Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, September 23, 2013
The Relationship Between Financial Assets, Time And Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Claudio Grass writes: On a daily basis financial assets and commodities are measurable with the same yardstick which is say US dollars. This measurability in dollars in both cases is misleading and obscures the fact that they are indeed totally different. Their relationship to time is what sets them apart. The idea of duration and the difference between a present good and a financial asset are the most important concepts to understand for people wondering what Gold allocations are all about.
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Sunday, September 22, 2013
Triple Witching Hit on Gold GLD and Silver SLV, COMEX Next Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
All those happy momentum buyers of paper gold and silver, GLD and SLV, got a stiff gut check today, especially if they were playing the miners and ETFs with options, because gold and silver took a determined bear raid selloff in honor of the September triple witching expiration today. It happens four times per year.
The front month in SP 500 and NDX stock futures is now December. Can you believe it? Where has the summer gone?
Sunday, September 22, 2013
Silver Not Ready For Prime Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
There are two distinct advantages derived from reading charts. They are all based on factual information, in the form of executed trades, and they are a short-cut for reading about all the exogenous factors, [mostly fundamental], that impact the market.
Everyone familiar with or interested in silver knows about the dwindling supplies, the manipulation of the COMEX/LBMA paper markets, the M F Global disappearing act of accounts that stood ready to take delivery of [unavailable] silver, the inability to make good on deliveries, etc, etc, etc. All facts sufficient to drive silver to above all-time highs, yet price continues to languish in the $18 - $25 range.
Saturday, September 21, 2013
Gold And Silver – Fed Taper? Never! Never, Never, Ever! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The proverbial handwriting has been on the wall for quite some time. Lying Ben Bernocchio just sealed the fate of the already doomed fiat Federal Reserve Note, aka the "dollar," along with the financial well-being of most unsuspecting Americans who will be unprepared for what is going to happen, at some point and with certainty. Collapse.
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Saturday, September 21, 2013
Recent Gold Price Rally A Sign of Strength? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
According to Reuters, gold is often seen as an inflation hedge (while it is really a system hedge in our opinion) and this safe-haven investment, has fallen nearly 20% this year on fears of an end to easy central bank money, which had propelled it to record highs in 2011.
On Wednesday, after the Fed said it would stick to its stimulus plan for now, the yellow metal gained more than 4%, leading the rally in commodities. Yesterday, gold rose to a new one-week high and extended the previous session's rally, lifted by technical buying and short-covering.
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Friday, September 20, 2013
Fed Decision to Delay QE Tapering Unleashes Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The Federal Reserve shocked the financial world this week, defying universal expectations. It failed to start reducing the pace of its third quantitative-easing campaign’s debt monetizations, delaying the long-anticipated QE3 taper indefinitely. This surprise ignited sharp moves in nearly all major markets, but gold’s was certainly the most impressive. It rocketed higher on the Fed’s startling new paradigm shift.
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Friday, September 20, 2013
Gold and Silver and Being Long Gamma / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
When an option trader has a long gamma position it means that they benefit from volatility and can rebalance their portfolios’ profitably if the underlying asset moves significantly.
The more volatile the precious metals becomes, especially to the downside, the more buying interest emerges.
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Friday, September 20, 2013
Gold and Silver Prices — Mapping Short Term Volatility / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
After years of paying attention to the price action and not the mainstream market commentary. — Thanks in large part to Ted Butler and GATA — here are some of the dominate forces that currently seem to be determining price movements in the precious metals:
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Friday, September 20, 2013
Ron Paul Warns Prepare for the Destruction of the U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,355.25, EUR 1,002.18 and GBP 845.39 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,363.50, EUR 1,005.90 and GBP 848.16 er ounce
Gold fell $1.10 or 0.08% yesterday, closing at $1,365.20/oz. Silver dropped $0.08 or 0.35%, closing at $23.01. At 3:41 EDT, Platinum fell $3.70 or 0.3% to $1,458.80/oz, while palladium rose $13.85 or 1.9% to $730.59/oz
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Friday, September 20, 2013
Silver Major Bottom Pattern is Completing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Much of what is written in the parallel Gold Market update applies equally to silver and that will not be repeated here.
Silver's major reversal pattern, which, like gold's, is a Head-and-Shoulders bottom, is different to gold's in the detail that it is flat-topped - the "neckline" or top boundary of the pattern is a horizontal band of resistance. Otherwise they are broadly similar in meaning, which is hardly surprising as gold and silver are "joined at the hip", the big difference from an investor's point of view being that silver is a leveraged play on a gold move.
