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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 30, 2022

How the "Great Resignation" Ties in with a Financial Peak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: EWI

Insights into "a peak in social optimism of monumental proportions"

Some people probably remember that country song by Johnny Paycheck from the late '70s -- "Take This Job and Shove It."

Many of those in the younger generations may not have heard of it given the song was released more than 40 years ago. However, many of them caught the spirit of it just the same as they quit their jobs in droves in what has been called the "Great Resignation."

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Economics

Wednesday, March 30, 2022

US Military Spending to Exceed Annual Deficits / Economics / US Military

By: Richard_Mills

“Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed.” 
– President Dwight D. Eisenhower

The guns versus butter model portrays the relationship between a nation’s investment in defense and civilian goods. Because a country has finite resources, it must choose how much to spend on defense/ the military (guns), against the amount budgeted for items that are needed for non-defensive purposes (butter). Of course, it can also buy a combination of both, and most countries do.

The one nation that doesn’t have to bother with this, is the United States. Because the US holds the reserve currency, and all the exorbitant privilege that implies, it can spend on guns AND butter. Fact is, whenever the US government runs short on funds, it simply prints more money. Or borrows it, by issuing Treasury bills that are sopped up by domestic and foreign investors. The demand for Treasuries will always be resilient, so long as the dollar remains the reserve currency. This, however, may not be the case for much longer…

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Companies

Wednesday, March 30, 2022

How To Start A Business In 6 Easy Steps / Companies / SME

By: Steve_Barker

Every new business owner will tell you one or two success stories. The first one is like it 'seems to have happened overnight' where everything runs perfectly, while the second story is one of resilience and hard work that has eventually paid off. No matter which story you identify with, there are always some key steps that you can follow to get your business started on the right foot, and the story, well, in the end, you will choose how to tell it.

Starting a business can seem like a daunting task. You may feel like you need to have an idea that’s never been done before, or spend months planning and perfecting your strategy. But the truth is, there are fast and efficient solutions to do the work without the headache. Here are six easy steps to get your business off the ground.

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Companies

Wednesday, March 30, 2022

Get More Satisfied Customers With These Simple Tricks / Companies / SME

By: Steve_Barker

The customer is always right. It’s a cliché for a reason. Putting the customer first is essential to the success of any business, whether it’s a small mom-and-pop shop or a multi-million dollar corporation. There are countless ways to organize your business in order to make the customer feel comfortable and valued that you can explore, but there are a few simple tricks that can make a big difference in customer satisfaction to get you started.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, March 29, 2022

Learn to Value Stocks Using the Earnings Growth Factor / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

After the current panic passes I will revert to posting my primary AI stocks table as the main table for data, presently the table retains my original pre-panic buying levels as of 22nd November 2022 for comparison purposes with levels achieved in red against those that remain pending. Remember all of these levels once upon a time seemed far out of reach, who could have imagined Nvidia would fall from $336 to $236 over a couple of months! Google to $2625! Microsoft to $282, Intel to $48, okay I'll give you Intel, but many of the levels have now been achieved and then some!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 29, 2022

Who Benefits Most From the Russia-Ukraine War? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Submissions

With the unrest in the Black Sea basin, it appears that there are two more cross-trade wars in the world. These are about energy and currency.

Crude oil prices, down most of Friday, finally ended the week higher after a huge fire broke out at oil facilities in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, following attacks by Yemeni rebels.

The great winner of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is undoubtedly the United States, which now seems to be taking advantage of Europe’s moment of weakness.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 29, 2022

Stocks: Should We Expect More Upside? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks extended their short-term uptrend on Friday, but this week we may see some more uncertainty and a possible profit-taking action.

The S&P 500 index gained 0.53% on Friday following its Thursday’s advance of 1.4%. The broad stock market’s gauge extended its short-term uptrend after breaking above the 4,500 level. It gained over 380 points from the Mar. 14 local low of around 4,162. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we may see another correction and a profit-taking action at some point.

There’s still a lot of uncertainty concerning the ongoing Ukraine conflict, but investors were recently jumping back into stocks despite that geopolitical uncertainty. This morning the index is expected to open virtually flat after an overnight advance followed by its retracement.

