Thursday, February 25, 2021
Warren Buffett Buys a Copper Stock! / Commodities / Copper
By: Gary_Tanashian
Just kidding. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway may or may not own copper stocks. I did not dig deep enough to find out. For the purposes of this post it does not matter.
With the Buffett Buys a Gold Stock! hysterics last summer, the subsequent (and inevitable) fallout and the Buffett Pukes a Gold Stock! resolution, you never know. It’s worth asking the question about what sort of investors are now true-believing in copper and the industrial metals where once upon a time last summer gold was the object of affection.
Look, the contrarian dynamics in play now are 180° from where they were last spring, coming out of the deflationary crash, when we first started to get a handle on and act upon the coming inflation aimed at reflating the economy. NFTRH has used a lot of indicators, starting then and continuing today to be on the right (inflationary) side of this macro dynamic. With all due respect and foresight about macro decision points to come, we remain on the inflationary side today.
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Thursday, February 25, 2021
Work From Home Inflationary US House Prices BOOM! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The pandemic has resulted in many tens of millions more americans working from home. As someone who has been working form home for a good 15 years I can well understand why house prices have rocketed higher as prospective home buyers both seek out properties that are better suited to working from home, more suburban, quiet office spaces, plenty of storage, or view properties with scope to being upgraded into work from home environments.
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Thursday, February 25, 2021
Man Takes First Steps Towards Colonising Mars - Nasa Perseverance Rover in Jezero Crater / Politics / Space
By: N_Walayat
Man Takes First Steps Towards Colonising Mars - Nasa Perseverance Rover in Jezero Crater
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Thursday, February 25, 2021
Musk, Bezos And Cook Are Rushing To Lock In New Lithium Supply / Commodities / Lithium
By: OilPrice_Com
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
US Debt and Yield Curve (Spread between 2 year and 10 year US bonds) / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Nadeem_Walayat
One of the reasons why my analysis of April 2019 was more subdued in terms of the prospects for US house prices than it would otherwise have been is because the yield curve was flirting with inversion, that I concluded that the Fed would not allow to take place and thus adopt whatever measures were necessary to PREVENT inversion that tends to foreshadow lower inflation and recessions.
The Fed succeeded in preventing a sustained inversion during 2019, with the yield curve massaged to hover around 0.2% that is until the pandemic broke and the Fed panicked and opened the monetary flood gates sending the yield curve soaring to currently stand at 1% as the bond market is discounting higher future inflation as the consequence of rampant money printing.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
Should You Buy a Landrover Discovery Sport in 2021? / Personal_Finance / Land Rover
By: N_Walayat
Thinking of treating yourselves to a landrover discovery sport in 2021? Either New are Used then here is my review of what you need to know after having owned and driven a Discovery Sport for 3 FULL YEARS!
Landrover Discovery Sport HSE BLACK that I bought under Approved Used when the car was about 15 months old, with 13,000 miles on the clock, so still under manufacturers warranty, followed by a few months under Land Rovers Approved Used extended warranty and then it's third year of ownership out of warranty.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
US Housing Market 2021 and the Inflation Mega-trend - QE4EVER! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst the US stock market had a panic attack crash into Mid March. The crash where US house prices are concerned was UPWARDS! Which should not come as much of a surprise to those who have been following my analysis for the past 10 years! Money printing, MONEY PRINTING! When you know the Fed is about to print a shit load of money whatever they call it, will mean that assets that cannot be easily printed will surge higher, this IS the INFLATION MEGA-TREND IN ACTION!
The primary mega-trend IS THE INFLATION MEGA-TREND! Those who bet against it on hopes of a repeat of the 1930's depression will keep going BROKE!
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
M&A Most Commonly Used Software / Companies / Mergers & Acquisitions
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Generally, M&A activities involve the transfer or consolidation of a company's ownership, other business organization, or one of its operating units.
Strategic management consists of many components, among them M&A, which allow an enterprise to expand or contract and change its nature and value proposition.
Mergers and Acquisitions are a part of strategic management, allowing for expanding businesses into new markets, the expansion of services, the exploitation of synchronizations, the reduction of costs, the increase in financial leverage, or the simplifying of operational procedures.
During an acquisition, a company or business may be purchased by another or other entities.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
Is More Stock Market Correction Needed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: May continue until SPX reaches ~4050-4150 (March 2021).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
VUZE XR Camera 180 3D VR Example Footage Video Image quality / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
Vuze XR VR 180 sample video. Shot around Sheffield at 5.7K in the 180 3D mode. The Vuze XR is a dual 360 and 180 camera.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
How to Protect Your Positions From A Stock Market Sell-Off Using Options / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Today we are going to explore how you can use options to hedge against a sudden market reversal. As you know I am going to be launching a new options service with an options specialist, Neil Szczepanski, shortly so you should start seeing more and more research on options from us.