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Friday, September 20, 2013
Fed Refusal to Taper is Good News for Gold Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
That was a huge announcement by the Fed Wednessday (18th) to keep monetary policy the same and the effect on the markets was immediate and dramatic. To say that this announcement was gold friendly would have to be one of the understatements of the year. Gold soared making its biggest one-day gain for 15-months, silver rose sharply and Precious Metals stocks took off like a rocket. This action marks the start of a major sectorwide uptrend. The dollar tanked as the Fed's ongoing policy amounts to a continuation of its long-term policy to destroy the currency that has actually been in force with great effect since 1913 - just ask an old timer how much coffee he could buy for a dollar.
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Thursday, September 19, 2013
What's The Indian Government Doing to Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Difference between India & China
While both nations have been touted as the fasted growing nations in Asia, there are stark differences between the two nations that are coming to the fore now.
The first is that in China, the population has a fear of gov't and the dangers of disobeying it. After nearly 48 years of intense pressure and 're-modeling' of the thinking of the Chinese people, the Chinese are now a highly regimented people who appear to enjoy hard work, have a tacit obedience of gov't and appreciate the lift in their standard of living. They appear to be fully supportive of the extraordinary urbanization of the country and the present reality that nearly three quarters of the country have a much higher standard of living than they have ever experienced. The nation is headed towards becoming the economic powerhouse of the world before 2020.
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Thursday, September 19, 2013
Gold Lust: A Report From the Road / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Sean Brodrick writes: I’m traveling around Nevada this week, scouting gold miners. Nevada is one of the best places on Earth to be mining right now. And as a geologist reminded me yesterday, all the biggest mines in the world started out small, just like the up-and-comers I’m visiting.
Some of them could be among tomorrow’s giants. I’ll be reporting on the companies I discover in my new advisory service, which will launch later this year. In the meantime, I’ll post video interviews I conduct with mining executives on InvestmentU.com. To see the interviews I’ve done so far, click here.
Thursday, September 19, 2013
'QE Unlimited' Sparks 'Risk-On Party' as Dollar Sinks, Gold Jumps / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
WORLD stock markets, foreign currencies and commodities extended yesterday's jump versus the US Dollar in Asia and London on Thursday morning, with gold regaining the $1370 level it leapt to after the Federal Reserve voted not to trim its quantitative easing program.
Defying the expectations built since April, the Fed gave financial markets what one FX strategist called "a massive green light for a risk-on party."
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
How Will Tapering Affect Gold Bullion Investment? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Next week the FOMC will meet for one their eight scheduled meetings. It is this particular meeting that has had traders, market commentators and investors almost in frenzy as they try to predict the outcome. It seems everyone is convinced that tapering will go ahead, as of next week, and the gold bears believe that this will signal gold’s demise.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Gold "Fierce" If Fed Surprises / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The WHOLESALE price of gold fell below $1300 for the first time in 6 weeks Wednesday morning in Asia, as traders in all markets awaited today's US Fed announcement on QE tapering.
Regaining that level in London – a record high when first reached 3 years ago next week – gold still held 7% beneath the start of September.
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Oil Companies Shifting To Electric Gold / Commodities / Electricity
PURE AND SIMPLE ECONOMICS
Outside the US, Canada, China, Australia, India, South Africa, Indonesia and a certain number of other countries, electricity has become a highly valued asset for the financial strategy of leading energy companies – starting with Big Oil. In the highest-priced region for electricity – the EU – Eurostat gives the average price for household consumers as 11.9 euro cents (15.5 US cents) per kWh in 2012 pricing electricity at around $248 per barrel of oil equivalent.
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Damascus Dodges a bullet, Make This Crude Oil Move Immediately / Commodities / Crude Oil
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Damascus may have dodged a bullet (or a cruise missile), but nothing else has changed very much. Not in terms of risk.
That explains why the "Syrian Premium" remains. It may be slightly reduced, as you'll see. But it is likely to stay with us even after the threat of a military solution has been averted.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
The Shale Gas Fantasy and Profit When the Bubble Bursts / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas
The numbers don't lie—but politicians and industry bigwigs do. While pundits still wax poetic about an era of American energy independence, Bill Powers, author of the book "Cold, Hungry and in the Dark: Exploding the Natural Gas Supply Myth," sees productivity plummeting in almost every major shale play. In this interview with The Energy Report, Powers tells us to forget about LNG exports and a manufacturing boom and get positioned for a bust. How? Invest in energy equities. Powers names his favorites for maximum returns when the bubble bursts.
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
The Great Gold Heist of 2013: Exploding Demand & Falling Supply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
No one was prepared for the orchestrated take-down of the price of gold and silver in the first half of 2013. Forecasted supply was generously overstated while demand... grossly under-estimated. Thus, the tremendous imbalance had to be resolved which came to be known as "The Great Gold Heist of 2013."
Not only were the investors taken by surprise from the huge price declines, but so were the Fed and member bullion banks -- one by price movement and the other by huge demand. To understand why I believe there was a gold heist, we have to dissect through some of the just released official data.
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