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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, April 23, 2016

Silver Commitments of Traders – Halloween is Arriving Early This Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

By that I mean, it just keeps getting scarier and scarier.

My guess is that every speculator on the planet is long silver/short gold or outright long silver.

That of course is an exaggeration but I am not exaggerating when I categorically state that the silver market is a train wreck just waiting to happen. As I have said before, and will say so again – I would rather miss any more upside in this market than get long now, not with a trade so lopsidedly jammed with speculators on the long side. I will leave that for the daredevils and others who like driving the stagecoach as close to the edge of the mountain pass road as they possibly can.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 23, 2016

Good News, Bad News, Both Favor Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

First, the good news and taking a moment to celebrate the recent unstoppable rally in both gold and silver where, as has been expected, silver is outperforming gold. While we have stayed clear of paper futures from the long side, over the past few years, almost each and every week we have continued our mantra of buying and accumulating the physical metal. It is beginning to pay off, especially for purchases made throughout last year and this one.

This is not yet a victory lap, for the market remains in its transitioning phase, but the faithful, for what has always been considered the only true form of money: gold and silver, can relax more and shed the deer-in-the-headlights look after seeing both pummeled to the downside so relentlessly over the past several years by the money changers.

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Commodities

Friday, April 22, 2016

Gold Stocks Climbing Epic Wall of Worry / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The gold stocks have had a tremendous rally in recent months that has left most investors and even gold bulls on the sidelines. From low tick to high tick GDXJ has more than doubled while GDX has nearly doubled. Indices such as the HUI and XAU have more than doubled. It has been a fantastic rally yet both anecdotal and actual data suggests there has been a major wall of worry building. Although gold stocks may be starting a correction, the presence of a strong wall of worry provides further confirmation of a major trend change.

In recent weeks readers and followers of various gold centric websites have been bombarded with bearish commentaries from pundits and analysts forecasting a correction. More than a month ago the reasoning was the commitment of traders (CoT) report. More recently, the reasoning revolved around an alleged “parabolic move” in the gold stocks and a budding head and shoulders top in Gold.

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Commodities

Friday, April 22, 2016

Silver’s New Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Silver officially entered a new bull market this week, decisively crossing the necessary +20% threshold.  Speculators and investors alike are returning as awareness spreads of how radically undervalued silver is compared to prevailing gold prices.  When silver awakens to a new bull market after a long bearish slumber, massive gains are usually unleashed.  Silver’s tiny advance so far is just the tip of the iceberg.

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Commodities

Friday, April 22, 2016

Who are Gold Traders? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Commitments of Traders Report is one of the most important publications on the gold market. It is usually published every Friday at 15:30 Eastern time by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to provide market participants "a breakdown of each Tuesday's open interest for markets in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC". Unfortunately the readers don't get a full picture because of a three day lag between a report and the actual positioning of traders (though the report is issued on Friday, it contains Tuesday's data). The open interest, analyzed in the report, is the total number of futures contracts not yet liquidated by an offsetting transaction or fulfilled by delivery.

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Commodities

Friday, April 22, 2016

Gold Price Forms Bearish Double Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Austin_Galt

The gold price saw some volatile price action today after hitting upside resistance and reversing back down impulsively. Let's check out the daily and monthly charts and see the bearish pattern that has formed.

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Commodities

Friday, April 22, 2016

President Trump? President Clinton? Gold Up in Both Scenarios / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton may have very little in common, but Barry Allan, vice chair of mining for Mackie Research Capital, says if either moves into the White House, the U.S. dollar will fall and gold will rise. A higher gold price bodes well for gold equities, and in this interview with The Gold Report, Allan and his colleague Ryan Hanley share the names of some of their top picks for this environment.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Gold and Silver are on the Cusp of a Massive Rally! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Gold and silver have more or less confirmed they have bottomed and are ready for a multi-year rally. Their trend has not fully ‘reversed’ to the upside yet but the market breadth and internals for the precious metals sector are very bullish. My subscribers know that I am ‘bullish’ on precious metals and believe that they will be the best performing ‘asset class’ within the next three to five years for those who can only buy long (profit from rising prices). There are a few more big opportunities unfolding in other assets also but that is not what this article focuses on.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Gold, Silver Blow Off in Progress but 'Launch Phase' Confirmed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

On March 4 we reviewed the technical reasons why the gold sector was launching as opposed to blowing off. This, after articles began appearing calling the rise to that point a doomed parabolic blow off using daily charts. Those calling it a blow off were confused; silver in spring 2011 was a blow off in the terminal sense. But when a parabolic move comes off a bottom, it is an impulsive thrust to change the trend, possibly ending the bear market.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Crude Oil Complacency Climbs / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: AnyOption

US production at 18-month lows was partly behind the recent surge in crude oil prices following yet another report of building onshore inventories.  Despite the veritable flood of crude oil prices hitting global markets, crude prices continue to rise amid rising speculation that key global producers will elect to increase production even further.  Since the freeze deal fell through, Russia has underlined its doubts that any such agreement will be possible, potentially paving the way for OPEC members to further stray from a single policy, opting instead to put national interests ahead of economic rationality.  While prices have jumped to the highest levels since November on new forecasts that anticipate a rebalancing of the market my 2017, complacency amongst traders continues to grow as problematic fundamental conditions remain intact.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 21, 2016

All Hail the Mighty Silver Bugs… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger examines silver's recent moves upward.

