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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Crude Oil Prices, Syria, and the Probability of a Price Shock / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: J_W_Jones

Oil prices have been in the spotlight as the Syrian chemical weapons crisis became front and center in the media. As the political process has unfolded, price volatility in oil futures in both directions has been extreme. Oil prices have traded in a wide range the past two weeks between $104 – $112 dollars per barrel.

As a professional option trader, I wanted to look at what the implied volatility within options on oil futures was saying about future oil prices. The oil futures option chain would give me some possible clues about near and intermediate term price direction.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Planned Attack on Gold Begins, Waiting for Manipulation to End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Toby_Connor

As I was afraid would happen, gold suffered an overnight hit that drove it back below the $1350 support zone. The drop occurred in the span of one minute so it's pretty obvious this was a planned attack with the intent of taking out that support zone in the thin overnight market when there would not be any buyers to defend the against the attack.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Why I Won’t Be Buying Gold Anytime Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: When gold surged to over $1,400 an ounce, I was still not a believer in its potential as a buying opportunity—rather, I thought it was more a trade against the possibility of an expanded conflict arising in Syria.

The gold bugs were suggesting the time for the yellow metal was here again, and I even heard a target price of $1,700 an ounce. Now, with the situation in Syria looking to be resolved, the safe haven’s gains over the past few weeks are beginning to fade away as the price falls below $1,400.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Gold Price Hits 1-Month Low Pre-Fed, Asian Stockpiles Cut Bar Demand Outlook in Half / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

LONDON PRICES for wholesale gold slipped to 1-month lows at $1334 per ounce Thursday lunchtime, extending an early $20 slump in what one dealer called "anaemic trade".

European stock markets reversed morning losses, and crude oil rallied, as the US and Russian foreign ministers met in Switzerland to discuss Syria's chemical weapons.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Crude Oil Price Forecast: The "Syrian Premium" Is Not Temporary / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: By an apparent agreement to place its chemical weapons under international control, Syria seems to have dodged an imminent American military attack.

Yet even as the world takes a step back from the brink, three critical questions still remain:

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Commodities

Thursday, September 12, 2013

India's Anti-Gold Policies: Symptom, Not Cure / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Miguel Perez-Santalla writes: Controls on gold inflows don't fix the causes of capital outflows...

WHAT'S GOING on in India is nothing new. We've seen it over and over again throughout struggling economies.

These attempts to control movement of currency are very common when a government is faced with problems like India's. They actually create a more crippling environment than the one they are put in place to improve.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Gold and Silver Stocks Ten Week Counter Trend Rally ..Up Close and Personal / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to show you some charts of what this nearly 10 week counter trend rally looks like compared to this downtrend that has been in place since the highs made one year ago. I want to start with a one year two month chart for the HUI that starts with the right shoulder top, for the massive H&S topping pattern, Big S. This chart may look a little busy but if you start at the top left side corner, Big S, you will see the downtrend channel that has been in place for one year now and shows all the consolidation patterns that have formed during this time. Looking at the top left side of the chart the first chart pattern you see is the black bearish falling wedge which at the time I thought would be a bullish falling wedge. Note the two day hard break below the bottom black rail of the bearish falling wedge. That was my cue that the black 5 point falling wedge was a reversal pattern to the downside. The red arrow and the purple vertical dashed line shows you where we took our first position in DUST, which is a 3 X short the precious metals stocks index, on December 3rd, 2012. As you can see we bought the backtest to the underside of the black falling wedge reversal pattern. We slowly kept building our short position as the downtrend unfolded.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Gold Price in India: Stronger Rupee Pushed Gold Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Nadia_Simmons

Yesterday, the Indian rupee rose to a two-week high as expectations for a narrower trade deficit and receding concerns about Syria helped the currency continue its recent recovery from record lows hit last month. Today, the Indian currency extended gains and added as much as 1.52%. It's worth noting that the rupee posted a fifth consecutive session of gains after former International Monetary Fund Chief Economist Raghuram Rajan took the helm of the central bank last Wednesday and quickly unveiled a spate of measures to support the currency and open up markets.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Silver, Butter and TANSTAAFL / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

TANSTAAFL is the acronym for “There ain’t no such thing as a free lunch.” The saying has been used for years, even prior to Robert Heinlein’s use of it in “The Moon Is A Harsh Mistress.” It is another way of saying there is always a price that must be paid.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Gold Bullion Continues to Slowly Bleed Out of COMEX / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

"Though justice often moves slowly, it seldom fails to overtake the unjust." - Horace, Odes

There were no deposits into the COMEX warehouses yesterday. Apparently GLD was not able to squeeze out any bars for the banks.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Gold and Silver Bounce from 3-Week Lows as Syria "Averted" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE bullion prices bounced on Wednesday from new 3-week lows as the US cancelled a Congressional vote on Syria, and traders pointed to next week's expected "tapering" of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve.

