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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

UK House Prices Plunge Over the Cliff / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK house prices plunged by 2.5% in March (Halifax seasonally adjusted), the fall was far bigger than estimates and points to an acceleration in the pace of house price falls across the UK.

The credit crisis is continuing to lead to a much tighter mortgage lending environment as highlighted in December's article. Mortgages continue to vanish from lenders shelves, with the total number of products having been reduced from 11,000 in May 2007 to just over 3000 today. The tightening is as a consequence of risk averse lenders seeking to repair their balance sheets from US mortgage related losses and batton down the hatches in advance of a surge in repossessions and mortgage defaults amongst UK borrowers.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, April 07, 2008

US Housing Bust and the American Dream / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mark_B_Rasmussen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHome ownership has long been considered “The AMERICAN DREAM” and with the recent paradigms of the “WEALTH AFFECT” and the “OWNERSHIP SOCIATY”……..(Really fraud and myths I have written about earlier on this site)…..See “Debunked Myths of 2007”.

It is estimated that 8 - 10 Million Americans owe more than their home is worth today, as the rate of housing price decline accelerates and the economy slows…(actually early recession).

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Housing-Market

Friday, April 04, 2008

US Housing and Credit Crisis- Why Keep Analyst X a Mystery? / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Fake_Ben

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The crisis from which we are now suffering is also the outcome of a credit expansion. The present crisis is the unavoidable sequel to a boom. Such a crisis necessarily follows every boom generated by the attempt to reduce the 'natural rate of interest.'" - Analyst X

Do you have a troubled friend or relative whose misguided attempts to solve their problems only make the situation worse? As human beings, it is hard to see our own short-comings. But to ever truly solve our problems, we must strive to understand them.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, April 02, 2008

UK Housing Mortgage Market Crunch / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The UK housing market continues to trend lower towards the Market Oracle forecast of negative house price inflation on release of Aprils house price data in May. The Housing market was hit today by further news of withdrawal of more mortgage products that has seen the mortgage products market now shrink by 2/3rds from a year earlier. First Direct announced that it would no longer be offering mortgage products to new customers. This follows hot on the heals of many banks and building societies making borrowing far more difficult, the aim being to reduce their exposure to the UK mortgage market.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, March 30, 2008

US Housing Market Bottoming? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: John_Mauldin

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHousing - Finding the Elusive Bottom
  • Where is the Value in Housing?
  • Bottom Line? There is no Bottom in Sight
  • The Real ARMs Race

Existing home sales rose by 2.9% in February, the first significant rise in home sales since the housing market started to decline last year. I was in my car and listening to CNBC as commentators started to celebrate the bottom of the housing market. Since the credit crisis has its roots in the US housing market, and will require a resolution of the housing market in order for credit markets to return to whatever will look like normalcy in the future, it is of more than passing interest to get a handle on the actual state of the housing market.

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Housing-Market

Friday, March 28, 2008

Falling UK House Prices Point to April Rate Cut / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

  • House price growth slows to lowest level in twelve years
  • Clear change in consumers’ housing market sentiment
  • Outlook more downbeat, but within forecast range
  • MPC expected to bring rate cut forward to April
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, March 24, 2008

BBC Shows Re-runs of Old Property Shows From the Housing Boom / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It can be confusing watching UK broadcast TV housing market programming, as I am finding that the property shows being aired are more often repeats captured from the heights of the housing boom. Viewers could be confused into thinking that what they are watching is current programming as usually there is no clear indication of the date of the original filming.

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Housing-Market

Friday, March 21, 2008

Credit Crunch Hits Big Mortgage Banks Harder than Smaller Institutions / Housing-Market / Credit Crunch

By: MoneyFacts

The fallout from the credit crunch and predicted falling house prices have forced lenders to consider their positions in the market and reassess their attitude to risk based lending. Denise Harvey, mortgage analyst from moneyfacts.co.uk looks at the position of the UK’s largest lenders in today’s market.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

UK Subprime Mortgage Products Drop by 80% as Banks Cut Back on Lending / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems that the effects from the credit crunch on the sub prime mortgage market are far from over. Julia Harris, mortgage analyst from moneyfacts.co.uk looks at recent changes to the ever-depleting market. “Over the last week we have seen a host of sub prime lenders including Amber Homeloans, Scarborough Specialist Mortgages and SALT cease new lending of sub prime mortgages. In addition Northern Rock has announced that it will no longer be offering sub prime mortgages funded by Southern Pacific Mortgage Limited.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Calls on the Government and the Mortgage Industry to Help UK Homebuyers / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

On the eve of the launch of the first ever Moneyfacts mortgage report “Tougher times in the UK residential mortgage market”, Andrew Hagger of Moneyfacts.co.uk comments on the following topics:

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

RICS Data Confirms UK Housing Market Heading for 1990's Style Crash / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA matter of days after soothing words on the prospects for UK house prices for 2008 were issued by the chief economist of Britain's largest Mortgage Bank (The Halifax), the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors released data today which shows the worst margin between rising and falling house prices since the height of the 1990's property crash.

