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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, August 12, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Bernanke the Maestro / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“The credit crunch panic has worked to the benefit of the metals and those who own them, but blindly relying on this to continue without any sort of correction is a risky bet. Another successful retest of the 5-week moving average, currently below $670, would further solidify the strength of the current uptrend.

“The Fed will attempt to placate what is approaching outright panic in some circles and will feel compelled to amend the language of its statement, but ... will resist an outright rate cut for as long as possible, though it will very likely continue quietly expanding bank reserves to mitigate damage to the system and spur liquidity.” ~ Precious Points: Tough Love from Bernanke and Co? , August 5, 2007

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Commodities

Sunday, August 12, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 12th August 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

You'll sleep better at nights if you just focused on the intermediate or longer term trends. As an example, both moving averages of gold remained positive as did the price momentum indicator. Not yet time to panic from the perspective of these time periods.

GOLD : LONG TERM

Despite the volatility in the price action the long term P&F chart has not moved. I'll forgo any analysis of the P&F chart this week. You can go to last week\s commentary which remains unchanged.

As for the normal indicators, these have also changed very little. Gold is still above its long term moving average line and the line is still slightly pointing upwards. Price momentum is still in its positive zone but has been showing weakness versus price action for some time. The volume indicator remains below its trigger line and the trigger is still sloping downward. The volume indicator is the one indicator that has gone negative and has been negative for most of the past few months.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 11, 2007

The Aborted Plan to Sell Italian Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Sales of gold by European Central Banks are primarily for the adjustment of national reserves in terms of structure or size. They are not intended under the rules of the European Union, intended to pay the bills of the governments of Europe, so when the subject came up, after a consistent record of the Bank of Italy's refusal to even contemplate the sale of the country's gold reserves, everyone was surprised. The reality was suddenly the government of Italy wanted to put their hand into the country's coffers in an exercise that would never have solved the country's debt problems. 

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Commodities

Friday, August 10, 2007

Volatility in the Commodities Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Aden_Forecast

The commodity markets were bubbling this past month. Oil, lead, wheat and the CRB index closed at record highs and tin reached an 18 year high, driven by China 's fastest growth since 1994.

Volatility then set in as the subprime woes affected the commodity markets, but China and the world's demand for raw materials is the key to the ongoing bull market rises. Double-digit growth in China and a global economic boom of unprecedented proportions will continue to support the base metals, raw materials and precious metals for years to come.

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Commodities

Friday, August 10, 2007

HUI Gold Stock Index and Stock Market Bears / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Zeal_LLC

The turbulent financial markets of the past few weeks have certainly been exciting, a welcome respite from the usual lackluster summer doldrums. But whenever volatility increases, especially after a long period of time lacking it, long-latent fears of investors and speculators flare brightly.

The small subset of investors and speculators trading precious-metals stocks has certainly not been immune from this growing unease. On some of the more intense selling days lately in the general stock markets, the HUI gold-stock index fell far more than the flagship S&P 500. This suggests PM-stock traders' fears are spiraling higher even faster than those of the mainstream traders.

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Commodities

Friday, August 10, 2007

Technical Analysis Report on 68 Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

As per the title, I completed a 71 page report on 68 gold stocks. If you go to my home page, http://www.trendsman.com you can buy this report for the economical sum of $40. Each stock has a chart and a paragraph analysis of its six to 18 month technical outlook. With that shameless promotion out of the way let's get to some analysis of gold and the gold stocks.

This lengthy update gives a lengthier look at gold and the gold stocks. Say a one to two year outlook.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

The Race for Arctic OIl, Gas and Metal Resources / Commodities / Arctic Resources

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: A lot of people are going to the Arctic these days.

The U.S. is sending an icebreaker there to help expand its territorial claim … Canada is planning on building as many as eight armed patrol ships and a deep water port to reassert its sovereignty over Arctic territory … and last week, Russian explorers planted a national flag on the seabed under the North Pole.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

Silver Stocks SSRI and PASS Buck the Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Bob_Kirtley

Silver prices have risen moderately in recent trading and yet many silver stocks are falling.

Two of our silver stocks are bucking the trend in silver stocks, rising nearly 10% in the last few trading sessions. This is what we; as investors want to see, silver stocks that rise considerably when silver prices rise moderately. When silver prices rise considerably at the end of the summer, these silver stocks will lead the way to incredible gains.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

GOLD THOUGHTS - Rise of Gold Over Paper Equities Continues / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

As U.S. mortgage market infrastructure continues in collapse, era of paper assets is fading into history. Last week's chart showed that Gold has provided higher returns than paper assets over past ten years. Today's graph places situation in a longer term perspective. Era of real assets, personified by Gold, is early in a cyclical upswing. Good part is yet to come. Plotted is ratio of US$Gold to S&P 500. When rising, Gold is performing better than paper equities.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

Uranium Mining Stocks Grossly Under Perform Oil Stocks / Commodities / Uranium

By: Greg_Silberman

Uranium mining stocks once the darling of the resources sector have come off the boil. Is this a trend change or a pullback in a very overheated market?

