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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, August 30, 2008

Gold Sale Spurs Manipulation Talk / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Shedlock

MarketWatch is reporting Gold Sale Spurs Manipulation Talk
Recent heat from Congress and regulators, along with public speculation, over whether commodity prices are being manipulated has also reached gold pits, where the debate was stirred by a surge in bets last month that gold prices would fall.

"Congress is already investigating allegations of manipulation in the oil market, and it seems likely that it is only a matter of time before a similar investigation will be required in the precious metal markets," said Mark O'Byrne, executive director at Gold and Silver Investment.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gold Bull Market Confusion Presents a Golden Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou know there is something wrong when financial commentators are forced into being weathermen. During the better part of this new century, we have dealt with tightness in oil supplies and dire warnings of woe that would befall us should a hurricane get loose in the Gulf of Mexico . During this same period, we have been bombarded by higher costs across the full spectrum of items that are considered to be staples of living the in United States . Yet officials and media pundits have stubbornly insisted that inflation is ‘contained' or recently that it ‘will cool next year'.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Total War on Private Wealth: Operation Meltdown Part II / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePart I, "...The 'total war' of the 20th century first required a 'total war' on freely held private wealth..."

IT SEEMS AN ODD QUIRK of history that Washington 's post-War obsession with its nationalized gold reserves – an obsession which Ian Fleming neatly tapped into with Goldfinger in 1959 – came so long after what historians call the "classical" Gold Standard ended.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gold Bull Market Set to Resume on Strong Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the precious metals summer doldrums come to a close, we need to assess the damage from another season of gold hatred and disdain. Like déjà vu for veteran gold investors, the mainstream financial media took advantage of gold's seasonal weakness to proclaim the death of the Ancient Metal of Kings.

From a technical perspective gold's summer activity indeed gave the naysayers fodder to jump on the “End of the Gold Bull!” and “Gold's Bubble has Burst!” bandwagons. Gold's $190 plunge from mid-July to mid-August saw it knife through a number of key support levels. This caused blood to flow in the streets even for the gold faithful.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gold Registers Near 10% Drop for August / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD reversed an earlier 1% drop as the Wall Street opening approached on Friday, touching $838 an ounce as Asian stock markets ended the month 3% lower and government bond prices rose.

Up $15 from last Friday, gold prices were heading for their second week-on-week gain. But they remained at an 8% discount to the close of July.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gold Flat lines Despite Russian Threats to Cut Europe's Oil and Gas / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold has flat lined and is marginally higher this morning with the dollar marginally lower and oil marginally higher on continuing concerns about the possible impact of tropical storm Gustav.

Gold has been gradually edging higher for the last two weeks and appears to be ready to rally in the seasonally strong autumn months due to the strong fundamentals. Especially given deepening concerns regarding the global economy, heightened geopolitical risk on increasing tensions in Russia and the continuing supply demand issues in the physical bullion market.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Commodities Bull Market Sill in Tact / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Aden_Forecast

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe markets have been extremely volatile over the past few weeks. Investors have been spooked and many are wondering what to do, if anything.

For now, based on our analysis, gold's bull market remains in force. That's the bottom line. Even though there have been some wild swings, the major trend is still up and as long as that's the case, we recommend holding your positions.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

No Smoking Gun on Silver Price Supression Conspiracy / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe amount of hate email I have been receiving in response to The Great Gold, Silver Conspiracy Explained is large but not unsurprising. People simply want to blame others for their own trading mistakes. I will have more on that in a separate post.

Most of the emails I received are unprintable because of the profanity. However I will print one of them anyway with slight edits. I will voluntarily withhold the name of the person writing although no such request was asked.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Gold Rallys Towards Resistance at $846 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD BULLION rose yet again in London on Thursday, touching $840 an ounce just ahead of the Wall Street open and recovering almost one-third of the 21% plunge witnessed since mid-July.

" Gold is still capped by the big resistance at $846," reckons Peter Tse at Scotia Mocatta in Hong Kong , speaking earlier to Reuters.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

UBS Unprecedented Physical Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Dollar weakness, firm oil and continuing tension in the Caucasus are leading to gold remaining well bid this morning. Warnings from Nato to Russia to stay out of Ukraine and calls for the European Union to be ready for “hard headed engagement” with Moscow are not doing much to help confidence in already nervous markets.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

The Great Gold, Silver Price Manipulation Conspiracy Explained / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold and silver prices have crashed. Ted Butler, Rob Kirby, James Conrad and others are all blaming manipulation. Let's take a look at those manipulation theories starting with Ted Butler.

