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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, March 28, 2013

End of the Gold Bull Market- Ignore Banks' Bearish Statements / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

Goldman Sachs has lowered its gold price projections and says the metal is headed to $1,200. Credit Suisse and UBS are bearish. Citigroup says the gold bull market is over.

So I guess it's time to pack it in, right?

Not so fast. As we've written before, these types of analysts have been consistently wrong about gold throughout this bull cycle. Another reason to disagree, however, is history; we've seen this movie before. In the middle of one of the greatest gold bull markets in modern history – the one that culminated in the 1980 peak – gold experienced a 20-month, one-way decline. Every time it seemed to stabilize, the bottom would fall out again. From December 30, 1974 to August 25, 1976, gold fell a whopping 47%.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 28, 2013

Cyprus and Gold: Lighting a Candle in a Dark Room / Commodities / Credit Crisis 2013

By: Nick_Barisheff

By now most people are aware of the events unfolding in Cyprus. The financial world was rocked by the announcement that the "Troika" of the European Central Bank (ECB), International Monetary Fund (IMF), and European Commission (EC) decided to give the tiny island of Cyprus an ultimatum - either pay a 9.9 percent wealth tax on deposits over 100,000 euros, or leave the EU. This tax would be taken directly from bank savings accounts. The expropriated funds would be used to "bail out" troubled Cypriot banks. Those banks will in turn pay off larger European banks to which they owe money. Because some Cyprus banks will fail, some investors stand to lose up to 40 percent of their deposits and many bank employees will lose their jobs.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 28, 2013

Resource Sector Paradigm Shift / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: HRA_Advisory

From The March 2013 HRA Journal: There were a lot of long faces at the PDAC this year. Many of the companies there were pulled off the waiting list when long standing attendee companies decided there was no point having a booth. Others have expressed surprise that few companies seemed to be trying to market financings. This was taken as complacency but it felt more like resignation to me. For the record, resignation is better if you're a contrarian.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Gold Prices Will Explode Higher When These Investors Start Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Until recently, an entire class of investors that control a huge pool of money - more than $27 trillion worldwide - have almost entirely ignored gold.

But lately, this group has begun to show more interest in the yellow metal, a trend that ultimately will exert massive upward pressure on gold prices.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Whom to Believe on Gold: Central Banks or Bloomberg? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

Bloomberg reported recently that Russia is now the world's biggest gold buyer, its central bank having added 570 tonnes (18.3 million troy ounces) over the past decade. At $1,650/ounce, that's $30.1 billion worth of gold.

Russia isn't alone, of course. Central banks as a group have been net buyers for at least two years now. But the 2012 data trickling out shows that the amount of tonnage being added is breaking records.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Four Billion Reasons Rare Earth Elements and Graphite Will Make You Money / Commodities / Rare Earths

By: The_Gold_Report

Self-help manuals tell us that what we focus on, we manifest. This is certainly true for rare earth elements enthusiast Chris Berry. Where some see a spiraling global economy and stagnation, Berry sees an emerging world with four billion people hungry for new technologies in which graphite and rare earth elements play a big part. In this interview with The Metals Report, Berry describes what he calls the changing complexion of the commodity super cycle and names a few companies to start focusing on.

 

The Metals Report: You just gave a speech at the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention. What was your message for natural resource investors?

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Cyprus Crisis Means Do Not Buy Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

Crisis in Cyprus has lead investors and speculators re-considering how they allocate their portfolios. Despite Cyprus only representing a minute 0.2% of Eurozone GDP, the possibility that fear of a meltdown may spread across the markets does mean that one should consider the possible downside risk. If the market believes that other Eurozone nations could go the same route as Cyprus, then it is likely that we would see a selloff in the market.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Gold, a Hedge Against Financial Repression? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Axel_Merk

Had those with money tied up in the Cypriot banking system owned gold instead, they might have been able to watch the unfolding crisis relaxing on the beach. So why isn’t gold going through the roof? Is Cyprus too small to matter? Can it happen in the U.S.? Should investors hold gold?

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Italians Value Gold Reserves - EU Deposits To Flow To Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,597.25, EUR 1,241.35 and GBP 1,052.21 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,602.25, EUR 1,232.97 and GBP 1,053.70 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $28.86/oz, €22.53/oz and £19.12/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,578.00/oz, palladium at $759.00/oz and rhodium at $1,225/oz.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

In Gold, Not Cyprus, We Trust / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

Global investors had to muster the courage to keep calm as news of Cyprus' proposed partial theft of all bank deposits took Wall Street by surprise, closed the country's banks and drove the price of gold higher.

The thoughtless idea was intended to capture a portion of the $31 billion in bank assets held by Russians. According to the Financial Times, Cyprus has developed a "well-earned reputation for being a haven for dirty money from Russia."

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Commodities

Monday, March 25, 2013

Gold Back Below $1600 after Cyprus Deal, "Could Test Low at $1522" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices fell back below $1600 per ounce Monday morning in London, falling back towards where they started last week, as stocks and commodities gained after news that Cyprus has agreed a bailout deal.

"We expect gold to move sideways this week with, however, a tendency for lower prices," says a note from precious metals refiner Heraeus, adding that it saw increased demand for investment gold bars, with gold "much influenced by worries over Cyprus".

