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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, July 12, 2019

Gold Price Selloff Risk High / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold surged dramatically in recent weeks, powering higher to a decisive bull-market breakout.  Gold’s first major secular highs in years have really improved sentiment, with bullishness mounting.  But gold-futures buying fuel is largely exhausted, after the colossal amount expended to catapult gold back over $1400.  That leaves this metal at high risk of suffering a major selloff, a healthy correction in an ongoing bull market.

Even the most-powerful bull markets flow and ebb, taking two steps forward before one step back.  Gold is certainly no exception.  At best in late June, its current bull extended to modest 35.4% gains over 3.5 years.  Those weren’t linear, the path to gold’s recent breakout high was quite volatile.  It included a 29.9% upleg, a 17.3% correction, a 20.4% upleg, a 13.6% correction, and today’s upleg running 21.2% at best.

This alternating repeating bull-market pattern is simple, uplegs are inevitably followed by material selloffs often extending into correction territory.  Periodic corrections are essential to keep bulls healthy, working off the excessive greed that builds as uplegs peak.  That risks sucking in too much capital too soon, prematurely burning out bulls.  Corrections rebalance sentiment, bleeding away greed to extend bulls’ longevity.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, July 12, 2019

Silver Price Very Long-term / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Gary_Tanashian

Just for fun because I am a chart guy who all too often bores you (and me) to death with ratio and indicator charts and all too seldom makes charts just for the fun of it anymore…

So this long-term silver chart is just for the fun of it. What do we have here?

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Commodities

Friday, July 12, 2019

Powell Testimony Propels Gold Above $1,400 - the Countdown to July’s FOMC Is On / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Hot Wednesday is behind us. We had both the Powell’s testimony to the Congress and the released minutes from the latest FOMC meeting. The biggest yesterday’s winner is clearly gold. If you would like to know why – and what situation the yellow metal is in currently – we invite you to read our today’s article!

Powell Fails to Push Back Against Market Expectations of Rate Cut in July

What a day! Gold is back above $1,400, as one can see in the chart below. What happened exactly?

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Platinum Price vs Gold Price / Commodities / Platinum

By: Submissions

Platinum has not been this cheap vs. gold since 1907 AD.

In other words, in over 110 years, we have not seen platinum values slump this far versus gold.

Here at SD Bullion, we have covered Platinum fundamental investment factors as well as information about supply-demand factors at play today.

South Africa is the major miner of platinum ore in the world, accounting for about 70% of all new line platinum annually.

But given that we often have bullion sales on Platinum coins and Platinum bars.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Predictive Modeling Suggest Oil Price Headed Much Lower / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil will likely continue to find resistance near $64 as a price ceiling and trend lower over the next 3 to 5 months – eventually breaking below the $40 price level near the end of 2019 or in early 2020.

Our research team believes this move could very well be contingent on a continued decline in global economic activity as well as our research suggesting that global currencies could be setting up for a breakdown event. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Mining Stocks Flash Powerful Signal for Gold and Silver Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: MoneyMetals

The second half of the year is setting up favorably for the precious metals sector, which was led in the first half by gold and gold mining stocks.

Of course, the Wall Street-beholden financial media is largely ignoring metals and mining – preferring instead to give celebratory coverage to every move toward new highs in the Dow and S&P 500.

“The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 7.2% this month [June], notching its best June performance since 1938,” CNBC reported. “The S&P 500 posted its best first half of a year since 1997, soaring 17.3% and reaching an all-time high.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Gold Price Gann Angle Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: readtheticker

Charts show us the golden brick road to high prices.

GLD Gann Angle has been working since 2016. Higher prices are expected. Who would say anything different, and why and how?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Crude Oil Prices and the 2019 Hurricane Season / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted a near-normal 2019 hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

But, the season got off to an early start with the short-lived sub-tropical storm Andrea on May 20.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Can Gold Recover from Friday’s Strong Payrolls Hit? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

And here we go again. Gold slipped below $1,400 per ounce. This is where it fell after stronger-than-expected June Employment Report. How does that key piece of economic data play into the market’s rate cuts expectations? And how does it all impact gold?

