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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Abenomics Stalls, So What’s Japan Supposed To Do Now? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: John_Rubino

It was just three years ago that new Prime Minister Shinzo Abe promised to pull Japan out of its “lost decades” by printing epic amounts of new yen. He got what he wanted from the Bank of Japan, which bought up pretty much all the available government debt with newly-created currency. After hardly changing at all in the previous seven years, the BoJ’s balance sheet — a proxy for its money creation — tripled.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

When Stock Market Volatility Is Your Best Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Investment_U

Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Most people who talked to me about the market last week were shaking their heads, trying to make sense of the extreme up-and-down moves. But a few smart investors simply shrugged their shoulders and said, “I don’t care. I’m selling the volatility, so it’s been great for me.”

What they mean is that they are selling options - calls and puts. And they’re not selling them to close positions. They’re starting new ones, but selling first and buying them back when they’re cheaper.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

One of the Best Opportunities When the Stock Market Recovers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: It's a scary time to buy stocks...
 
Markets around the world are breaking down. But as we've written recently (here and here), this volatility is likely overdone. And it's creating real opportunities.
 
Most investors are focused on the U.S. today. But one of the biggest opportunities isn't at home... It's in Europe.
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Stock Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Chris_Vermeulen

For some time now, I have been observing bearish “cracks” appearing within the stock markets. The speed of the market’s drop, during the month of August, came as no surprise to me.

The bear market rally ended last week, after it had a 50% retracement of its initial decline. By Friday, September 4th, 2015, the index was trying to hold on, so as to support that which was created by a critical short- term trend line that had already been violated. The DJIA weekly chart gives a good argument by expressing the view that a bear market may already have begun.

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Politics

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

The Most Important Geopolitical Trend of the Next Decade…Here’s How to Profit / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

The bloodbath was merciless.

In 1842, 16,500 British soldiers and civilians withdrew from Kabul, Afghanistan. Only one would survive.

It was the most humiliating military disaster in British history. The death toll sealed Afghanistan’s reputation as “the graveyard of empires.”

It was the desire for control of Central Asia that sucked the British Army into its Afghan disaster.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Muddling Through Shanghai Stock Market and Chinese Economy / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: John_Mauldin

“He who knows when he can fight and when he cannot, will be victorious.” – Sun Tzu

A couple of weeks ago I was complaining about 47,000 China reports clogging my e-mail. The number now feels like it is well into six figures (perhaps a slight exaggeration). Maybe my memory is going, but there wasn’t nearly as much China talk on the way up. Funny how that works.

Is China collapsing? I think parts of China are under severe pressure if not outright recession, and clearly the stock market is a disaster. Anyone who bought Shanghai or Shenzhen stocks on margin this year is probably on the brink.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

7 Reasons the Stocks Bear Market Has Just Begun / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Michael_Pento

On March 10th 2009 the US stock market hit an intraday low and put in the now-famous “Haines bottom”--coined after my friend, the late great Mark Haines, who made one of the most prescient calls in market history. It should be noted by the time that fateful day arrived it was virtually impossible to find a single bull out of all the geniuses on Wall Street.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Crude Oil, Silver, Gold and Real Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

I’m not convinced!

  • Supposedly crude oil prices will stay low for a long time and perhaps drop into the $20’s. The Internet is filled with reasons explaining why crude oil prices will drop.  A few are:
  • Saudi Arabia is a swing producer and will provide what the world needs, regardless of price, because Saudi Arabia needs the revenue and employment for its people.
  • Iranian oil will soon hit the market and provide even more supply.
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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

China Buys 16 Tons Gold In August – Dumps $94 Billion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Given the strong demand fundamentals, particularly out of China, gold should go higher but as ever there is a risk of selling in the futures market leading to weakness in the short term as traders follow momentum and ignore fundamentals.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Silver and Deflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

How does silver perform during deflation? Which is better during a deflation – silver or gold?  The answers will depend on quite a few things as well as what definition of deflation one uses.

If you look at monetary history, then you will find that we have moved from periods where mostly real or tangible assets like gold and silver acted as monetary claims on goods and services in the economy, to today where mostly credit or debt claims (fiat currencies like the US dollar) act as monetary claims on goods and services. Therefore, we have moved from a real asset-based monetary system to a debt-based monetary system.

