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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Thursday, February 04, 2016

Crude Oil Price Forecast 2016 As Good As It Gets / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Joseph_Russo

In observing the enormous triple digit percentage gains achieved amid Crude Oil's northward thrusts versus its debilitating double digit losses during its major spills, it becomes rather clear why market participants prefer buying low in a newly forming bull market vs. selling short at the onset of a bear market.

On a relative basis, in the not too distant future, a cyclical bottom will form and the long-term trend in Crude will reverse to the upside - providing bullish speculators with yet another rare opportunity at the chance of humongous triple digit upside returns.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 04, 2016

A Giga Breakout In A Mid-Sized Gold Miner / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: InvestingHaven

Gold has broken through its important resistance point at $1,130 USD/oz. That is an important price point, as it coincides with gold’s 200 day moving average and the midpoint in the trend channel that started in July of 2013 (see first chart).

We have published our gold price chart several times, but it remains a spot-on chart. Below is the latest version. As clearly seen, major resistance kicks in around $1,210 USD/oz, which is 6.1% above today’s closing price. If gold manages to break through that level, we believe a major trend change would be underway.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Gold and Silver More 'Flight To Safety' Active February / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

Gold showed some strength today in an add on to the flight to safety trade, even though there was a midday hit on price that was pure antics. The dollar moved lower and silver wallowed.

I posted an update to the NAV of Precious Metals Funds and Trusts today. Sprott has successfully absorbed the Central Gold Trust. It raised some cash and added substantially to their bullion and shares under management, so its a good deal for them. Let's see if time shows if it is a good deal for the trust unit holders.

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Companies

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Raytheon Company: A Defensive Stock for a Defensive Market / Companies / Investing 2016

By: Sol_Palha

Company Background
Raytheon Company, together with its subsidiaries, is a technology Company that specializes in defense and other Government markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

The Dethroning of Cash: Discouraged, Penalized, Even Banned? / Stock-Markets / War on Cash

By: MoneyMetals

Stefan Gleason writes: Stock market gyrations and deteriorating global economic conditions in the early goings of 2016 sent investors fleeing for safety. Or at least what is commonly thought to be safety.

Many in the financial media are now trotting out the bromide that “cash is king.” A sampling of recent headlines illustrates how pervasive the thinking is:

  • “Cash Is King as China Sparks Market Turmoil” (MarketWatch, January 20, 2016)
  • “Cash Is King in Times Like These” (Toronto Star, January 15, 2016)
  • “Cash Is King as Europe Adapts to Negative Interest Rates” (Bloomberg, January 26, 2016)
  • “Cash Is King as Disunity Reigns Within G20” (Barron's, February 1, 201)
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Here’s How You Can End Up Losing All Your Money In The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

If you want to increase your wealth and make more money, you want to consider stock investments. This is quite obvious but there is no real guarantee that you are going to succeed. The statement is true even in the event that you use a perfect strategy. Unfortunately, problems happen. The real problem is that many do not actually know why they lose money. If you find yourself in such a situation and your friends figure out that they shouldn’t loan you more money to invest, consider the following mistakes.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Is Silver Really a Weak Link / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Robert Alexander writes: I am not what many consider to be a Perma Gold Bull, but I do expect a 3rd phase of the 2000 Gold run to take place and end in a spectacular blow off top phase. That being the case, I also watch intently when we get these bear market lows for signs of a bigger picture change. Lately I am hearing that “Silver is weak”.  “Silver cant get out of its own way. It is setting up to plunge now.”  I’ve been discussing these lows and successfully trading them for weeks now. Is that the way I see current conditions? Is Silver really the weak link?  Not the way I look at things.  To the charts…

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Gold to Beat Stocks 2016? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Axel_Merk

"Stocks beat gold in the long run!" is a 'rallying cry' to buy stocks we have heard lately that gets me riled up. It’s upsetting to me for two reasons: first, an out of context comparison, in my opinion, misguides investors. It might be the wrong assertion in the short to medium term.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Stock Market Seasonality Is Out of Season / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Chris_Vermeulen

A “rally” attempt is underway. Stocks are continuing to rebound and all is well with the World?  Or is it?  With each passing day, the United States plummets deeper and deeper into a “black hole” of debt, of which it will be almost impossible to repay. At the time, of this writing the national debt is $18,939,663,109,937!

To put this into perspective, the national debt is so bad that if every citizen (including children) were to help pay it off, each one of us would have to contribute $58,652.00.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Silver Price Fix – “Future Of The Fix Is Fraught” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The silver price fix debacle from last week and the new London silver price fix has received a litany of severe criticism in recent days.

