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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

How Will the Oil Market Drive Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The oil price rose to $139 on Friday and looked like it was 'spiking' to over $150. But is it? That's a rise of 44% this year. A great deal more than technical chart pointers will be needed to understand where oil, food, gold and silver are headed in this environment. If this is the time when consumer and investor demand will rise beyond supply's ability to provide enough, then this is not a 'spike' but a structural change in the market. It will produce a systemic crisis that has to be resolved in collaboration by the world's governments. Are they capable of such cooperation? The prospect of $200 oil then comes into view.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

Energy Stocks that Will Profit from Widening of the Crude Oil Crack Spread / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Keith_Fitz-Gerald

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere at Money Morning over the past six months, we've talked a great deal about oil and gasoline prices. We've offered our predictions about how high those prices were going , and have detailed a number of investment opportunities - chosen as much for their margins of safety as for their profit potential.

This time we're going to detail three energy stocks with the potential for double-digit - or even triple-digit - profit gains. Admittedly, these are longer-shot, speculative plays. But we used a special energy indicator to help ferret out these energy plays.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

Gold Rallies on US May 4.2% CPI Inflation  / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES rallied into the US opening on Friday, bouncing from their second dip below $860 per ounce on news that US consumer-price inflation rose to 4.2% in May.

Crude oil and the Euro held flat, meantime, while Asian stock markets closed out their worst week since the global banking crisis began in summer '07.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

Gold Sell off Despite Building Inflationary Pressures / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $869.50 in New York and was down $10.50 and silver closed at $16.48 down 29 cents. Gold rallied initially in Asia but has subsequently given up those gains and has fallen in Asia overnight and in early European trading this morning.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

The Treasury Yield Curve and the Gold Bull Market Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome very confusing factors are at work relating to the US Treasury Bond market and the gold market. To assume that gold will rise in knee jerk fashion in response to the gargantuan grotesque growth in monetary inflation (aka US$ money supply) is simply naïve for the public and amateurish for professionals. Never in the US history has more confusion reigned within the body financial. This is to be expected, since the US banking system is insolvent, in parallel to the US housing landscape being increasingly insolvent. The nation must soon make difficult decisions on rebuilding the United States , its infrastructure, its energy supply industry, and put down its military weapons used abroad. Some strange effects are detectable regarding the US Treasury yield curve changes in recent weeks.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Elliott Wave Analysis of Crude OIl and the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Dan_Stinson


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD has completed a leading diagonal and is currently in a wave (2) correction. The current wave up is close to completion and we should see one more wave down to complete wave (2) down. Once this wave down completes, we should see a strong rally in wave (3) up.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Nothing Sweet About Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne thing that I have noticed whenever I publish an article on gold that concludes with a bearish outlook, it tends to be followed by an healthy email response usually informing me that I am completely wrong and that gold is destined to travel to the moon. No other market analysis generates such a response. This clearly signals to me that many, many investors are over weighted in the gold and precious metals which in itself is a warning sign of an imminent peak.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Crude Oil Rising, Clean Energy Reversing? / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen I look at the daily chart of crude oil, now it appears that a new upleg is in progress with a target of ... $150? ... $160? ... who knows? What is really interesting to me now is the potential geopolitical connections that could be the underlying reasons why crude just never sustains lower prices for very long.

It seems to me from what I have been reading that the three leaders around the globe who are in trouble are Bush, Olmert, and Ahmadinejad. And all three could be looking at confrontation as a way to save their presidencies, and/or to try to ensure that their political party remains in office. Confrontation?

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Gold Sinks to 5-Week Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES slid yet again overnight on Thursday, giving back all of yesterday's 1.9% rally to reach fresh one-month lows below $862 per ounce as Western stock markets rallied, led by beaten-down banking shares.

Bond prices slipped, pushing interest rates higher. The Dollar rose sharply on the forex market. Crude oil and commodity prices fell.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Oil Bull Market: It's Not Too Late to Profit! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: Being bullish (or bearish) on a market should not mean being blind. For instance, I've been forecasting sharply higher oil prices ever since I turned bullish way back in 2001. And I am still bullish. But I also keep my eyes wide open for anything that might get in the way of oil's bull market.