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Companies

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Dangerous is The Best Way to Explain The Banking Stocks Index Now ... / Companies / Banking Stocks

By: Hubert_Moolman

The ($BKX) Banking Index did hold at its rising channel's support line last week. However there is concern for later because the support line was breached for two days before the Banking Index found its way back into the range.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

The Default Next Move For Crude Oil Price Is Downwards, And Here's Why / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

As traders, investors and pundits, we all like to think that what we do is akin to a science. We believe that by working harder and being smarter we can give ourselves an edge, that enough research will reveal to us the next move, either a long term trend or an intraday blip on a chart, and that we can profit from that knowledge. Usually, especially over longer time spans, we are correct in that assumption. Sometimes, however, no amount of fundamental or technical analysis will help.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Here's Your Insurance Against a $200 Trillion Debt Bubble Crash / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.comPeter Krauth writes: The world is awash in debt, and it's simply unsustainable. As worldwide debt levels keep setting new records, there's no chance anyone will ever be paid back.

Even "vampire squid" Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS), with its tentacles deep into bond markets, thinks so.

The world's central banks now have an insurmountable dilemma: Raising interest rates will just increase the repayment burden. Keeping them low will only inflate the debt bubbles all over.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Europe's Best Real Estate Investments for 2016 / Housing-Market / European Housing

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

With the global stock markets currently in uncertain territory, many investors are once again turning toward bricks and mortar as a preferred place to put their money. The chaotic Chinese economy and ever-falling oil prices are two of the main factors making many other types of investment look particularly risky right now. However, the recovery in European property prices has been one of the major success stories of the aftermath of the global banking crisis, so savvy investors will be studying where to buy real estate in the coming year.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

UK Best Current Accounts - The End of ‘Free’ Banking? / Personal_Finance / UK Banking

By: MoneyFacts

This month marks the two-year anniversary of the Current Account Switch Guarantee, and while many consumers have already taken advantage and switched providers, greater momentum could be caused by incoming changes to the retail banking market.

Last month the CMA reported that of the 17% of customers who start looking to switch their current account, a staggering 86% don’t go on to switch. It is also estimated that the annual rate of switching stands at just 3%, and worryingly, 25% of switchers move their account without researching the market first.* Meanwhile, frequent overdraft users were found to be the least likely group of consumers to move, due to the hurdles of securing an overdraft facility with their new bank and the complexities of comparing account charges (something that is increasing in importance as average authorised overdraft usage fees have crept up from £4.59 to £6.74 in just two years).

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

EU Referendum - Assessing Britain's Ties to the Europe Union / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: STRATFOR

Mark Fleming-Williams writes: At some point in the next two years, British voters will decide whether to remain a part of the European Union. This will be the first time Britons have been consulted on the subject since 1975, when 67 percent voted to stay in. If it does decide to leave, the United Kingdom will become the first country to leave the European Union since it was created as the European Community in 1957. The repercussions would be felt not just in Britain, but also across the Continent and indeed across the world. To predict the eventual result of the vote, it is first important to understand the factors that have kept the United Kingdom in the union this long.

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Politics

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Syrian Refugee Crisis to Result in UK Council and Social Housing Waiting Lists Freeze Catastrophe / Politics / Immigration

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst David Cameron plucks figures out the air such as for the relocation of 20,000 Syrian refugees over the next few years, the reality will probably be nearer 20 times that figure, 400,000 Syrian refugees as evidenced by David Cameron's other immigration promises to cut net immigration to the tens of thousands per year where instead each data release shows net migration soaring to a new record high, as evidenced by the most recent data of over 330,000 per year.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Can Big Cap Gold and Silver Stocks Go Any Lower ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this I’m going to take an indepth look at some the individual precious metals stocks so we can see where they’re at from a short to long term perspective. We’ll start by looking at some of the more important big cap PM stocks as the precious metals stock indexes can’t have a significant rally until this group is ready to run. Anything can happen in the very short term but the further you go out in time the less likely the big trend is going to change on a dime.

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Economics

Monday, September 07, 2015

U.S. Real Wealth Weaker than GDP Stats Show / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: Frank_Shostak

US real gross domestic product (GDP) grew faster than initially thought in Q2. GDP expanded at a 3.7 percent annual rate instead of the 2.3 percent rate reported last month and 0.6 percent in Q1. Most experts, in response to this figure, are now arguing that the US economy is strengthening visibly.

This, coupled with a relatively stable price level, raises the likelihood that the economy is approaching the path of healthy economic growth with stable price inflation.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 07, 2015

The Stock Market Wants to Rally, Gold Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The SPX futures are rallying during this Labor Day Holiday.  The chart below pretty much explains what I'm looking for this week. On the sentiment point, we have excessive bearishness: large specs short volatility, while the small specs are long volatility and high P/C ratios... this is fairly bullish, at least in the short term.

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