Friday, November 04, 2016

The Stock Market Grand Illusion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tim_Wood

Many know that the economy is not good.  Fact is, the economic issues actually began in 2000 and have only been made worse.  The world economy is in a systemic crisis and I am going to show you the stock market bubble that has resulted from the attempts to resuscitate the underlying economy. 

In spite of equities’ push to a new high in 2007 and again in 2015/16, I have maintained all along that the secular bull market peaked in 2000, along with the underlying economy.   The first attempt at stimulating the economy and resurrecting the secular bull market came in the wake of the decline into the 2002 4-year cycle low.   Those efforts resulted in what was at the time the longest cyclical extension since the inception of the averages in 1896, which in turn resulted in a banking crisis, a commodity bubble and a housing bubble. Then, when the extended cycle finally began to roll over the end result was the worst financial crisis since the great depression.    Yet, the response to the worst financial crisis since the great depression was an even more extreme version of the same policies that created the problem in the first place.  

Friday, November 04, 2016

Very Tough Session for Wall Street / Politics / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a tough session again. The day started out on the downside, they formed some morning consolidation bear wedges, dropped late morning, and continued down for the rest of the session, finishing near the lows for the day going away.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 28.97 at 17,930.67. The S&P 500 was down 9.28 at 2088.66. The Nasdaq 100 was down another 47.80.10 at 4679.10.

Friday, November 04, 2016

Silver Price Discovery and The Illusion of Progress / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

As of the close of trading Tuesday, silver spot prices have rise through the key 50 day moving average, most likely the result of short covering by the managed money traders - along with new shorts added by the commercial traders.

In other words, the lock-down pattern of price discovery driven by these two speculative classes continues unabated and disconnected from physical reality.

Friday, November 04, 2016

US Election Campaigning - Please Make It Stop / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Walter_Brasch

Pennsylvania, which had been a no-contest state in presidential primaries because of its late balloting, is a now a swing state with less than a week until the election. Just about every voter by now has received dozens of robocalls, e-mails, letters, postcards, and exposure to almost-uncountable TV, digital, satellite, and social media ads. Most are attack ads, with similar messages.

The ads focus upon homeland security, taxes, immigration, pro-life/pro-choice, and bringing jobs back to America. The conservatives have thrown in the phrase “liberal extremists” in many of their ads in an effort to shock all America to believe that liberals are somehow tied to Muslim extremists. The liberals are pushing an agenda that defines the conservatives as greedy plutocrats who have little thought for the middle class. This election, from local offices to the presidency may be the dirtiest since 1800 when Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams.

Friday, November 04, 2016

American Civil War II - Fourth Turning Intensifying (Part I) / Politics / US Politics

By: James_Quinn

"History offers even more sobering warnings: Armed confrontation usually occurs around the climax of Crisis. If there is confrontation, it is likely to lead to war. This could be any kind of war - class war, sectional war, war against global anarchists or terrorists, or superpower war. If there is war, it is likely to culminate in total war, fought until the losing side has been rendered nil - its will broken, territory taken, and leaders captured." - The Fourth Turning - Strauss & Howe -1997

Friday, November 04, 2016

Hillary Polls Lead Slumps to +1.3%, Trump on Target to WIN US Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are now less than 4 days away from when the polls open on Tuesday 8th November, Trump and Clinton and crews have been busy shuttling around the key battleground states to bolster their votes as the election boils down to who can win at least 270 electoral college votes. For instance Florida with its key 29 votes is literally sitting on a 50/50 knife edge, a must win state for Trump! Other 50/50 states are North Carolina (15 votes), with another 9 states having poll leads of 3% or less totaling 82 electoral college votes, so near 130 electoral college votes are in play enough for either Trump or Hillary to win.

Friday, November 04, 2016

Establishment Judges, Bankers Attempt to Subvert Brexit Will of the People Risking Civil War! / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In craftily worded judgment the establishment elite comprising city bankers, business owners and elite judges have attempted to subvert the will of the British people who voted to LEAVE the European Union in their first real opportunity to vote against the establishment elite who have tended to play pass the parcel amongst themselves at each general election for at least the past 40 years!

Friday, November 04, 2016

END OF THE U.S. MAJOR OIL INDUSTRY ERA: Big Trouble At ExxonMobil / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Steve_St_Angelo

The era of the mighty U.S. major oil industry is coming to an end as the country’s largest petroleum company is in big trouble.  While ExxonMobil has been the most profitable U.S. oil company in the past, it suffered its worst year on record.

For example, just four years ago, ExxonMobil enjoyed a $45 billion net income profit in 2012.  Now compare that to a total $5 billion net income gain for the first three-quarters of 2016.  If Exxon continues to report disappointing results for the remainder of the year, its net income will have declined a stunning 85% since 2012.

Actually, the situation at Exxon is much worse if we dig a little deeper.

Friday, November 04, 2016

Stock Market and Election Implications / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The SPX is attempting to rally this morning and we had those strange up blips up in the aftermarket yesterday on the SPY to 213.10, but earlier this week saw one that went to 215.53 and it did not work as it has in the past.