Lessons of a Lifetime
Here are a few excerpts from Ted Butler's Lessons of a Lifetime .
The drastic sell-off in silver (and gold) is further proof of an ongoing manipulation to the downside.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Natural Gas Constructive Bullish Pattern / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Purely from a technical perspective, U.S. Natural Gas Fund (AMEX: UNG) weakness after its pre-open high at 41.00 to 38.91 represents a "gap-filling" expedition"' -- at least, so far. The fact that selling pressure filled the entire up-gap this morning and then buyers re-emerged to push up prices to 39.62, as we speak, warns us that the action is a correction within an underlying advance off of Monday's low at 35.67. As of this moment, the UNG pattern remains constructive within the overriding bullish potential indicated by hurricane Gustav.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

The Real Silver Price Based on Paper or Silver Bullion? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOnce-upon-a-time, in ‘never-never' land, there were two competing silver prices. These two silver prices were at loggerheads with each other. Every time the ‘real' silver price began to rise, a ‘paper' silver price would show up in large quantities and scare some of the holders of real silver to dump and run.

Silver miners and coin dealers with ‘real silver' in inventory, instead of being organized, and using supply and demand to determine the price of silver, would look at a computer screen, check to see what ‘paper silver' was doing and meekly accept that as the price at which to sell silver.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Fannie and Freddie Failure Would be Catastrophic for Global Financial System / Commodities / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York on Friday at $819.30, down $7.60 and silver was down 14 cents to $13.36. Gold and silver traded sideways in Asian trading prior to a sell off in early European trading this morning. Gold is trading at $811.30/811.70 per ounce (1030 GMT).

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

U.S. Mint Rations Gold Eagle Coins / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: John_Lee

The U.S. Mint announced Monday that it would resume taking orders of American Eagle coins on a limited basis after last week's sales suspension. At this very moment in time, orders on gold coins are taking weeks or even months to fill. From

Reuters' report (full version available here ):

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Gold Heading for a Lower Low? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“Bull or bear, call it what you will, the fate of precious metals seems to rest with the U.S. and European economies and the extent to which the monetary base will have to be inflated to prevent a deflationary spiral. The rally off the July 15 lows in stocks has shown the market tends to overreact in these situations. And in this case, the cause for the selloff is rather tenuous at best, and based on some uncertain assumptions.” ~ Precious Points: Bye-bye Bull? August 15, 2008

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Holiday Season Stocks and Commodities Trading / Commodities / Financial Markets

By: Dominick

The low volumes and relatively low volatility posted over the last several days is proof that many traders are on vacation, or at least biding their time before getting back into the market, whichever side they might choose. And even though I personally took some time off to move my oldest child to college, the closest I've come to a vacation in the last three years, that didn't stop TTC members from getting accurate and timely charts and taking some profits out of the humdrum summer market.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

How Richard Nixon "Goldfingered" the World: Operation Melt Down, Part I / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFear, Mr. Bond, takes gold out of circulation and hoards it against the evil day. In a period of history when every tomorrow may be the evil day, it is fair to say that a fat proportion of the gold dug out of one corner of the earth is at once buried again in another corner...– Ian Fleming's Goldfinger (1959)

FIFTY YEARS AGO – just as the fictional 007 was thwarting Auric Goldfinger's plan to empty Fort Knox and take America's gold to Soviet Moscow – the US Treasury feared a very genuine loss of its real gold reserves.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Gold Bounce from Oversold Levels / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Gold was basically in a bounce mode this past week but unfortunately closed on the down side on Friday. It needs a lot more upside activity or lateral strength building to prove that it is back on a roll.

GOLD - LONG TERM : Although the week was somewhat positive nothing from the long term has changed. The message of the P&F chart has remained as shown last week although we now have a column of 4 Xs.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Trading Gold Silver Arbitrage / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Morgan

In economics and finance, arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of a price differential between two or more markets: striking a combination of matching deals that capitalize upon the imbalance, the profit being the difference between the market prices. When used by academics, an arbitrage is a transaction that involves no negative cash flow at any probabilistic or temporal state and a positive cash flow in at least one state; in simple terms, a risk-free profit. An entity such as a bank or brokerage firm that engages in arbitrage is called an arbitrageur. The term is mainly applied to trading in financial instruments, such as bonds, stocks, derivatives, commodities, and currencies. (Source Wikipedia.)

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