I often step back in order to make sure I'm not overly influenced by greed and fear, which are the dominant emotions on Wall Street. This is critically important when a market gets as euphoric as oil is today.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Gold Stocks - the Rumbling Volcano About to Explode! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRising inflationary expectations keep money exiting the faltering stock markets away from their designer-made "safe havens" - government bonds. The result will be a powerful breakout of the precious metals and their mining shares.

The time for gold stocks to regain their old leverage over gold and ratchet up into their next higher orbit is very near, even though at the moment it may not look that way. Here are the reasons why:

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Gold Remains the Fringe Preserve of the Smart Money / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $881.00 in New York and was up $13.20 and silver closed at $16.84 up 27 cents. Gold has subsequently given up some of yesterday gains and has fallen in Asia overnight and in early European trading this morning.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Forced Commodity Long-term Investment liquidations Coming? / Commodities / Government Intervention

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe CFTC is looking at changing commodity rules to force big funds to disgorge multi thousand contracts positions.

The CFTC stated the commodity markets are not geared to have big funds sitting on long term positions of thousands of commodity contracts for long periods for foods and so on.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

A Primer on the Silver Basis- Putting Loin-Cloth On The Naked Bogeyman / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI started writing this piece as the sub-prime crisis was unfolding. I wanted to establish the connection between the silver basis and the budding banking crisis caused by phony bond insurance schemes and the lack of hedging irredeemable dollar debt with metal holdings. My original title was Putting Clothes on the Naked Bogeyman . As writing progressed I realized that it would take more than one article to dress up the bogeyman; hence the revised title.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

US / China Trade Imbalance Driving Dollar Lower and Gold Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...Take a gun-boat and 1,200 tonnes of opium, and America could close its trade gap with China tomorrow..."

DO DEFICITS MATTER? Right around the time that English missionaries produced the first Bible in Chinese, the British Empire found itself with a trickier kind of translation problem.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

An Historic Year for Gold... June 2007 to May 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Michael_J_Kosares

July, June, August 2007

  • Subprime crisis hits media, discovered to be global
  • World central banks inject billions to save financial system

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Oil Crisis Set to Worsen as Crude Oil Exports Decline / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn ancient times, when mapmakers came to uncharted territory, they would scrawl: "Here There Be Dragons."

Flash-forward to the 21st Century; oil markets went into uncharted territory on the charts last week. Friday's dramatic spike up was the biggest one-day move EVER. Morgan Stanley now predicts that oil prices could hit $150 per barrel by the 4th of July.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Gold Back to $1,000 on ECB Inflation Busting Interest Rate Rising Plan / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES ticked higher in London trade early Wednesday, recovering 1.3% from yesterday's one-week low as crude oil jumped back to $133 per barrel.

Asian equities were mixed after the US Dollar retreated from a new 15-week high against the Japanese Yen above ¥107.70.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

World Only One Crop Failure Away From Grain Shortage / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors are still adapting to the world of investing in commodities. In the world of paper equities, news is often important. A new phone is indeed actionable information that markets should discount. Investors have become accustomed to trading stocks based on such bits of news. However, they have not yet learned to discern news noise from real news on commodities. Agri-Foods have a seasonality to both availability and prices. That seasonality arises because of the planting and harvesting cycle. In between, comes the weather which often makes difficult the forecasting of supply.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Gold Slides as Dollar Bounces on Bernanke's New "Strong Dollar" Policy / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL BULLION slid further in Asia and London on Tuesday, losing half of the Gold Market 's bounce from last Thursday's three-week low after Ben Bernanke – chairman of the US Federal Reserve – repeated his claim of wanting to fight inflation.

Base metal and food prices sank, while crude oil dropped another 0.5% to trade more than $5 below Friday's All-Time Record Oil Price .

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