In my business, there is a great deal of travel, be it to properties in the Peruvian Andes or the Canadian Yukon or to the investment conferences in New Orleans or San Francisco or London, so I get a full psychographic cross section of every type of investor imaginable. First of all, the audiences I have encountered at the "Sound Money" conferences in Nassau or Bermuda are usually quite conservative and usually well-dressed and well-groomed. When the topic is gold and it is a controversial speaker looking for "the end of Western civilization," the audiences tend to be a tad different with hair length and dress code noticeably more avant-garde.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Silver Price Breakout, Shanghai Gold Exchange, Bitcoin and the Web Bot - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

Transcript Excerpt: I did so Wednesday April 20th 2016 its 7 a.m. London time so I'm really video
today I'll be talking about Bitcoin silver gold of course as well and the
new Shanghai remain be denominated gold and precious metals contracts yesterday
the Shanghai Gold Exchange started fix Windows yet you want or remembering
denominated precious metals contracts and the EU there's been a lot of talk in
the you know the Internet in the precious metals blogs that you know this
is the reason why you know silver had such a great day yesterday was that
almost you know like four percent at one point
broke about $17 gold as well did well even though we haven't broken due to

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Gold Trading Model and COT Data Are in Conflict / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical Analyst Jack Chan says his trading model is indicating that the gold sector is on a new major buy signal, but the COT data is bearish, so he is waiting for the COT to return to bull market values.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Fake Moves in Bitcoin Price / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: short speculative positions, target at $153, stop-loss at $515.

Remember how Ethereum was touted as the system which could replace Bitcoin and its price skyrocketed? Now, the system is back down after Ether (the currency of the system) lost more than 50% of its value, we read on CoinDesk:

While bitcoin has seen range-bound prices, ether plunged more than 56% during the week ending 15th April at 12:00 UTC, according to Poloniex figures.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Gold and Silver Precious Metals Complex Reverse Symmetry / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

In mid January of this year it looked as if another leg down was in store for the precious metals complex. Most of the precious metals stock indexes broke down to a new bear market low which I was expecting, as I was looking for that one last capitulation move to shake out the last of the bulls. There was a pretty symmetrical H&S consolidation pattern that had developed at the lows going back to August of last year. The setup looked perfect for one last move down to end the bear market but that didn't happen. Instead we got a two day shakeout below the previous low which ended exactly three months ago today.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

China Gold Bullion Yuan Trading To Boost Power In Gold and FX Markets – End Manipulation? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

China launched yuan denominated gold bullion trading today in a move that will further boost its power in the global gold and fx markets. Critics of the existing pricing mechanisms hope that it will lead to increased transparency and may end price manipulation.

The Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE), the world’s largest physical gold exchange, launched a yuan-denominated benchmark price today in Shanghai, a measure that will benefit both China’s domestic gold market and the global precious metals market.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

A Powerful Signal for the Coming Silver Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

The silver price and the US Dollar/South African Rand exchange rate (USD/ZAR) have a very interesting relationship that goes back a long way. Due to the nature of this relationship, I have found the USD/ZAR chart to be a good tool for determining a silver bottom.

In Jan 1980, when silver peaked at about $50, the USD/ZAR was trading at around 0.817. Today, the USD/ZAR rate is trading at about 14.366 - about 17.6 times higher than the Jan 1980 rate, whereas silver is trading at $16.2 - almost three times lower than the Jan 1980 high.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Gold and Crude Oil - What Can We Infer from This Relationship? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Although the world's largest oil-producing countries met this weekend in Doha, they failed to reach a deal to freeze output at Jan levels as Saudi deputy crown prince Mohammed bin Salman sustained earlier statement that Saudi Arabia would freeze the level of its oil production only if all other major producers (including Iran) did the same. Although Iran supported the freeze, the country didn't agree to cut production until it raises its output to around 4 million barrels per day (to the pre-sanctions levels). What does it mean for crude oil? In our opinion, such developments suggest a renewed battle for crude market share, which would likely translate into lower values of the commodity in the coming days or even weeks. Will our interesting ratios confirm this scenario? Let's jump right into charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com) and find out.

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Commodities

Monday, April 18, 2016

7 Gold And Silver Mining Investment Tips For 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: InvestingHaven

This article is based on a live webinar which was hosted by InvestingHaven.com on Wednesday April 13th during which 15 questions where answered by panelist Rob Tovell, market analyst at RobTovell.com and investor/trader for 4 decades covering all markets including precious metals, and panelist John Newell who manages the “Global Precious Metals Program” fund at Field House Capital. The first part of the webinar was focused on gold and silver mining questions, and the second part about the gold/silver price as well as gold futures market.

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Commodities

Monday, April 18, 2016

The Fed Rapidly Losing Control, Creating an Inflationary Storm / Commodities / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed is rapidly losing control.

Core inflation has already broken above 2% despite a complete collapse in commodity prices (the cost of living for many household items).

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