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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Thursday, May 08, 2008

UK House Prices Tumbling- Interest Rate Conundrum / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK house price data from Britains biggest mortgage banks for April 08 now show negative house price inflation year on year. Statistics released earlier than usual by the the Nationwide that house prices have now fallen by 1% on a year earlier, closely followed by the Halifax that also shows house prices down by 1%. This was originally forecast by the Market Oracle for the April 2008 house price data in the analysis of November 2007.

Despite the fall, the Nationwide put a positive spin on bad news by alluding to the Bank of England rate cuts and liquidly measures that would stabalise the housing market: "the Bank’s measures should help to restore a more orderly transition and ultimately bring about a more stable market."

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

WaMu's Suspect Mortgage Pool- Fallout from Liar Loans Continues / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have been tracking a particular Washington Mutual (WM) Alt-A mortgage pool for several months. The pool is known as WMALT 2007-0C1.

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Housing-Market

Monday, May 05, 2008

Rebuttal To SmartMoney US Housing Market Bottom Call / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDonald Luskin at SmartMoney is making a case that Housing Prices Near or at Bottom
I'm not here to tell you that home prices are at absolute bottom this very moment. But I can argue pretty persuasively that they might be. Or that they are close.

What establishes value in a home price? Like anything else, it's a question of historical norms. So how do we determine the norms? Try this way on for size.


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Housing-Market

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

UK Housing Market Weakness Stretches into April / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHouse prices fell for the sixth consecutive month in April
  • The price of a typical house is now 1% lower than this time last year
  • The Bank of England bond exchange scheme should help to improve financial market liquidity
  • More than 5 million borrowers have benefited from Bank of England rate cuts
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Housing-Market

Sunday, April 20, 2008

UK House Price Futures Market Confirms Sharp Fall in House Prices During 2008 / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe UK House price futures market has been in existence for some 10 years now and is based on the Halifax House Price Index data. The market is managed by IG Index and operates under the principle of a spread betting market maker.

Current IG Index quotes against actual published Halifax Index data :

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Housing Market Worst Since 1978- Heading for April Apocalypse? / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) report confirms that the UK housing market is in countrywide meltdown mode. House prices are falling at their fastest pace in 30 years (since records began). The net balance between those reporting price rises against price falls deteriorated to a reading of -78.5 in the three months to March 08, from -65.7 in February 08.

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Housing-Market

Friday, April 11, 2008

Tumbling UK Housing Market Leading to Sterling Devaluation / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Gary_Dorsch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomic events in the United States often provide a sneak preview of what's around the corner for the British economy. Both countries run large external trade deficits, and much like the US, the British economy has been expanding on little else than the availability of easy credit and asset price inflation in the housing market. The ties between the US and UK run even deeper. About half of the profits for FTSE companies come from overseas, and 15% from US-based affiliates.

Imaginative lending practices fueled a doubling of British home prices over the past six-years, the key engine of growth for the world's fifth largest economy. But British borrowers now face a perilous situation where their home values are tumbling, and the local banking oligarchs are lifting their lending rates, in order to recoup big losses of up to 20 billion pounds in toxic sub-prime mortgages.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

UK House Prices Plunge Over the Cliff / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK house prices plunged by 2.5% in March (Halifax seasonally adjusted), the fall was far bigger than estimates and points to an acceleration in the pace of house price falls across the UK.

The credit crisis is continuing to lead to a much tighter mortgage lending environment as highlighted in December's article. Mortgages continue to vanish from lenders shelves, with the total number of products having been reduced from 11,000 in May 2007 to just over 3000 today. The tightening is as a consequence of risk averse lenders seeking to repair their balance sheets from US mortgage related losses and batton down the hatches in advance of a surge in repossessions and mortgage defaults amongst UK borrowers.

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Housing-Market

Monday, April 07, 2008

US Housing Bust and the American Dream / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mark_B_Rasmussen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHome ownership has long been considered “The AMERICAN DREAM” and with the recent paradigms of the “WEALTH AFFECT” and the “OWNERSHIP SOCIATY”……..(Really fraud and myths I have written about earlier on this site)…..See “Debunked Myths of 2007”.

It is estimated that 8 - 10 Million Americans owe more than their home is worth today, as the rate of housing price decline accelerates and the economy slows…(actually early recession).

