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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Politics

Monday, January 23, 2017

United States Common Sense - 2017 / Politics / US Politics

By: James_Quinn

In Part One of this article I explored Thomas Paine's critical role in the creation of our nation. His Common Sense pamphlets inspired the common people to uncommon acts of courage and heroic feats of valor; leading to the great experiment we call the United States of America. Paine, Franklin and the other Founding Fathers produced a republic, if we could keep it.

John Adams championed the new Constitution precisely because it would not create a democracy, as he knew a democracy "soon wastes, exhausts and murders itself." Their herculean efforts, sacrifices, and bloodshed have been for naught as we allowed our republic to devolve into a democracy and ultimately into our current corporate fascist warfare/welfare surveillance state. Sadly, we were unable to keep the republic Franklin and his fellow revolutionaries gave us.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 23, 2017

Is Dow 20,000 a Bridge Too Far? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated. 

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 is still possible before a reversal occurs.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Commodities

Monday, January 23, 2017

Gold And Interest Rates…GET IT STRAIGHT / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

Over the past couple of months there have been several headline articles regarding the relationship between gold and interest rates. Most of them are well-meaning attempts to convey information about recent changes in the markets as interest rates head higher.

In several instances, however, the author(s) have tried to explain a ‘perceived’ correlation between rising interest rates and the value of the US dollar – in a very positive manner. And they have imputed a similar correlation – albeit negative – in other statements with respect to Gold. In both cases they are incorrect.

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Economics

Monday, January 23, 2017

Trumping World Trade / Economics / Protectionism

By: Dan_Steinbock

After the inauguration, President Trump has begun to reset the White House trade policies. But the consequences of “America First” stance in world trade are wrought with threats.

Recently, President Xi Jinping gave a strong speech about the need for more inclusive globalization at Davos. World trade is a case in point.

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Economics

Monday, January 23, 2017

Protection Will Lead to Great Prosperity / Economics / Protectionism

By: Gary_Tanashian

After being mostly off the grid on Friday, I listened to the Trump inauguration speech on Saturday morning. While I have lots of thoughts and opinions, I want to focus on an item where I am qualified; namely my former area of expertise as someone who was in essence told by the media over and over again "you don't exist", while the consumerist, financialized and globalized economy flourished. By "you" I of course mean me, an owner of a small American manufacturing business. My area of focus from the speech...

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Commodities

Monday, January 23, 2017

The New Gold Rush Of 2017! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Gold to Regain Its Gleam!

One question that gold investors are asking now is, will 2017 be as spectacular for the yellow metal as it was in 2016? The short and sweet answer to this is YES.

The dollar, gold and the major U.S. stock exchanges will all see new highs. Gold is currently in a “complex corrective correction” while experiencing its’ last pullback, beforehand.

Both the short-term outlook and the long-term outlook for gold is BULLISH!  Trumps’ victory win is a positive for gold bulls. Policy uncertainty and slowing growth, following a Trump win, will stoke the yellow metals’ price in 2017.

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Politics

Monday, January 23, 2017

HBO HOMELAND Bet on HIllary Clinton Winning US Election and LOST / Politics / Mainstream Media

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The new series of HBO's award winning HOMELAND began Sunday that onc more paints the CIA as fighting the good fight across the globe against threats to America. However, wishful thinking on part of the writers of Hillary winning the election did not quite pan out that way. So within 10 minutes of the start of episode 1 we see a sane President Elect understanding HER brief and having valid questions of the lead actors in the series about sending in 70,000 ground troops into Syria, which does not gel with the reality of President Trump who's policy is simply to "Bomb the Shit out of them".

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Stock Market New Highs For 2017? Yes, But When Do I Enter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

When the SPX breaks out above its’ current resistance level, it will be the next leg up in this bull market. We are currently in a consolidation period. The SPX seems to be resting for now!  The “Bollinger Bands Squeeze” is now taking hold and will result in a powerful move in either direction once broken.  I do have a new BULLISH trigger for members to enter into during this amazing “melt up” that will only be shared with my ‘elite members’.   I can assure you that you will want to be invested in this next BULLISH leg of the SPX!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Active vs Passive Investing: And the Winner Is ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

The chart below comes from a new report from our friends at Elliott Wave International.

It's as straightforward as it looks -- not much need for animation.

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Politics

Sunday, January 22, 2017

The Epidemic of Bad Ideas / Politics / Social Issues

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

This week’s missive tackles a big topic. One of the biggest.

That’s because it touches virtually every corner of society: politics, the economy, investments, social order, innovation. People live or die because of it.

The topic is education.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Gold Futures Prices Looking Bullish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has rebounded sharply higher in the past month, taking the early lead as 2017’s best-performing asset class.  Normally such a big gold surge would require heavy gold-futures buying by speculators.  But they’ve been missing in action, barely moving any capital into gold yet.  Their collective bets on this metal remain very bearish.  Since they are such a strong contrarian indicator, that’s a very-bullish omen for gold.

