which is why we're delighted to have you on the program today. I want to begin our discussion at the 30,000-foot level, and have you share with us the implications of Basel III. Let me begin by asking, what is Basel III, and why should precious metals investors be aware of this decision-making body?
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Stock Market What To Expect In Early 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The US stock market has recently rallied throughout most of the last year after the very deep downside price rotation in late 2018. Our researchers believe there is a very high likelihood of this trend continuing in early 2020, yet we would need to see confirmation across various broader indicators before we could determine the strength of this upside price trend.
We warned that a downside price rotation may happen near the end of 2019 – which never really materialized. The August 2019 downside price rotation looked like it may turn into a deeper downside price move, but the news cycle ended that move as the US Fed decreased rates again and the news of a pending US/China trade deal continued to be pushed into the news cycle. Here we are 3+ months later and we really have no US/China trade deal signed yet.
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Why History’s Longest Stocks Bull Market Is Just Getting Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Robert_Ross
Doom and gloom predictions about the stock market drive click. I get it.
But those predictions have fallen flat for 10 years straight.
US stocks keep marching higher, and history’s longest bull market keeps getting longer. Here’s a chart of the S&P 500 since February 2009. It’s climbed 325%:
Thursday, January 02, 2020
Gold Investors Wrongly Fear The “COT” / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
As a student of market history, I always find it interesting, and even sometimes quite comical, how certain fallacies about markets are continually propagated by investors and analysts alike. Throughout my career in writing about metals, I have tried to bring many of these to light, and explain why so many of the fallacies should be ignored.
The latest in the string of fallacies relates to the Commitment of Traders report (COT). The common argument suggests that as long as the commercial traders are shorting gold heavily, then gold cannot rally. And, much has been made of late regarding the heavy commercial short positions pointing to a major drop in the gold market. Yet, history suggests otherwise.
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