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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Election Oracle

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Saturday, May 06, 2017

UK Local Elections 2017 - Labour Blood Bath, UKIP Death, Tory June 8th Landslide / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The local election results have confounded election logic which is that the party in government tends to do badly at mid-term local elections. Of course we are not living in normal times, we are living in the age of BrExit where most voters realise the fundamental fact that there is only one party that has any chance of ensuring a successful Brexit outcome, the Conservative party and so the voters are intent on putting the country first by delivering Labour a blood bath whilst to all intents and purpose literally KILLING UKIP off in Thursdays vote which saw many Labour and most UKIP voters mark their ballot papers with crosses and ticks against the Conservative candidate.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, December 06, 2016

BrExit Tsunami Claims Emperor Renzi's Scalp, Counting Down to End of the EU, Next? / ElectionOracle / European Union

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Italian people raged against the machine by ejecting Prime Minister Matteo Renzi from office, a person NO Italian ever elected into office! The former Mayor of Florence who Machiavelli style literally back stabbed his way into the Prime Ministership, which was effectively a coup d'etat! So it's no wonder that Renzi wanted to tamper with Italian constitution so that he could concentrate further powers into his end, eyeing his vision of proclaiming himself the New Emperor of Rome!

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, December 03, 2016

First UK BrExit then Trump, Next BrExit Tsunami Wave to Hit Italy HARD Sunday! / ElectionOracle / Italy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The people of Britain voting for freedom from an emerging european super state on 23rd of June 2016 has ignited a fire in the people across the western world who had been increasingly been turned off by pass the parcel politics of the last 40 years, one of lying politicians that had long since detached themselves from the reality of the lives of ordinary people, where over time they came to believe their own lies, and so are primed to be repeatedly shocked by the impossible. BrExit was supposed to be impossible, Trump becoming President was supposed to be impossible and we don't need to look far to see that both were shock events that the establishment, politicians, pollsters, mainstream media, markets, and bookies never saw coming.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 17, 2016

Donald Truimp the King of Debt Takes the Reins / ElectionOracle / US Debt

By: Peter_Schiff

The election of Ronald Reagan in 1980 provides the best recent precedent for the unexpected triumph of Donald Trump (in my opinion, the other post-war Republican takeovers of the White House -- Ike in '52, Nixon '68, and W. in '00 - did not constitute a real break from the status quo.) As many people expect great changes from Trump, it is worthwhile to look at what the Reagan Revolution actually wrought.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 16, 2016

How Trump's Election Victory Will Galvanize Kindred Spirits in Europe / ElectionOracle / European Union

By: STRATFOR

Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election was cause for celebration among Europe's largest anti-establishment political forces. Party leaders from France's National Front, Italy's Five Star Movement and the Netherlands' Party of Freedom offered congratulations to the president-elect, thrilled by his demonstration that the political and media establishment can be thwarted. Like Trump, they hope to ride the wave of anti-establishment fervor building on both sides of the Atlantic to power in 2017, when some of the European Union's biggest economies will hold national elections.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Why Nate Silver / Fivethirtyeight is one of the Most Reliable Election Forecasts Indicator? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Nate Silver or more correctly his fivethirtyfive.com site got the US Presidential election of 2016 very badly wrong, for instance they had Hillary on a probability of at least 88% a few weeks out from the election day and about an hour before the polls closed had Hillary on a winning 71% against Trump trailing on just 29%.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, November 14, 2016

Delirium of Trump Mania Win's Mr BrExit US Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

So Donald Trump, Mr BrExit WON the US Presidential Election of 2016 despite the fact that right up until the polls closed the pollsters, the mainstream media journalists and paid pundits, the so called analysts, financial markets and even betting markets ALL had concluded that Hillary Clinton was going to win. How did he do it and why did nearly every analyst get it so badly wrong?

We'll find out why in my latest and last video analysis on the US Presidential election of 2016. One where the pollster number crunches were all looking in the wrong direction for as I repeatedly pointed out that the US polls would turn out to be just as wrong as they were for the UK's EU Referendum, this election was never about the numbers as I explain why -

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, November 12, 2016

Donald Trump’s March to the Presidency / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Walter_Brasch

The near-impossible has happened, and Donald Trump is three months from being President Trump. From local elections to the presidency, this general election may have been the most vicious since Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams in 1800. Both major candidates turned to attack ads to enhance their own campaigns.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, November 12, 2016

The Revolution of the Deplorables / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

“I look to a day when people will not be judged by the color of their skin, but by the content of their character.” - Dr. Martin Luther King

Amen.

