Friday, May 13, 2022
UK Public Debt Smoking Inflation Gun / Economics / UK Debt
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britains debt mountain has long since passed the £2 trillion pound mark, so how come the UK managed to do this without paying the piper? A free lunch given low UK bond interest rates, we'll it's because the Bankster of England has MONETIZED near HALF of Britains DEBT! Now do you understand where the INFLATION is coming from? Yes, as I wrote 12 YEARS AGO in my 100 page Inflation Mega-trend ebook that Inflation is by DESIGN caused by rampant government money printing that the central banks monetize! Which the Bank of England has now done to the tune of near £1 trillion! Which resolves in a fake debt to GDP graph such as the one below that the academic economists get their knickers in a twist over without able to think outside of the box and realise the fundamental fact that actual UK market debt is HALF that which is being reported because the Government is effectively PAYING ITSELF INTEREST on HALF of it's debt! Why don't the clowns in MSM report on any of this? After all It's not rocket science!
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Friday, May 13, 2022
What Happens When the Stock Market Dip Keeps Dipping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: EWI
These can "work tirelessly to keep investors trapped on the wrong side of a bearish trend"
It's been a rocky road for the Dow and the S&P 500 index since the start of the year. And, even longer for the NASDAQ, which topped back in November.
Indeed, speaking of technology stocks, some of the most popular names took a big beating in April alone. As the Wall Street Journal noted (April 29):
The FAANG stocks, consisting of the popular quintet of Facebook parent Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, Netflix and Google parent Alphabet, have collectively lost more than $1 trillion in market value [in April], the most since Facebook started trading in May 2012.
So, you might think that this bumpy ride in the stock market would have many investors at least considering moving to the sidelines, especially those with a sizeable nest egg to protect.
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Friday, May 13, 2022
Biden Seeks Inflation Scapegoats; Gold Advocate Wins GOP Primary / Politics / Government Spending
By: MoneyMetals
Elevated inflation readings and stock market turmoil continue to inflict pain on investors. Some are hoping for a quick turnaround. Others are just looking for a place to hide.
Unfortunately, there have been virtually no safe havens from the broad-based carnage outside of the energy sector and gold.
Gold has been one of the best performing assets this year by virtue of holding up better than stocks, bonds, and cryptos. But the yellow metal came under some heavy selling pressure in futures markets this week.
Metals markets seem to be trading more in line with economic slowdown fears and margin calls on Wall Street than with inflation. That will likely change when the recent spate of panic selling subsidies.
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Thursday, May 12, 2022
Apple and Microsoft Nuts Are About to CRACK and Send Stock Market Sharply Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The earnings bloodbath materialised, that started on Tuesday with Google trading down to $2265, and ended on Friday with Amazon plunging down to a new low of $2425. With the two 'cheap' stocks Qualcom and Facebook rallying strongly post earnings. Virtually everything went according to the script of my last article i.e. "we could see Amazon trade to well under $2500, probably into the $2450 to $2300 support zone". The only odd one out was Apple that refused to budge much from $160, where my expectations remain is headed to below $142.
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Thursday, May 12, 2022
The War on Gold Ensures the Dollar’s Downfall / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: MoneyMetals
By Matthew Cortez, Last month was the 89th anniversary of one of America’s biggest blunders on her descent from honest, sound money into weaponized political money: Executive Order 6102.Signed on April 5, 1933, U.S. President Franklin Delano Roosevelt required all persons holding more than five ounces of gold to deliver their “gold coin, gold bullion, and gold certificates, now owned by them to a Federal Reserve Bank, branch or agency, or to any member bank of the Federal Reserve System.”
By outlawing the so-called “hoarding” of gold, Roosevelt intended to destroy gold as an everyday currency, transferring the purchasing power of gold to the U.S. government.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Crypto Investors Stable Coins TERROR as Terra USD COLLAPSEs towards ZERO, Tether Next! / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's been a while since I last did a video warning about stable coins such USDT or rather unstable coins that are supposed to be pegged to the dollar that I have repeatedly warned are ponzi schemes backed by high risk debt instruments as that is how issuers make their money they put your dollars to work in high risk corporate bonds, and even crypto's where everything sales along until the peg cracks when investors realise that their stable coin holdings are not covered by the value of the underlying assets and then it collapses in spectacular style event at a greater pace than when crypto's crash and so it was yesterday with Terra USD more aptly Terror USD.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2022
INFLATION IS KILLING SILVER / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Kelsey_Williams
More than just a few people are buying silver because “it protects them from inflation” – or something to that effect. Ever wonder if that argument holds up? The chart (source) below indicates otherwise…
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Wednesday, May 11, 2022
The Dominant Investing Theme of the Decade / Companies / Investing 2022
By: Stephen_McBride
It’s the simplest secret in all of investing:
Find the dominant theme of the decade… and bet on it.