The first question we need to answer is will there be a market sell-off? If we first look at the S&P chart below, we can see that we have had an incredible run. In order to determine if this trend is weakening, we need to look at what is happening with key sectors and sector rotation. Since the beginning of 2021, we have seen a rotation into commodity sectors which is typical of a late-cycle surge. This might give us a hint that higher volatility projections might be realized.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
Why Isn’t Retail Demand for Silver Pushing Up Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
Metals markets continue to diverge this week, with copper and platinum adding to recent breakout gains while gold struggles to find footing.
During this week’s selloff, gold revisited its lows from last November. A support level exists at $1,750, but momentum selling could take prices down a bit further before technical gauges flash deeply oversold signals.
Turning to silver, the white metal continues to show relative strength versus gold, although prices haven’t actually moved much over the past few trading days.
Despite lackluster returns in most of the precious metals so far in 2021, inflation pressures are pointing upward. On Wednesday, the Labor Department reported that U.S. wholesale prices surged by 1.3% in January.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
2 Stocks That Could Win Big In The Trillion Dollar Battery War / Companies / Lithium
By: OilPrice_Com
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
US Economic Trends - GDP, Inflation and Unemployment Impact on House Prices 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
GDP
The US economy is recovering fast from the corona crash with annualised GDP down just 2.8% for Q3, a remarkable performance and far better than most western nations.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
Why the Sky Is Not Falling in Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Submissions
Stocks are predictably staging a continued recovery from the mostly sideways correction – a shallow one not strong enough to break the bulls‘ back. Credit markets are largely behaving – with the exception of long-term Treasuries, which I see as highly likely to draw the Fed‘s attention – just as I discussed in detail yesterday.
The S&P 500 keeps doing fine, and so does my open position there – in the black again. On one hand, volatility remains low regardless of intraday attempts to rise, on the other hand, the put/call ratio has risen quite high yesterday – it‘s as if the traders are expecting a shoe to drop, similarly to the end of Jan. Will it, is there any on the horizon?
Treasuries at the long-end are falling like a stone, and those on the short end (3-months) are seeing higher prices in 2021. The bond market is clearly under pressure, and exerting influence primarily upon precious metals (and commodities such as oil, which are experiencing a down day today, after quite a string of foreseeable gains).
The bearish sentiment in gold and miners is running rampant, and it‘s been only yesterday when I answered a question on ominous head and shoulders patterns in the making, at my own site.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
7 Things Every Businessman Should Know / Companies / SME
By: Allen Brown
Entrepreneurs are the backbone of a thriving economy. They create solutions, jobs, and a better standard of living. However, it is not easy to find success as an entrepreneur, and the primary reason for that is a lack of proper mentors. So, here are a few tips that you could use to become a successful entrepreneur that could come in handy until you find a mentor or unleash the secrets of the business world yourself!
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
For Stocks, has the “Rational Bubble” Popped? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Paul_Rejczak
Matthew Levy writes: In keeping with last week’s theme, the market has mainly traded sideways this week. However, that correction I’ve been calling for weeks? We have potentially started.
While I don’t foresee a crash like we saw last March and feel that the wheels are in motion for a healthy 2021, I still maintain that some correction before the end of Q1 could happen.
Bank of America also echoed this statement and said last week that “We expect a buyable 5-10% Q1 correction as the big ‘unknowns’ coincide with exuberant positioning, record equity supply, and as good as it gets’ earnings revisions.”
Yes, the sentiment is still positive. That won’t change overnight. Vaccines seem more effective than we thought, especially against other variants of the virus. All that extra stimulus money and record low-interest rates could keep pushing stocks to more records and stimulate pent-up consumer spending. It’s not like the Fed is going to switch this policy up anytime soon, either.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
Will Biden Overheat the Economy and Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Under the Biden administration the economy could overheat, thereby increasing inflation and the price of gold.In January, Biden unveiled his plan for stimulating the economy, which is struggling as the epidemic in the U.S. continues to unfold. Pundits welcomed the bold proposal of spending almost $2 trillion. Some expenditures, especially on vaccines and healthcare, sound pretty reasonable. However, $1.9 trillion is a lot of money! And a lot of federal debt , as the stimulus would be debt-funded!
So, there is a risk that Biden’s package would overheat the economy and increase inflation . Surprisingly, even some mainstream economists who support the deficit spending, notice this possibility. For instance, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, said that Biden’s stimulus could lead the economy to overheat, and that the conventional wisdom is underestimating the risks of hitting capacity. Although he doesn’t oppose the idea of another stimulus, Summers noted that “if we get Covid behind us, we will have an economy that is on fire”.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
Precious Metals Under Seige? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Rambus_Chartology
Lets start with the daily bar combo chart for the PM complex which shows the August trading range still under construction making lower lows and lower highs for the most part.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
US House Prices Trend Forecast Review / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Did the coronavirus pandmeic deliver the perma bears their US house prices crash that they have been crowing so loudly for for over a decade now?
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