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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Gold XAU Index and Financial Markets Analysis - Strong Nerves Required / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Brian_Bloom

It can be seen from the chart that the most recent price weakness in XAU brought it to rest on the lower trendline that has been in place since 2002.

Can this trendline be penetrated on the downside? Of course it can. It happened for a few months in mid 2005 – before pulling back up to move within the rising channel once again.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Silver Looking Weak with High Downside Risk / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

As the arguments set out in the Gold Market update are equally applicable to silver, they will not be repeated here, and in this Silver Market update we will only discuss the differences worthy of note.

Whereas gold broke down from its uptrend in force since mid-2005 only this month, Silver broke down from its similar uptrend late in April and early in May. This doesn't actually make much practical difference, for as we can see when the 2-year silver chart and 2-year gold chart are put side by side, where one goes they both go.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

GOLD Downtrend Continues To Target $600 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Two months have passed since the last gold analysis was posted Gold Forecast Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold - A Word of Caution for Gold Bulls , which implied an imminent 5th wave peak and trend towards $600.

Now two months on, Gold did make the high just shy of $700 at $698 since which gold has followed a shallow trend lower. Even though Gold broke the major uptrend line in mid May 07, the trend to date continues to be of a corrective nature. Which means that despite being in an immediate downtrend, the long-term gold bull market remains intact. Now gold bulls should NOT take that statement to imply its safe to buy gold today, as you do not buy a falling market!

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Stainless Steel Crossover Drives Manganese Prices Higher / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: James_Finch

By James Finch and Ken Reser: Although manganese is the fourth most heavily consumed metal – behind iron, aluminum and copper, most investors have failed to observe the dramatic bull market in manganese which began unfolding this past spring.

About 34 million tons of manganese ore were mined in 2006.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Gold Market Update - Gold Oversold and Near Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

We have recently maintained a neutral/bearish stance on gold, which was not unreasonable given the way the earlier advance had petered out and been followed by weakness resulting in the failure of a long-term uptrend line that signaled a change of intermediate trend from up to neutral/down. However, the subsequent lack of downside follow through to break the price below key support at and above its long-term 200 and 200-day moving averages, combined with emerging evidence of significant accumulation of large Precious Metals stocks has justified a review and a shift in stance to neutral/bullish.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Crude Oil Prices - Politics and Inflation / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Hewitt

Oil is the commodity that the majority of people are most aware of. A 10% increase in the price of crude oil makes the headline news. One cannot drive down Main Street without seeing a sign for the latest gas price.

But how many are aware that lead has risen 155% over the last year? During that same time, tin has gone from US$3.48 a pound to US$6.49 – an 86% increase. Nickel was already surging before last summer but using the same timeframe shows an increase of 122%.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Uranium Funds Points to Near-Term Price Decline / Commodities / Uranium

By: James_Finch

Nuclear Market Review (NMR) editor Treva Klingbiel reported in this week's issue, “Two sellers that were evaluating bids in response to their auctions have concluded their evaluations and have decided not to sell at this time.” She added, “Both sellers preferred to make delivery in June while most bidders were seeking delivery for several months out.” The U3O8 Weekly Spot Price Indicator, as published in NMR, remained unchanged at US$138/pound.

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Commodities

Monday, June 25, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points : Gold a Threat to the Fiat Currency System / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“So as we continue to tread water in what was expected to be a period of ennui in the metals markets, we'll continue to monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as moves in the bond markets and trends in the Fed's open market activities.” ~ Precious Points: Enjoy it While it Lasts ?, June 17, 2007

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Commodities

Sunday, June 24, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 24th June 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Gold just can't seem to get any steam for a good rally. Weakness seems to be the direction of least resistance.

GOLD : LONG TERM
Still no movement in the long term P&F chart so the last analysis of 25 May 2006 remains valid, i.e. a long term bull with projections to $780 and then to $915. As mentioned at the time, these projections look like pipe dreams but that's what the long term P&F chart is saying. With the present chart I still need a move to $600 before I can invalidate the bull signal and go to a bear.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 23, 2007

Gasoline Prices - It's all about the Refineries ... For Now / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Tim_Iacono

If you've been wondering why gasoline prices have been so high lately with crude oil trading at only $66 per barrel, the answer can be found at the refineries.

This week's TWIP (This Week in Petroleum) from the Energy Information Administration has some interesting commentary and, as always, abundant charts to tell the story of how retail gasoline prices have fallen for the second consecutive week, down five cents to $3.16 per gallon.

