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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Thursday, February 25, 2021

Musk, Bezos And Cook Are Rushing To Lock In New Lithium Supply / Commodities / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

US Debt and Yield Curve (Spread between 2 year and 10 year US bonds) / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

One of the reasons why my analysis of April 2019 was more subdued in terms of the prospects for US house prices than it would otherwise have been is because the yield curve was flirting with inversion, that I concluded that the Fed would not allow to take place and thus adopt whatever measures were necessary to PREVENT inversion that tends to foreshadow lower inflation and recessions.

The Fed succeeded in preventing a sustained inversion during 2019, with the yield curve massaged to hover around 0.2% that is until the pandemic broke and the Fed panicked and opened the monetary flood gates sending the yield curve soaring to currently stand at 1% as the bond market is discounting higher future inflation as the consequence of rampant money printing.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

Should You Buy a Landrover Discovery Sport in 2021? / Personal_Finance / Land Rover

By: N_Walayat

Thinking of treating yourselves to a landrover discovery sport in 2021? Either New are Used then here is my review of what you need to know after having owned and driven a Discovery Sport for 3 FULL YEARS!

Landrover Discovery Sport HSE BLACK that I bought under Approved Used when the car was about 15 months old, with 13,000 miles on the clock, so still under manufacturers warranty, followed by a few months under Land Rovers Approved Used extended warranty and then it's third year of ownership out of warranty.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

US Housing Market 2021 and the Inflation Mega-trend - QE4EVER! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst the US stock market had a panic attack crash into Mid March. The crash where US house prices are concerned was UPWARDS! Which should not come as much of a surprise to those who have been following my analysis for the past 10 years! Money printing, MONEY PRINTING! When you know the Fed is about to print a shit load of money whatever they call it, will mean that assets that cannot be easily printed will surge higher, this IS the INFLATION MEGA-TREND IN ACTION!

The primary mega-trend IS THE INFLATION MEGA-TREND! Those who bet against it on hopes of a repeat of the 1930's depression will keep going BROKE!

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Companies

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

M&A Most Commonly Used Software / Companies / Mergers & Acquisitions

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Generally, M&A activities involve the transfer or consolidation of a company's ownership, other business organization, or one of its operating units. 

Strategic management consists of many components, among them M&A, which allow an enterprise to expand or contract and change its nature and value proposition. 

Mergers and Acquisitions are a part of strategic management, allowing for expanding businesses into new markets, the expansion of services, the exploitation of synchronizations, the reduction of costs, the increase in financial leverage, or the simplifying of operational procedures.

During an acquisition, a company or business may be purchased by another or other entities. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

Is More Stock Market Correction Needed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before coming to an end.

SPX Intermediate trend:  May continue until SPX reaches ~4050-4150 (March 2021).

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

VUZE XR Camera 180 3D VR Example Footage Video Image quality / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

Vuze XR VR 180 sample video. Shot around Sheffield at 5.7K in the 180 3D mode. The Vuze XR is a dual 360 and 180 camera.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

How to Protect Your Positions From A Stock Market Sell-Off Using Options / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Today we are going to explore how you can use options to hedge against a sudden market reversal. As you know I am going to be launching a new options service with an options specialist, Neil Szczepanski, shortly so you should start seeing more and more research on options from us.

The first question we need to answer is will there be a market sell-off?  If we first look at the S&P chart below, we can see that we have had an incredible run.  In order to determine if this trend is weakening, we need to look at what is happening with key sectors and sector rotation.  Since the beginning of 2021, we have seen a rotation into commodity sectors which is typical of a late-cycle surge.  This might give us a hint that higher volatility projections might be realized. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

Why Isn’t Retail Demand for Silver Pushing Up Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

Metals markets continue to diverge this week, with copper and platinum adding to recent breakout gains while gold struggles to find footing.

During this week’s selloff, gold revisited its lows from last November. A support level exists at $1,750, but momentum selling could take prices down a bit further before technical gauges flash deeply oversold signals.

Turning to silver, the white metal continues to show relative strength versus gold, although prices haven’t actually moved much over the past few trading days.

Despite lackluster returns in most of the precious metals so far in 2021, inflation pressures are pointing upward.  On Wednesday, the Labor Department reported that U.S. wholesale prices surged by 1.3% in January.  

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Companies

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

2 Stocks That Could Win Big In The Trillion Dollar Battery War / Companies / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

US Economic Trends - GDP, Inflation and Unemployment Impact on House Prices 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

GDP

The US economy is recovering fast from the corona crash with annualised GDP down just 2.8% for Q3, a remarkable performance and far better than most western nations.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Why the Sky Is Not Falling in Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Submissions

Stocks are predictably staging a continued recovery from the mostly sideways correction – a shallow one not strong enough to break the bulls‘ back. Credit markets are largely behaving – with the exception of long-term Treasuries, which I see as highly likely to draw the Fed‘s attention – just as I discussed in detail yesterday.