Do this one thing right, and stock market profits will effortlessly flow into your brokerage account.
Today, I’ll tell you the dominant theme of the 2020s.
First, take a look at this table.
Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Is Bitcoin Headed to Zero? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
"40% of bitcoin investors are now underwater"
Charlie Munger is Berkshire Hathaway's co-chairman, and on April 30 at the firm's shareholder meeting, he said:
[Bitcoin] is stupid because it's very likely to go to zero.
Berkshire Hathaway chairman Warren Buffet also expressed a negative sentiment toward the cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin's recent price action appears to support the views of the two billionaire investors, at least at this juncture.
Here's a CNBC headline from the evening of May 9:
Bitcoin dips below $30,000, drops more than 56% from its all-time high
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Tuesday, May 10, 2022
How to Ensure Financial Stability for Your Family / Personal_Finance / Learning to Invest
By: Submissions
Financial stability is crucial in maintaining a happy and healthy family life. Everyone knows that having money is beneficial, and the lack of it can make life very difficult, whether you are single or raising children. Having a family carries a lot of responsibilities because you no longer think only for yourself but also for your spouse and children. They need the assurance that they can live comfortably in a healthy home environment, eat healthily, and not lack in their essential needs. In addition, the children should be able to study to ensure a better future. These are responsibilities that come with raising a family.
Financial stability means consistently meeting household needs and living a comfortable life while having enough set aside for emergencies. It is not about being rich; rather, it is handling whatever finances you have on hand responsibly.
Tuesday, May 10, 2022
RECESSION RISKS 2023 / Economics / Recession 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Firstly it does not actually matter if a recession materialises during 2023 or not all that matters is most people THINK it's going to happen, for asset prices discount the future which is why today stock prices are falling even if that is not being reflected in the stock indices due to the Stocks Bear Market Tornado which I will cover in depth in a forthcoming stocks article. Nevertheless there is a RISK of inflation that I have been flagging a warning of a good 6 months BEFORE the current Yield Curve inversion.
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Tuesday, May 10, 2022
The Future of the Dollar Seems So Bright It’s Blinding Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
While the USDX rushes up without looking back, gold is running... out of power. What could the next dollar highs mean for the precious metals market?
In short, practically everything that I wrote in yesterday’s analysis remains up-to-date. Based on the relative valuations and pre-market price movement, I wrote that junior miners were likely to decline below their rising support line, and I moved the exit price for the current short position in the GDXJ lower (it seems that it will gain even more shortly).
Indeed, the GDXJ fell like a stone in the water, and it pierced through the above-mentioned support line without looking back. Thanks to remaining in the short position, we were able to benefit from the breakdown below the support line.
Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Take Advantage When Markets Succumb to Fear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: MoneyMetals
Last Wednesday’s rate hike by the Federal Reserve failed to convince investors that the central bank can tame inflation without wrecking the economy.
Subsequent remarks by Jerome Powell insisting that the economy isn’t vulnerable to recession were also unconvincing – especially given the Fed chairman’s lousy forecasting track record (“transitory” inflation has proven to be more like intractable inflation).
The good news for gold holders is that the safe-haven metal is holding up better than conventional financial assets. Stocks are breaking down at the same time as purportedly “risk-free” Treasury bonds are collapsing in value at a rate never before seen.
Sentiment gauges are showing extreme pessimism among the public. Most say the country is headed in the wrong direction and give President Joe Biden terrible marks for his handling of the economy.
Tuesday, May 10, 2022
How to Recognize a Less\ Than Obvious Opportunity (In focus: Corn) / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
When I was growing up, my father owned and operated a furniture manufacturing company. Its products stocked the shelves of several well-known retail stores across the country, including Walmart.
On the cover of one of his most popular products, a simple D.I.Y. end table, was a picture of the fully assembled table with a framed photograph of a smiling young girl holding a Persian cat. That young girl was me, and the cat was my childhood pet Princess.
