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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Crude Oil Price Technical Outlook / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Following part 1 of the Technical outlook for oil on April 7, this report examines the effect of the secular Commodity cycle on stocks (S&P 500), the U.S dollar on the CRB and WTIC's price since 1980.

Chart 1 is the S&P 500 since 1960. It traces the different trading patterns of the U.S. index during a secular Commodity cycle (1965-1980), a Stock cycle (1980-2000) and through another Commodity cycle (2000-2013) and the beginning of a new Stock cycle (2013 to present).

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Important Bitcoin Price Action / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at $239, take-profit at $153.

Infosys, an Indian IT services and IT consulting company, is now looking into blockchain as a possible addition to the company products and services, we read on the Business Standard website:

According to a report in HT Mint, the Bengaluru-headquartered information technology services provider is assessing the merits of Blockchain, an open-source financial database that records all transactions of virtual currency Bitcoin, to see if the technology could be integrated into Finacle.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Separating Gold and Silver Stocks Saints from the Sinners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Christos Doulis, mining analyst with PI Financial, hopes for the best but plans for reality. The bear market in precious metals is well into its fourth year and could persist into 2016. In this interview with The Gold Report, Doulis says he remains hopeful that this is the year things take a positive turn, but in case we see more of the same, he recommends a few low-cost producers with saintly management teams that keep delivering on promises.

The Gold Report: In September 2014, you told us that investors needed to own bulletproof, low-cost producers that can survive lower gold prices. What is your investment thesis for this point in the bear market?

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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Stacking Silver = Simple Solution / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Look at our financial world over 30 years from 30 miles high – the BIG PERSPECTIVE. 

  • Global debt exceeds $200 Trillion and is increasing rapidly.  It will not be repaid at current value, and in the unlikely chance it is repaid, those future dollars, euros, yen, whatever will have been deeply devalued.  Debt created to fund current consumption, instead of productive investment, is dangerous.  Excessive debt is deadly.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Gold Trading Week Ahead - 13 April 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Harley_Salt

Gold had a roller coaster week last week however it managed to finish the week above the key US$1,200 level.

After a slow week on the data front last week, this week is full economic reports that will drive the price of gold.

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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Western Interest in Gold Continues to Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Gold has managed to avoid a complete chart breakdown thus far but that is due more to buying in the physical market out of the far East rather than any wholesale interest among the high-powered, deep-pocketed, Western-investment crowd. As noted many times here at this site, it is my firm opinion that while buying out of China and India can hold the price and form a floor in the gold market, it CANNOT drive the price sharply higher as so many rabid gold bugs have their hearts set on happening. That requires the momentum-based crowd which chases prices higher due to chart signals and could care less about what any perceived "value" area might be for gold, or for that matter, any other market that they ply their computers in.

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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Silver Price set up to get Whacked Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

There are a lot of fine words being written about how attractive silver is at current prices and how it is about to enter a new bullmarket etc, but the plain truth is that it remains in a major downtrend and is a bearmarket until it breaks out of it.

We can see the long persistent downtrend in silver on the 8-year chart below, and how, as yet, there is no sign of an end to it. If the dollar broke down from its parabolic uptrend, shown on a chart in the parallel Gold Market update, that might change things of course, but last week the dollar looked to be getting ready for a breakout to new highs, so that appears to be off the table for now.

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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Gold Price Dome Cap, Fall Below $1000 Likely / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Although gold has rallied as expected in the last update, the advance has been modest and now it appears to be weakening again, and with its latest COTs showing a marked deterioration and the dollar maintaining its parabolic acceleration, it looks set to drop back along with silver. The long-term uptrend remains down.

On the 6-month chart we can see how gold's advance following its breakout from a rather steep downtrend has already run into trouble at a resistance level, and it appears to be rounding over within a Dome pattern that looks set to force it into decline. If the dollar accelerates to the upside, looking likely at this point, then gold can be expected to drop back initially to the support shown in the $1130 - $1140 area, and then break lower. Moving averages are in bearish alignment.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 12, 2015

Gold and Silver Policy Will Continue until Pitchforks and Torches Appear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

Gold led the way as it popped back over 1200 on news that India showed record gold imports in March of 125 tonnes.

Gold is flowing from West to East. The data shows this without much room for error, unless you are an economist or analyst whose paycheck has willfully obscured their vision. How this ends I do not know and no one can really say. But it will end. I would like to think that at some point the central planners will go so far off into the weeds of their own obfuscation that the people will generally rise up and tell them to take them models and use them to pound sand.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 12, 2015

What is Next for Gold and Silver Markets? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Richard_Cox

Over the last year, precious metals markets have have been one of the most closely watched asset classes in the financial environment as price volatility has reached heightened levels on several occasions.  For those looking for evidence that the declines have finished (and that the long-term uptrend has resumed), it will be critical to turn the attention back to the underlying economic data that will determine where sentiment moves in the broader market.  It is always a good idea to keep in mind that gold and silver tend to perform well when the rest of the market looks negative, as investors have historically used precious metals as a way of gaining safe haven exposure and to safeguard against potential rises in inflation.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 12, 2015

What Gold's Bull Market (That's Right, Bull Market) Means For Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: John_Rubino