The S&P 500 keeps doing fine, and so does my open position there – in the black again. On one hand, volatility remains low regardless of intraday attempts to rise, on the other hand, the put/call ratio has risen quite high yesterday – it‘s as if the traders are expecting a shoe to drop, similarly to the end of Jan. Will it, is there any on the horizon?

Treasuries at the long-end are falling like a stone, and those on the short end (3-months) are seeing higher prices in 2021. The bond market is clearly under pressure, and exerting influence primarily upon precious metals (and commodities such as oil, which are experiencing a down day today, after quite a string of foreseeable gains).

The bearish sentiment in gold and miners is running rampant, and it‘s been only yesterday when I answered a question on ominous head and shoulders patterns in the making, at my own site.

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Companies

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

7 Things Every Businessman Should Know / Companies / SME

By: Allen Brown

Entrepreneurs are the backbone of a thriving economy. They create solutions, jobs, and a better standard of living. However, it is not easy to find success as an entrepreneur, and the primary reason for that is a lack of proper mentors. So, here are a few tips that you could use to become a successful entrepreneur that could come in handy until you find a mentor or unleash the secrets of the business world yourself!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

For Stocks, has the “Rational Bubble” Popped? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Paul_Rejczak

Matthew Levy writes: In keeping with last week’s theme, the market has mainly traded sideways this week. However, that correction I’ve been calling for weeks? We have potentially started.

While I don’t foresee a crash like we saw last March and feel that the wheels are in motion for a healthy 2021, I still maintain that some correction before the end of Q1 could happen.

Bank of America also echoed this statement and said last week that “We expect a buyable 5-10% Q1 correction as the big ‘unknowns’ coincide with exuberant positioning, record equity supply, and as good as it gets’ earnings revisions.”

Yes, the sentiment is still positive. That won’t change overnight. Vaccines seem more effective than we thought, especially against other variants of the virus. All that extra stimulus money and record low-interest rates could keep pushing stocks to more records and stimulate pent-up consumer spending. It’s not like the Fed is going to switch this policy up anytime soon, either.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Will Biden Overheat the Economy and Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Under the Biden administration the economy could overheat, thereby increasing inflation and the price of gold.

In January, Biden unveiled his plan for stimulating the economy, which is struggling as the epidemic in the U.S. continues to unfold. Pundits welcomed the bold proposal of spending almost $2 trillion. Some expenditures, especially on vaccines and healthcare, sound pretty reasonable. However, $1.9 trillion is a lot of money! And a lot of federal debt , as the stimulus would be debt-funded!

So, there is a risk that Biden’s package would overheat the economy and increase inflation . Surprisingly, even some mainstream economists who support the deficit spending, notice this possibility. For instance, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, said that Biden’s stimulus could lead the economy to overheat, and that the conventional wisdom is underestimating the risks of hitting capacity. Although he doesn’t oppose the idea of another stimulus, Summers noted that “if we get Covid behind us, we will have an economy that is on fire”.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Precious Metals Under Seige? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Rambus_Chartology

Lets start with the daily bar combo chart for the PM complex which shows the August trading range still under construction making lower lows and lower highs for the most part.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

US House Prices Trend Forecast Review / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Did the coronavirus pandmeic deliver the perma bears their US house prices crash that they have been crowing so loudly for for over a decade now?

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Lithium Prices Soar As Tesla, Apple And Google Fight For Supply / Commodities / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2021

Stock Markets Discounting Post Covid Economic Boom / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market has continued to confound all of the doom merchants out there who blindly continue to point to the worst economic contraction since the great depression if not in history for most western economies. All whilst the Dow pushed its way to a new all time high into the end of 2020 and has continued to march ever higher during 2021 in response to which most investors have faced a barrage of that messages that the bubble is always about to burst, whilst my Patrons have received an unequivocal consistent message that this bull market has a long ways to go and that investors should not look a gift horse in the mouth when all of the stocks on my AI list were typically marked down by over 1/3rd against their Pre pandemic trading levels during March 2020.

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Economics

Monday, February 22, 2021

Economics Is Why Vaccination Is So Hard / Economics / Coronavirus 2021

By: Patrick_Watson

When a house burns down, it affects more than just the owner, occupants, and even the neighbors.

Quick, efficient firefighting is a public good. Stopping contagious diseases is another public good. The public interest demands all fires—in all forms—be extinguished before they spread.

Now we have COVID-19 vaccines that, while imperfect, are generally safe and effective. We should deliver them with the same urgency with which we send fire trucks to every blaze.

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