The sole mission of speculation and investment, and thus all the endless research that feeds into it, is to multiply wealth.  Traders can’t effectively buy low and sell high unless they understand what drives the prices of their trades.  For years now, gold has had two overwhelmingly-dominant drivers.  Their capital flows fully explain the vast majority of all gold’s price action, and thus are exceedingly important to study.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Great Rotation and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The performance of gold in 2017 depends largely on whether the Trump’s presidency will lead to lasting shift in the markets. What changes do we mean? Some analysts mention the reflation, others point out the ‘risk on’ sentiment and the ‘great rotation’ out of bonds and into stocks. Ray Dalio, the founder and chairman of Bridgewater, claims that the Trump’s victory was a turning point ending the period characterized by increasing globalization, free trade, and global connectedness; relatively innocuous fiscal policies; sluggish GDP growth, low inflation, and falling bond yields. The new period is believed to be characterized more by decreasing globalization, free trade, and global connectedness; aggressively stimulative fiscal policies; increased economic growth, higher inflation, and rising bond yields.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 22, 2017

This Ratio Suggests Gold Is Entering a Major Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Mauldin

An often cited negative about gold is the inability for investors to value it, unlike traditional investments such as stocks and bonds.

A company’s revenues and earnings can be forecast to arrive at a valuation multiple. A bond’s cash flows can be discounted to come up with a present value. But since gold bullion does not produce either, investors often struggle with assigning a fair value.

Some will look at technical analysis, others fundamentals, interest rates, or expected inflation—but unfortunately there’s no correct answer, and attempting to time the market when choosing an entry point is extremely difficult.

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Politics

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Trump Talks Gibberish at Inauguration then Panic Runs to CIA to Prevent Assassination / Politics / US Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

If you thought Trump was unhinged during the election campaign then you have not seen anything yet for he is truly showing all the hallmarks of turning into an American Pyscho! First we had his inauguration speech, which was far from being presidential, a stream of gibberish inter spiced with "america first" and "make america great again", something a rebellious teenager would have put together.

Now what would a sane President have been focused on following in the inauguration? Getting ones team together to start the hard work to rebuild america? Not Trump, his first order of business was the size of the inauguration crowd!

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Commodities

Saturday, January 21, 2017

Time for Crude Oil Price Drop below $50? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $56.45 and an initial downside target at $45.81) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Wednesday, crude oil lost 2.57% after the head of the IEA warned of a significant increase in U.S. shale output as OPEC and non-OPEC producers cut output. This news negatively affected the investors' sentiment and pushed the black gold under important support levels. What does it mean for light crude?

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Politics

Saturday, January 21, 2017

These Are the 3 Main Issues for Europe in 2017 / Politics / European Union

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND JACOB L. SHAPIRO : What will the year ahead look like for Europe? 2017 will be another chapter in the European Union's slow unraveling… a process that has been underway for over a decade.

The EU is a union in name only. The transfer of sovereignty to Brussels was never total, and member states are independent countries… each with their own interests at stake.

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Companies

Saturday, January 21, 2017

Cryobanking Could Solve The Transplant Organ Shortage / Companies / Healthcare Sector

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK COX : What’s the one medical condition most likely to kill you? If you follow statistics, you'd probably say heart disease. Each year, more than a million Americans have a heart attack. And about one in four deaths in the US is due to the condition.

Though heart disease tops most "causes of death" lists, far more Americans die due to the transplant organ shortage. And heart transplants could prevent most cardiac arrest deaths.

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Economics

Saturday, January 21, 2017

AI and Robotics - We Are All Low-Skilled Workers Now / Economics / Robotics

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : The news headlines after last week’s jobs report proved it again: Life is hard (and getting harder) for low-skilled workers. Illegal immigrants take their service industry jobs. Robots take their manufacturing industry jobs.

According to the media, many low-skilled workers have simply given up. They’re dropping out of the labor force, going on welfare, overdosing on drugs. Their lives are terrible, and everyone wants to help.

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Politics

Friday, January 20, 2017

The Trump RESET Starts on US Presidential Inauguration Day 2017 - What to Expect / Politics / US Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Donald Trump will be sworn into office at 12 noon today to become the 45th President of the United States that will trigger the 'Trump Reset' on that which has passed for the past 40 years, which my video series seeks to detail the key mega-trend geopolitical consequences of why the US under a Trump Presidency is trending for instance towards an inevitable war with China, economic, cyber and even outright military conflict, something that is deemed to be impossible by most today.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 20, 2017

Stock Market Down Day with Poor Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a tough session after opening with a gap up, and a strong surge on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 was barely able to move. They plunged sharply in the morning, bounced back midday, only to roll over again, making lower lows. At the end of the day, they did have a 5-wave comeback that pared back the losses, but still it was a down day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 72.32 at 19,732.40. The S&P 500 was down 8.20 at 2263.69. The Nasdaq 100 was down 4.68 at 5051.17.

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