Oil prices and other commodities also stemmed this week's drop. World stock markets rose sharply.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Is Platinum the New Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

The Goldrums of June are giving way to a new dawn for platinum group metals, says David Franklin, a market strategist at Sprott Asset Management. While white metal miners face a variety of challenges, there is an increasing demand for platinum and palladium from vehicle manufacturers in the U.S. and China. And supplies of the hard-to-find metal are vanishing day by day. Now is the time to buy into existing stockpiles of the precious metal, Franklin tells The Metals Report.

The Metals Report: David, can you give us your recap on gold's recent performance?

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Uranium Price Headed for $50 in 2014, Taking Stocks Higher / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

The stubborn spot price of uranium has frustrated market watchers for the past year. But that's not the whole story. As most long-term contracts have been made at higher prices, astute investors have been slowly moving into the stocks of uranium producers and explorers in anticipation of the delayed commodity price move expected in 2014. In this interview with The Energy Report, Cantor Fitzgerald Canada Metals and Mining Analyst Rob Chang explains what lies ahead and how the turnaround in the uranium market will benefit the companies he thinks investors should focus on for maximum profits.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Could This Be the Next Bakken Resources Discovery? / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Marin_Katusa

Everyone is looking to make the "Big Score" in the resource sector—that one special discovery that is not just elephant- but brontosaurus-size: big enough to put you into the annals of resource exploration and make fortunes for your investors.

Everyone knows that investing in the junior resource sector can be dangerous. In fact, there are few investments where the odds are so high that they will fail and you will lose your money.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Energy Factor To Push Gold Price To New Highs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Steve_St_Angelo

One of the most misunderstood factors that will impact the price of gold is energy.  Many analysts forecast the future value of gold relative to the amount of fiat money circulating in the system as well as total government treasury and bond debt.  However, the world may not have the available energy supply in the future to satisfy these massive debts.

Gold and silver are monetary metals because they function as a store of "Economic Energy", a term coined my Mike Maloney.  Basically, the precious metals are batteries that store this trade-able energy value.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Gold - September Usually the Best Month of the Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

I often talk about how the gold trade is really two separate trades. There’s the Fear Trade that buys gold out of fear of war or poor government policies. This crowd sees the precious metal as a safe haven during times of crisis, such as when gold rose over the fear of a war in Syria, but eased when a much more limited military action became likely.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Gold Drops as Assad Accepts Russian Plan, Analysts Start Pricing Fed's Cut to QE / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

BENCHMARK London prices for physical gold fell to $1363 lunchtime Tuesday, down 2.3% from Monday's high as the Assad regime in Syria accepted a Russian-backed plan to give its chemical weapons to international control.

The Rupee meantime rose to a 2-session high after new Indian trade data showed gold imports falling and exports rising in August.

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Commodities

Monday, September 09, 2013

Crude Oil’s Relationship with Oil Stocks and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Nadia_Simmons

In our previous Oil Update we examined major factors, which previously fueled the price of light crude. Before we move on to the technical part of our Oil Update, let’s take a closer look at the events of the previous week.

At the beginning of the last week President Barack Obama won the backing of key figures in the U.S. Congress, including Republicans, in his call for limited strikes on Syria. Additionally, a missile test by Israeli forces training in the Mediterranean with the U.S. Navy set nerves on edge. These circumstances fueled the oil market and resulted in a sharp pullback to over $108 per barrel. In spite of this growth, in the following days, the price of light crude was trading in the narrow range between the Tuesday’s low and top.

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Commodities

Monday, September 09, 2013

Gold "Dull & Thin" as Spec's Cut Shorts But Analysts Expect Post-Fed Losses / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of GOLD edged $10 per ounce lower Monday morning in what dealers called "dull, thin" trade following Friday's sharp jump on US jobs data.

A surge in Asian share prices – attributed to Tokyo winning the 2020 Olympics bid, plus official news of 7% annual growth in China's exports and imports in August – failed to lift European stock markets.

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Commodities

Monday, September 09, 2013

The High-Tech "Gold Rush" Officially Begins / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Money_Morning

Michael A. Robinson writes: If you've blinked in the last 14 days, you might have missed this...

ARM Holdings PLC (Nasdaq ADR: ARMH) - one of the world's dominant mobile-device chip companies - bought a small Finnish software startup called Sensinode Oy in a deal whose price wasn't reported.

And most folks shrugged it off as just another of the thousands of below-the-radar deals that companies do every year.

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