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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Gold: Is the US Interest Rate Cut Built In? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Bob_Kirtley

The consensus appears to be that the Federal Reserve will announce a rate cut at today's meeting of the FOMC. As gold bugs we expect this action to be negative for the US Dollar and therefore positive for gold, or is it?

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Commodities

Monday, September 17, 2007

Gold Safehaven as Northern Rock Potential Bust Impacts Financial Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold was trading at $710.30/710.80 an ounce as of 1215 GMT after last week's more than 1% price increase.

Gold has risen in Asia and early European trading and safe haven buying on Northern Rock and wider financial market jitters are likely to be supportive of the price despite gold looking slightly overbought in the short term.

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Commodities

Monday, September 17, 2007

Gold Strong on US Interest Rate Decision, Northern Rock Crash Continues / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Gold Trades at 16-Month High Ahead of US Interest Rates Decision, Investment Banking Results, Inflation Data and Northern Rock Bail-Out

GOLD PRICES ROSE throughout the Asian session on Monday, putting the Spot Gold Price above $712 per ounce at the start of London trade – its highest weekly start since May 2006.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Gold Top Forming, Bearish Nearterm Outlook - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, it's been a good upside run for gold these past few weeks but it is starting to look like a top and possible lower prices ahead.

GOLD PRICES
If one looks carefully one can spot slightly different prices for gold in various media and internet sites, all quoted as prices on the same day. One should remember that gold prices come from different sources. There is the London price. There is the Hong Kong price. There is the Sydney price. But the price I use for my data is the New York Mercantile Exchange price. Even here one has many choices. You could use the “Cash” price or you can use the prices for any one of several futures contract months. I like to use the source that has the most trading activity to obtain the best idea of where the professionals, traders, speculators and the like are operating with their money.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Crude Oil and Value of Technical Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Joseph_Russo

Before we get to our weekly briefing on the major market indices, we thought it appropriate to explore the following:

What value might traders and investors place on technical market analysis?

The answer depends upon a few basic variables.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Bullish Precious Metals, Crude Oil, and Gold Stocks / Commodities / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Robert_McHugh_PhD

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the Fed hyperinflates, sacrificing the Dollar to bail out a deteriorating economy, precious metals and Gold stocks are benefiting. Gold and the HUI are close to bullish breakouts.

Gold finished the Minor degree wave 3 of Intermediate degree 1 up on May 12th at $730.40. Gold 's Minor degree wave 4 is a Symmetrical Triangle , which is a consolidation pattern of the Minor degree wave 3 rally that started back in 2001 and extended into the May 12th, 2006 top. Waves a through e within wave 4 are complete. A break above $730 would confirm that the triangle is complete, and wave 5 up is underway, and would be a “buy” signal. We came close to that level this past week.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: Old Number 7 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“The weekly chart in the yellow metal shows a little more room to run as price rockets upward from the 5-week moving average. Though silver closed above the 50-day sma, the vibration around this level suggests it could be retested early next week, with $12.60-12.65 probably providing good support. A positive test would clear the path for $13.00, which should prove formidable.” ~ Precious Points: Sustainable Growth? , September 9, 2007

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Investing in Liquid Natural Gas as the Next Energy Growth Story / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Elliot_H_Gue

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBudapest , Hungary - Cruising along the Danube River in central Europe this week, I've passed through several rapidly growing economies in the former Eastern Bloc, including Hungary and Slovakia.

Having visited Eastern Europe on several occasions in the past decade, it's amazing to see just how modern and developed these countries are becoming. Consumers now walk the streets chatting on mobile phones and sporting the latest Italian fashion just as in the big Western European capitals. Meanwhile, prime real estate in the center of a major capital like Budapest or Prague has seen dramatic price inflation in recent years, with property prices now approaching the levels of some US and European cities.

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Commodities

Friday, September 14, 2007

HUI Gold Bugs Index Upleg Cycles / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRemember the brutal first hour of trading on August 16th? That was the fateful day when a mini-panic ripped through gold stocks like a tornado. The HUI plunged 10% in the first hour of trading and some high-potential smaller gold stocks plummeted over 25%! For leveraged PM-stock speculators, it felt like Armageddon.

Sentiment that morning was about as bad as it has ever been in this precious-metals bull. Gold and silver miners were loathed and calls for much deeper lows abounded. Yet just 15 trading days later, gold powered above $700 for the first time since May 2006. This gold breakout drove a strong PM-stock surge and the HUI quickly shot above its pre-August-mini-panic levels.

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Commodities

Friday, September 14, 2007

Gold Continues to Consolidate After Recent Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold was trading at $706.00/706.50 an ounce as of 1215 GMT after yesterday's 0.5% price decrease.