June Payrolls Surpass Expectations

The U.S. created 224,000 jobs in June, following a disappointing increase of 72,000 in May (after a downward revision). The number surprised positively, as the economists polled by the MarketWatch forecasted 170,000 created jobs. The gains in hiring last month were widespread, but with a leading role of education and health services (+61,000) and professional and business services (+51,000). Only retail trade and mining cut jobs.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

The Phony Wealth Effect and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss what real wealth is and if financial assets should be considered real wealth. Our contention is that gold is real wealth. Gold is its own final settlement and no one else's liability. What this means is simply that gold stands for itself, it does not depend upon the faith and good credit of any other person or thing...it is universally accepted as final settlement. It has been so for thousands of years.

And in these days of radical central bank policies, gold has no central bank to control its issuance or its value. Its value is determined by those who wish to exchange it for other valuable things. Its issuance is established by the fact that it is rare and difficult to extract.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Gold Price June Upturn Separates 2019 from the Pack / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Michael_J_Kosares

The summer months historically present a buying opportunity in precious metals as illustrated in the charts shown below. In the past, there has been a clear change of direction in sentiment annually from the 185-195 day mark – midway in the year. So far this summer, though, gold has broken with tradition by turning in a strong June, as shown in the third chart.

“Gold trading usually gives pundits, dealers, and investors a break at some point over the summer,” observes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. “But like 2007, 2008, 2009, 2011 and 2016…this year is proving no time to take your eye off the market. And if 2019 is going to see an old skool summer lull in gold trading, it won’t feel much like a discount up at these prices.” With a range of economic and geopolitical issues preying on investor psychology – particularly at the funds and institutions that have fueled the upside this year – the summer of 2019 might go down as one of those years when we bypass the annual slowdown. Last year, gold hit a low of $1178 in mid-August. By December 31st, it was trading at the $1280 mark.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2019

Gold - Silver Ratio / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Gold-Silver ratio is trading at an historic extreme of 90.31, at a level not seen for over 25 years. In comparison the historic average is 50 which on the current Gold price of $1330 would have the Silver price trading at $26.60. Which just goes to show how much of a coiled spring Silver tends to be as it eventually tends to swing sharply in the other direction at mania peaks.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, July 07, 2019

Record-Long Economic Expansion and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Ladies and Gentlemen, it has finally happened! The current expansion already goes on for 121 months, becoming the longest economic boom in the US history. Should we celebrate now? Or should we worry, as all good things come to an end, and whatever lasts long, ends up even faster? We invite you to read our today’s article, which assesses the vitality of the current expansion, and find out whether the U.S. economy in a good shape or on the edge of collapse, and what all of this implies for the gold market.

Ladies and Gentlemen, it has finally happened! The current expansion already goes on for 121 months, which means that the previous record of 120 months is now history. Thus, it has become the longest economic boom in the U.S. history. Should we celebrate now? Or should we worry, as all good things come to an end, and whatever lasts long, ends up even faster? Is the U.S. economy in a good shape or on the edge of collapse? Let’s make an assessment!

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2019

Gold’s Summer Doldrums? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s incredible strength this summer is very unusual, as early summers are the weakest times of the year seasonally for gold, silver, and their miners’ stocks.  With traders’ attention diverted to vacations and summer fun, interest in and demand for precious metals normally wane.  So this entire sector tends to suffer a seasonal lull, along with the general markets.  This June’s bull-market breakout is a momentous anomaly.

This doldrums term is very apt for gold’s usual summer predicament.  It describes a zone in the world’s oceans surrounding the equator.  There hot air is constantly rising, creating long-lived low-pressure areas.  They are often calm, with little or no prevailing winds.  History is full of accounts of sailing ships getting trapped in this zone for days or weeks, unable to make headway.  The doldrums were murder on ships’ morale.

