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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Natural Gas ETF Points to Down Trend / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Yesterday's up-gap spike to new highs above 55.00 in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (AMEX: UNG) followed by a close near the low of the session, which then was followed by a gap down opening this morning and a plunge to the 52.00 area, not only satisfied a multi-month upside swing target off of the Sept-Dec '07 base formation but it also left behind (for now) an exhaustion Island Reversal at the very top of the advance. Usually, such an exhaustion signal identifies a significant price peak and a near-term reversal in trend direction. Such is the case in the UNG, which now points lower towards 50.00 next, on the way to 48.00 thereafter.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Invest in Silver or Silver Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Bob_Kirtley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn May 2006 silver spiked at fifteen dollars and the HUI Index also spiked at 400, today we have silver trading at seventeen dollars, having been as high as twenty dollars, and the HUI Index stands at 406!

This raises the question of whether it is better to invest in the metal itself or to invest in silver stocks?

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Gold Follows Oil and Euro Lower Ahead of FOMC Meeting / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD fell back in Asian and early London trade on Tuesday, undoing Monday's 1.1% gain as crude oil fell, stock markets were mixed, and government bonds ticked higher after the worst two weeks for US Treasuries since 1982.

"Everybody is waiting for the Fed," notes Ronald Leung of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong . "I think Gold has to stay above these levels before it can charge higher again.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Can You Profit From The Rice Shortage? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: George_Kleinman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHow do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values?--Alan Greenspan, 1996

Rice was in the limelight this past week. Costco and Sam's Club limited the amount of rice customers could buy because of the irrational exuberance of its rice customers. The rice chart below (this is a fairly thin market that's not too actively traded in the futures) looks like an accelerated rocket ride to the moon. Historically, these kinds of moves always seem to end poorly.

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2008

Gold and Commodities Ongoing Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Aden_Forecast

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe year is still young, yet it's seen many commodities soar. From the precious metals, to the base metals, like copper and tin, to raw materials, to energy, like oil and natural gas, to the soft commodities, like corn and wheat... the commodity bull market has been flexing its muscles.

In the first quarter alone, gold was up 10%, silver gained even more, near 17%, and copper surged 25%. This is in stark contrast to the stock market as the Dow Industrials lost 6% during this time.

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2008

Not Enough Silver to Satisfy Portfolio Diversification? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Morgan

In my article “Silver is too bulky,” we examined a hypothetical look at the average baby boomer placing ten percent of their net worth into the precious metals, split 50/50 gold and silver. At the time, silver was trading over $15 per troy ounce. Since publishing that article silver has traded over $21 and is now trading between $17 and $18.

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2008

Gold and China's Coming Flood of Wealth / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

I have just returned from a 10-day trip to Southern China and Hong Kong. While I was there, I explored the Chinese attitude toward gold. If their demand for gold equaled that of other nation's average individual holdings, then we would see their demand well into four figures. I wanted to know if the Chinese would really move towards gold in their portfolios.

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2008

Gold Strengthens Ahead of US Fed Interest Rate Cut Decision / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD rose 0.9% during Asian and early London trade Monday, recovering Friday's drop as world equity and commodity indexes ticked some 0.5% higher.
Rice and wheat futures rose, while Japanese bond yields continued to sell off after Friday's CPI report showed the highest rate of inflation in ten years.

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2008

Gold's March Through $1000 Halted by Feds Creative Policy Towards Creating Liquidity / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“The rally in gold since December was almost entirely speculative, flight to quality and dollar hedging that will unwind very quickly when conditions change. If a reversal in the dollar has indeed begun, oil will move lower, but not as much as gold. Gold has now defined a clear range and taking any large positions while inside that range is no better than gambling. In the 900-955 area both counts are still valid, which suggests playing the break of the range in whichever direction.” ~ Precious Points: G.O.L.D. (Gold, Oil, Dollar, Libor ), April 20, 2008

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Commodities

Sunday, April 27, 2008

Crude OIl Hits $119- Ways to Profit From Peak Oil / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Martin_Hutchinson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVenezuelan President Hugo Chavez said a few months ago that if the United States invades Iran , we could expect to see oil at $200 a barrel. With oil already approaching the $120 mark, we may get there even without invading Iran.

[Perhaps President Chavez could be tempted out of his chaos-causing rule in Caracas with the offer of a rich and perk-filled oil-analyst's job at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. ( GS )].