As anticipated, gold has continued to consolidate after its recent price surge. None of the fundamental factors which led to gold's recent price surge have gone away. Oil and the dollar remain near record highs and lows respectively. The U.S. dollar is trading at 79.61 at 1200 GMT and has clearly broken down below massive long term support at 80. It is now in uncharted territory technically and with the FOMC meeting next Tuesday expected to result in a drop of at least 25 basis points, the USD looks likely to remain under serious selling pressure.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Free Access to Premium Elliott Wave Commodity Forecasting Resources / Commodities / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Sarah_Jones

We have great news from our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) … a FreeWeek of EWI's Commodity Forecasts is live until Wednesday, September 19 at noon EDT!

If you've participated in one of their FreeWeeks before, you know what to expect. If this is your first time, you're in for quite a treat!

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Commodities

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Gold Bull Market Exploding Higher! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: The spot price of gold has just hit $716. In the futures market, the December contract reached as high as $723.50.

But no matter how you measure it, the precious yellow metal — the ultimate form of money — has blasted through its recent highs … catapulted above the $700 barrier … and is now clearing a path that could take it virtually straight to $1,000 an ounce.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Commodity Markets Update - Gold Takes a Breather From Recent Price Surge / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold was trading at $706.00/706.50 an ounce as of 1215 GMT after yesterday's 1.5% price increase.

Gold has been taking a well earned breather after its recent price surge. However, given that the dollar remains under serious pressure and oil remains near all time record highs and neither are expected to reverse these trends in any significant way, gold is well supported. With the record oil price, surging wheat price and an increasing realisation that there is a long term structural trend toward higher soft commodity and food prices while economic growth is stagnating, it is obvious that a new form of stagflation is rearing it's ugly head.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Gold Warning - Gold's Credit Crunch Dilemma / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Brian_Bloom

The following two charts (both 3% X 3 box reversal charts speak louder than words.

The first chart is that of the $XAU. It has given a low pole reversal (bullish) signal, but is still, technically, in a bear trend.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Gold Dips to $705 but "Only Needs One Buyer to Start the Race Higher" / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES slipped to a two-day low in London on Thursday morning, dropping more than $7 per ounce to bounce off $705.20.

"We've seen quite an astonishing move up," said Frederic Panizzutti of the Swiss refinery MKS Finance to Bloomberg earlier. He believes it's led to "several waves" of selling as investors take quick gains.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Macro Musings: Crude Oil and Gold Commodity Milestones / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have the ability to imagine configurations of the world different from today, and really believe it can happen.
-- legendary hedge fund manager Bruce Kovner

TODAY WE MUSE on gold, but the discussion begins with oil. (With crude hitting nominal contract highs and the yellow metal besting 16-month highs, it seems appropriate to combine the two.)

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Gold Is Breaking Out as It Disconnects from the Stock Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFour charts speak volumes, with only a few words to serve as captions. Ever since the lousy August Jobs Report came out (doctored to look better than the real situation), the gold picture has experienced a sea change. Gold is breaking out, not yet to new highs, but that is next. The gold price is not moving reasons offered in explanations. Anchors and interviewed guests fall short of adequate assessment. At the same time, denials persist on the huge damage to be doled out by the USDollar decline, as another round of systemic cost inflation will ensue. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Gold Overbought - FOMC Interest Rate Cut Meeting Could Result in Short-term Selling / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

U.S. trade deficit on goods and services for last month was reported as $59 billion. For another month $59+ billion of green paper was exported by the U.S. During same period central banks reduced their holdings of U.S. debt by $30+ billion. Those values, when taken together, mean that around the world $90 billion of green paper was sold, or not not bought, by central banks. Little wonder U.S. dollar has rediscovered downward path and Gold has risen. Just as business media was proclaiming Gold an unwise investment, the price rose to above US$700. Any interest rate cut in the U.S. will only add encouragement to dollar's demise, and initiate next wave in Gold Super Cycle.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Grain Bull Market - The Cartel in Your Cupboard / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes :Russia has asked Australia (among others) to join a group of grain-exporting nations that would seek to regulate production, much as OPEC regulates the production of crude oil.

An OPEC of grain sounds a bit odd. Visions of sheiks riding camels through Kansas wheat fields immediately come to mind. But Russia knows there is a lot of money to be made from grains. Fortunately, if you make the right moves, you also stand to reap profits as high as an elephant's eye.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Gold Hits New 16-Month High vs. Dollars and Sterling ; London Press Fails to Notice / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES touched a fresh 16-month high in London early on Wednesday, but slipped $3 per ounce to trade at $711.29 as the US open drew near.

The AM Fix came in at $711.75 per ounce, the highest London Fix since 17th May 2006 .

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