Naturally one day the inevitable happened. My dad and I were shopping at Walmart, and we passed a woman with one of his boxed DIY tables in her cart. She looked at me, then at the face staring back at her on the cover of the box, and then again at me.
Visibly shaken, she braved her way over to my dad and asked if, in fact, I was the girl on the box. Without skipping a beat, he grinned and said he saw the resemblance but no, I was not her and we were on our way. I couldn't help looking back to see the woman, standing there glued in place with an utterly baffled expression.
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Monday, May 09, 2022
The Stocks Stealth BEAR Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
The stock market continues to trend in line with my expectations for an mid April higher low that I am sure will be accompanied by maximum fears of a CRASH to NEW bear market lows, which without any road map would be ones natural instincts to expect, i.e. most market commentators tend to be bullish AFTER stocks have gone up and BEARISH AFTER stocks have fallen. Instead with a road map, I am not seeing any reason to not continue to expect stocks to bottom and then rally strongly into May and thus I wll continue accumulating target stocks as and when opportunities arise over the coming week whilst most will kick the can down the road out of fear of new lows.
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Monday, May 09, 2022
A Strengthening US Dollar Is A Double-Edged Sword / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The US Dollar continues to attract capital from investors all over the world. But could this be a double-edged sword for US stocks? As capital flocks to the USD, this in turn hurts US multinationals as they need to convert their weak foreign currency profits back into USD.
The USD safe-haven trade may eventually trigger a broad and deep selloff in US stocks. As the USD continues to strengthen, corporate profits for US multinationals will shrink or disappear.
US Multinational $1 Billion Revenue Example:
- $1 billion in revenue-generating a 15% net profit with a net neutral 0% currency translation equals a $150 million profit.
- $1 billion in revenue-generating a 15% net profit with a negative -15% unfavorable currency translation expense equals a $0 profit!
In addition, the impact of inflation on the global consumer will lead to a pullback in consumer spending which will further reduce corporate revenues and profits. The combination of the global currency dislocation along with the economic cool off will bring on a global recession.
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Monday, May 09, 2022
Making Wise Investment Decisions / Personal_Finance / Learning to Invest
By: Mark_Adan
Looking to up your investment game? Here are some great tips to do so.
1. Draw a personal financial roadmap
Before you even begin your path to investing, take the time to sit down and examine your financial circumstances and your investment capacity. This is especially important if you are investing for the first time.
The first step is all about figuring out your personal goals and your level of risk tolerance. This can be done on your own or with the help of a professional financial counselor. There is never any guarantee that you will come out winning from your investments. But if you begin your investment journey with realistic goals and a clear idea of the risks you can handle, you can expect financial security and more control over your investment plan as it is set in motion.
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Monday, May 09, 2022
Ways to legalize a Moving Company / Companies / SME
By: Russell_Fenton
The demand for moving companies will always remain in the market. From the start of Covid19, around an 8.9million Americans moved. A moving association needs to make all the matters legal because they may have to move stuff from one state to another.
Businesses need to legalize their brands and activities, to reduce the losses in the case of any lawsuit or legal turmoil. Here are ways you can legalize your moving company,
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Saturday, May 07, 2022
Russian Sanctions Stagflation Driver / Economics / Stagflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Knock out 20% of the world's gas exports and 10% of the worlds exports and how can you not expect even higher inflation. Even worse for Europe where several nations such as Germany rely on Russia for upto 40% of their gas. Whilst for the UK 4% of russian gas may not sound like much but the impact has been on gas prices that had already soared several fold before the Ukraine invasion have now doubled once more. with the risks that the sanctions blitzkrieg prompts Russia to pull the plug on EU gas that will trigger gas rationing among many nations such as Germany and Italy which means INDUSTRY will take a hit thus further disrupting supply chains and hence continuing to put upwards pressure on prices as component and finished goods supply chains are further disrupted which easily translates into EU inflation surging higher by an additional 2% and reduction in GDP of at least 0.5%.
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Saturday, May 07, 2022
Gold and Silver Outperform Stocks and Bonds during Stagflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: MoneyMetals
As turmoil in financial markets unnerves investors, a larger economic crisis may be starting to unfold.
The Federal Reserve’s first steps toward tightening monetary policy are exposing vulnerabilities in the highly leveraged economy. The Fed spent years injecting the economy with artificial stimulus. Now it is trying to take that stimulus away without causing a crash.
On Wednesday, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points. That was the central bank’s biggest hike in 22 years.
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