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Housing-Market

Friday, April 04, 2008

US Housing and Credit Crisis- Why Keep Analyst X a Mystery? / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Fake_Ben

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The crisis from which we are now suffering is also the outcome of a credit expansion. The present crisis is the unavoidable sequel to a boom. Such a crisis necessarily follows every boom generated by the attempt to reduce the 'natural rate of interest.'" - Analyst X

Do you have a troubled friend or relative whose misguided attempts to solve their problems only make the situation worse? As human beings, it is hard to see our own short-comings. But to ever truly solve our problems, we must strive to understand them.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, April 02, 2008

UK Housing Mortgage Market Crunch / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The UK housing market continues to trend lower towards the Market Oracle forecast of negative house price inflation on release of Aprils house price data in May. The Housing market was hit today by further news of withdrawal of more mortgage products that has seen the mortgage products market now shrink by 2/3rds from a year earlier. First Direct announced that it would no longer be offering mortgage products to new customers. This follows hot on the heals of many banks and building societies making borrowing far more difficult, the aim being to reduce their exposure to the UK mortgage market.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, March 30, 2008

US Housing Market Bottoming? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: John_Mauldin

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHousing - Finding the Elusive Bottom
  • Where is the Value in Housing?
  • Bottom Line? There is no Bottom in Sight
  • The Real ARMs Race

Existing home sales rose by 2.9% in February, the first significant rise in home sales since the housing market started to decline last year. I was in my car and listening to CNBC as commentators started to celebrate the bottom of the housing market. Since the credit crisis has its roots in the US housing market, and will require a resolution of the housing market in order for credit markets to return to whatever will look like normalcy in the future, it is of more than passing interest to get a handle on the actual state of the housing market.

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Housing-Market

Friday, March 28, 2008

Falling UK House Prices Point to April Rate Cut / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

  • House price growth slows to lowest level in twelve years
  • Clear change in consumers’ housing market sentiment
  • Outlook more downbeat, but within forecast range
  • MPC expected to bring rate cut forward to April
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Housing-Market

Monday, March 24, 2008

BBC Shows Re-runs of Old Property Shows From the Housing Boom / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It can be confusing watching UK broadcast TV housing market programming, as I am finding that the property shows being aired are more often repeats captured from the heights of the housing boom. Viewers could be confused into thinking that what they are watching is current programming as usually there is no clear indication of the date of the original filming.

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Housing-Market

Friday, March 21, 2008

Credit Crunch Hits Big Mortgage Banks Harder than Smaller Institutions / Housing-Market / Credit Crunch

By: MoneyFacts

The fallout from the credit crunch and predicted falling house prices have forced lenders to consider their positions in the market and reassess their attitude to risk based lending. Denise Harvey, mortgage analyst from moneyfacts.co.uk looks at the position of the UK’s largest lenders in today’s market.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

UK Subprime Mortgage Products Drop by 80% as Banks Cut Back on Lending / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems that the effects from the credit crunch on the sub prime mortgage market are far from over. Julia Harris, mortgage analyst from moneyfacts.co.uk looks at recent changes to the ever-depleting market. “Over the last week we have seen a host of sub prime lenders including Amber Homeloans, Scarborough Specialist Mortgages and SALT cease new lending of sub prime mortgages. In addition Northern Rock has announced that it will no longer be offering sub prime mortgages funded by Southern Pacific Mortgage Limited.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Calls on the Government and the Mortgage Industry to Help UK Homebuyers / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

On the eve of the launch of the first ever Moneyfacts mortgage report “Tougher times in the UK residential mortgage market”, Andrew Hagger of Moneyfacts.co.uk comments on the following topics:

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

RICS Data Confirms UK Housing Market Heading for 1990's Style Crash / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA matter of days after soothing words on the prospects for UK house prices for 2008 were issued by the chief economist of Britain's largest Mortgage Bank (The Halifax), the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors released data today which shows the worst margin between rising and falling house prices since the height of the 1990's property crash.

The RICS data shows that only 4% of surveyors reported a price rise against 57% reporting price falls, thus resulting in a net negative reading of 53%, which seasonally adjusts to a 64% negative reading, the worst since June 1990. Stocks of unsold inventory continue to build up on surveyors books to levels not seen in a decade and up more than 50% over the last 12 months.

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Housing-Market

Monday, March 10, 2008

FSA Campaign to help UK Homeowners Worried about Meeting their Mortgage Repayments / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions

New figures published by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) today show that one in five mortgage holders are concerned about meeting their repayments in the next 12 months. When asked how they would meet these costs, a quarter of them said they had no plans.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, March 08, 2008

UK House Prices Fall in February- Home Owners have Lost £7,600 in 6 months! / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeasonally adjusted house prices fell in February by 0.3% to £196,649 (Halifax:SA), a fall of £600. None seasonally adjusted house prices are now down £7,600 since the peak made in August 2007 which equates to an average drop of £1,266 per month in equity. This is against an interest rate implied cut of 0.5% on interest repayments on an average UK mortgage of £150,000, or just £62.50 per month (Rate cuts inline with Sept 07 forecast). Therefore housing market commentators expecting UK interest rate cuts to support the housing market need to revisit their methodology of calculating the difference between implied impact of rate cuts i.e. £62.50 per month against that of the loss of equity per month of £1,266. I say implied impact of rate cuts as the credit crisis has ensured that the spread between bank mortgage rates and the Bank of England Base Rate has widened, therefore effectively not entirely passing on the rate cut to mortgage customers.

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