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Commodities

Monday, March 25, 2013

Gold Price Trend Forecast for April 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clive_Maund

With an astronomic and ever growing debt and derivatives overhang, there are essentially only two choices for the world economy. One is to deal with it head on, which would trigger a deflationary implosion that would create an economic wasteland leading to anarchy, riots and revolution etc. Quite clearly nobody wants that, least of all those in power. So that only leaves one other option, which is to keep things limping along for as long as possible by clamping interest rates at zero to stop debt compounding and to print whatever quantity of money is required to keep the status quo going. The big difference between now and 2008 is that this is now a truly global strategy with the WWEW, the World Wide Elite Web, now controlling and directing a coordinated campaign of liquidity enhancement to achieve this objective. For evidence of this you need look no further than the Fed delivering boatloads of newly created cash to the European Union to prop up its banks, or to Japan suddenly abandoning decades of deflationary policy to get with the plan, which is why the yen has collapsed. However, the Fed's generosity towards Europe may not extend to saving the euro, which US elites may view as a nuisance because it potentially undermines the dollar's reserve currency status.

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Commodities

Monday, March 25, 2013

Silver Price Trend Forecast for April 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clive_Maund

Although silver's long-term charts are more messy and difficult of interpretation than gold's, on its long-term 7-year chart we can see that it, like gold, is getting close to a lower supporting trendline drawn parallel to the definite upper trendline drawn across the 2006, 2008 and 2011 highs, where the chances are good that it will successfully find support and turn higher, particularly as this trendline has now risen steadily to come into play underpinning the strong support level where the price has repeatedly reversed to the upside over the past 18 months. A short-term dip into this support, which looks likely for reasons we will look at shortly, will be regarded as throwing up an important buying opportunity.

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Commodities

Sunday, March 24, 2013

Gold And Silver Warning - Do Not Buy At Your Own Peril / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

It used to be that March Madness was about the best basketball at the college level. Now it is about "Bankers Gone Wild!" If Cyprus is not the final nail in the coffin for trust in bankers, then you should put all your available funds into a bank, maybe even the Bank of Cyprus. March of 2013 did not just send a shot across the bow, the Emperors of the banking elite just sent a direct hit to any depositors dumb enough to keep any funds in any financial institution.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 23, 2013

As Cyprus Collapses, It's a Race to the Mediterranean Gas Finish Line / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: OilPrice_Com

Cyprus is preparing for total financial collapse as the European Central Bank turns its back on the island after its parliament rejected a scheme to make Cypriot citizens pay a levy on savings deposits in return for a share in potential gas futures to fund a bailout.

On Wednesday, the Greek-Cypriot government voted against asking its citizens to bank on the future of gas exports by paying a 3-15% levy on bank deposits in return for a stake in potential gas sales. The scheme would have partly funded a $13 billion EU bailout.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 23, 2013

Commodity Super Cycle Good and Bad News / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Richard_Mills

Commodity super-cycles are defined as decades long price movements in a wide range of commodities. Super-cycles differ from shorter term fluctuations in three ways:

  • Super-cycles are demand driven because they follow world GDP
  • Super-cycles span a much longer period of time with upswings of 10-35 years, taking 20-70 years to generate complete cycles
  • Super-cycles are observed over a broad range of commodities. These commodities are mostly inputs for industrial production and for the urban development of an emerging economy
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Commodities

Friday, March 22, 2013

Gold Stock's Spring Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

The loathed and left-for-dead gold miners look to have begun their usual spring rally.  This sector has actually exhibited strong seasonality for its entire secular bull.  For well over a decade, most years have enjoyed a major gold-stock rally between mid-March and early June.  These favorable seasonals are a welcome tailwind for a sector that is radically undervalued fundamentally and overdue to explode higher.

Pronounced seasonality is certainly not something you’d expect from gold miners.  Outside of mine expansions and new projects, their production rates are remarkably consistent over a calendar year.  This is very different from agriculture, where harvests only happen once or twice a year.  But despite steady gold sales over time, the stocks of this metal’s miners are inarguably slaved to definite seasonal trends.

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Commodities

Friday, March 22, 2013

Fortune Favors the Bold Energy Investor / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Marin_Katusa

Tough markets have the average investor crying uncle, but now is not the time to lament losses—it's time to bargain shop, suggests Marin Katusa, senior editor of Casey's Energy Dividends. China is snatching up energy prospects around the world in anticipation of ever-tightening oil markets. Meanwhile, there is already money to be made in international markets where consumers are paying double the price for U.S. natural gas. In his interview with The Energy Report, Katusa says bold investors who target the right companies could "get a Rolex for the price of a Timex."

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Commodities

Friday, March 22, 2013

Gold Needs to Break Above $1620 for Momentum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices continued to hover around $1610 per ounce Friday morning, dipping back below that level after making gains in Asian trading, while stocks and commodities were flat on the day ahead of a vote by Cyprus's parliament on measures aimed at raising money and securing a bailout.

"[Gold's] $1620 high from Feb 26 will be a key level," says the latest technical analysis from bullion bank Scotia Mocatta.

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Commodities

Friday, March 22, 2013

Silver Prices Before Monetary Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Has the silver market been pricing in the coming collapse?  In a word, no!

Markets dominated by the impulses of real people largely no longer exist. The machines have taken over, as bots read the news and respond rapidly with large transactions.

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