One of the oddities of floating exchange rates is that they cause people to view the world in terms of their own national currency. For Americans that means looking out through a window that is distorted by the dollar's recent surge. A C$100-a-night Vancouver BC hotel room, for instance, cost about US$100 in 2013 and now costs about $80. Most other Canadian products are commensurately cheaper, making a week north of the border suddenly a lot easier to fit into the family budget. Though fundamentally not much has changed.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 11, 2015

Gold And Silver Nothing Of Substance Going On. Fiat “Dollar” Controlling? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

There is little going on in the precious metals markets that indicates directional movement to the upside, and not even much to the downside. The news is as disjointed but permeated with sameness as ever before. To try to make sense of nonsense remains in the theater of the absurd. All we have to offer are the current read of charts, and they are an extension of what they have been like for the last several weeks.

A look at the fiat faux “dollar” chart, the antithesis of gold, may offer the best clue as to why PMs remain mired in the trading range reaches within their protracted down trends.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 11, 2015

Ghosts In The Machine - Population Growth vs Food Production / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Richard_Mills

In 1798 32 year-old British economist Malthus anonymously published "An Essay on the Principle of Population" and in it he argued that human population's increase geometrically (1, 2, 4, 16 etc.) while their food supply can only increase arithmetically (1, 2, 3, 4 etc.). Since food is obviously necessary for us to survive, unchecked population growth in any one area or involving the whole planet would lead to individual pockets of humanity starving or even mass worldwide starvation.

"The power of population is indefinitely greater than the power in the earth to produce subsistence for man." Thomas Robert Malthus

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Commodities

Saturday, April 11, 2015

Gold-Futures Short Covering Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s bottoming consolidation grind continues, with investment demand still garroted by sky-high world stock markets and the parabolic US dollar.  With investors missing in action, gold prices remain totally at the mercy of American futures speculators.  These perpetually-bearish traders are once again heavily short gold, which has led to sharp short-covering rallies in recent years.  The latest one has just started.

In normal markets, gold prices are determined by global investment demand.  This certainly isn’t the biggest source, running at just under a quarter of world gold demand last year according to the World Gold Council.  But it’s the most volatile by far, changing dramatically with the shifting winds of investors’ favor for gold.  When they want to diversify into gold, their extra buying inexorably pushes gold prices higher.

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Commodities

Friday, April 10, 2015

Gold Price “Going Higher” and “A Big Buy Here” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Negative Interest Rates and Rising Interest Rates Positive For Gold
- HSBC suggests negative rates may drive customers out of digital and into holding paper cash
- ZIRP and NIRP very positive for gold
- Rising U.S. rates not negative for gold due to emergence of China, India, Middle East and EMs
- When rates do rise will be positive for gold
- Costly in terms of wealth preservation and returns not to have an allocation to gold
- Gold “going higher” and “a big buy here”
- Gold up 3.1% in euros and 2.2% in pounds this week

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, April 10, 2015

Strong U.S. Dollar Nips Gold and Silver Rally in The Bud / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

This week started well for gold and silver, but it turned out that the peak for both was on Easter Monday, since when prices have drifted lower. The news event that initially drove prices higher was the US unemployment statistics for March announced last Friday, which came in 120,000 less than expected with downward revisions for the two previous months totalling a further 69,000.

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Commodities

Friday, April 10, 2015

Oil Price - How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

OPEC has been the most talked about international organization among investors, analysts and international political lobbies in the last few months.

When OPEC speaks, the world listens in rapt attention as it accounts for nearly 40 % of the world's total crude output. With its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, one of the mandates of 12- member OPEC is to "ensure the stabilization of oil markets in order to secure an efficient, economic and regular supply of petroleum to consumers, a steady income to producers, and a fair return on capital for those investing in the petroleum industry." (Source: opec.org).

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Commodities

Friday, April 10, 2015

Saudi Arabia Just Delivered Another Strike in the “Oil War” / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Saudi Arabia just sent the most powerful signal yet it means business in the “Oil War.”

On Tuesday, oil minister Ali al-Naimi revealed Saudi oil production jumped in March to 10.3 million barrels a day.

That marked an increase of 700,000 barrels per day from February, or the biggest ramp in production since November 2011. That figure is now expected to remain around 10 million barrels for some time.

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Commodities

Friday, April 10, 2015

Greece, Gold, The Death Of Paper Money And The Modern State / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

The size and existence of the modern state is limited only by the ability to borrow money; an ability dependent on the continuing value of fiat paper money.  That limit has now been reached. Greece is not just a country that overindulged on the bankers’ poisoned candy of cheap credit. Greece is the canary in the coal mine of the modern state.

When gold was removed from the international monetary system in 1971, US interest rates were 6%.  By 1980, however, US rates rapidly rose to 21.5% in order to contain virulent inflationary forces unleashed when ties between paper money and gold were cut. The separation of gold and money was unprecedented. So, too, would be the consequences.

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Commodities

Friday, April 10, 2015

Gold and Silver Expect Lower Prices Once Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion, a speculative short position (half) in gold, silver and mining stocks is justified from the risk/reward point of view.

Precious metals declined once again yesterday. The move was particularly visible in silver. Is the white metal telling us something? We think that it is, but the message is not that straightforward.

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