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Companies

Monday, March 28, 2022

GOOGLE TO BE SLICIED INTO 20 PIECES! / Companies / Google

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Strong earnings growth and news of a 20 to 1 STOCK SPLIT sent GOOGLE soaring towards it's all time highs, Stocks tend to run higher into a split and fall afterwards so I plan to be fully invested by Mid June and will likely take profits on the split on 15th July. If you hold whole shares then you will get 20 new Google shares, if you hold fractional shares you will likely get $$$'s in exchange for your fractional holdings which may not be so bad given that the stock should fall after the split. Google is Numero uno! Should be at the very core of every stock portfolio, at 2.4% of my portfolio my holding is light, I want to see my holding rise to about 7% of portfolio. Again just remember if you own a fractional share then you will likely get cash instead of split shares, so if you hold say 1.8 shares right now then you definitely want to look at pepping your holding up to over 2.0, unless you want the cash.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 28, 2022

Volatility Retreats As Stocks & Commodities Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a real-time index. It is derived from the prices of SPX index options with near-term expiration dates that are utilized to generate a 30-day forward projection of volatility. The VIX allows us to gauge market sentiment or the degree of fear among market participants. As the Volatility Index VIX goes up, fear increases, and as it goes down, fear dissipates.

Commodities and equities are both showing renewed strength on the heels of global interest rate increases. Inflation shows no sign of abating as energy, metals, food products, and housing continues their upward bias.

During the last 18-months, the VIX has been trading between its upper resistance of 36.00 and its lower support of 16.00. As the Volatility Index VIX falls, fear subsides, and money flows back into stocks.

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Commodities

Monday, March 28, 2022

Currency Wars Center on Russia’s Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: MoneyMetals

In response to Russia’s war on Ukraine, the U.S. and G-7 countries have launched a currency war against the Kremlin. Sanctions imposed on the Russian central bank have effectively blacklisted the country from the U.S. dollar-dominated global financial system.

Now the Biden administration is attempting to prevent Russia from using gold as an alternative medium of exchange.

Last week, the Treasury Department declared, “US persons are prohibited from engaging in any transaction – including gold-related transactions – involving the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, the National Wealth Fund of the Russian Federation or the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation.”

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Companies

Monday, March 28, 2022

Smart Ways of Financing Commercially Viable Projects When the Cash is Scarce / Companies / SME

By: Steve_Barker

It's no secret that cash flow is often the biggest hurdle for businesses looking to get their projects off the ground. Commercial viability is key, but if you can't find a way to finance your venture, it'll never see the light of day. In this article, we'll discuss some smart ways to finance your project when money is tight.

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Economics

Sunday, March 27, 2022

High Inflation Forecast for Whole of this Decade Due to Rampant Money Printing, Recession Risk 2022 / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

UK CP LIE Inflation hits 6.2%, whilst RPI that which most corporations raise their prices to has rocketed higher to 8.2% whilst real UK inflation stands at at least 15%, meanwhile across the atlantic US CP Lie inflation at 7.9 % stands on the bring of breaking above 8% with real inflation also at around 15% So much for the Pandemic deflationary depression that the clueless mainstream media had been promoting for the whole off 2020 and then sleep walked into mantra of transitory inflation of 2021, finally wakening during 2022 to what amounts to out control inflation of 2022.

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Politics

Saturday, March 26, 2022

North Korea Leader WARNS Don't Forget About Me! Launches New Nuclear Ballistic Missile - WW3 / Politics / Nuclear Power

By: N_Walayat

With Putin stealing the limelight in European, Don't You forget about me was the message from North Korea's Dear Fat leader has he donned his Sunday best, black leathers, shades and all to show off his latest boys Toy, a huge mobile intercontinental ballistic missile capable of carrying multiple nuclear warheads that could hit the Western seaboard of the United States!

Hear that Biden? Don't forget about me!