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Politics

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

David Chamberlain Cameron, Britain's Last Chance for Freedom From Emerging European Super State / Politics / UK EU Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's Prime Minister, David Cameron emerged Tuesday waving a piece of paper Chamberlain style of a 'draft' agreement that follows several months of negotiations that had the PM running around europe begging the likes of Donald Tusk (a former Polish Prime Minister) and former eastern block nations for some return of sovereignty. A piece of paper that is heavy on printed pages but light on anything that even comes close to matching the Conservative Manifesto pledges of a series of red lines ahead of Britain's EU In / Out referendum.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Ugly Day on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a turnaround Tuesday as they rolled over and took a big loss off of clear, overhead resistance, which they failed to get through at Nasdaq 100 4300 area. The S&P 500 had a big problem at the 1950 area, and as a result, they tanked today, coming down on really hard, and declining channels all day. There was a bounce in the last hour but it was a little anemic.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 295.64 at 16,153.54, 45 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 36.35 to 1903.03, 6 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 93.46 to 4193.10, 13 points off its low.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Stock Market Retesting of the January Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Donald_W_Dony

North American markets found support in mid-January after three weeks of sharp declines. However, after a brief rebound, those key support levels are expected to be retested again in February.

The S&P 500 has bounced off of the 1860-1875 range three times in the last 6 months.

Now that the rebound rally has stalled and rolled-over, the index is expected to retest the support range again over the next week or two.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Keeping an Eye on Gold Bullion Supply and Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: A lot is riding on the demand side of the equation when it comes to metals' price performance this year. Demand is the bigger wildcard with signals thus far being mixed in gold and silver bullion markets. The outlook for supply is more certain, and it isn't pretty.

Endeavor Silver, one of the largest primary silver mining companies, announced last week that it expects to reduce production of the white metal by roughly 30%. The company's El Cubo mine is not profitable despite efforts to reduce costs. Endeavor plans to halt development and exploration at the mine and process accessible ore only. By year end, the mine will be placed on “care and maintenance.”

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Companies

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

What's Up with Goldman Sachs? / Companies / Banking Stocks

By: Mario_Innecco

Transcript Excerpt: Tuesday February 2nd 2016 short video on Goldman Sachs the investment bank that
was saved by the Federal Reserve in 2008 September 2008 overnight federal reserve
on a Sunday you know gave Goldman Sachs bank holding company status
overnight just like that in order to save Goldman Sachs that they could
borrow money from the Fed
their investment investment bank so you could argue that their actual investment
bank with government guarantee now you know from 2008

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Politics

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

EU UK Draft or Daft Agreement By Donald Tusk to Members of the European Council in Full / Politics / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

David Cameron's The long awaited agreement with Donald Tusk that was said would settle the UK's place in the European Union for once and for all ahead of an EU in out referendum. On first glance the lengthy 150 page+ proposal looks confusing and contradictory in places whilst weak on actual substance of what David Cameron had set out as his red lines on benefits and controlling unlimited EU migration. I am going to have to spend several hours trying to understand this MESS, but it does appear to be complete and utter slap in the face for Britain, which itself will be heavily watered down by predominantly eastern european states that are on the receiving end of £15 billion per annum in transfer payments from UK tax payers such as benefits claimed sent home to support eastern european economies.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

How the Blockchain and Gold Can Work Together / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Thorsten_Polleit

A look into monetary history shows that people, when given freedom of choice, opted for precious metals as money. This doesn’t come as a surprise. Precious metals have the physical properties a medium must have to serve as legal tender: They are scarce, homogenous, durable, divisible, mintable, and transportable. They are held in high esteem and represent considerable value per unit of weight. Gold fulfills these requirements par excellence, and this is why it has always been peoples’ first choice in terms of money. Gold has proven its merits as money for millennia; it is the ultimate means of payment.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

Were Iowa Caucuses Rigged? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Stephen_Lendman

America is notorious for electoral rigging, fraud commonplace since at least the 1824 presidential race, the outcome called the “Corrupt Bargain.”

No winner emerged. Under 12th Amendment rules, House members decided, choosing John Quincy Adams after weeks of hard bargaining over Andrew Jackson, a future US president.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

Stock Market Eighth Year Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

As explained in last week's article, my Hybrid Lindsay model is pointing to a high in the Dow today, February 1st. Whether it is today, tomorrow, last Friday, or some other day very close to today, I have every reason to believe equities will begin a decline now that will likely continue for the remainder of the month.

And it is more than just the Lindsay model that has me convinced markets will decline into the first of March. Seasonally, during election years, equities decline for the first two months followed by a rally into April.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

Epic Currency War Battle: Hedge Funds Versus China / Currencies / Currency War

By: John_Rubino

George Soros’ successful bet against the British pound back in 1992 remains one of financial history’s epic tales.

The short version of the story begins with Britain linking its currency, the pound, to the German deutschmark via the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). But Britain’s inflation rate was higher than Germany’s, which created a growing mismatch between the currencies’ real value.

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