Until recently the market has been going gaga over uranium mining stocks. Some say it was classic bubble syndrome. New floats were coming to market at huge premiums and non-resource companies were rebranding themselves as Uranium explorers.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

MPTrader - Gold's Sideways Pattern Should Resolve Itself to the Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The gold market in general, and the pattern that has developed in the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) recently is very interesting because neither the downward correction in equities nor the 10% plunge in crude oil prices since Aug. 1st has negatively impacted the precious metal.

Meanwhile, the dollar is under pressure vs. the Euro, which is sitting near its historical high, and has declined 6% vs. the Yen since late June... which probably deserves some credit for putting a floor under gold prices recently.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Metals and Mining Investing and Alternative Strategies / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Dudley_Baker

We are of the opinion, based upon our research and the opinions of numerous analysts we respect and follow, that an incredible move to the upside in the shares of natural resources is right around the corner. We may still have some work to do from a technical and timing standpoint for the next few weeks, but we suggest investors should be preparing for this event.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Silver Market Update - Gold Outperforming Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

The bullish arguments relating to silver are this week almost identical to those set out for gold in the Gold Market update, to which readers are referred , and it only remains to highlight the differences.

Gold has been outperforming silver all year to date, and although this could change anytime, there is no sign of it yet. A recent example is the fact that gold has broken clear out of the restraining “Distribution Dome” shown on its chart, whereas silver has only managed a marginal breakout above its dome pattern. Also, late last week, gold got close to its July high, which silver did not by a margin.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Gold Market Update - Crumbling Dollar Increases Chances of Successful Gold Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

The outlook for gold turned decidedly more bullish last week when it broke above the confines of its “Distribution Dome” for the second time in the space of as many weeks. This breakout, which is less likely to fail than the last one did, has once again put gold in position to break strongly above last year's highs, an event made more and more likely - some would say inevitable - by the crumbling dollar.

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Commodities

Monday, August 06, 2007

Gold Analysis “A Star Rises!” / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Take a look below at gold's Friday price action. Gold is so much like a spring. Every time it finds itself being pushed down it jumps right up again. What you are looking at below is the evidence of a true bull market in action.

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Commodities

Monday, August 06, 2007

2008 – 2012: A Critically Important Period - Migrating to New Energy Paradigms Part 4 / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Brian_Bloom

Preface - The benchmark against which I have been measuring the appropriateness of various alternative energies has been: “Does this particular technology offer the potential to represent a sensible replacement for oil across the planet within a decade? Alternatively: Can it replace coal within 25 years?” 

I am sensitive to the possibility that some readers may have been irritated by my apparently cavalier predisposition to dismiss various alternative energies which they may be favouring. In this context, let me clarify my position: I dismiss nothing out of hand. There is no insurmountable shortcoming of, for example, solar power or wind power. We should continue to embrace both. However, neither of these can (yet) generate sufficient energy to replace that generated by burning approximately 240 million equivalent barrels of oil a day; and neither will be capable of achieving this objective within either of the two deadlines.   The issue is “time” as this article will demonstrate. We do not have the luxury of time. We also do not have the luxury of making any serious strategic mistakes.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 05, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 5h August 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

And away we go. The plunge of the previous week is almost corrected – except for the volume. On the whole, speculators are still leery about this market so the up side is still not a done deal.

GOLD
I find so often that a quick glance at a long term P&F chart quickly tells us where we are in the scheme of things. With the daily ups and down of the gold market one can quite quickly get confused and frustrated wondering where we stand. The chart above tells us we are still in a long term bull market but below previous highs. Although bullish, we are moving laterally within that trend. We have two serious resistance levels to overcome before we can say that we are in a new raging bull market. Those resistance levels are the $690 and $720 levels (keeping in mind that with a $15 unit chart one needs $705 and $735 to breach these levels).

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Commodities

Sunday, August 05, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Tough Love from Bernanke and Co? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“The extension of the bull market in precious metals may very well still be preparing to get underway… The daily chart shows gold approaching oversold levels on the RSI and first support at the 200-day moving average…   An upward move faces overhead resistance at the 5-week moving average, about $664, and the 5-day average at $672. Silver… has a relative equilibrium point around which the white metal may remain bound until the fundamental undercurrents suggesting a new surge in metals are realized.” ~ Precious Points: Precious Mettle , July 28, 2007

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Commodities

Friday, August 03, 2007

MPTrader -Crude Oil Pressing Support Trendline / Commodities / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Right now the US Oil Trust (AMEX: USO) is down about $0.80 and pressing against its June-Aug support line at 56.80, which if broken should trigger downside acceleration towards the next key support plateau at 54.75-54.20. Such a move will represent a 40-45% downside traverse across the bullish price channel -- and a "natural" support area where we might expect weakness in the USO to find new buying interest.

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Commodities

Friday, August 03, 2007

Gold Forecaster A Step Towards a Structurally Higher Gold Price - U.S. Protectionism & Capital Controls / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

As the move to keeping what nations have already Protectionism is in full swing. This will inevitably disturb the currency world, who quite rightly will look to something that will protect them from the rising volatility in the currency markets alongside seeping confidence from the U.S $. This 'something' will include gold and gold investments. Both Protectionism and Capital Controls will enter the scene as this happens as testified to by history.

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