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Commodities

Sunday, April 27, 2008

Gold Threatens Break of $870 to Trigger Long-term Bear Signal / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

That was another week we could have done without. Gold and gold stocks seem to be sitting on top of support levels. This next week just might be a very interesting week as far as telling us if the downside continues or if we may see a rise.

GOLD : LONG TERM
The long term P&F chart, shown in these commentaries a few weeks back, has now come back to the $885 level, where it rallied from earlier. However, a further drop to $870 will break below its up trend line and two previous lows to give us a long term BEAR signal. Should that happen the previous projections would become operative with an initial move to $840 and then on to $660. This new move, should it occur, would provide a further projection to $600, so we have potential projections all over the place, and all of them would be P&F valid IF gold should drop to the $870 level (based upon the June 2008 futures contract). Sounds ominous but let's see what the normal charts and indicators are telling us.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Global Food Crisis Investing Special / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe food riots across the world illustrate the degree to which the world is seeing a shift from cheap food to the early stages of a mega trend in the agricultural sectors that is set to continue for many years. This impact is not just limited to the developing world but people in the developed world have seen their food costs soar by as much as 50% over the last 12months.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Silver and Gold at Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst let me say the email response to my previous article "The Death of Gold?" was unanimous - everyone disagreed with me. Whether that is a contrarian sell signal I do not know. I hope to follow up that article but since I mainly write about silver, allow me a few comments on the silver situation. The chart below sums it up I think - we are at a critical juncture for silver. Indeed the situation is so precarious; a resolution either way may already be underway by the time you read this article.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Gold and Silver Fall Out of Favor / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Morgan

It seems many once notable gold and silver bugs have abandoned the precious for what? In these uncertain financial times selling precious metals may look wise in the short term but what investment class is doing better? It appears the U.S. dollar is going to swim against the main downward forces and stage a counter trend rally through perhaps the summer and that may just be the opportunity that savvy precious metals investors are looking for to accumulate.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

Should Gold Investors Worry on Dip Below $900 on Dollar Strength? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen in doubt….Fundamentals - There appears to be a need for reassurance right now. A three-day rally in the Dollar has sent Gold below $900/oz. and Silver below $17/oz. There are whispers of currency market intervention, gold market intervention and talk of a Dollar rally. Rest assured, any rally will be a countertrend rally, most likely brief, and mean almost nothing in the grand scheme of things. Ironically, history suggests that the Dollar will rally, based on the unavoidable fact that we are now in a recession. I believe that history will rhyme, but not repeat. The fundamentals to support a sustained Dollar rally simply are not there. Moreover at a fundamental level, nothing has changed. Let's review the major themes and check our scorecard.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

Crude Oil Bull Market is Sustainable Due to Supply Fundamentals / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCrude oil is one of the hottest commodities on the planet these days. Almost without respite, it has surged 16% in April alone! It closed at new all-time record highs on 8 of the past 11 trading days. Pushing $120 per barrel now, the fabled $100 price point that the markets feared for so many years now seems modest.

Commodities bulls have been long oil and oil stocks for many years now, so oil's strength isn't too surprising. Naturally we attribute its powerful advance to a global supply and demand imbalance. Oil demand is simply growing a lot faster than oil supply, so higher prices are the only way to retard demand and accelerate production until a new equilibrium price is reached.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

US Hot Dry Summer Forecast Bullish for Energy and Agricultural Investments / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeveral of the sectors we are invested in are extremely weather dependent. The fortunes of the firms in these sectors will hinge to some extent on weather conditions 3-6 months in the future. Firms operating in the agriculture sector are the obvious ones that will be impacted by weather conditions. Less obvious is the impact weather has on the natural gas sector.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

Gold Falls to Test Strong Support at $875 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold was down $19.40 to $886.80 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 50 cents to $16.66 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $883.50, £446.51 and €566.38 (from $900.75 £455.85 and €572.09 yesterday).

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

Crude Oil Heading for $134 During 2008 Despite Near-term Weakness / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThursday's downward trading of oil brought some relief to the equity markets. Don't expect the decline to last. Technical models are indicating short-term downward pressure until the end of April. As May unfolds, increasing upward pressure should return. The first level of support is at $110 followed by solid support at $100.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Plunging Resource Supplies Results in Soaring Profits / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Yiannis_G_Mostrous

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe most powerful stories in fiction, as well as in investing, have always been simple: love, hate and war for the former; demand, supply and basic needs for the latter. And no story fits the bill better than food and agriculture, for which demand is ever present.

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