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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Thursday, June 08, 2017

This Is The Most Profound Shift The US Economy Has Ever Seen / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

By Stephen McBride : This year, the first Baby Boomers turned 70, and that spells trouble for the economy and financial markets.

Speaking at Mauldin Economics’ Strategic Investment Conference, chief economist and strategist for Gluskin Sheff, David Rosenberg, dissected the wide-ranging implications of the wave of Baby Boomers now retiring.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, June 08, 2017

People Will Live Past Age 100, Yet Most Of Them Won’t Afford It / Personal_Finance / Longevity

By: John_Mauldin

I have good news and bad news.

The good news is that you and your children will probably have much longer lives than you imagine. The bad news is that you’ll have to pay the bill for it.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 08, 2017

Stocks Trade At Record Highs, Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Companies

Thursday, June 08, 2017

This is the Energy Company the Market Wants to Buy Now / Companies / Energy Resources

By: WallStreetNation

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Currencies

Thursday, June 08, 2017

GBPUSD Remains in Uptrend from 1.2109 / Currencies / British Pound

By: Franco_Shao

GBPUSD moved sideways in a trading range between 1.2756 and 1.3047. As long as the pair is above 1.2756 support, the sideways movement could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend from the March 14 low of 1.2109, and further rise could be expected after the consolidation. Near term resistance is at 1.3047, a break of this level could signal resumption of the uptrend.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, June 08, 2017

General Election Latest Opinion Polls and Betting Market Forecasts / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The 2017 General Election has proved to be one of the most volatile elections in terms of the polls for decades, which has seen the opinion polls based forecasters literally playing pin the tail on the donkey since Theresa May called the BrExit election. Virtually all of the pollsters started the campaign by forecasting a Tory landslide Conservative election victory of over 400 seats that mostly persisted until barely to 2 weeks ago as the following table illustrates:

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, June 08, 2017

YouGov Final Election Bullshit Forecast - Tories Increased Majority But on 302 Seats / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

YouGov are turning themselves into first class headline grabbing bullshit artists. Having gained mainstream media attention with their first of a series of headline grabbing seat forecasts just over a week ago that stated they were forecasting that the Conservatives would actually LOSE seats by falling to 310 with Labour rising to 247 i.e. a hung parliament. And with their latest Conservative seats forecast of 302, with Labour rising to 269. Now barely hours before the polls open YouGov are running with an headline that implies the EXACT OPPOSITE RESULT! "Final call poll: Tories lead by seven points and set to increase majority". So could someone explain to me how is one expected to capitalise / utilise / interpret YouGov's two alternative outcome forecasts?

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 08, 2017

The Subprime 2.0 Debt Bubble is About to Burst / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017

By: Graham_Summers

As we’ve been outlining for weeks now, Subprime 2.0 is the subprime auto-loan industry. And just as the collapse in the subprime mortgage lending was what signaled the beginning of the housing crisis… trouble in the subprime auto-loan industry will be what signals that the next Debt Crisis is here.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 08, 2017

Constructive Stock Market Consolidation or Potential Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market had a volatile session, gapping up at the opening, coming down sharply in a 5-wave decline, and reaching the lows by midday. After taking out support they rallied sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 5846 all the way up to 5883. The S&P 500 bounced from 2424 to 2435. A last 10-minute pullback pared back the profits, but they did finish in the positive column, but not with the best technicals.