The RICS data shows that only 4% of surveyors reported a price rise against 57% reporting price falls, thus resulting in a net negative reading of 53%, which seasonally adjusts to a 64% negative reading, the worst since June 1990. Stocks of unsold inventory continue to build up on surveyors books to levels not seen in a decade and up more than 50% over the last 12 months.

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Housing-Market

Monday, March 10, 2008

FSA Campaign to help UK Homeowners Worried about Meeting their Mortgage Repayments / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions

New figures published by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) today show that one in five mortgage holders are concerned about meeting their repayments in the next 12 months. When asked how they would meet these costs, a quarter of them said they had no plans.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, March 08, 2008

UK House Prices Fall in February- Home Owners have Lost £7,600 in 6 months! / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeasonally adjusted house prices fell in February by 0.3% to £196,649 (Halifax:SA), a fall of £600. None seasonally adjusted house prices are now down £7,600 since the peak made in August 2007 which equates to an average drop of £1,266 per month in equity. This is against an interest rate implied cut of 0.5% on interest repayments on an average UK mortgage of £150,000, or just £62.50 per month (Rate cuts inline with Sept 07 forecast). Therefore housing market commentators expecting UK interest rate cuts to support the housing market need to revisit their methodology of calculating the difference between implied impact of rate cuts i.e. £62.50 per month against that of the loss of equity per month of £1,266. I say implied impact of rate cuts as the credit crisis has ensured that the spread between bank mortgage rates and the Bank of England Base Rate has widened, therefore effectively not entirely passing on the rate cut to mortgage customers.

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Housing-Market

Friday, March 07, 2008

US Mortgage and Housing Markets at Very Important Crossroads / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: The most amazing thing about the housing and mortgage market crunch is that it has unfolded in the context of a decent employment backdrop and a growing economy.

Home sales collapsed ... inventories ballooned ... prices started dropping ... and mortgage delinquency rates and foreclosures exploded.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Real Estate and Credit Bubble Deflation: Anatomy of a Murder / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Steve_Moyer

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"And there should be no doubt about who is really responsible for the subprime woes. The investment banks employ some of the country's "best and brightest" -- sharp guys who have studied at some of our finest colleges and universities. Does anyone really believe that a Harvard MBA -- who understands all the fine-points of high-finance -- really thought that ignoring all of the standard criteria for prudent lending, and issuing trillions of dollars in loans to applicants who had no job, no collateral, bad credit, and were unable to come up with a few thousand dollars for a down-payment -- was a great idea?" ~ Mike Whitney

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Housing-Market

Sunday, March 02, 2008

UK House Prices Tumble Tracking GDP Growth Rate Lower / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHouse prices fell by 0.5% in February, the fourth consecutive monthly decline
  • The annual rate of house price inflation fell from 4.2% to 2.7%
  • UK recession “a remote risk for the UK economy”
Headlines February 2008 January 2008
Monthly index * Q1 '93 = 100
363.3
365.0
Monthly change*
-0.5%
-0.3%
Annual change
2.7%
4.2%
Average price
£179,358
£180,473

* seasonally adjusted

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Housing-Market

Saturday, March 01, 2008

UK Mortgage Banks Call in the Loans - Housing Market Deflation / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe British Bankers Association mortgage lending statistics reveal a contraction in the total amount of outstanding mortgage debt amongst its UK member banks, of nearly £6 billion from the peak set in October 2007. Whilst the amount may seem small in terms of the size of total mortgage debt of some $1.2 trillions, it is however opposite to the atmosphere of rising mortgage debt that sustained the housing bull market.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, February 28, 2008

Buy to Let Landlords Start to Feel the Mortgage Rate Pinch / Housing-Market / Buy to Let

By: MoneyFacts

Results from the Council of Mortgage Lenders this week have shown an increase in the number of loans taken by buy-to-let landlords in 2007. With first time buyers finding it increasingly difficult to get onto the property ladder, it might be expected that private landlords are having it easy. Alan Harper, Senior Analyst at Moneyfacts.co.uk looks at the availability of buy-to let mortgages:

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Bank seizures of US Homes Surge by 90% As Borrowers Hit by Adjustable Rate Mortgage Resets / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin here with two news items I want to bring to your immediate attention.

First and foremost, talk on Wall Street yesterday that the housing market "may be bottoming" is a bunch of hooey.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

UK House Prices Fall for 5 Months in a Row- Housing Market Will Go Negative April 08 / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHometracks house price data released on Monday points to house prices in England and Wales falling for 5 straight months in a row as banks tightened lending criteria as the risks of residential housing market bad debt exposure continues to grow. Annual UK house price inflation fell to a near 2 year low of 1.4%. The hometrack data is in line with the Market Oracle forecast as of August 2007 for a fall in average UK house prices of 15% over two years to August 2009.

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