Crews had no idea when the winds would pick up again, while they continued burning through their limited stores of food and drink.  Without moving air, the stifling heat and humidity were suffocating on these ships long before air conditioning.  Misery and boredom were extreme, leading to fights breaking out and occasional mutinies.  Being trapped in the doldrums was viewed with dread, it was a very trying experience.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2019

Gold and Silver Uber-Bull Run Is Upon Us / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

GLD (SPDR Gold Shares NYSE) is the world's largest gold-centric Exchange Traded Fund (ETF). On Friday June 21, 2019 – one day after The Gold and Silver Volcano is Ready to Erupt was posted on this site – a record single day's inflow (gold buying) of over $1.5 billion took place.

This stampede, led by hedge funds and "algos" (automated computer buy/sell programs based upon volume flows and trigger price points) involved dollar amounts substantially eclipsing the record set during the 2008 global panic.

The price of gold rose to a 6-year high, left a series of gaps on the way up, and smashed through all sorts of technical "resistance" points on traders' charts around the globe.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2019

Precious 'Mettle'- Gold Bullish Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the mettle necessary to trade precious metals at this time. "Mettle"—the ability to cope with difficulties or to face a demanding situation in a spirited and resilient way.

Given the performance of my beloved Gold and Gold Miners in the past month, could there have ever been a more fitting word describing our sector than in the word "mettle"? Insert the words "the constant and unrelenting interference by the Fed/Treasury-sanctioned bullion banks" for the word "difficulties"; insert the words "egregiously overbought condition" for the words "demanding situation" and the definition might be appropriately restated as "the ability to cope with the constant and unrelenting interference by the Fed/Treasury-sanctioned bullion banks or to face a(n) egregiously overbought condition in a spirited and resilient way."

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2019

Gold Price Trend Forecast, Long and Short Plays for Traders / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The last few weeks for gold trader has been really exciting. Let face it, metals are starting to outperform us Equities late in a US stock bull market and we all know what that means. If you don’t know what I mean check out these charts!

Recently I posted an exclusive gold analysis article on Gold-Eagle.com talking about the next big moves and timing for the price of gold. Things are about to get much more exciting and life changing for those involved on the right side of the move.

In fact, in the next week, I will be sharing the absolute best way to take advantage of the gold move and it is most likely the exact opposite of what you are doing/plan to do. Recently Eric Sprott (Canadian billionaire, precious metals specialist) talked about my analysis and he touched on this gold trading strategy as well.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2019

Palladium Sets Up Another Double Top Pattern / Commodities / Palladium

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Is this Double-Top setup in Palladium another warning of a potential downside price move?  Back in April 2018, we issued a Double-Top pattern warning in Palladium which preceded a downside price move of nearly 28%.  We believe this new Double-Top pattern may prompt a downside price move of nearly 20% – targeting the $1240 level.

April 18, 2018:PALLADIUM RALLY DRIVING OTHER METALS TO MOVE?

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2019

US Monetary Growth Slows. Will Gold Price Accelerate Now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The growth of the US money supply has slowed down! We invite you to read our today’s article about the sluggish American monetary inflation, and find out whether it signal the upcoming recession and good times for gold.

We have long been warning our Readers about doomsayers who spread excessively pessimistic viewpoint and scare investors with the monster of recession. Our thorough analysis suggests – the gold bulls could not like this conclusion – that we have a Goldilocks economy and the current expansion still has room to run.        

However, we do not downplay the risk of recession. We are not like many market pundits who express naive optimism that this time is different (we are neither the eternal doomsayers who see writings on the wall everywhere). Instead, we are constantly monitoring economy closely to provide you with the in-depth and data-based analysis.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Stocks vs. Gold: Some Little-Known Facts / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

The gold and silver markets rarely get much love on Wall Street and from the average investors who only listen attentively to what CNBC and stock brokers have to say.

Nearly a decade of underperformance in the metals markets certainly isn’t helping draw attention. Recently, the gold market started to move, and the rising price has thus far gone mostly unnoticed.

Everyone is watching the equity markets continue the surge higher that began the day after Christmas.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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