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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Dow Down Nearly 1,500 Points This Year While Obama Claims U.S. Economy Is Great / Economics / US Economy

By: Jeff_Berwick

America, the individual triumph of  millions of individuals through the generations  has now become the “United State” and like any fascist or communist dictatorship, lies have increased as  freedom  has decreased. Many huddled around their TV sets (although in decreasing numbers – which is the real hope!) and heard a concentrated dose of untruths last night from the Great Leader for the “State of the Union”.

I didn’t watch.  Politicians make me sick to my stomach and the sight of an entire throng of welfare-recipients (Congress) cheering for minutes on end for a man who has never held a real job in his life as he reads from his teleprompter is too much of a chore.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market Rally with No Market Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX completed a Wave (b) of [ii] at 1878.93. Wave (b)s are erratic and do not obey trendlines and necklines as a general rule. While this Wave (b) did break the neckline, it didn’t stay beneath due to the necessity of Wave (c) to finish the correction and relieve the oversold condition. So my anticipation of a pop this morning was correct, but not in the way I had anticipated.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market Analysts are Now Bearish... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Head & Shoulders neckline has now been crossed. As soon as it is retested from beneath, we may see a much larger decline in speed and distance. There is a lot of open space between the neckline and the next support.

The analyst community have thrown in the towel, as ZeroHedge reports, “Something has definitely changed in the market: while for the past seven years (a period largely coincident with an easy, ZIRPing or QEing Fed) every day would be greeted with numerous research pieces, all urging traders to buy the dip, and to otherwise stay invested in stocks, now all the equity firms have turned their back on the S&P, and first Goldman, then JPM, then UBS, then every other equity trader has urged clients not only not to BTFD any more, but to STFR.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Market Forecasts 2016: An About-Face for the Fed and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Peter_Schiff

Synopsis: The Federal Reserve's December interest rate hike was actually the end of the Fed's tightening cycle that began with the first taper talk several years ago. The Fed will be forced to restart QE and lower interest rates again (maybe even into negative territory) when it becomes clear the US economy is sliding back into recession. When that happens, investors who have been selling gold on expectations of economic health will have to reverse their bets and begin buying as gold rallies.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Gold Price Declined and Simultaneously Rose in 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The U.S. dollar price of gold declined in 2015, but the same year gold advanced in many other currencies. What can we learn from this behavior?

The London spot price of the shiny metal, in U.S. dollars, declined 9.56 percent from $1172 to $1060 last year, marking its fourth full year in a bear market. It also fell from the perspective of the Swiss franc, British pound and Japanese yen. However, gold prices quoted in other major currencies show a different picture.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2016

The Perils of "Buying the Dip" in U.S. Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: EWI

Legions of bargain hunters have suffered losses by buying stock market dips at the start of bear markets.

Making matters worse, they decimate their portfolios by continuing to buy all the way down, only to capitulate at the bottom.

This chart and commentary is from Elliott Wave International's April 2001 Financial Forecast:

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

UBS Warns Stock Market “Rolling Over” – “Buy Gold” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

UBS has warned that the seven-year cycle in equities is rolling over, we could see a sharp 30% correction in stocks and that as per the headline of their ‘Technical Outlook 2016′, it is time to “buy gold”.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market More Downtrend Ahead Or Volatile Bottoming Action Before Rebound? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative long positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,840, and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is now bullish, and our short-term outlook is bullish. However, our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bullish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bullish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

The Scariest Commodity Market Chart on the Planet / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Rambus_Chartology

Excerpt from Tonight's Wednesday Report

The implications of this 60 year quarterly chart for the CRB index is staggering if it completes this impulse move down which so far has been working out beautifully. Again on this massive time scale you can see an unbalanced H&S top that measures out to just below the major support zone at the bottom of the chart.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market and the Mysterious Mr. VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

I must say that I continue to be amazed at how "CALM" things are in these equity markets in spite of the significant chart breakdowns that are now being seen in so many different sectors.

Look at how meager the move higher in the VIX has been especially compared to where it was back in August of last year during the "Flash Crash" that occurred back then.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market Losing S&P 500 Long-Term Up Trend Line....Sentiment Rocking Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

So it wasn't the biggest break of all time, but for the first time in seven years we saw the S&P 500 close below the long-term, uptrend, weekly line. That level being approximately 1925. The loss on the S&P 500 keeps it in line with its fellow indexes in the small- and mid-cap stocks. They have led down and broke a week, or so, ago, but it's more important to see the biggest leader of them all, the S&P 500, break down. This should have turned the tide in the favor of the bears in a big way, but the key for them is to seize on the opportunity at hand, and take the bulls down even further to put some distance away from that rising trend line.