Net on the day, the Dow was up 37.46 at 21,173.69. The S&P 500 was up 3.81 at 2433.14. The Nasdaq 100 was up 20.82 at 5877.59.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 08, 2017

Geopolitical Risks in Retreat. Will Gold Drown? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the previous edition of the Market Overview we wrote that “geopolitical risks clearly won with a hawkish Fed in a tug of war in the gold market” at the turn of March and April, as the yellow metal gained about 7 percent from mid-March to mid-April. However, the price of gold declined about 4.8 percent until May 9 when it started its rebound. As the chart below shows, at the beginning of July, the price of gold came close to the level of mid-April.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Sheffiled City Council / Amey Trees Rampage Costs Labour Sheffield Hallam Election Win / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: N_Walayat

The Labour party smells blood in Sheffield Hallam having come within just 4% of winning the former Liberal Democrat Leader, Nick Clegg's seat in2015. And now with little signs of Liberal Democrat recovery in the polls, Labour are going all out to take the Sheffield Hallam seat in tomorrows vote.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Spread Betting Market Arbitrage and BetFair Trading UK General Election 2017 / ElectionOracle / Spread Betting

By: Nadeem_Walayat

So Theresa May's snap general election campaign is nearly over and where my forecast conclusion is for the Conservatives to win with 358 seats on a majority of 66. With Labour losing 20 seats falling to 212. So following my my forecast conclusion my search has been on to identify spread and Betfair exchange betting market opportunities for these last few days and then hours ahead of the election result as I cover in this video analysis.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Election 2017 Seats Analysis YG / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

...

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Will Amey Trees Rampage Cost Paul Blomfield Sheffield Central Labour Seat, Green Win? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: N_Walayat

The Green Party are fielding their party leader Natalie Bennett in the Sheffield Central constituency hoping to unseat Paul Blomfield from what has been a rock solid Labour seat since 1945, to whom the Labour baton was passed in 2010 from Richard Caborn. The Green party are eager to capitalise on local issues such as the felling of thousands of Sheffied's big and beautiful trees by the Spanish Ferrovial Family owned Amey as part of a £2 billion PFI outsourcing contract by Labour Sheffield City Council that has angered and outraged many tens of thousands of Sheffielders, prompting dozens of campaign groups to spring up that will likely play a major role in the oucome of the next 2018 local elections.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Gold Price Breakout? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Savage

Gold actually broke its bear market trend line last year. There was never any doubt that a new bull market had begun.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Gold Price Is Facing 1295.44 Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

After touching the ascending trend line from the January 27 low of 1180.51 to the March 10 low of 1194.94 on its daily chart, XAUUSD rebounded strongly from 1214.17 and the pair is now facing 1295.44 resistance.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Bitcoin Hits New All Time High Near $3,000 As Cryptos Surpass $100 Billion Market Cap / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Are we witnessing the biggest wealth transfer in human history? A case can certainly be made for it.

One year ago, cryptocurrencies as a sector had a market capitalization of only $11 billion. Looking back even further, four years ago, the entire sector including bitcoin had a market capitalization of less than $1 billion.

As of today, it has surpassed $100 billion.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Gold Price Rallies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Gold futures have risen to 1298.65 thus far today. I have redrawn the chart to show a probable Broadening Wedge that may allow gold to rally to the Cycle Top at 1335.49. However, I would approach this projection with care, since today Wave 5 has reached equality with Wave 1 and the Cycles Model shows peak strength today, as well. The Broadening Wedge does not require the final rally to touch the upper trendline. Despite all this, should there be a flash crash in equities, gold may still rally higher.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Bitcoin Price Appreciates Again / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Bitcoin is creeping into the mainstream press. Last week, the digital currency was in the center of an article  in the Economist. In the article, we read:

Markets frequently froth and bubble, but the boom in bitcoin, a digital currency, is extraordinary. Although its price is down from an all-time high of $2,420 on May 24th, it has more than doubled in just two months. Anyone clever or lucky enough to have bought $1,000 of bitcoins in July 2010, when the price stood at $0.05, would now have a stash worth $46m. Other cryptocurrencies have soared, too, giving them a collective market value of about $80bn.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

UK General Election 2017 Forecast: Conservative 358, Labour 212 Seats / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My recent video analysis concluded in seats per political parties forecast conclusion for Theresa May's snap BrExit general election, based up on the sum of 6 weeks analysis that is set against the opinion pollsters who are literally all over the place with YouGov even today forecasting 304 seats for the Tories whilst others range to as high as 385 seats.

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