Unfortunately, we live in an age of profound ignorance and stupidity. Students of color attending UCal-Berkeley decided they needed a ‘safe place’ on campus so they have prevented students not of their same color from passing into their selected zone. They shouted, ‘Go around!’. Isn’t that the same message Rosa Parks heard on buses until she decided to raise her own rebel flag and take a seat. It seems that those who claim to abhor racism are the racists. Bigots come in every color.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, November 12, 2016

Delirium - The Real Reason Why Donald Trump Won the US Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

All those who failed to see Trumps election coming are now busy pumping out reams and reams of worthless drivel. They don't have a clue, they don't get it and never will, because the answer is not in text on printed and web pages. It's not even in spoken words, none of that! THIS IS the real reason why Donald Trump won! DELERIUM, waves and waves of delirium washed over the electorate to galvanise them into losing touch with reality and entering Donald Trumps altered reality. Don't believe me ? Then watch this video -

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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 11, 2016

Trump, Brexit - Democrazy / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

I began writing this week’s musings on a small notepad while sitting in the Homeowners Association Meeting here in La Estancia de Cafayate.

For the record, I have a near phobic dislike of sitting in meetings that ranks right up there with filling in government forms.

To my way of thinking, business that could be handled efficiently by a couple of well-intentioned and reasonably intelligent individuals in 15 minutes takes a larger group several hours to reach either the same conclusion or something less efficacious.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 11, 2016

Hillary, Obama and Media -- the Victims of Their Own Illusion and Propaganda and Making Trump the President / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Dr_R_M_Mathew

The credit for the ‘stunning’ or ‘unbelievable’ victory of Donald Trump goes to Hillary Clinton, Barak Obama and their bribed or obedient Medias and above all their Quixotic Propaganda. Hillary propaganda can be considered as the most strategically idiotic and blunder-some political exercise leading to her own self-defeat and the uneasy victory of Donald Trump. They made Donald Trump the real hero and savior of the American Dream and Interest.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 10, 2016

President-elect Trump: The beginning of an Era? Or the End of one? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Michael_T_Bucci

Everyone was so certain. The pollsters and poll watchers almost uniformly predicted a Trump defeat – among them the celebrated Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight who gave Trump only a thirty-eight percent chance of winning heading into Election Day.

Of the eleven national polls to be released in the final week of the race, only two – a Los Angeles Times/USC survey and one from IBD/TIPP – showed Trump with the lead (TheHill, Nov. 9). These polls proved the most accurate for two consecutive presidential cycles.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 10, 2016

How Terminator Donald Trump Won the US Presidency and What He Will Do in Office / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

How Terminator Donald Trump Won the US Presidency and What He Will Do in Office

Shock and horror on the faces of Democrats and many republican establishment politicians is real and so is that which the Donald Trump Terminator Presidency represents for them. For Donald really is the TERMINATOR, this guy does NOT know how to stop, How to back down, he is NOT a politician. Those who think he will calm down and it will be business as usual are deluding themselves.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

BrExit Swing States Win Donald Trump the Presidential Election 2016 As Forecast / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

BREXIT! The pollsters, mainstream press pundits, analysts, markets and bookies ALL Got the US Presidential Election badly WRONG. This is the second time this year that they ALL got a major election badly wrong. Not even coming close to forecasting this election from the New York Times to Nate Silver downwards, thousands writing reams and reams of garbage presenting the view that Donald Trump cannot possibly win, right up to the close of the polls.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Betting Markets Confirm Donald Trump Has Won / Wins U.S. Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The betting markets that following the close of the polls leapt to discount a Hillary Clinton win who by 1am (UK) Polls+1hr, had Trump trading on an impossible to win 12 with Hillary Clinton on 1.09 as illustrated below, that had the mainstream media pundits, pollsters and other analysts on the likes of CNN slapping themselves on the back for having correctly called the election as the results appeared to be turning out as they expected would, well.....

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

US Presidential Election Betting Markets Odds Now Forecast Trump Could WIN - BrExit Factor! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Observing extreme volatility on Election night as we countdown to the critical too close to call Florida result! For instance the betting markets an hour before the US polls closed had Trump trading at 6.6 - That's at about 11pm UK Time.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Hillary Clinton Wins US Election 2016 According to Pollsters, Bookies and Stock Market, BrExit? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As we count down the close of the polls virtually every opinion pollster analyst, book makers and the financial markets are strongly discounting a Hillary Clinton election win. So is America ripe for its very own BrExit moment? When the polls turn out to be WRONG as they were for Brexit.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

US Election 2016 - Small-town America Will Decide the Fate of Everyone / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: John_Mauldin

One congressional district in a state that nobody pays attention to could find itself at the center of American politics. That district’s single electoral vote could spell the difference between a razor-thin win and a tie. Seriously.

Maine is one of just two states that apportion electoral votes by congressional district and not by the total state count. The state has four total votes. Two go to the statewide winner, and one each goes to the winners in the two congressional districts.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Neither Election Candidate Has the Character to Govern the US / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : This year’s campaign has got to be one of the strangest of all time. We have two major candidates running for president. One says strange things. One does strange things.

Donald Trump has been accused of collaborating with the Russian president and his intelligence service. He is on tape claiming that he can have sex with anyone he wants.

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