Category: UK DebtThe analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, February 13, 2017
It’s fair to say that many experts have been surprised by the performance of the British economy since the historic vote to part ways with the European Union last year. Initially pessimistic growth forecasts continue to be revised upwards, and the outlook seems to brighten by the day – albeit that we are still at the very early stages of what is an unprecedented action.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 02, 2016
George Osborne's BrExit Excuse to Scrap UK Government Debt, Deficit and Borrowing Targets / Economics / UK Debt
George Osborne Friday announced that he would be using BrExit as an excuse to scrap the cornerstone of his economic policy, one of ending this parliament with an annual budget surplus, instead now stating:
"The referendum result is as expected likely to lead to a significant negative shock for the British economy. How we respond will determine the impact on people’s jobs and on economic growth.
The Bank of England can support demand.
The government must provide fiscal credibility so we will continue to be tough on the deficit but we must be realistic about achieving a surplus by the end of this decade as precisely the flexibility that our rules provide for, and we need to reduce uncertainty by moving as quickly as possible to a new relationship with Europe and being super competitive, open for business and free trading. That’s the plan and we must set to it.”
Thursday, March 17, 2016
The Office of Budgetary Responsibility has once more dutifully pumped out economic propaganda for the UK government in its latest report, where the most notable revision was to increase the amount the government will borrow over its term in office from the original £115 billion (May 2015) to now £178bn, a 54% increase in the amount they said they would borrow at the outset, and which is set against their November 2015 revision higher to £143bn.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Simon Wilson writesL As the Labour Party fights with Tories over the need to slightly rein in government spending in the UK, opponents of even the slightest bit of austerity have turned out to claim that there is no virtue in “living within your means.”
In a recent article in The Guardian, Ha-Joon Chang, attacked even the Tory government’s timid claim that it wasn’t a great idea to spend more than the government collects in tax revenues. But for the new radical left Labour Party on whose behalf Chang’s article was written, this notion is as quaint as it is “simply wrong.”Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 24, 2015
- UK economy a ’timebomb’ and will explode after election – Albert Edwards
- Telegraph warns of “Lehman Moment” stemming from possible election chaos
- Currency traders view pound as being particularly vulnerable
- Latest data shows UK poised to slip into deflation for the first time since 1960
- Polls place Labour and Tories neck and neck as election looms
- Hung parliament may force either side to enter coalition with potentially disliked partners
- Outright majority for either side would also lead to further uncertainty
- Political uncertainty may impact sterling and UK assets
- UK has massive debt and vulnerable to Eurozone debt crisis
Wednesday, January 21, 2015
The UK Economic Miracle
Only a few key figures are needed to understand how the"fastest growing economy in Europe" has effectively performed before and after the key date of 2008, whether under a pale pnk-hued New Labour government operating the Extend-and-Pretend mantra of borrow and spend, or the present pale blue Tory and Liberal Democrat governing coalition doing the same thing. The political and parliamentary numbers game is at least as important as the economic numbers for mapping the UK's economic future. The present two-party system, in fact, could be the last truly UK-wide bicameral Westminster-dominated system and process that the UK has had, for the last several hundred years.
Wednesday, January 09, 2013
Bank of England Cancels Britain's Debt, Coalition Government Budget Deficit Crisis is Pure Propaganda / News_Letter / UK DebtThe Market Oracle Newsletter
December 3rd , 2012 Issue #24 Vol. 6
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Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Who killed the UK recovery? UK households of course...
Deleveraging, like Hamlet's nothing, is only good or bad when you come to think about it.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 23, 2012
So, we started last week with the news that the great British pound, one of the world’s oldest currencies is increasingly being seen as a safe haven. This is alongside the US dollar and the Japanese yen.
Some seem to be surprised by the pound’s climb to safe-haven status, but it may not be that surprising.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 20, 2012
Take record-high debt, add record-low interest rates, and what do you get in gold...?
SECOND ONLY to Japan, the UK now wears the greatest debt burden of any major economy today – in total, more than 5 years' entire economic output.
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Plans to cut debt have failed nearly everywhere I look.
- Greece is obvious enough and a government collapsed over it.
- Spain is obvious enough and a government collapsed over it.
- Italy is obvious enough and a government collapsed over it.
- Portugal is obvious enough and a government collapsed over it.
- US is obvious enough and the failure of the super-committee to come to agreement is proof enough
Friday, October 07, 2011
Bank to Treasury: Forget credit easing. It's your debt that needs queasing...
UNLIKE PRINGLES tasty potato snacks, quantitative easing doesn't come with a resealable lid. So the famous sales line is only more true for central bankers:
"Once you pop, you can't stop!"Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 24, 2011
The rally in government bond markets over recent months has been driven by two anxieties:
1.The health of the global economic recovery, and
2.The Euro zone Sovereign debt crisis.
Thursday, September 30, 2010
Sept 19th, 2010 Issue #54 Vol. 4
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
The UK government borrowed a record amount of £13.3 / £15.9 billion in August (public sector net borrowing requirement), which brings total public sector net debt to £823 billion, 56% of GDP (excluding financial interventions - bank capital injections) / £935 billion (including financial interventions) 64% of GDP, which puts the economy within touching distance of breaking above £1 trillion for December 2010.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 19, 2010
This article is part of a series towards an updated UK interest rate trend forecast. The UK government continues to stealth default on its government debt at the minimum rate of 3% per annum, a price that is being paid for by all workers and savers. The population of Britain has been successfully conditioned by successive governments deploying the pseudo science of economics that appears to exist purely to enable governments to psychologically manage the expectations of their populations such as coming to believe that the stealth sovereign debt default trend is good for them.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 06, 2010
The Technical Trader’s view:Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 03, 2010
UK ConLib Government to Use INFLATION Stealth Tax to Erode Value of Public Debt / News_Letter / UK DebtThe Market Oracle Newsletter
June 29th, 2010 Issue #39 Vol. 4
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Tuesday, June 29, 2010
UK ConLib Government to Use INFLATION Stealth Tax to Erode Value of Public Debt / Economics / UK Debt
The Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne hit the reset button on the UK economy by delivering the most radical budget of the past 30 years that has sought to cut an extra £40 billion from Britains annual budget deficit by 2014-15 which is on top of ALL of Labours March 2010 budget cuts and tax rises of £73 billion that the coalition left intact. The cuts totaling a withdrawal of £113 billion from the economy will be phased in by 2015-16 and by then total about 7.5% of GDP which is a huge amount that is deemed necessary to divert Britain from its current path towards bankruptcy that Labour had put it firmly upon as a consequence of running an annual budget deficit of 12% of GDP.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 25, 2010
The Bank of England has raised concerns over British banks exposure to European sovereign debt in its Financial Stability Report, calling on the banks to raise capital reserves in advance of future debt defaults, and to extend the maturity of the banking sectors wholesale funding as short-term loans increase the risks of credit freeze events as they are rolled over.Read full article... Read full article...