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, March 26, 2022

Buying a 'Pristine' iPhone mobile phone off Ebay, Empty Box? Did we Get Scammed? / Personal_Finance / Scams

By: Anika_Walayat

We bought a 'pristine' iPhone 11 off ebay, box has been delivered, does not weigh much, is there even anything inside of it? Did we just get scammed? Let's find out as we open the box to reveal either an expensive box or an iPhone.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 25, 2022

Quantum AI Tech Stocks Bear Market Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Quantum AI Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is how I expect things to play out over the next few weeks -

The prime candidates for busting to new lows are - Nvidia, AMAT, Facebook, Tesla, LRCX, ASM, MSFT, MED,

Stocks that could hold their lows are AMD, AVGO, iNTEL, QCOM, TSM but it's 50/50.

Whilst Google and Amazon have settled into trading ranges, i.e. it is a tough ask to expect new lows given their recent powerful rallies on the back of strong earnings.

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Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2022

Is There Any Gold in Virtual Worlds Like Metaverse? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Imagine all the people… living life in the Metaverse. Once we immerse ourselves in the digital sphere, gold may go out of fashion. Or maybe not?

Do you already have your avatar? If not, maybe you should consider creating one, as the Metaverse is coming! What is the Metaverse? It is a digital, three-dimensional world where people are represented by avatars, a network of 3D virtual worlds focused on social connection, the next evolution of the internet, “extended reality,” and the latest buzzword in the marketplace since Facebook changed its name to Meta. If you still have no idea what I’m talking about, you can watch this educational video or just Spielberg’s Ready Player One.
The idea of personalities being uploaded online is an intriguing concept, isn’t it? In this vision, people meet with others, play, and simply hang out in a digital world. Imagine friends turning group chats on Messenger or WhatsApp into group meetups in the Metaverse of family gatherings in virtual homes. Ultimately, people will probably be doing pretty much everything there, except eating, sleeping, and using the restroom.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 25, 2022

The Yield Curve flattener and a Coming Transition / Interest-Rates / Inverted Yield Curve

By: Gary_Tanashian

As the Yield Curve flattens, this inflation is different from the 2020 inflation

In 2020 an inflationary yield curve steepener was in the bag as the Fed dropped and pinned the Funds Rate and sucked up every bond it could get its hands on (in order to monetize/print). The bond market made the logical signals about the resulting inflation as the short end was pinned by a combination of Fed policy and the frightened, risk ‘off’ herds clustered in T-Bills and short-term Treasuries, relative to the long end.

Gold and then stocks picked up on it first, followed by commodities, which were tardy but are now the star performer late in the inflation cycle. Hmm…

Side Note: The most buyable looking chart in the lower panels? On this big picture, that would be gold.

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Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2022

Hot Commodities! Is the 2-year rally nearly Done or Jjust Starting? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

FREE March 28 - April 1.

Hi,

You may already know that the CRB Commodities Index is up 200% since the April 2020 low.

Even if you haven’t been following the broad Index, you've no doubt felt the effects of rising commodity prices in your wallet.

But there is a silver-lining flip side: Over the past 2 years, commodities have also offered massive opportunities. And they're not done.

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Economics

Friday, March 25, 2022

Crush inflation with These Magic Words / Economics / Inflation

By: Stephen_McBride

Are you feeling the pinch?

Inflation is getting out of hand.

I buy the same items every week at the grocery store… yet my bill has shot up 50% in the last six months.

Gas prices just hit $8/gallon here in Ireland… and the cost of heating a home jumped by roughly $500 this winter.

Today, I’ll show you the best way to crush inflation with your investments.

Hint: You want to buy companies that possess two magic words—more on that in a moment…

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 21, 2022

Is the Fed trying to blow another, more covert asset bubble? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The asset bubble that almost ended in Q1 2020 was rescued by two main saviors, 1) unsustainable bearish (no, terrorized) sentiment and even more so, 2) balls out central bank inflation, led by the US Federal Reserve. The resulting bubble leg was in the bag from the moment the dovish Fed made its first headline about asset purchases and rate cuts.

This latest leg of the asset bubble has been under stress in 2022, as the supposed reflection of ‘good’ inflation, the stock market (SPX), has trended down all year. More recently, commodities and precious metals have gotten dinged as well after spiking upward on the Russia/Ukraine war, which exacerbated the Fed’s inflation (as manufactured in Q1-Q2 2020) after the inflationary effects on commodity prices were already exacerbated by pandemic-related supply chain issues.

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