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Commodities

Friday, June 22, 2007

Industry Expert Expects Junior Uranium Stocks Washout / Commodities / Uranium

By: James_Finch

Yellowcake Mining director Dr. Robert Rich speaks out on NYMEX uranium futures, the upcoming uranium price adjustment, junior uranium companies washing out, and why he believes his company will survive in the years ahead. A long time nuclear energy veteran with a PhD in economic geology from Harvard University, Dr. Rich has been affiliated with BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP), the Japanese conglomerate Sumitomo and Yankee Atomic. He presently resides in Massachusetts.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 21, 2007

Eric Bolling's Agriculture Commodities Stock Market Play: Is it Too Late? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Michael_K_Dawson

My jaw hit the ground last week when Eric Bolling, of CNBC's Fast Money, stated that his agriculture play was up 59% year to date. It hit the floor a second time when he mentioned how he was playing the sector. I have been trading commodity stocks for awhile, primarily gold, energy and base metal producers. The soft commodities (coffee, sugar, grains) have caught my attention on occasions. However, I couldn't figure out how to trade them via the stock market and I wasn't interested in the futures market.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 21, 2007

Gold Continues to Strengthen / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Gold does continue to strengthen regardless of what you think.

Gold Continues to Strengthen Below is the action in gold this past Tuesday. Is gold on the verge of crashing? Gold will crash the day the United States pays off all its debts to China and Asia . Will that day come any time soon? Don't think so.


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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Analysis of the Seasonal Variations in the Price of Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Bargain Buying: Use Seasonal Price Trends to Your Advantage USAGOLD-Centennial Precious Metals

One of the more intriguing curiosities of the current bull market in gold has to do with the annual buying opportunity which seems to crop up in the depths of the summer doldrums.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Gold Thoughts: Continuing Inflation Means Gold will Continue to Outperfom Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Can double digit inflation exist in the headline number and “core” inflation remain muted? Does the cost of energy and food influence the cost structure of the world? Will China suddenly quit importing oil and food, causing prices to fall?

Will the real world ever become known to the statistically challenged individuals creating government estimates of inflation?

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Palladium the Rodney Dangerfield of Metals / Commodities / Palladium

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: I call palladium the Rodney Dangerfield of metals because it gets no respect, I tell ya, no respect at all. It's like the forgotten stepsister in the platinum group of metals — platinum commands princely prices and investor interest, while palladium toils away in silence.

But what if I told you that palladium looks ready to stage a rally this year … a rally so strong that it would be the equivalent of gold going as high as $900 or even $1,000 an ounce? In other words, palladium might be on the verge of getting some respect.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Commodities are For Crafty Not Crazy Investors / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Dudley_Baker

Remember my 'Crazy Like A Fox' subscriber? (See my previous articles entitled, “A Crazy Man's Rant or Right On” and “Crazy Man's Rant – He's Crazy Life A Fox”). He continues (like many of us) to be a proponent of investing in commodities and gold, silver, uranium, oil and gas in particular and he continues to prosper. Many people have wondered how he has been so successful so I asked him recently. Below are a few comments regarding his approach to investing both in the past, now and the foreseeable future.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Seasonal Pattern Points to Higher Oil Prices in Late Summer / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Oil has traded over the past five years with a distinct seasonal pattern. There is an annual low in December or January and a price peak in August or September. But along the path to the top, this commodity often consolidates during April, May and June. The trading action in 2007 is matching exactly this pattern.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Central Bankers - What's their long-term plan for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Tim_Iacono

Last week, the Bank of Switzerland announced that they plan to sell 250 tonnes of gold bullion into the market over the next two years. This comes shortly after news that the Bank of Spain had dumped more than 100 tonnes of the metal and word of additional sales by Belgium.

With the words "global inflation" on the lips of billions of people around the world and a rising price of gold sure confirmation of such, you have to wonder what the long-term plan is for Western central banks and their gold.

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Commodities

Monday, June 18, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 18th June 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

With 93% of the “quality” stocks on the rise and only 40% of the gambling variety on the rise this was a “quality” week in the precious metals universe. Will it last?

GOLD : LONG TERM
Still no movement in the long term P&F chart so we continue in a P&F long term BULLISH trend.

As for the normal indicators, gold closed above its still slightly positive sloping moving average line. Price momentum (strength) is still in its positive zone but with a negative trigger line indicating the pressure is towards the down side. The long term volume indicator is below its trigger line and the line has turned down. Putting it all together the indicators remain just slightly better than last week so I will remain with last week's BULLISH view of the long term gold position.

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