Ideally, we see a market top today 2 TD's. The last three 8 TD cycles ( 2) ran 6+6+10. We have another trine on Nov 5th, the last two (Oct 30 & Nov 1) knocked the market down after holding it up slightly on very strange internal e-wave patterns that normally suggest higher prices (the problem with interpreting bearish abc waves).

Friday, November 04, 2016

The Office of the President of the United States / Politics / US Politics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Amidst the epic flood of political statements and media commentary that keeps on rolling in and on, there’s something that doesn’t seem to occur to most people, and it should. That is, the unfortunate but apparently inevitable discussion about all the unfortunate and/or illegal things that either candidate may or may not have done, must be seen in the light of the capacity in which -perceived- errors or even crimes are committed. It is essential to this issue.

Friday, November 04, 2016

Here's What Makes Elliott Waves a Useful Forex Tool / InvestorEducation / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Some Elliott wave forex traders do watch the news -- but for different reasons

Last Friday, EURUSD rallied strongly. Said Reuters:

"The U.S. dollar tumbled against a basket of major currencies...on U.S. political uncertainty after the FBI said it would review more emails related to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's private email use."

It's true that the euro rallied after Friday’s news. But we pointed out in our October 21 story that Elliott wave patterns had already been calling for a bottom, if only a temporary one.

Thursday, November 03, 2016

Will London Gold Market Self Destruct? Ripe For China Take-over? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

• London Gold Market has been unchallenged for nearly 100 years
• So opaque that quotes of its $5 trillion size are estimates
• Five new offerings are set to appear in the market in the next six months
• Increased fragmentation set to reduce liquidity
• A share of gold price discovery is ripe to be taken by China
• Disruption in the London Gold Market gives opportunity to the East to take more control of the market.

Thursday, November 03, 2016

The Rise in Infectious Diseases Means Opportunity for Biotech Investors / Companies / BioTech

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK COX : The CDC has expanded its count of Miami neighborhoods with verified local transmission of the Zika virus. As a result, pregnant women are taking precautions. Some have left the area. Others are donning hazmat suits.

At least one case of locally acquired Zika has been confirmed on Florida’s Gulf Coast where I live, and there are probably more. This is because most people don’t know that they’ve been infected and are carriers.

Thursday, November 03, 2016

Donald Trump & The Passion of the ChristDonald Trump & The Passion of the Christ / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Antonius_Aquinas

if Donald Trump can somehow defeat the Wicked Witch of Chappaqua despite vote rigging, outlandish media bias, backstabbing by his own party’s elites, and opposition of Wall Street, his victory may be the most serious setback for The Establishment since, perhaps, the release of Mel Gibson’s blockbuster movie, The Passion of the Christ.

Both Gibson and Trump faced seemingly impossible odds at the start of their quests and were viciously attacked and undermined by the usual Establishment suspects, yet, in Gibson’s case, he was able to beat the bastards at their own game producing one of the most accurate and authentic Christian movies ever made which garnered over a half billion dollars and numerous cinematic awards!

Thursday, November 03, 2016

S&P 500 At 2,100 Support Level - Make Or Break? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,150, and profit target at 2,020, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, November 03, 2016

Stock Market Reaches Deadly 7 Straight Days of Losses As Catholic Jubilee Year End Day Approaches / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

The S&P 500 has only fallen for 7 straight days three times in the last 20 years.  And, each time it was during a financial crisis.

And, it just happened again today. The S&P 500 fell 0.65% on Wednesday, marking seven days in a row of losses.

Thursday, November 03, 2016

Trump Converging Towards BrExit Factor Election WIN, Opinion Polls are WRONG Again! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

With just 4 full days to go until the polls open Tuesday 8th, Trump continues to bounce in the polls and betting markets that has resulted in near panic in the Democrat camp that less than a week ago were seen relaxing on expectations for a Hillary landslide election victory. But now, after last Fridays FBI bombshell all that has changed and the Clinton clan are busy crisscrossing the swing states, mainly attempting to bolster the lack lustre black vote that despite fearing Trumps rhetoric nevertheless are unable to find much incentive to get out and vote for the ultimate washington insider Hillary.

Thursday, November 03, 2016

The Chartology of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to look at some gold charts as it has been showing some relative strength since October. We can even go back to February of this year which shows a possible big diamond consolidation pattern building out. Regardless of whatever trading discipline one uses the last nine months of price action has been difficult at best to read.

Thursday, November 03, 2016

US 2016: Fight for Leadership Begins After the Election  / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Dan_Steinbock

After the bizarre 2016 election, Washington faces a slate of investigations and a gridlock. Internationally, threats include new Cold War(s). Depending on the outcome, the election could even be contested.

If Hillary Clinton wins, she will flash her broad smile like Alice in the Wonderland, with Vice President Tim Kaine, Bill and Chelsea on her side. The conventional story will be that her victory built on her egalitarian economic policy, gender concerns, international relations, strong defense policy and good ties with Europe and Japan.

Thursday, November 03, 2016

Gold: It’s All About the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Kelsey Williams writes: The relationship between gold and the US dollar is similar to that between bonds and interest rates.  Gold and the US dollar move inversely.  So do bonds and interest rates.

If you own bonds, then you know that if interest rates are rising, the value of your bonds is declining.  And, conversely, if interest rates are declining, the value of your bonds is rising.  One does not ’cause’ the other.  Either result is the actual inverse of the other.