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Economics

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Dallas Fed's Kaplan: Market Swings May Not Reflect U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Bloomberg

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert Kaplan told Bloomberg's Michael McKee that the stock market swings may not reflect the underlying economy, and officials shouldn't overreact.

On Bloomberg TV's "Bloomberg <GO>" this morning, Kaplan said: "This has been a very tough start to the year. It says a lot though about the turmoil in the markets in China....You've got to watch these market moves, but you've got to realize that they may or may not reflect what's going on with the underlying economy in the United States. I'd say you've got to watch it, and understand it. But not over read or over react."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market DeFANGed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

Yesterday’s bulletproof stocks, led by the FANGs (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google), are getting whacked today. Amazon is down 100 points from its high, 32 of those points coming today. Netflix is off by nearly 10%. Even Google, which really does seem bulletproof operationally, is down 3%.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

How Precious Metals Investors Can Trump the Establishment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

As the presidential primaries quickly approach, the establishment is in panic mode over the prospect of losing control. It’s not just about Donald Trump. The political class, the “mainstream” media, Wall Street, and the central banking cartel are all losing credibility in the eyes of the public.

2016 is shaping up as the year of “We’re not gonna take it anymore” – in more ways than one. It’s an encouraging development for precious metals investors and sound money advocates.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, January 14, 2016

President D. Trump State of the Union Address Jan 2017 - Video / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: N_Walayat

Whilst it's a long goodbye from President Obama this year kicked off by his 8th State of the Union Address. Instead find out what kind of State of the Union Address the Republican Front Runner, D Trump would deliver following an surprise election victory at the Novembers polls.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Crude Oil Price Crash Catastrophe, Independant Scotland Literally Begging to Rejoin the UK / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The oil price collapse of 2015 has continued into 2016 with the price of oil plunging to a 12 year low of $29, less than 1/3rd of just over a year ago at the time of the Scottish Independence mania that surrounded the Independence Referendum on the backs of an oil price of over $100 which had the Scottish Nationalists fantasising of the oil price heading to $120 and beyond, as part of painting a propaganda picture of an Independent Scotland Utopia to be built on tens of billions of free money each year in the form of tax revenues from a perpetually expanding north sea oil industry. Not only were the nationalist convinced of the oil price soaring soaring into the stratosphere but would heavily round on anyone that suggested that oil prices could actually fall as being Unionist propaganda.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Why This Stocks Bull Market is Destined to Run for Much Longer Than Most Envision / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Sol_Palha

"Every wall is a door." ~ Ralph Waldo Emerson

The markets are not free; corrections end at arbitrary points. In other words, the top players decide when the markets will correct and how far they will drop and or rise. This is why we focus on the trend and not absolute price targets as almost all free market forces have been removed. However, some individuals are still fixated to the idea of exact points, as opposed to the idea of viewing strong pullbacks as buying opportunities. This kind of mentality is what led these individuals to miss out on this 7-year bull market, and they look back sorrowfully wishing they had jumped in. What they forget is that they were doing the same thing today as they were doing yesterday; this is the reason this market is likely to trade much higher than most expect. Yes, the outlook certainly does not look rosy right now, and things look dire right now, but this has always been the case. Look at a past previous market disaster and see if anything has changed. As soon as the markets started to pullback, the Doctors of Doom started to blow their trumpets. Fast forward and the financial markets have not ended. This article is a perfect example of how the Media does nothing but fan the flames.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Summers: Global Economy Can't Withstand Four 2016 Fed Hikes / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers spoke with Stephanie Ruhle and David Westin on Bloomberg TV's "Bloomberg <GO>." On the expectation of four rate hikes in 2016, Summers said: "I'd be surprised if the world economy can comfortably withstand four hikes. And I think that basically markets agree with me. And that's why despite the statements that are being made, markets aren't expecting four hikes."

Summers also said: "If you ask if there are risk that we're going to find ourselves in a situation within the next two years where policy is going to have to reverse, yes. I think that is a significant risk."

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

SPX May Complete Wave 2 this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is higher this morning, but the retracement appears to have been finished in the overnight futures. That means the potential pop this morning may not last. Whether it goes higher than yesterday morning’s high at 1947.30 is yet to be determined.

There was a brief retracement to 118.18 in the USD/JPY from its overnight low. However, this appears to be the work of the HFT computers which can turn on a dime.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

The Bearish Turn In The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Dent

Large-cap stocks opened this morning in the green, seeming to offer a little reprieve from an ultra-violent start to 2016. Small- and mid-caps weren’t so lucky. They’re continuing to rip through fresh new lows.

This has been the toughest bull market and bubble to call, as many leading indicators that we have used in the past simply don’t work since central banks hijacked the markets after 2008. But with these major divergences continuing to build, and after many years of the Fed’s zero-percent interest rates, it seems we’re finally coming close to the end.

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